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Song Hongbing, the author of currency war, first put forward the argument that "Chinese aunts" are competing for gold, and he said that foreign aunts are the same. Song Hongbing said: "it's not just Chinese aunts who are robbing. I think aunts all over the world are robbing. Gold prices did not fall to $1100, as Goldman Sachs predicted at that time. Physical buying around the world may play a major supporting role. Maybe in terms of pure purchasing power, Asia will not necessarily absorb much more physical gold than America and other regions this time. Europe and the United States also line up, but it is impossible for us to have a hot scene of aunts and aunts surrounding gold shops and jewelry. "< However, Professor Guo Tianyong, a professor at the school of finance, Central University of Finance and economics, believes that Chinese investors who spend millions on gold necklaces are full of frustration. Guo Tianyong said: "at present, for the Chinese people, there is a lack of investment channels. The prices of China's stock market and real estate are full of uncertainty. People have doubts about continuing to invest. In the case of a relative lack of investment channels, gold will become a more important investment proct in the eyes of the Chinese people."
analysts point out that after a record decline two weeks ago, Chinese consumers are scrambling for gold until the May Day holiday. The gold stocks of the jewelry instry in mainland China and Hong Kong are "in a hurry". The gold cabinets in Hong Kong are frequently swept by mainland tourists, and the physical gold in mainland cities is out of stock
the strong demand of "China aunt" has become a force to boost the international gold price. When it comes to financial tycoons, there is an extra term today called "Chinese aunt.". Wall Street tycoons are short of gold. Unexpectedly, a group of Chinese aunts are killed on the way. In an instant, 100 billion yuan and 300 tons of gold are swept away by aunts! " The international gold price has obviously stabilized, and Goldman Sachs has stopped recommending short gold
Why do Chinese consumers change their thinking habit of "buying up but not down" and rush to buy gold like cabbage? The most important thing for ordinary people is to value the wealth effect of gold. The bull market of gold for more than ten years gives people the feeling that whoever owns gold has the opportunity to increase wealth; The second is based on people's worship of gold
in fact, the purchase of gold by "China aunt" can not change the final trend of gold price. In fact, the amount of gold in gold jewelry stores is not an order of magnitude compared with the whole gold market; However, the amount of gold bought by "Chinese aunts" is even less than that of the whole gold market, which can not shake the whole gold market fundamentally. The rebound of gold price in these days is just the need of Wall Street to regard gold as the best speculation work - only up and down can we play this game
before long, when the gold price falls again, countless "Chinese aunts" will realize that the original "crazy bottom hunting" is just a high-level takeover, and they will be trapped in the gold market for a long time, just like countless retail investors who have been trapped in the Chinese stock market for a long time...
crazy, It's the characteristics of the "Chinese aunts" who have been ridiculed this time. Both gold bars with investment value and gold ornaments with little investment value have been robbed. In this regard, Professor Shi Jinchuan of School of economics of Zhejiang University is full of helplessness: "the deep-seated reason for the rush to buy Chinese aunts is that the domestic investment channels are too narrow." For the Chinese people, the stock market has not improved, the property market has been regulated, the bond market is also being rectified, the real economy is not prosperous e to the appreciation of RMB, and the M2 (broad money) supply has exceeded one million billion yuan. The people urgently need to find a reliable investment and value preservation channel for their funds
from the perspective of game theory, Wall Street elites have rigorous analysis and research, while "Chinese aunts" are just a kind of pure bottom hunting behavior“ "Chinese aunts" buy gold in a simple and crude way. They neither use gold futures, gold T + D and other leveraged transactions, nor consider the high handling charges for buying and selling physical gold. They just feel that gold is cheap and hurry to buy it. This kind of purchase method will not have a long-term supporting effect on the international gold price, and the biggest beneficiaries are the merchants who sell physical gold. Wall Street's defeat to "China's big mother" reflects the hunger for investment
the international gold price has rebounded and stabilized, but it has not stopped consumers' enthusiasm for buying gold. According to Hong Kong media reports, more than 120000 mainland tourists arrived in Hong Kong on April 28, an increase of more than 20% over the same period last year, and a considerable number of them went to buy gold. The strong demand of consumers also made the gold price stabilize and rebound, and the institutions suggested that customers temporarily stop short selling. Some netizens lamented that "Wall Street analysts can't equal China's aunt."
although the international gold price has experienced a roller coaster drop since early April, and institutional investors have stepped forward to sell it. However, e to the fact that "China aunt" has been fully joining in, starting with the kilogram and buying Chinese cabbage casually, it has brought the international gold price back to life, and Goldman Sachs has stopped recommending short gold
in the face of domestic consumers' bottom hunting, experts and scholars are surprisingly consistent, and they are all trying to remind "Chinese aunt" not to be too impulsive. Some experts have pointed out that gold is like a sharp knife falling, and it's better not to grasp it. Some commentators said that most consumers actually have no judgment on the medium and long-term price trend of gold at present, so the "gambler mentality" of such speculative buying is obvious
if we look at the root cause of Chinese people's crazy scramble for gold, we will find that the current Chinese consumers are not poor in money, but in investment and export. By the end of 2012, the balance of personal savings of Chinese residents had reached 41 trillion yuan. From this figure, we can see the huge potential investment demand in China< However, the investment channels of Chinese people have always been relatively narrow. Let's buy a house. Now the state is trying its best to regulate and control, and the n items of the state are coming out one after another. People will worry about the decline of house prices, and the gain is not worth the loss. So that more and more people turn their eyes to overseas real estate. According to a report released by the National Association of real estate brokers in the United States, in 2007, Chinese people spent only 5% of all foreigners' house purchase expenses in the United States. In 2012, the proportion jumped to 11%, and Chinese people spent $9 billion on real estate in the United States, making it the second largest overseas buyer of real estate in the United States for two consecutive years
when you deposit money in the bank, because the deposit interest rate is low, which is equal to the annual inflation, you can hardly make money or even lose money; If you invest in the stock market, the stock market has been sluggish for several years, which has seriously reced the wealth of shareholders. It is estimated that there are nearly 200 million family members directly affected by stock speculation in China, and the per capita loss of shareholders in 2011 is about 40000 yuan. Therefore, after the fall of gold price, many people regard gold bottoming as a life-saving straw for investment, and expect gold to rise well in the future. They just need to find an investment exit
looking around the country, private capital is in a deep hunger for investment. When private capital has nowhere to spend, it becomes hot money. When there is a gap in a certain field, these hot money will come out and rush up. In recent years, the "dou you play", "Suan you ruthless", "spicy", "corn crazy" all reflect that the legal investment path of private capital is very few, reflecting the narrow living space of private capital
although in people's memory and impression, there are a lot of policy documents to extricate private capital, there are still many obstacles blocking the progress of private capital. In this way, it is not surprising that private capital will rush to invest in gold, which is a high-risk investment. Once the downward risk of gold appears, a lot of wealth accumulated by private capital will be wasted
from the seemingly joking saying that "Wall Street is not as good as China's big mother", the government should see the urgency of giving private capital a fair and just market and institutionalizing its export