Will virtual currency still be popular in 2018
bitcoin price has been cut by the waist
how to implement blockchain application is still the main problem. In addition to bitcoin, the large-scale application of blockchain in other scenarios has not yet reached the commercial stage. Looking back to the second half of 2017, the price of bitcoin almost reached a new high every day, and finally reached the peak in the South Korean exchange with the highest premium in the world - about 140000 yuan per piece. On June 3, 2018, as of press time, coinbase bitcoin trading platform quoted 49688 yuan, and the price of bitcoin has been cut. Since the beginning of this year, the price of bitcoin has rarely seen eye popping ups and downs, and the overall trend of monthly decline
bitcoin development status
according to the data of the in-depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of the blockchain instry released by the foresight Instry Research Institute, bitcoin prices showed a downward trend in May, with the overall market value falling from US $157.3 billion at the beginning of the month to US $127.4 billion at the end of the month, a decrease of 19%; In addition, there are 444000 active addresses and 197000 transfers per day. From the trend point of view, the number of active addresses and daily transfers are positively correlated with the transaction price. In May, the overall trend is volatile, and the downward trend is very obvious
reasons for the steady decline of bitcoin in the past half year
how to understand the "steady decline" of bitcoin in the past half year? There are two main reasons: firstly, the most important reason is that institutional investors and speculators who have accumulated a large number of "profit" are cashing in their profits and leaving the market; Secondly, before the blockchain instry has no real application and profit model, the rise of bitcoin price can only be regarded as speculative speculation. In addition, it is an undeniable fact that the Central Bank of China has made a decisive move to close the bitcoin trading platform, which has achieved remarkable results in preventing bitcoin speculation
at present, the domestic bitcoin exchanges have basically moved to foreign countries, which has nothing to do with China. Investors operate on those platforms at their own risk
the current market is not very good. Only when the market is good, can investors find ways to participate in bitcoin investment. As the total market value of the coin circle is still small, with more blockchain applications, there is still potential in the future
over consumed blockchain
e to the "tepid" price of bitcoin, blockchain, as its underlying technology, has reached the level of "known to all women and children", and even surpassed bitcoin in recent years
recently, a series of related reports are suspected of making up for the number and full of hype, and blockchain has obviously been over consumed. In addition to bitcoin, the large-scale application of blockchain in other scenarios has not yet reached the commercial stage
with the graal deepening of the understanding of blockchain technology, domestic enterprises have laid out blockchain technology, platforms and applications, including Internet enterprises such as network, Tencent, Ali, Jingdong, Netease, major banks, financial enterprises such as Ping An of China and Huawei. In terms of application, China actively explores and promotes blockchain + applications in the form of alliance chain and private chain to help solve the pain points of related instries, improve efficiency and rece costs.
The essential value of any kind of currency is that it can be used as the value scale to measure other things and has stability. The virtual currency here is not game currency, but a digital cryptocurrency like bitcoin. The bottom layer uses blockchain technology, which has the characteristics of decentralization, information tampering and anonymity. At present, cryptocurrency headed by bitcoin can not bear the property of currency. It is not fair to conclude that there is no value
a consensus has been reached in the currency circle by default, that is, bitcoin is similar to diamonds in the real world. The value of diamonds is given by businessmen, and it has been agreed that diamonds can symbolize love and have practical properties. Mining diamonds and gold also need to consume a lot of costs, but it is because a lot of costs are consumed that the constant intrinsic value of diamonds and gold can be ensured. The resources that can be obtained casually are prone to inflation< br />
The fall in 2018 makes investors return to rationality, which is actually concive to the standardized development of the currency circle. Now, regardless of the practical value of digital currency, this capital harvest makes investors further understand the importance of risk management. Money circle and Internet Finance allow investors to see that they are profitable, so they don't have to think about investing in it. It is ultimately their own loss. Whether this bear market can make investors understand the essence of money circle is still unknown. However, the future development of the coin circle still needs government regulation, as well as the regular operation of platforms and projects. Of course, only with the support of capital can the coin circle develop healthily and systematically. Therefore, capital outflow is the biggest reason for bitcoin's sharp decline.
