Theoretical analysis and Prospect of virtual currency

1. At present, the most promising currencies are still mainstream currencies, such as bitcoin, Ethereum, REBO, BCH, Leyte, etc. Of course, we can't rule out that there will be new currencies coming out. The instry is constantly developing and changing, the technology is becoming more and more mature, and it's normal to catch up. Therefore, we should always pay attention to the changes in the instry and find the future stars with a dynamic vision.

2. Bitcoin is different from the previous currency, it completely relies on the Internet to create and trade; Bitcoin's unique technical attributes lead to its economic and cultural attributes beyond the present currency. Bitcoin is a kind of electronic currency proced by open-source P2P software. Compared with the paper currency in circulation, the biggest feature of bitcoin is decentralization and global circulation in the network world, followed by high security and high confidentiality. These technical attributes further extend to the economic attributes of no inflation, no freezing, and no man-made supply; In terms of culture, bitcoin is popular among anarchists and liberals. The advantages of bitcoin are artificially exaggerated, and its anti inflation and anti inflation functions cannot stand up to scrutiny. In the long run, the prospect of bit is hard to match that of gold. In the most optimistic case, it will become a means of payment in some areas; But in the short and medium term, bit still has room for speculation and imagination. In addition, the use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
1. The advantages of bitcoin are exaggerated: About decentralization, no transaction costs and anti inflation
it is true that bitcoin has various advantages over paper money, but these advantages have been over interpreted. First of all, bitcoin is a kind of decentralized currency, which will not have the same risk of central bank controlling money supply and affecting market value as paper money; Bitcoin is mainly held in the hands of large investors, and the market depth is not enough. At present, the trading behavior of large investors is also very easy to affect the price of bitcoin. Even if the attribute of decentralization is regarded as the advantage of bitcoin when it is fully mature, then the prerequisite of holding decentralization should be added. In addition, there are great differences between centralized and decentralized online payment systems in the degree and type of financial risks they are exposed to
secondly, the low transaction cost of bitcoin is not without transaction cost. On the contrary, e to the increasing difficulty of bitcoin mining and the further stability of currency value, the dependence of relevant transaction platforms on transaction cost will increase, which will certainly increase the transaction cost. Finally, the confidentiality of the bitcoin transaction needs to be discussed. The principle of the bitcoin transaction makes all the processes of each bitcoin transaction stored in each machine. If someone can determine the real background of a transaction, they can find all the transactions down and up through these data
compared with other advantages, anti inflation or anti inflation is the most publicized advantage. Although its supply is stable and the upper limit of supply is locked according to its algorithm, unless the whole world is unified and all countries use bits as currency, it can not prevent the over issuance of money only as a means of payment or a storage of value, just as the current existence of gold can not constrain the growth of each country's currency. If bits can only be used as a means of payment in local areas (such as the network), then global or some countries' inflation will still be transmitted to the areas where bits are used. Therefore, the use of bits to prevent inflation is basically untenable, or has a strong premise. As for anti inflation, that is to say, it has the function of value storage, it needs to have the property similar to gold. However, from the reality, bit's essential property and prospect are still hard to match gold. See below for details
2. Bitcoin's future positioning is too high
the expectation of bitcoin's future in the market generally compares it with gold and US dollar, which is relatively high. The recognition of gold not only lies in its natural physical properties, but also in its official acceptance as a reserve currency (or an important allocation of foreign exchange assets). In theory, bitcoin as an electronic currency does not have the unique and exclusive status, and it is more difficult to become the official reserve of central banks like gold. Therefore, it is not appropriate to expect too much bit. As an electronic currency, bit has the first mover advantage. If it can be guaranteed in terms of security, its most optimistic prospect will be as a means of payment in local areas
3. Speculation and speculative demand caused by event factors are the main reasons for the rise of bitcoin in this round
under the credit currency system, people's lack of confidence in the currencies of various countries and pessimistic economic prospects are the general environment for the rise of bitcoin in this round. The speculation of the major dealers in the market and the derivatives market of bitcoin, together with the speculative psychology of the participants, further accelerated its rise. Btcchina's investment of US $5 million and the announcement of Ben's position are the main driving factors for the recent surge
however, a lot of big players start to enter the market and buy a lot, which not only drives the bit price up to a high level, but also increases the market risk. Chamath, a former Facebook executive, has spent $5 million on bitcoin and plans to spend another $10 million. Bitcoin investment trust also exceeded its target within four weeks, raising $15 million. These people's investments not only make bitcoin further rise, but also concentrate on the holding of bitcoin, which strengthens the influence of indivials and institutions on the price of bitcoin and increases the market risk
4. There is still strong room for speculation in the medium and short term
although our previous analysis is not optimistic about the prospect of bit, it is likely that bit will still have strong room for speculation in such a short and medium term period of time as one year. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the creators of bitcoin advocate that the generation of bitcoin is not manipulated by human factors, which is quite different from the credit currencies of various countries. We expect that the monetary policies of major countries will be divided next year. With the release of economic risks and the heavy damage to traditional asset markets, bitcoin will have better room for speculation and imagination< The use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
the U.S. government seized the drug trading website "Silk Road" at the beginning of last month. A crowdfunding network called "assassination market" even marked the sale of murderers with bitcoin price. The founder of the assassin market, under the pseudonym of kuwabatake Sanjuro, is an extreme anarchist. Both prism gate incident and the use of bitcoin in relevant sensitive fields highlight the increasingly prominent position of information field in national security. The Third Plenary Session proposed the establishment of the national security committee, which will play an important role in China's security strategy and expand from traditional national defense, stability maintenance / urban security to information security and other emerging areas

