Reasons for the development of bitcoin and other virtual currenc
on January 3, 2009, Nakamoto g up the first batch of 50 bitcoins on a small server in Helsinki, Finland
on May 21, 2010, the first bitcoin transaction: Laszlo hanyecz, a Florida programmer, bought a $25 pizza coupon with 10000 BTC
on July 16, 2010, the price of BTC rose by US $0.08 from US $0.008. The first sharp price fluctuation shows the rise of new things
on July 17, 2010, the first bitcoin platform was established
on November 6, 2010, the price on mtgox reached $0.5, and the bitcoin economy reached $1 million
on December 7, 2010, the first portable device to portable device transaction was realized on Nokia 900, with a transaction volume of 0.42btc
on February 9, 2011, the price reached US $1 for the first time, which is equivalent to US $1. The news that BTC is equivalent to us dollar has been widely reported by the media, which has aroused people's great attention, and the number of new users has increased greatly. In the next two months, bitcoin and pound sterling, Brazilian currency, Polish currency exchange trading platform has opened
on March 18, 2011, the BTC / USD exchange rate hit a seven week low, falling to US $0.7
on August 20, 2011, the first bitcoin conference and World Expo were held in New York. Among Google trend counties, bitcoin's attention reached a new high, with a price of $11 at that time
on November 14, 2011, the price of bitcoin hit a new half year low of $1.99
on September 15, 2012, the bitcoin conference was held in London. At this time, the price of bitcoin was $11.8
on September 27, 2012, bitcoin fund was founded, and the price of bitcoin was $12.46
on November 25, 2012, the first bitcoin conference in Europe was held in Prague, Czech Republic. At this time, the price of bitcoin was $12.6
on February 19, 2013, bitcoin client v8.0 was released. At this time, the price of bitcoin was $28.66
on April 10, 2013, BTC set a record high price of $110
on May 9, 2013, BTC Chinese, the largest bitcoin reporting website www.sosobtc.com The company obtained the investment fund Union Square's US $5 million round a investment, and the price of bitcoin was US $112.09 at this time< On May 28, 2013, the Department of Homeland Security banned the virtual currency service of Liberty Reserve, a Costa Rican exchange company, for its suspected xiqian and unlicensed fund transfer business, U.S. prosecutors said that this will become the largest international xiqian lawsuit in history, with the scale of absorbing money reaching 6 billion US dollars. A large number of users, including China, will lose all their money. At this time, the price of bitcoin is 128 US dollars
in June 2013, Netcom said that the United States will withdraw from qe3, deflationary bitcoin and quantitative easing monetary policy, which are the relationship between the two
on June 27, 2013, the German Conference made a decision: holding bitcoin for more than one year will be tax-free, which is considered by the instry to recognize the legal status of bitcoin. At this time, the price of bitcoin is $102.24
on June 28, 2013, mtgox obtained the monetary service license issued by the financial crime enforcement network office of the U.S. Department of the Treasury. Transaction standardization may mean that bitcoin is on the right track, government risk is reced, and its pace of integration into the display economy will be accelerated. At the same time, it will play an exemplary role in other virtual currencies. At this time, the price of bitcoin is $97.99
on November 28, 2013, the bitcoin trading price of Mt. GOx, a popular bitcoin exchange, broke through $1000, reaching a record high of $1073
on November 29, 2013, the trading price of bitcoin on Mt. GOx, a popular exchange, hit a record high of US $1242, while the price of gold was US $1241.98 an ounce, surpassing that of gold for the first time.
factor 1: bitcoin's spot trading volume rose
the decline on March 13 caused BTC to drop from US $8000 to US $3600 within 24 hours, and the buying volume of coinbase, Kraken, binance, bitfinex and other spot exchanges surged
at the same time, open positions (used to describe the total number of long and short positions opened at a specific time) fell sharply in mainstream futures exchanges (including bitmex, binance futures and okex)
the sharp decline of open position and the obvious increase of spot purchase volume of futures exchange actually lead to the transformation of the market. The spot market began to control the price of bitcoin, rather than the futures market
the futures market usually causes sharp fluctuations in the price of bitcoin, because traders use leverage (borrowed funds) to trade cryptocurrency, while in the spot market, investors buy and sell bitcoin without borrowing funds
this change has stabilized the market, enabled the price of bitcoin to rebound without a significant correction, and the volatility is relatively low
factor 2: BTC should not have fallen below $4000 at the beginning
on March 31, coinbase published a blog post, describing in detail the market trend after bitcoin plummeted to $3600
the exchange said that most users of the platform bought bitcoin after a sudden decline, adding that the waterfall clearing led to a much lower decline in bitcoin on the futures exchange than on the spot exchange
coinbase explained: "waterfall clearing is the most prominent in bitmex, which provides highly leveraged procts. During the sell-off period, bitcoin trading price on bitmex was much lower than other exchanges. Until bitmex was maintained at the time of the highest volatility (based on DDoS attacks), waterfall clearing was suspended and prices rebounded rapidly. When the st settles, bitcoin hovers around $5000, before plummeting below $4000. "
this opens up a theory that bitcoin should not have fallen to $3000 in the first place, which explains why bitcoin rebounded rapidly to $7350 in a V-shape
factor 3: rapid recovery to key support level
since the beginning of 2018, the level of $5800 has been an important support area in history. Avoid bitcoin prices falling between $3000 and $4000, except in December 2018
bitcoin prices quickly recovered from the $3000 range to $5800 in seven days. After three tests in March, the price of $5800 became a strong bottom, allowing bitcoin to continue its rally.
