Reaction and comment of virtual money market
bitcoin price has been cut by the waist
how to implement blockchain application is still the main problem. In addition to bitcoin, the large-scale application of blockchain in other scenarios has not yet reached the commercial stage. Looking back to the second half of 2017, the price of bitcoin almost reached a new high every day, and finally reached the peak in the South Korean exchange with the highest premium in the world - about 140000 yuan per piece. On June 3, 2018, as of press time, coinbase bitcoin trading platform quoted 49688 yuan, and the price of bitcoin has been cut. Since the beginning of this year, the price of bitcoin has rarely seen eye popping ups and downs, and the overall trend of monthly decline
bitcoin development status
according to the data of the in-depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of the blockchain instry released by the foresight Instry Research Institute, bitcoin prices showed a downward trend in May, with the overall market value falling from US $157.3 billion at the beginning of the month to US $127.4 billion at the end of the month, a decrease of 19%; In addition, there are 444000 active addresses and 197000 transfers per day. From the trend point of view, the number of active addresses and daily transfers are positively correlated with the transaction price. In May, the overall trend is volatile, and the downward trend is very obvious
reasons for the steady decline of bitcoin in the past half year
how to understand the "steady decline" of bitcoin in the past half year? There are two main reasons: firstly, the most important reason is that institutional investors and speculators who have accumulated a large number of "profit" are cashing in their profits and leaving the market; Secondly, before the blockchain instry has no real application and profit model, the rise of bitcoin price can only be regarded as speculative speculation. In addition, it is an undeniable fact that the Central Bank of China has made a decisive move to close the bitcoin trading platform, which has achieved remarkable results in preventing bitcoin speculation
at present, the domestic bitcoin exchanges have basically moved to foreign countries, which has nothing to do with China. Investors operate on those platforms at their own risk
the current market is not very good. Only when the market is good, can investors find ways to participate in bitcoin investment. As the total market value of the coin circle is still small, with more blockchain applications, there is still potential in the future
over consumed blockchain
e to the "tepid" price of bitcoin, blockchain, as its underlying technology, has reached the level of "known to all women and children", and even surpassed bitcoin in recent years
recently, a series of related reports are suspected of making up for the number and full of hype, and blockchain has obviously been over consumed. In addition to bitcoin, the large-scale application of blockchain in other scenarios has not yet reached the commercial stage
with the graal deepening of the understanding of blockchain technology, domestic enterprises have laid out blockchain technology, platforms and applications, including Internet enterprises such as network, Tencent, Ali, Jingdong, Netease, major banks, financial enterprises such as Ping An of China and Huawei. In terms of application, China actively explores and promotes blockchain + applications in the form of alliance chain and private chain to help solve the pain points of related instries, improve efficiency and rece costs.
1. The essence of interpretation is different:
virtual currency: virtual currency refers to non real currency
currency: currency (CCY) is the medium of purchasing goods and preserving wealth. It is the contract between the owner of property and the market about the right of exchange. In essence, it is the agreement between the owners
2. Different types:
virtual currency: game currency, special currency, etc.
currency: coin, paper currency, deposit currency, etc.