3. Here's bitcoin
bitcoin price has been cut by the waist
how to implement blockchain application is still the main problem. In addition to bitcoin, the large-scale application of blockchain in other scenarios has not yet reached the commercial stage. Looking back to the second half of 2017, the price of bitcoin almost reached a new high every day, and finally reached the peak in the South Korean exchange with the highest premium in the world - about 140000 yuan per piece. On June 3, 2018, as of press time, coinbase bitcoin trading platform quoted 49688 yuan, and the price of bitcoin has been cut. Since the beginning of this year, the price of bitcoin has rarely seen eye popping ups and downs, and the overall trend of monthly decline
bitcoin development status
according to the data of the in-depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of the blockchain instry released by the foresight Instry Research Institute, bitcoin prices showed a downward trend in May, with the overall market value falling from US $157.3 billion at the beginning of the month to US $127.4 billion at the end of the month, a decrease of 19%; In addition, there are 444000 active addresses and 197000 transfers per day. From the trend point of view, the number of active addresses and daily transfers are positively correlated with the transaction price. In May, the overall trend is volatile, and the downward trend is very obvious
reasons for the steady decline of bitcoin in the past half year
how to understand the "steady decline" of bitcoin in the past half year? There are two main reasons: firstly, the most important reason is that institutional investors and speculators who have accumulated a large number of "profit" are cashing in their profits and leaving the market; Secondly, before the blockchain instry has no real application and profit model, the rise of bitcoin price can only be regarded as speculative speculation. In addition, it is an undeniable fact that the Central Bank of China has made a decisive move to close the bitcoin trading platform, which has achieved remarkable results in preventing bitcoin speculation
at present, the domestic bitcoin exchanges have basically moved to foreign countries, which has nothing to do with China. Investors operate on those platforms at their own risk
the current market is not very good. Only when the market is good, can investors find ways to participate in bitcoin investment. As the total market value of the coin circle is still small, with more blockchain applications, there is still potential in the future
over consumed blockchain
e to the "tepid" price of bitcoin, blockchain, as its underlying technology, has reached the level of "known to all women and children", and even surpassed bitcoin in recent years
recently, a series of related reports are suspected of making up for the number and full of hype, and blockchain has obviously been over consumed. In addition to bitcoin, the large-scale application of blockchain in other scenarios has not yet reached the commercial stage
with the graal deepening of the understanding of blockchain technology, domestic enterprises have laid out blockchain technology, platforms and applications, including Internet enterprises such as network, Tencent, Ali, Jingdong, Netease, major banks, financial enterprises such as Ping An of China and Huawei. In terms of application, China actively explores and promotes blockchain + applications in the form of alliance chain and private chain to help solve the pain points of related instries, improve efficiency and rece costs.

