Virtual currency framework
on January 3, 2009, Nakamoto g up the first batch of 50 bitcoins on a small server in Helsinki, Finland
on May 21, 2010, the first bitcoin transaction: Laszlo hanyecz, a Florida programmer, bought a $25 pizza coupon with 10000 BTC
on July 16, 2010, the price of BTC rose by US $0.08 from US $0.008. The first sharp price fluctuation shows the rise of new things
on July 17, 2010, the first bitcoin platform was established
on November 6, 2010, the price on mtgox reached $0.5, and the bitcoin economy reached $1 million
on December 7, 2010, the first portable device to portable device transaction was realized on Nokia 900, with a transaction volume of 0.42btc
on February 9, 2011, the price reached US $1 for the first time, which is equivalent to US $1. The news that BTC is equivalent to us dollar has been widely reported by the media, which has aroused people's great attention, and the number of new users has increased greatly. In the next two months, bitcoin and pound sterling, Brazilian currency, Polish currency exchange trading platform has opened
on March 18, 2011, the BTC / USD exchange rate hit a seven week low, falling to US $0.7
on August 20, 2011, the first bitcoin conference and World Expo were held in New York. Among Google trend counties, bitcoin's attention reached a new high, with a price of $11 at that time
on November 14, 2011, the price of bitcoin hit a new half year low of $1.99
on September 15, 2012, the bitcoin conference was held in London. At this time, the price of bitcoin was $11.8
on September 27, 2012, bitcoin fund was founded, and the price of bitcoin was $12.46
on November 25, 2012, the first bitcoin conference in Europe was held in Prague, Czech Republic. At this time, the price of bitcoin was $12.6
on February 19, 2013, bitcoin client v8.0 was released. At this time, the price of bitcoin was $28.66
on April 10, 2013, BTC set a record high price of $110
on May 9, 2013, BTC Chinese, the largest bitcoin reporting website www.sosobtc.com The company obtained the investment fund Union Square's US $5 million round a investment, and the price of bitcoin was US $112.09 at this time< On May 28, 2013, the Department of Homeland Security banned the virtual currency service of Liberty Reserve, a Costa Rican exchange company, for its suspected xiqian and unlicensed fund transfer business, U.S. prosecutors said that this will become the largest international xiqian lawsuit in history, with the scale of absorbing money reaching 6 billion US dollars. A large number of users, including China, will lose all their money. At this time, the price of bitcoin is 128 US dollars
in June 2013, Netcom said that the United States will withdraw from qe3, deflationary bitcoin and quantitative easing monetary policy, which are the relationship between the two
on June 27, 2013, the German Conference made a decision: holding bitcoin for more than one year will be tax-free, which is considered by the instry to recognize the legal status of bitcoin. At this time, the price of bitcoin is $102.24
on June 28, 2013, mtgox obtained the monetary service license issued by the financial crime enforcement network office of the U.S. Department of the Treasury. Transaction standardization may mean that bitcoin is on the right track, government risk is reced, and its pace of integration into the display economy will be accelerated. At the same time, it will play an exemplary role in other virtual currencies. At this time, the price of bitcoin is $97.99
on November 28, 2013, the bitcoin trading price of Mt. GOx, a popular bitcoin exchange, broke through $1000, reaching a record high of $1073
on November 29, 2013, the trading price of bitcoin on Mt. GOx, a popular exchange, hit a record high of US $1242, while the price of gold was US $1241.98 an ounce, surpassing that of gold for the first time.
we speculate that once the central bank issues digital currency in the future, the periphery of the structure must be a decentralized system. At present, blockchain is the best choice
when talking about digital currency, the central bank also mentioned another concept, which is called programmable currency. How to understand? For the computer, it has a certain internal self-control function. Take the early object-oriented language as an example, it requires at least two functions, one is the constructor, the other is the destructor. You have to solve the problem of its creation as well as its extinction
through programming, the central bank can control the whole life cycle of money creation, circulation and withdrawal
in the absence of digital currency and programmable currency, the currency issued by the central bank circulates freely in the society. How to return to the cage in the end? One is the return of derivative currency of commercial banks, the other is the return of basic currency of central bank. The former is controlled by the central bank through deposit reserve and other policies, while the latter is controlled by the tax system. If we go up to programmable digital currency in the future, the central bank will have much more control. Even in circulation, control can be increased. That's why central banks are very interested in blockchain technology.