as long as the government fails to suppress policies, bitcoin will not become a bubble. According to the coin.love trading platform, the price was less than 50000 yuan. I remember that at the end of June, the price was around 42000 yuan, and it rose by 8000 yuan in less than two months. It is said that the rarity is the most expensive. At present, BTC has become the mainstream currency of digital assets
if the figure below is accurate, the price of bitcoin will rise to US $91000 by 2020
"thank you for your interest in registering bitfinex account. However, e to the excessive demand, we decided to suspend the creation of new account. Bitfinex focuses on serving professional traders, and we have decided to suspend the acceptance of new account registration because we can't let new small accounts inundate our system, thereby damaging the quality of service we provide to existing traders. "
this is a notice that the virtual currency exchange has suspended the registration of new users. It seems that it is inevitably arrogant. However, they have no choice but to do it. There are too many young people rushing to get on the bus
data show that in the second half of 2017, coin an (
binance) added nearly 250000 users a day, coinbase added 100000 + users a day, Kraken added 50000 users a day...
who are these new users
they are onlookers after seeing the birth of invisible rich people in the currency circle. They feel that they have missed 100 million yuan, and finally join them in their anxiety to become a member of the currency speculation
they are middle-class white-collar workers who can't breathe under the pressure of life and work. They are still doing nothing when they are in their thirties. They are looking forward to the investment of virtual currency in exchange for the cars and houses they can get a foothold in
they are unemployed young people in Africa. They learned this way to get rich in the virtual currency investment crash course, hoping to walk out of a different life path from their parents by their own "intelligence"
they are also self-motivated young people who have nothing to worry about but are never satisfied with. They always feel that they should not miss every opportunity of the "era" and should create their own brilliance and glory
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these young people, who are coerced by the anxiety of the times, miss the real estate and the Internet, and regard virtual currency as the gateway of the next era. For many people, investing in virtual currency may be the only chance to realize wealth freedom in this lifetime, and we will never look back
"you have to get on the bus once in your life. If you don't get on the bus, you will be left in the wilderness."“ If the time for reading chicken soup or complaining is used to discover new opportunities and do something meaningful, the world will become a better place
these people see hope in virtual currency and give new hope to virtual currency
the power of belief is invincible
when a person gives too much connotation and sustenance to a thing, the nature will inevitably change. From the initial money making and investment, it graally becomes a kind of touching spiritual belief, and the power of belief is invincible
when investment becomes a belief, every risk warning is regarded as a provocation, which only arouses the morale of investors
for virtual currency investment, Mr. Buffett, who has been enthralled in the speculative market, once suggested that "generally speaking, as far as cryptocurrencies are concerned, I can almost say that they will have a bad ending... As for when or how they will happen, I don't know."
investors refute the famous "Clark's three laws", implying that Buffett is old and stubborn
"1. If a distinguished and venerable scientist says something is possible, he may be right; But if he says something is impossible, he must be wrong
2. The only way to find out whether something is possible is to cross the boundary and never run to the possibility
3. Any very advanced technology is no different from magic at first sight
under this logic, the more authoritative experts prompt for risks, the more reliable it will be and the more they want to buy it
when the rise becomes a belief, every time the regulation and singing down will only usher in a bigger rise
in the view of many people, the price of bitcoin, which is naturally deflationary, will be higher and higher. "One currency, one villa" is a true reflection of many people. In their eyes, any decline is an opportunity
in August 2017, bitcoin ushered in its first bifurcation, which means the division of the community. However, after a short correction, the market ushered in a retaliatory rise, reaching a new high
in September 2017, China ushered in the new regulations of ICO and virtual currency regulation. After the market fell for a short time, investors and institutions went abroad, and the prices reached new highs again. On the contrary, a pile of air currencies ushered in more leeks around the world
since November 2017, Russia, India, South Korea, the US SEC, the world bank and Europol have successively prompted the risks and hidden dangers of virtual currency. Every "heavyweight" prompt has injected new vitality into the currency circle afterwards
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every decline ushers in a faster rise. To some extent, singing down has become a good medicine to save the currency price