4. This question can be used as a topic to write a complete report. As far as the simple question of network knowledge is concerned, it can be divided into two aspects. The first aspect is the exchange of RMB into virtual currency. Subjective judgment is that it can. If there is no impact, Tencent will not be so easy to make huge profits. If we analyze GDP, it will not pose a threat to the real economy in a short time. The second aspect is the exchange of virtual currency into RMB, which is an extremely serious issue. Then from the micro perspective, in the future, the virtual economy will develop faster, and the network will not only be a platform for the promotion of the real economy, but also become a perfect self-protection economy. In other words, the threat and impact will be great, which can not be avoided. Macroscopically, it is a microcosm of society. The long economic reform will pave the way for future economic collision.

5. At present, Great Wall coin, a virtual currency, has almost any relevant information, and whether it can be traded is unknown. However, similar domestic currency is mostly MLM currency. Before the popularity of the JPMorgan money, under the guise of JPMorgan Chase to carry out false publicity, Guangcai money is under the guise of charity publicity, and ultimately proved to be a fraud. If you don't understand digital cryptocurrency, don't play it. If you want to play it, learn about bitcoin, Ruitai and other mainstream digital cryptocurrencies
Great Wall coins generally refer to commemorative coins. Great Wall coin can be regarded as the originator of current coins and commemorative coins in contemporary China, and it can also be called trial coin. Great Wall currency includes: 1 jiao, 2 jiao, 5 jiao and 1 yuan. The Great Wall coins were issued for seven years (1980-1986), of which only four years (1980, 1981, 1983, 1985) were issued to the public, and only three years (1980, 1981, 1983) were issued to the public.

6. Learning experience of attending the counselor training class of Ministry of ecation

Wang

garrison

2009
year
4
month
19
day -
4
month
30
day, I had the honor to participate in the second post training class of College Counselors in Jilin Province,
sincerely thank the school for creating conditions for me,
provides me with the opportunity to learn from senior leaders and experts in this field, and creates a platform for me and other college counselors to communicate with each other<

this training course is the only one with the highest level of experts, the longest learning time, the most complete learning
content and the most activities I have participated in since I came to China.
it has benefited me a lot< The experts of the training course are Xu Yanguo, director of the ideological and Political Work Department of the Ministry of ecation,
Weng, Deputy Secretary General of Shanghai municipal government,
tie Hui,
professor of China Youth College of political science,
doctoral supervisor,
Lu Shizhen, President of the Youth Development Research Institute of China Youth College of political science,
director of China Mental Health Association, and
fan Fumin, chairman of College Students' psychological counseling professional committee,
Qing Dynasty,
professor and doctoral supervisor of China University,
Bing Zheng, professor and doctoral supervisor of Jilin Academy of Social Sciences,
Secretary General of China Ethics Society,
director of ethics and morality research center of Renmin University of China,
professor of Renmin University of China,
Wu Qiantao, professor and doctoral supervisor of Jilin University Gao Wenxin, doctoral supervisor and assistant to the president, Zhang Yanyan, deputy secretary of the Party committee of Peking University, and other senior leaders and ecation experts on the ideological and political ecation front< The contents of the study include the leaders of the general headquarters of Ideological and political work of our students explaining to us the role orientation of today's counselors, the national policy for counselors, the growth and outlet of today's counselors, etc; There are senior experts from the ecational front of colleges and universities to teach us the characteristics of contemporary youth and the methods of mental health ecation< There are some current
famous leaders of student affairs in Colleges and universities who teach us the ideological and political work in typical colleges and universities
there is an introction about the student work of the key universities of the Ministry of ecation
there is an outstanding representative of counselors working in the front line like us, the national excellent assistant director Li Qin
the training course enables us to receive all-round training in all aspects< During the training period,
we also participated in two forums and two visits to Northeast Normal University, which enhanced our communication and knowledge< Through the training, I have the following experiences, which are reported as follows:

first, I fully realized the importance of counselors' work, understood the relevant background and policies of the state in the ideological and political work in Colleges and universities, and was encouraged