1、 Common analysis of virtual currency (1) bitcoin solution is designed and created by Japanese programmer Nakamoto (alias) in 2009, and it is the most successful and controversial network currency at present. Bitcoin scheme is based on P2P network architecture, which has been operating in the world, and can be used for all kinds of virtual and real goods and services transactions
In theory, if the existence of network currency affects the demand for the central bank's liabilities, and then interferes with the central bank's open market operation, it will have an impact on a country's monetary policy and price stability. However, from a practical point of view, the premise of network currency affecting price stability includes the following three aspects:(1) from the analysis of the impact on the amount of money, although it is difficult to analyze the extent to which the network currency scheme creates money in the case of lack of information
However,however, most Internet money systems operate in prepaid mode, that is, issuing Internet money when the real money is exchanged in and withdrawing money when the real money is exchanged out. In the famous network currency scheme, the supply of money is stable and the supply is small, but we still need to be vigilant whether it can ensure that the money supply will maintain a stable level in the long run, and the impact of the change of exchange rate between network currency and real currency
(2) from the analysis of the impact on the speed of money circulation, the use of cash and money statistics, the impact of the technological innovation brought by the network currency scheme on the speed of money circulation is not clear
as an Internet instry, it largely depends on the number of active internet currency scheme users. If the network currency is widely accepted, it will have a substitution effect on the real currency of the central bank, thus recing the use of cash in transactions
in this case, the scale of the central bank's balance sheet will be reced, and its ability to influence short-term interest rates will also be weakened. The central bank will need to fight against risks through ways such as setting minimum reserves for cyber currencies. Substitution effect will aggravate the difficulty of monetary statistics and affect the relationship between monetary statistics and inflation, which is not concive to the realization of long-term price stability. In addition, the issuance of network currency outside the central bank and the expansion of virtual credit will have an impact on the central bank's interest rate decision in the economy and weaken the central bank's monetary control
(3) from the analysis of the interaction between network currency and real economy, network currency can act as a real commodity trading medium and have an impact on real GDP
The influence of network money on real money supply depends on two aspects: one is the substitution effect of virtual economy on real economy; the other is the substitution effect of virtual economy on real economy; The second is the crowding out effect of Internet money on real money, that is, with the increase of the total amount of Internet money, the amount of cash held by the public in real life decreases, resulting in the decrease of cash / deposit ratio and the increase of money multiplier. In reality, the network virtual currency scheme will not affect the price stability at this stage, and the money flow speed will not be significantly affected in the short and medium term. However, the interaction between network currency and real economy deserves attention (2) financial stability risk when the virtual currency scheme operates outside the banking system, the most important factor of financial instability lies in its connection with the real economy, namely exchange rate and exchange market. Obviously, the closed network currency scheme and the one-way flow network currency scheme are not affected, so we should focus on the two-way flow network currency scheme. The value of two-way network currency depends on the level of money supply and demand in the exchange market. A big difference between network currency and real currency is that the network currency scheme is not based on the country or currency region, and the influence of virtual economy intensity, trade or proction capacity on its exchange rate is limited. The price of virtual money and its fluctuation depend on five factors:(1) money supply and other actions taken by currency issuers. For example: to achieve a fixed or semi fixed exchange rate by intervening in the market
(2) the network currency scheme shows network externality, and its monetary value depends on the number of users and merchants. As the number of consumers and businesses increases, their monetary value will increase accordingly. In addition, the exchange rate of network currency with small transaction volume fluctuates more(3) the virtual community with clear and transparent policies and advanced security measures is easier to boost confidence and the currency is stronger
(4) the reputation of network currency issuers in fulfilling their commitments. There is no "lender of last resort" in the virtual community, and the trust gained by the issuer is crucial to the exchange rate of internet currency
(5)
speculation on the future value of Internet money and cyber attacks on virtual communities. Due to the immaturity of the system, low trading, speculative activities and network attacks, the two-way network currency scheme is inherently unstable
qualitative. At present, the trading volume of these network currencies is small and the correlation with the real economy is low, so the stability of the financial system will not be affected. However, if Internet money becomes a substitute for traditional money in the future, it will bring instability to the financial system and even distort the relative prices of goods and services. The impact of network currency system on the financial system largely depends on the number of active users and the number of merchants who are willing to accept virtual currency for real transactions. In addition, virtual currency has only exchange value and no use value. Generally, network currency is not based on assets with intrinsic value and is not supported by central bank credit. At present, these network monetary systems are not allowed to lend