extended data:
formation of virtual currency market:
Internet leads to the emergence of a new market, which is a virtual market based on cyberspace. The Internet provides a lot of communication places for consumers, and also provides business market for enterprises. Enterprises must change from proct centered to service centered to customer centered
with the development of computer artificial intelligence technology and database technology, enterprises can conveniently collect customers' information, understand customers' needs in time, change business strategies and grasp economic arteries in real time
The form and expression of "virtual" is not the first important, the first important is the internal value. In other words, what is the relationship and difference between the value of virtual currency and that of general currency. In view of the depth of the background of the problem, we need to stand higher in the starting point of the research. The problem of currency is the problem of modernity, and the problem of virtual currency is the problem of post modernity. They do not share the same basic paradigm. It is the difference of paradigm, not virtual phenomenon, that leads to the difference between them
the formation mechanism of value is different
the value basis of general currency and virtual currency is different, the former represents utility, the latter represents value. From the point of view of behavioral economics, money, as a general equivalent, is called value in language, but it actually refers to utility. Virtual currency does not represent the "effect" of general "price", but the value itself. Virtual currency is not a general equivalent, but a manifestation of value relativity, or a symbol; It can also be said that virtual currency is personalized currency. In another way, it can also be called information currency. Their commonness lies in that they are symbols of uncertain value and relative value. When we say that, the traditional meaning of currency has been broken through. Money in its original meaning can only be a special case of the new currency in a broader sense. Money can be used as the symbol of general equivalent or relative value set
the monetary decision mechanism is different
the general currency is decided by the central bank, and the virtual currency is decided by indivials. The sovereignty of general currency is in the center of the Republic; The sovereignty of virtual currency lies in distributed indivial nodes. From the perspective of information economics, general currency is a special case of virtual currency. The special points of this special case are: first, the reference point does not change. Therefore, value is specialized from a set to a recible value. When the reference point remains unchanged, value is equivalent to utility; Second, the gain and loss of utility relative to the reference point remain unchanged. This means that the value of reference point is a stable rational value and equilibrium value. In a rational economy, the reference point may remain unchanged, but it is still a scattered set. The difference is that every point (the actual transaction price) of this decentralization is unstable, and only the equilibrium value is stable; But in the value concentration of virtual currency, every point may be stable, on the contrary, the rational equilibrium value may be unstable. Reflecting on the monetary decision mechanism, the central bank is the personified representative of a fixed reference point of rational value, while the virtual money market (such as stock market and game money market) is determined by forces other than the central bank. In this sense, some people in economics call the stock market as the virtual money market, and the economy formed by the stock market and derivative financial market as the virtual economy. The essence of virtual economy is information economy with indivial as the center
the value exchange mechanism is different
the value conversion of general currency is completed in the money market; The value conversion of virtual money is completed in the virtual money market. The value exchange between general currency and virtual currency is completed through the overall exchange of the two markets. Under special conditions, there is an immature exchange relationship between indivial markets. Therefore, it can be said that general currency and virtual currency are in different markets. Fisher Equation (QP = MV) describes the value conversion relationship between commodity market and money market; The extended Fisher Equation (MV = BH) describes the value conversion relationship between money market and virtual money market. Some people worry that the game virtual currency may cause inflation. This is because he does not understand the market exchange mechanism of virtual currency and confused the money market with the virtual currency market. Just as the imbalance of supply and demand in the commodity market can not directly lead to the imbalance of supply and demand in the money market, it must lead to inflation by issuing more money in the overall market; The imbalance of supply and demand in the virtual money market can not directly lead to inflation in the money market. The key to the problem is whether a unified virtual money market has been formed. The stock market is a unified market, but the game market is not. For example, the ratio of a game virtual currency to RMB may initially be 800000 to 1, and then it may change to 8 million to 1. Maybe we can buy a castle's virtual currency today, and maybe we can only buy a Tomahawk tomorrow. This phenomenon is indeed possible; If virtual currency forms a unified market, it may indeed exert pressure on the money market. The problem is that there is no such unified market. The issuers of game currency are independent of each other and do not have the status of financial subject, let alone the exchange with money at the level of financial market. What's more, whether it's base money or value-added money, the amount of money (m) and the level of money price (V, i.e. velocity of circulation) have not changed, so we can't think that there will be monetary inflation or deflation. For the current game currency depreciation phenomenon, it is better to explain that the service conditions of a game as a value-added service have changed. Due to the general improvement of the level of players or the increase of the number of players, the demand for virtual currency increases, and the price of services and virtual currency decreases. As a result of this change in the supply and demand conditions of services, service prices have declined. This is a phenomenon that can be explained by a real commodity market
No. Virtual currency with good operation and investment will survive for a long time and will not go bankrupt in a few months, such as bitcoin and internet currency of Internet companies
there are various types of virtual currencies. The virtual currencies with high acceptance abroad are Facebook's f currency, online game second life's Linden currency, etc., while the representative virtual currencies in China are Tencent's Q currency, Sina's u currency, online currency, Shanda Yuanbao, etc
virtual currency is different from check and telegraphic transfer. The value that virtual currency can't realize can't be transferred by bank. At present, it can only circulate in the network world. Virtual currency is released by various network organizations, and there is no unified issuance and management standard
2. The special currency issued by the portal website or instant messaging service provider is used to purchase the services in the website the most widely used is Tencent's q-coin, which can be used to purchase value-added services such as membership and QQ show
3. Virtual currency on the Internet. For example, bitcoin, Wright currency, etc. bitcoin is an electronic currency proced by open-source P2P software. Some people also translate bitcoin as "bitcoin", which is a kind of network virtual currency. It is mainly used for Internet financial investment, and can also be directly used in daily life as a new currency
virtual currency originally refers to non real currency.
