Determinants of digital currency price

1. The value of a digital currency can be measured by the following methods:
1. The market depth of a digital currency, such as bitcoin and Leyte, is very deep
2. The application scenarios of a digital currency, for example, the digital currency on the coin Ying China platform will correspond to the corresponding physical assets, which are regarded as the digital currency of assets
3. The social recognition of a digital currency, bitcoin, has been widely recognized in the world.

2.

1. Digital money supply:

for example, the supply of bitcoin may be limited (21 million), which is expected to be fully exploited by 2040, but even so, the availability of money will fluctuate with the speed of its entry into the market and the activities of its holders

2, the value of the digital currency: the value of the

digital money market and the expectation of its currency will affect the behavior of traders, choose to participate in a blowout market or short bubbles. p>

3. Negative reports:

any currency will be affected by the public perception, especially digital currency. Even in its heyday, its security, currency value and currency circulation have been questioned

4. Resource integration:

establishing the image of digital currency and building the confidence to defeat traditional currency depend on its integration with new payment system and crowdfunding platform

5. Instry acceptance:

bitcoin and other digital currencies have not been widely accepted by global enterprises, and the impact of placing it in a more important position in enterprises is unknown

6. Key events:

any major event, including regulatory changes, security loopholes, macroeconomic setbacks, may have a serious impact on cryptocurrency

extended data

monetary characteristics:

as a non fully circulating asset, the strong price of digital cryptocurrency must be supported by reserves; The price fluctuation depends on the real-time transaction demand of bitcoin to legal currency

the biggest feature of digital cryptocurrency is that it is global. No matter where you are, of course, the human beings in the Mars bunker outside the earth have no problem. As long as you can log on to the network, you can freely control your own assets within the scope of the global network, which is safe and convenient. The assets in an address can be controlled independently or jointly (multi signature smart contract)

3. The daily rise and fall of bond and monetary funds depend on market interest rate, exchange rate, bond itself and other factors

bond funds are mainly invested in fixed income financial instruments such as treasury bonds and financial bonds, which are also called "fixed income funds" because their investment procts yield relatively stable returns

according to the proportion of investment in stocks, bond funds can be divided into pure bond funds and partial bond funds. The difference between the two is that pure debt funds do not invest in stocks, while partial debt funds can invest in a small number of stocks. The advantage of partial debt fund is that it can allocate assets flexibly according to the trend of stock market, and share the opportunities brought by stock market under the condition of risk control
generally speaking, bond funds do not charge subscription or subscription fees, and the redemption rate is also low

monetary fund is an open-end fund. According to the types of financial procts invested by the open-end fund, people divide the open-end fund into four basic types: Equity Fund, hybrid fund, bond fund and Monetary Fund. The first two types belong to the capital market, and the latter is the money market

monetary funds mainly invest in bonds, central bank bills, repurchase and other highly secure short-term financial procts, also known as "quasi savings procts", whose main characteristics are "worry free principal, convenient demand, regular income, daily income, monthly dividend"

monetary funds only invest in the money market, such as short-term treasury bonds, repo, central bank bills, bank deposits and so on, with little risk. Its liquidity is second only to the bank's current savings, and its income is calculated every day. Generally, the income is carried forward into fund shares in a month, and the income is slightly higher than that of a year's fixed deposit, and the interest is tax-free. The principal of monetary fund is relatively safe, and the expected annual yield is 3.9%. It is suitable for liquid investment tools and is an alternative to savings.

4. The concept of bitcoin was first proposed by Nakamoto on November 1, 2008, and was officially born on January 3, 2009. According to the idea of Nakamoto, the open source software is designed and released, and the P2P network on it is constructed. Bitcoin is a virtual encrypted digital currency in the form of P2P. Point to point transmission means a decentralized payment system. Unlike all currencies, bitcoin does not rely on a specific currency institution to issue. It is generated by a large number of calculations based on a specific algorithm. Bitcoin economy uses a distributed database composed of many nodes in the whole P2P network to confirm and record all transactions, and uses cryptography design to ensure the security of all aspects of money circulation. The decentralized nature and algorithm of P2P can ensure that it is impossible to artificially manipulate the value of bitcoin through mass proction. The design based on cryptography can make bitcoin only be transferred or paid by the real owner. This also ensures the anonymity of money ownership and circulation transactions. The biggest difference between bitcoin and other virtual currencies is that the total amount of bitcoin is very limited and it has a strong scarcity
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5. There are many factors that can affect the price of digital currency, which can be summarized as follows:

1. The factor of investment supply and demand is actually not independent, and investors' demand for digital currency is also affected by various news factors. However, from the price surge of last year, in the absence of obvious policy and other news, The admission of investors and investment institutions will also promote the price growth

2. Policy factors are also important factors affecting the price of digital red packets. In the past, the implementation and formulation of policies in South Korea, Japan, the United States and China have affected the price trend of bitcoin

3. The real financial factors and the instability of the real financial world make the demand for digital assets rise from time to time. For example, the Chinese government's policy adjustment, the brexit of the UK, the setback of the global stock market at the beginning of 2018 and other events all give play to the hedging characteristics of digital currency

4. Technical factors. Although the security of digital currency has been highly respected in its development, several technical crises still occurred in its development history. For example, bitfinex, the largest bitcoin dollar exchange, was attacked by hackers and stole 120000 bitcoin, and bitcoin fell by 25% in the following six trading days

5. Good news and bad news will affect the fluctuation of currency value

6. The market trend will be affected by the actions of the leading enterprises in this field, platforms, digital currencies with large market share, leaders with great influence in the market, etc

besides, choosing a good project can avoid risks to a certain extent. For example, HNB, the next generation of decentralized blockchain economy, is a reliable project. It relies on the real economy, and at the same time uses value exchange to continuously create endogenous value. It uses blockchain to build an economy, so that everyone can participate in it and get returns through labor, instead of relying on currency speculation.