or borrow funds, so it can not pose a threat to the stability of the financial system, but we should pay close attention to its development. If there is any change in the future, it will undoubtedly have an impact on the financial system
in a specific virtual community, virtual currency payment activities have evolved into a "real" payment system, facing typical risks related to the payment system: credit risk, liquidity risk, operational risk and legal risk. The nature, scale and ration of these risks are largely determined by the design of the system or the degree of lack of liquidity, so it is difficult for the network virtual currency scheme to avoid or control these risks. According to the core principles of payment system (CP) issued by the bank for International Settlements (BIS), the network virtual currency scheme does not conform to most of the contents of CP, and does not belong to the systemically important payment system. Therefore, it will not cause
or transmit shocks in the global financial system. At present, there is no systematic risk in the network currency system outside these virtual communities
2. Lack of corresponding supervision and protection mechanism
in the real economy, the central bank plays the role of lender of last resort and has no default risk, so it can take actions in the case of payment crisis or unpredictable liquidity shortage to avoid chain reaction. However, in the network virtual currency scheme
it is impossible to use network currency as settlement asset. Because network currency simply depends on the credibility of the issuer, it can not be widely accepted as a means of payment, so network currency can not be regarded as a safe currency. In addition, commercial banks are required to accept prudential supervision, which reces the possibility of default, and the security of money in commercial bank accounts is higher than that of network currency. A fundamental risk of network currency is that the settlement institution of network currency scheme is not subject to any supervision, no institution is responsible for its behavior, and there is no investor / depositor protection mechanism, which causes the user to bear all the risks
supervision and the anonymity, invisibility and difficulty in tracking of its transactions, the network virtual currency scheme is very easy to be used by terrorist activities, fraud, money laundering and other illegal activities. At present, many government departments in many countries are considering whether to recognize or
legalize these virtual schemes and bring them into the scope of supervision, so as to support the innovation of currency and payment forms, protect the rights and interests of consumers and financial stability, and inhibit the use of virtual currency schemes to engage in criminal activities
at present, the uncertainty of the legal status of the virtual currency scheme may also bring challenges to the government authorities (5) reputation risk of monetary authority the reputation of Monetary Authority (central bank) is the key factor to determine the effectiveness of monetary policy. The public's trust in fiat money is closely related to the image of the central bank, which pays close attention to its reputation. The ECB defines reputation risk as the risk of deterioration of reputation, credit or public image. As the network currency scheme is related to money and payment, it is generally believed that it belongs to the responsibility of the central bank, so we should be alert to the reputation risk it may bring to the central bank. However, in the case of small scale, the impact of the failure of the network currency scheme is limited, but its high volatility and instability also aggravate the possibility of failure and attract extensive media coverage. If the network currency is allowed to develop continuously without
regulation, the central bank may be considered as dereliction of ty and affect its reputation (6) the risk of investors' loss
for exchange value, the public has a higher recognition of the investment value of network virtual currency, and it is investment based transactions that accelerate the formation of virtual currency market. Like other investment markets, participants in virtual money market will also face potential losses caused by market risk, credit risk and policy risk. Take bitcoin as an example: from 2009 to early 2010, bitcoin was worthless; In the summer of 2010, bitcoin trading began to enter the golden
period. As the supply was far less than the demand, the value of online trading began to rise. In early November, bitcoin was silent at 29 cents for many days, and then jumped to 36 cents; In February 2011, bitcoin continued to appreciate, and its exchange rate with us dollar
reached 1:1; In 2013, the price of bitcoin achieved a "Big Bang" growth, and hit US $1242 on November 29, 2013, surpassing the gold price of US $1241.98/ounce in the same period. Fierce price fluctuations make market participants face huge speculative risks. Unlike mature capital markets such as stocks and bonds, the depth of bitcoin market is insufficient, and it is mainly held in the hands of large investors with low degree of diversification. Bitcoin price is easily affected by large investors' buying and selling behavior, and also easily manipulated by speculators. At the same time, different countries have different attitudes towards bitcoin, Germany, the United States and other countries hold an open and supportive attitude, and Thailand, Brazil and other countries regard bitcoin related activities
as illegal. Every country's attitude and measures will have a significant impact on the price of bitcoin, especially in the short term
virtual currency is always inferior to real currency< br />
Caixin reporter: on January 20, the people's Bank of China held a seminar on digital currency and proposed to strive for the early launch of the digital currency issued by the central bank. What is the reason for this< In fact, the central bank has been studying digital currency for a long time. From the perspective of historical development trend, money has always evolved with the development of technological progress and economic activities. From the early physical money, commodity money to the later credit money, it is a natural choice to adapt to the development of human commercial society. As the currency of the previous generation, paper money has low technology content. From the perspective of safety and cost, it is the general trend to be replaced by new technology and new procts. In particular, with the development of the Internet and the great changes in payment methods all over the world, the establishment of digital currency issuance and circulation system is very necessary for the construction of financial infrastructure and the promotion of economic quality, efficiency and upgrading