in the case that virtual currency is connected with reality, virtual currency has its real value. Well known virtual currencies such as Tencent's q-coin, q-point, Shanda's roll, Sina's u-coin meter ticket (used in igome game), chivalrous Yuanbao (used in chivalrous road game), and so on, In the era of stand-alone games, the protagonists accumulate money by knocking down the enemy and winning money in gambling houses to buy Herbs and equipment, At that time, there was no "market" between players. Since the Internet established the portal and community and realized the game networking, there has been a "financial market" for virtual currency, and players can trade game currency.
the second type is the special currency issued by portal websites or instant messaging service providers, Tencent's q-coin is the most widely used to purchase services on this website. It can be used to purchase membership, QQ show and other value-added services.
Third, the difference between real currency and virtual currency
the first feature: different value formation mechanisms.
general currency and virtual currency have different value bases, the former represents utility, The latter represents value.
as a general equivalent, the "price" of currency is called value in language, but actually refers to utility. Virtual currency does not represent the "effect" of general "price", but the value itself.
virtual currency is not a general equivalent, but a manifestation of value relativity, or a symbol of expression; It can also be said that virtual currency is a personalized currency.
the second feature is that the monetary decision mechanism is different.
general currency is decided by the central bank, while virtual currency is decided by indivials.
reflected in the monetary decision mechanism, real currency is decided by the central bank; The virtual money market (such as stock market and game money market) is determined by forces outside the central bank, The economy formed by stock market and derivative financial market is called fictitious economy. The essence of fictitious economy is information economy with indivial as the center.
the third characteristic is that the value exchange mechanism is different.
the value conversion of general currency is completed in the money market; The value exchange between general currency and virtual currency is completed through the overall exchange of the two markets. Under special conditions, there is an immature exchange relationship between indivial markets. Therefore, it can be said that general currency and virtual currency are in different markets.
some people worry that game virtual currency may cause inflation, Just as the imbalance of supply and demand in the commodity market can not directly lead to the imbalance of supply and demand in the money market, it must be through the issuance of additional money in the overall market to lead to inflation; At present, the stock market is a unified market, but the game market is not.
for example, the ratio of a certain game virtual currency to RMB may initially be 800000 to 1, Then it may change to 8 million to 1. Maybe the virtual currency of a castle today will be enough to buy a Tomahawk tomorrow; If the virtual currency forms a unified market, it may indeed exert pressure on the money market. The problem is that there is no such unified market now. The issuers of game currency are independent of each other and do not have the status of financial subject, let alone the exchange with currency at the level of financial market. What's more, whether it is base currency or value-added currency, The currency volume (m) and the currency price level (V, i.e. the velocity of circulation) have not changed, so it can not be considered that there will be monetary inflation or deflation.