on January 3, 2009, Nakamoto g up the first batch of 50 bitcoins on a small server in Helsinki, Finland< On May 21, 2010, the first bitcoin transaction: Florida programmer Laszlo
hanyecz bought a $25 pizza coupon with 10000 BTC< On July 16, 2010,
the price of BTC rose by US $0.08 from US $0.008, showing the rise of new things
on July 17, 2010, the first bitcoin platform was established
on November 6, 2010, the price on mtgox reached $0.5, and the bitcoin economy reached $1 million
on December 7, 2010, the first portable device to portable device transaction was realized on Nokia 900, with a transaction volume of 0.42btc
on February 9, 2011, the price reached US $1 for the first time, which is equivalent to US $1. The news that BTC is equivalent to us dollar has been widely reported by the media, which has aroused people's great attention, and the number of new users has increased greatly. In the next two months, bitcoin and pound sterling, Brazilian currency, Polish currency exchange trading platform has opened
on March 18, 2011, the BTC / USD exchange rate hit a seven week low, falling to US $0.7
on August 20, 2011, the first bitcoin conference and World Expo were held in New York. Among Google trend counties, bitcoin's attention reached a new high, with a price of $11 at that time
on November 14, 2011, the price of bitcoin hit a new half year low of $1.99
on September 15, 2012, the bitcoin conference was held in London. At this time, the price of bitcoin was $11.8
on September 27, 2012, bitcoin fund was founded, and the price of bitcoin was $12.46
on November 25, 2012, the first bitcoin conference in Europe was held in Prague, Czech Republic. At this time, the price of bitcoin was $12.6
on February 19, 2013, bitcoin client v8.0 was released. At this time, the price of bitcoin was $28.66
on April 10, 2013, BTC set a record high price of $110
on May 9, 2013, BTC Chinese, the largest bitcoin reporting website www.sosobtc.com The company obtained the investment fund union
square's $5 million round a investment, and the price of bitcoin was $112.09< On May 17, 2013, the San Jose bitcoin conference was held with 1300 participants. At this time, the bitcoin price was US $119.1.
on May 28, 2013, the US Department of Homeland Security banned the virtual currency service of Liberty Reserve, a Costa Rican exchange company, for suspected xiqian and unlicensed fund transfer business, U.S. prosecutors said that this will become the largest international xiqian lawsuit in history, with the scale of absorbing money reaching 6 billion US dollars. A large number of users, including China, will lose all their money. At this time, the price of bitcoin is 128 US dollars
in June 2013, Netcom said that the United States will withdraw from qe3, deflationary bitcoin and quantitative easing monetary policy, which are the relationship between the two
on June 27, 2013, the German Conference made a decision: holding bitcoin for more than one year will be tax-free, which is considered by the instry to recognize the legal status of bitcoin. At this time, the price of bitcoin is $102.24
on June 28, 2013, mtgox obtained the monetary service license issued by the financial crime enforcement network office of the U.S. Department of the Treasury. Transaction standardization may mean that bitcoin is on the right track, government risk is reced, and its pace of integration into the display economy will be accelerated. At the same time, it will play an exemplary role in other virtual currencies. At this time, the price of bitcoin is $97.99< On November 28, 2013, the bitcoin trading price of Mt.
GOx, a popular bitcoin exchange, broke through $1000, reaching a record high of $1073
on November 29, 2013, the trading price of bitcoin on Mt. GOx, a popular exchange, hit a record high of US $1242, while the price of gold was US $1241.98 an ounce, surpassing that of gold for the first time.
bitcoin is a consensus network, contributing to a new payment system and a fully digital currency. It is the first decentralized peer-to-peer payment network, which is controlled by its users without a central management organization or middleman. From the user's point of view, bitcoin is much like Internet cash. Bitcoin can also be regarded as the most outstanding three style bookkeeping system. From this point of view, the potential of bitcoin is unlimited, enough to subvert the current financial instry
in China, bitcoin is defined as a special Internet commodity by the central bank, and people can buy and sell it freely at their own risk. Most of the major countries in the world have adopted a cold treatment attitude towards the special currency, which is neither negative nor positive and ambiguous. Germany is the friendliest of bitcoin. Last August, Germany defined bitcoin as a private unit of account (private currency). Australia, the United States, Canada and other countries regard bitcoin as an asset that needs to be taxed. Of course, the attitude of each state and department in the United States is also different. Sometimes, the attitude of the same department and state is also contradictory.
if it is less than 3000 yuan, it does not constitute a crime and cannot be sentenced.
I think there are three reasons for bitcoin's continuous rise
I. imbalance between supply and demand
in terms of demand, the output of bitcoin is designed to be only 21 million pieces, and the output is halved every four years. More and more people want to own bitcoin, and the imbalance between supply and demand leads to the soaring price of bitcoin. In addition, the mining machine will be replaced in four years. With the annual electricity charge unchanged, the mining cost of bitcoin will be doubled, and the price of bitcoin will be higher than the mining cost for a long time
in 2020, the total money supply of eight developed economies, including the United States, China, Europe and Japan, will reach 14 trillion US dollars this year. In addition, the total amount of money in the world's 12 largest economies has exploded to $94.8 trillion. You know, this is an astronomical number. In 2016, the total global money supply was only $60 trillion
2020 can be said to be the year of global water release, but there is even worse news that a new round of global water release in 2021 is on the way. Recently, in order to stabilize the financial market, Europe and the United States have released a huge amount of water again. The European Central Bank has released another 500 billion euros, and the US $900 billion economic stimulus plan has been signed and implemented. According to the prediction of Morgan Stanley, a world-famous investment bank, in the next two years, the scale of money printing of the four major banks in the world, namely, the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England, will be as high as US $5 trillion, and US $5 trillion in RMB will be US $32 trillion. In the past few decades, the total scale of water release of the four central banks will be US $25 trillion. Let's think about the volume of this wave of water release