how to replace it? There are several ideas: one is to imitate paper money. For example, transactions between paper money are anonymous, and digital currency also wants to be anonymous, which leads to its technology choice. But the reason why banknotes are anonymous is not designed intentionally at first, but no other technology can guarantee the convenience of a large number of small transactions. Of course, some people think that anonymity is better for future digital currency transactions, because assuming that the government may make mistakes, the privacy of private wealth and the use of wealth should be absolutely protected
from the perspective of the central bank, the future digital currency should try its best to protect private privacy, but social security and order are also important. In case of criminal problems, it is necessary to retain the necessary verification means, that is to say, it is necessary to find a balance between protecting privacy and cracking down on criminal activities. The mastery of the balance between these two motivations also makes the tendency of technology choice different<
Caixin: what are the central bank's ideas on the issue and management of digital currency? What's the difference between digital currency and digital currency spontaneously appearing in the current market< / > Zhou Xiaochuan: at present, what many countries in the world recognize is the framework of digital or electronic money dominated by the central bank, which may be different from that of the people
when the central bank issues digital currency, it mainly embodies the following principles: first, it provides convenience and security. Second, as mentioned above, we should balance the protection of privacy with the maintenance of social order and the fight against illegal and criminal acts, especially for money laundering, terrorism and other criminal acts. Third, it should be concive to the effective operation and transmission of monetary policy. The fourth is to retain the control of currency sovereignty. Digital currency is freely convertible and controllable. Therefore, we believe that digital currency as legal tender must be issued by the central bank. The issue, circulation and transaction of digital currency should follow the idea of integration of traditional currency and digital currency, and implement the same principle of management
Caixin: is there a timetable for the launch of digital currency? Is it going to replace paper money in the end
Zhou Xiaochuan: we can't say the timetable of digital currency yet. China has a large population and a large volume. For example, a new version of RMB can be changed in a few months for small countries, but it will take about 10 years for China. Therefore, digital currency and cash will be parallel and graally replaced for quite a long time. In the later stage, the transaction cost of cash will graally rise. For example, in the past, banks were asked to count a large number of coins, and there was no charge for them. Later, they may need to charge. With the incentive mechanism, people will naturally use more digital currency, but the two will still co deposit in the longer term< However, there are many other applications of virtual currency. For example, the European crowdfunding platform uses blockchain technology to combine digital currency with real assets.
Last week, a paragraph about bitcoin became popular:
bitcoin broke through 5800 US dollars (about 38280 yuan) . When it was issued in 2009, 1 US dollar was equivalent to 1300 bitcoins. What is investment? It has increased by 7.54 million times in 8 years. At that time, you spent 38000 yuan to buy some bitcoin. Now you are the richest man in China, surpassing Xu Jiayin, who has 290 billion yuan
but just one week later, on October 20, bitcoin broke through the $6000 mark. Although it fell later, it reached more than $6000 again on October 21, reaching a maximum of $6147. In terms of $6000, bitcoin prices have risen 7.8 million times in eight years
according to cryptocompare, a bitcoin data provider, e to China's strict supervision of cryptocurrency trading, the global share of bitcoin market has been greatly changed. Now, in the total trading volume of the world's bitcoin exchanges, the trading volume of RMB versus bitcoin accounts for about 1.6%
} the proportion of RMB and yen in global bitcoin trading volume (photo source: cryptocompare)
the reporter noted that in the first half of this year, after Japan's legislation recognized bitcoin as a legal payment method, bitcoin's trading volume in Japan surged, and Japanese regulatory authorities have issued certificates to 11 cryptocurrency exchanges. About 58% of bitcoin trading currently takes place in the Japanese market, and nearly a third of yen to bitcoin trading takes place on the bitflyer exchange in Tokyo. In addition, the U.S. and South Korea markets also account for a large part of global bitcoin transactions - the U.S. dollar and the Korean won account for 27% and 7% of the total bitcoin transactions, respectively< br />
pronunciation: [b] ì]
five strokes: tmhk
interpretation: Kangxi dictionary: "coin, seal." Kangxi dictionary: "Shuo Wen:" seal, the letter held by the ruling. " 160; The ruling credit is the paradigm of currency
original meaning: coin
ancient coins are written as "coins". In ancient times, barter was not exactly equivalent. Use a relatively acceptable item as an intermediate barter turnover. Cloth and silk are the most popular among the public, and it is easy to facilitate the transaction by using cloth and silk to "coin" goods“ "Coin" silk is equivalent to the function of modern coins. In ancient times, it was the most practical way to give gifts and cloth. Therefore, it is a very common phenomenon to present "coins" and silk. But "currency" as a medium of barter is not silk Guanzi Guoxu: "take Pearl and jade as upper coin, gold as middle coin, sword cloth as lower coin.".