for the current game currency depreciation, it is better to explain that the service conditions of a game as a value-added service have changed, As the demand for virtual currency increases, the price of services involved and the price level of virtual currency decrease. Due to the change of supply and demand conditions of such services, the price of services decreases. This is a phenomenon that can be explained by a real commodity market
from q-coin and counting roll used to buy props to bitcoin which can be exchanged with us dollar and euro today. It shows that the utilization rate and universality of virtual currency are graally increasing. I think this kind of virtual currency has both advantages and disadvantages. Virtual currency makes up for the deficiency of currency, but it will not replace the real currency
1. Security of virtual currency. The day before yesterday, a bitcoin trading platform headquartered in Japan was favored by many people. However, e to the loss of 750000 bitcoins from customers and 100000 bitcoins of its own, the company had to file for bankruptcy protection. This fully shows that the security of virtual currency is difficult to guarantee
2. The use of money cannot be regulated. The problem is that there is no manager similar to the central bank. Due to the strong anonymity, it is easy to be used for illegal transactions such as speculation and drugs, as well as money laundering. Without the network of financial institutions, it is difficult to grasp their liquidity, which will bring difficulties to taxation
although it has many uncertainties, virtual currency is very effective and reliable to a certain extent
1. The possibility of inflation of virtual currency is small, and it is not affected by policy. Avoiding the influence of the central government on finance, virtual currency can prove the stability of its value because of its limited circulation. It will not raise prices and lower the value of money because of the increase of money supply
2. Strong circulation. People can use bitcoin to trade anywhere in the world where there are networks and computers, which is very convenient
it not only saves time, but also saves a lot of transaction costs
after comparison, I think that the virtual currency will be saturated and will not pose a threat to the real currency. On the one hand, in the backward regions and countries, they rely more on currency, resulting in a gap with the developed regions. On the other hand, with the development of network technology, the security of virtual currency will be more and more difficult to determine. It is also very difficult for people to use a lot of money in the form of virtual currency in huge investment. Especially in a country with traditional culture such as China, people are more confident that they will hand over their property to the financial instry such as banks, rather than in the online world like flowers in the mirror< There is no comparability between bitcoin and stock. Stock is people's profit expectation for a company. For example, a company constantly proces new procts to increase its wealth. People can obtain wealth growth with the company by holding shares of the company. And the stock is an investment proct, without monetary attribute, it is impossible to say how much ICBC stock an iPad is worth. On the contrary, like bitcoin, the stock can be converted into legal currency through the exchange to purchase the iPad. Similarly, in the so-called companies that accept bitcoin payment, all of them are marked with legal currency. They accept bitcoin through a third-party company, and finally receive legal currency from a third-party company
therefore, stock is people's expectation for the future development of a company, and it is an investment proct. There is no comparison with bitcoin, which clamors to become a currency
2. The existence of money lies in circulation and pricing. A thing that has been reced to a speculative tool since its existence, expecting appreciation and redistributing wealth can not become money
3. As cndx God said, bitcoin will have 2.0 in the future, which will be seamlessly connected with 1.0. That's funny. Why should the inventor of 2.0 connect with 1.0? Just as bitcoin does not connect with RMB, it is another opportunity for wealth redistribution
4. The existence of virtual currency can only meet the money laundering needs of a small number of people, so there is a market. For example, if someone wants to launder US $1 million recently, the ratio of bitcoin to legal currency will change, which is also in line with the market rules. Of course, money laundering is risky. If you buy one million dollars of bitcoin, you will hold it forever without losing any money
5. My legal currency is in the bank. If I lose it, I can still get it back with my ID card. Is my bitcoin password gone? Who should I go to
6. The currency expected by cndx will not be lost. At most, it will play in a certain circle just like Q currency
7. This thing is the proct of anarchism. If you want to embody value, you can only do it without government. The distribution of wealth depends on power and blood. For example, if you hold 10000 bitcoins, ZF says not to use them, and you say I'll use them. Bang, you're dead. Oh, bitcoin has appreciated again, because the total amount is less than 10000.
bitcoin is the overlord, and other shanzhais such as Laite coin, Fuyuan coin, doggy coin and Ruibo coin have a certain market share
bitcoin is the ancestor of digital cryptocurrency, with the highest market value, attention and popularity. Moreover, bitcoin related companies have obtained billions of dollars in financing, and also have a certain share in the payment field
lightcoin is the ancestor of Shanzhai coin and an unsuccessful experiment of bitcoin, but its popularity is second only to bitcoin
Fuyuan coin is the main application, and its future application scenario is the business points of jewelry business, which is the best of the three generations of coins, supported by large jewelry groups
dog coin is a kind of counterfeit coin that is well done in marketing, and it has certain competitiveness in the small reward and charity donation market
reborn took the route of cooperation with the government and traditional financial institutions, and obtained more than US $30 million in financing.