Xu Yanguo, director of the ideological and Political Work Department of the Ministry of ecation, pointed out in the training, The team of counselors is the personal guard of the party and the state, and the task of counselors is to train qualified socialist builders and reliable successors<
"it's easy to get a good teacher,
it's hard to get a good teacher"
,
this sentence puts the role of counselors in the work of ecating people in a lofty position,
as a counselor, we should not only teach students to survive,
but also teach students to be human beings,
it's extremely noble to be a tutor and good teacher< As a teacher who has direct contact with students' study and life,
counselors' speech and behavior not only affect the formation of students' Outlook on life,
world outlook,
values,
but also affect the growth of students< Therefore,
college counselors must fully understand their responsibilities,
further enhance their sense of honor,
sense of responsibility and historical mission,
take on the sacred mission of cultivating excellent talents for the party and the country,
promoting the prosperity and development of the motherland< At the same time, director Xu pointed out that in order to thoroughly implement the spirit of the opinions of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council on Further Strengthening and improving the ideological and political ecation of college students and effectively strengthen the construction of college counselors,
the Ministry of ecation formulated the
regulations on the construction of college counselors on May 20, 2006, which put forward the orientation of college counselors. College counselors are both teachers and administrators, organizers, implementers and instructors of students' daily ideological and political ecation,
they are intimate friends and life mentors for the healthy growth of college students< According to the regulations, counselors should account for a certain proportion in the evaluation and employment of university teachers, the evaluation criteria should be independent, the evaluation criteria should be in line with the actual work of counselors, and the achievement identification should be flexible< Director Xu pointed out that in the future, the Ministry of ecation should organize regular training for counselors in combination with the improvement of their comprehensive quality, and organize the selection of national excellent counselors, so as to create a good platform and environment for the growth of counselors< In combination with the Ministry of ecation '
24
orders, director Xu showed us the importance, background and future development of counselors' work.
the Ministry of ecation's training for college counselors and the training for college counselors in the whole province organized by the research base fully illustrated the importance that the state and higher ecation departments attach to the work of counselors and students,
feel much more drum
dance, more energetic< Second, we should fully realize that we should improve our ability and quality to adapt to the student work in the new period. How to meet these new expectations and requirements and solve the problems existing in the current
student work is a problem that must be faced up to and urgently needed to be solved in order to do a good job of College Counselors in the new period< Through the explanation and teaching of relevant leaders and experts in the training process,
I deeply realize that the counselors in the new period are not the former nanny counselors,
fire brigade counselors and management counselors<
contemporary counselors should understand the importance of their work,
deeply understand and master the knowledge of mental health,
be familiar with the characteristics of the working group,
implement the party's major policies into the student work,
be an expert counselor,
only in this way can
have the ecational effect on students. After listening to the reports of experts, I deeply realize that
I have many shortcomings in student work
these deficiencies include,
insufficient cognition of students,
insufficient level and structure of self-knowledge,
insufficient ability to solve students' psychological problems,
insufficient ability to keep pace with the times and do a good job in students' work,
insufficient theoretical literacy. In the future work, we must face up to these shortcomings,
be determined, planned and step-by-step to supplement and improve, make up for the deficiencies, improve their ability and quality,
strive to be a qualified college counselor,
adapt to the needs of the post,
meet the new requirements and expectations of the majority of students in the new period and new stage

three, fully aware of the advanced nature of the instructor's model, and realize that there is a big gap between

training course. We invite the national excellent counsellor and the national excellent student Huang Lai daughter's counsellor
ring the training, experts have repeatedly mentioned the last national excellent counselors
Fudan University "forgive me", and I was deeply impressed by the touching deeds of the two excellent counselors<

1
, to be a conscientious person

"words of inclusion" is the epitome of the work of an ordinary college counselor, her behavior is very ordinary,
very ordinary,
it can be said that as long as a counselor who has been with students for four years, she will experience the trivial work of inclusion,
as long as she has a little sympathy and a little sense of responsibility
responsible teachers will sincerely pay for the students,
every senior
school counselor has a certain writing ability at the same time,
but why is there only one
inclusive heart language

only one inclusion? It shows that we are not living with our heart,
working with our heart
of course,
we can say that there are too many
trivial tasks that make us have no time,
especially when there are large-scale activities or important periods,
we don't even have time to sleep,
but we can't do it every day, every week, every month,
including diary,
I believe she doesn't have so much time to write diary,
what she wrote was weekly notes
this shows that inclusion is a person who has a heart of
and a heart of
life, he will certainly have a heart of work,
in order to serve the students well in his work,
lead the way<

2
, be a person without regret and selfless dedication

Li Qin put forward his theory of paratroopers in his report: if a person asks a paratrooper, you may be surrounded and arrested by the enemy as soon as you fly,
aren't you afraid? The paratrooper replied:
we paratroopers were born surrounded

- we want to be people who have no regrets,
we want to be people who give selflessly
I think it's very vivid and appropriate for counselors to
talk,
we should agree< The story of Li Qin and his classmates helping Huang Lainu and his father selflessly in his report has infected everyone,
this kind of help has surpassed the level of teachers and students,
and even the level of relatives, which shows that he has fully understood and applied the theory of paratroopers to his work practice.