6. Bitcoin has existed as a digital currency for ten years. With the continuous improvement of people's consensus and the constant quantity, the value of bitcoin has a huge room for increase, which is far beyond the scope of simple digital currency. Therefore, it seems reasonable to define bitcoin as digital gold in the future, This is also agreed by people who have a consensus on bitcoin

bitcoin is a digital currency, which does not rely on real money or financial procts. Therefore, it is difficult to predict the price trend of bitcoin by summing up the rules from the development and changes of real money

unlike other mature financial procts, bitcoin instry is still in its infancy, and there will be many changes; Secondly, bitcoin is decentralized. Its total supply-demand relationship is related to the global market. It can be held or transferred in the world without approval. Therefore, fluctuations from anywhere in the world will affect the current total supply-demand relationship

the rapid development of bitcoin in the past ten years shows a truth: a good project will certainly attract market attention, because it is a trend. No matter you are pushing, don't go against the trend. If you ignore today, you won't be able to rise tomorrow

7. Bitcoin is valuable because it is useful as a form of currency. Bitcoin has the mathematical characteristics of money (persistence, portability, interchangeability, scarcity, separability and identifiability) rather than relying on physical characteristics (such as gold and silver) or the trust of central authorities (such as fiat money). In short, bitcoin is backed by mathematics. With these characteristics, a form of money to have value requires trust and use. In contrast, this can be reflected in its growing base of users, businesses and start-ups. Like all currencies, the value of bitcoin comes directly from people who are willing to accept it as a means of payment, which is the only source In China, it is defined as a special Internet commodity by the central bank
the price of bitcoin is determined by supply and demand. When the demand for bitcoin increases, the price of bitcoin rises; As demand decreases, prices fall. At present, only a few bitcoins are in circulation, and new bitcoins are issued at a predictable rate of graal decline, which means that demand must follow this inflation level in order to maintain price stability. Compared with the market scale it may become, bitcoin is still a relatively small market at present. It does not need a lot of money to make the market price fluctuate up and down. Therefore, the price of bitcoin is still very unstable.

8. It's divided into price and value
1: value is the so-called currency born from the early decentralized blockchain Technology (in fact, the capital owns the centralized computing power, and the capital owns the centralized currency quantity, which may not be ideal here). At that time, people had certain expectations and beliefs. The decentralized low trust cost world chase was a good future imagination, which made most people recognize its value (of course, it also caused negative use value, which could not be controlled and regulated by the government, and provided a lot of extra convenience)
of course, some attributes of digital currency can be used for reference, Now countries are also in the trend of legal digital currency. Due to certain technical reasons, BTC may eventually disappear, or it is difficult to achieve the vision of believers. If there is no better change of technology, the limitation of technology will be phased out with the current development of science and technology
2: of course, the price is basically determined by market transactions. BTC is used by a lot of capital, and more value may be used as financial value Another common perception of price is that the quantity is limited and the output is getting slower and slower. With the increase of the use area, the scarcity increases the price, and the story of halving the price is also a good help for capitalists)
because it is a minority, there is no regulation, so the power of capital has a great impact on the price. The good effect of getting rich can attract more and more people to come into the market. The exchanges of various capital institutions have solved the problems of business instry, gained some additional operating income, and created instries (such as basic financial derivatives and more)
including this year's events, with the epidemic situation and the situation in the United States, new financial derivatives are manufactured by joint institutions. In the secondary market, a new circular wealth story is born. This mode is still relatively solid, with stable prices and rising prices. Of course, the final digester is the ordinary people
at the same time, the characteristics of BTC also lead to a part of human allocation of hedging assets
and so on, the price of BTC is proced under the game
personal final conclusion (for reference only): bitcoin is more of a kind of financial value, its use value is still limited at present, and it is also very difficult to promote in the future. If the technology does not evolve, it will still be small. Of course, the game of the world government is also a certain resistance
the current price is based on the financial game of institutions, and it is stable to a certain extent. The premise is that if there is no new large number of people participating in the game, the current rising trend will slow down, and the gray scale and institutions are also expanding the playing methods of other digital currencies (after all, the number of BTCs targeted by GBTC has accounted for more of the total BTCs - physical contribution plus less cash contribution), But there may still be a rise, but when it will be the top depends on the results of various games (I think there are several points: 1. How long can the game between the trading frequency and holding amount of BTC or other currencies in the primary market last, and when people's purchase and consumption will reach a limit. It can't be bought and sold all the time, there is a limit when what the 2. gradation and what the BTC of the GBTC corresponds to is the two level market digestion of the market, when it will be indigestion is also a game... Etc.)
BTC has bubble, and the financial game of capital is full of bubbles. Of course, this is the opportunity to get rich easily.
but the risk is very high, which is not suitable for the public. It can only be said that it depends on fortune and opportunity
BTC has big moves with every financial trend game
investment should be cautious.

9. Bitcoin is a digital currency, which does not rely on real money or financial procts. Therefore, it is difficult to predict the price trend of bitcoin from the development and change of physical objects
unlike other mature financial procts, bitcoin instry is still in its infancy, and there will be many changes in it; Secondly, bitcoin is decentralized. Its total supply-demand relationship is related to the global market. It can be held or transferred in the world without approval. Therefore, fluctuations from anywhere in the world will affect the current total supply-demand relationship.