blockchain, which adds the wings of science and technology to "belief"
from the perspective of economic logic, price rise is nothing more than strong demand and insufficient supply. In the virtual money market, there are more and more "believers", but there are not enough currencies for investment
under the invisible hand of market law, more and more people join the ranks of issuing currency. In China, if ICO is the red line, move the server to foreign countries, launch foreign exchanges, and the team operates in China, so as to "serve" domestic investors. In terms of publicity, since token can no longer be talked about, let's talk about blockchain
a few days ago, a venture capital FA asked me to talk about blockchain. After meeting, I found that the blockchain project in the other party's mouth was just token issuance. It suddenly dawned on me that in recent years, the concept of blockchain has become very popular in the circle of friends and mainstream media. Many people will talk about blockchain when they meet, and several articles about blockchain have become popular again. It turns out that this blockchain is not the other blockchain, and the focus of attention has always been on tokens. In many cases, blockchain is just a layer of sheepskin for the "compliance" publicity project of the coin circle
in fact, over the years, the coin circle and the chain circle have gone further and further. They are totally two groups. The former are mainly indivials and small teams, busy with ICO issuing tokens; The latter is dominated by institutions and entrepreneurs, busy reshaping the instry and changing the world
in terms of wealth effect, the virtual currency represented by bitcoin is soaring, and the coin circle has made countless billionaires. The chain circle is still busy experimenting and landing, and the money circle leaders don't see the hardships of the chain circle in starting a business
in terms of policy environment, there are also differences between cloud and soil. Virtual currency has become a policy forbidden area, which is a red line, while blockchain has been written into the national planning, which has become a hot potato in financial technology
it is precisely because the policy environment is becoming more and more stringent that the coin circle, which makes money but has compliance risks, has begun to make the idea of blockchain to engage in the business of token issuance in the name of blockchain. At this time, the token becomes the value medium in the blockchain project
from the perspective of investors, blockchain also provides technological support for their belief in currency speculation. Learn more about blockchain on weekends, so that their "belief" in currency speculation is more firm, and they will be more and more firm on the road of wealth freedom relying on currency speculation
when leeks have faith
in view of the fact that more and more countries are beginning to prompt for the risk of virtual currency, since January 2018, the virtual currency market has gone out of the falling trend again, and the price of bitcoin has been cut off from the highest point. Seems to be able to stand up to the risk, but please believe me, any risk tips are inevitable afterwards
under the call of "faith", the decline only provides a better opportunity to buy, and more and more people will get on the bus. According to the statistics released by wiseapp, an app analysis company in South Korea, the number of cryptocurrency app users in South Korea has increased 14 times in the past 11 weeks, reaching about 2 million. The average daily operation time is 26 minutes, which is twice that of the securities app. In Brazil, the number of money holders is more than twice that of shareholders. In Russia, more than 60% of the people plan to invest in virtual currency in 2018...
in the zero sum game of speculation, virtual currency always goes up and down. For a few people, fluctuation is the best reward. The K-line reflects the perfect curve of growth and cutting of leeks; For the vast majority of people, fluctuation is the real slaughterhouse, but when leeks have faith, one crop will always rise.
the fire of virtual currency, many people join in the hype of virtual currency, but virtual currency is unreliable, mainly because:
1. many virtual currencies are air currency
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3. Exchanges are all indivial enterprises, which have the risk of running away
since the advent of virtual currency, it has been favored by many investors, which has led to the price rise of many virtual currencies. Among them, the price of bitcoin has risen to tens of thousands of dollars. Under the hype, the price of other virtual currencies is also rising. From the beginning of virtual currency trading, it has soared hundreds or even thousands of times, But it just shows that virtual currency is worthless and unreliable{ RRRRR}
3. Virtual currency exchanges are all personal enterprises, with the risk of running away< p> If virtual currency wants to be traded, it needs to be traded through virtual currency exchanges. These exchanges are all founded by indivials or enterprises, and they have no ability to bear risks. Some exchanges even want to cheat people. After users recharge, they try to pit customersfrom internal value to external use, virtual currency will not create any value and has no security. If you have any other opinions, please leave a message to discuss