7. Hello, I hope my answer will be helpful to you:
LZ is actually a problem that all countries in the world will face in the future. It is obvious that China, the world's largest virtual network market, lags behind developed countries by a large margin. Ha ha, ha ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, The total social demand is greater than the total social supply, and the supply is greater than the demand
2. The regional statistical bureaus under the National Bureau of statistics must count the money circulation of the region every week to report to the Ministry of Finance for filing, and the central bank will set the money supply for the next year. If we find that there is too much money in circulation in the society, we should adopt tightening policy and raise interest rate to recover some money. If there is less, the opposite is true. We will find that no matter where the Bureau of statistics can only count the currency in circulation. For those virtual currencies, they are those Q currencies. China and even many countries still can't make accurate statistics, once the whole China in extreme cases, throw out Q currency for other people's real currency. For example, a sells 10 Q coins to B, and B has to go to the bank to withdraw 10 yuan. If all Q coins are sold off and someone buys them, the market currency will increase, the currency will depreciate and cause inflation

PS: I want to remind LZ that this may be too small. Virtual currency is different from e-money. E-money is our common people's lucky money, which is deposited in the bank and converted into bank network currency. The state can get statistics, and the banks have records. Virtual currency is different, many times it is free, so there are many disadvantages when it is immature. Lack of liquidity, not everywhere can use Q currency, it can only be used for Tencent games, electronic currency can be used for any network transactions. If you really take all the Q coins to exchange, the worst may be the collapse of Tencent, which will not cause inflation

sorry, I think that virtual currency does not necessarily cause inflation. For example: A sells Q coins to B, B must withdraw money to buy. There are three possibilities for a to get money: 1. Deposit 2. Holding 3. Consumption. If a chooses to deposit or consume, in fact, the money flows into the bank, which means that B withdraws from the bank and a deposits the money. But if a holds it at home and everyone sells it, it will cause inflation One of Keynes's theorems is liquidity preference. Keynes thinks that money demand refers to the amount of money that the public can and is willing to hold in a specific period. According to him, people need to hold money because of the general psychological tendency of liquidity preference. The so-called liquidity preference refers to people's psychological preference for liquidity and their desire to hold money rather than other illiquid assets. This desire constitutes the demand for money. Therefore, Keynes' money demand theory is also known as the liquidity preference theory, because there are more and more money in the society, the currency devalues.

8. Speculators' paradise

9. Research on the innovation of China's commercial monetary economy and financial procts
analysis on the legal issues of financing monetary economy rights and interests protection in export insurance
the application of VaR in the credit risk management of commercial monetary economy
on RAROC, the core method of comprehensive risk management of monetary economy
the strategic choice of China's transnational operation of monetary economy
innovation of monetary economy business model based on value chain
Research on the development of urban commercial monetary economy after China's entry into WTO
empirical analysis on the competitiveness of rural commercial monetary economy in China
analysis on the competitiveness of urban commercial monetary economy in China
discussion on customer satisfaction of commercial monetary economy enterprises
measurement of human capital value of monetary economy and its contribution
on brand building of private business of commercial monetary economy in China Research on the causes and Countermeasures of non-performing assets of state-owned commercial monetary economy Research on the application of foreign capital in the performance management of China's commercial monetary economy
Research on the legal supervision system of foreign capital monetary economy
discussion on the public function of state-owned commercial monetary economy
Research on the development and Countermeasures of China's commercial monetary economy intermediary business
Research on the bottleneck and Countermeasures of China's monetary economy insurance development
Research on the influencing factors and Countermeasures of China's commercial monetary economy information disclosure Effect research
on the relationship between the government and the state-owned commercial monetary economy management
on the development of China's private monetary economy
on the construction of online monetary economy of China Merchants monetary economy
on the institutional change of commercial monetary economy
on the reconstruction of customer management of China's commercial monetary economy
the application of VAR model in the market risk management of China's commercial monetary economy />The theory of customer relationship management and the application of information technology in China's commercial monetary economy

10. Foreign exchange account refers to the domestic currency that the Central Bank of the country puts in when it purchases foreign exchange assets< However, e to the fact that some of them are used to replace foreign currencies, the amount of money actually put into the market is less than the original amount