Will digital currency replace us dollar

Many people think that the reason why bitcoin is valuable is because it is "rare", and if bitcoin is no longer "rare", then it will not have value

this is a misunderstanding. Let's consider a question: what is the essence of all "currencies"

the answer is trust. The biggest reason for the value of the dollar is because of the credibility established for the dollar under the Bretton Woods Agreement, rather than the so-called equivalent exchange with gold (although others say so). The main reason why RMB is valuable is because of the trust system of RMB in China and neighboring countries, rather than the exchange with us dollar reserves (see offshore RMB). This can explain why the currencies of some countries (such as the ruble of Russia, as well as the Zimbabwean currency as you all know) have been greatly devalued, because the government and the current world situation have led to a trust system that does not support the existence of this currency. The so-called economic sanctions and currency speculation are very superficial and superficial reasons

the essence of money is trust

What about bitcoin

bitcoin has no centralized Trust Measurement institution. The value of bitcoin, namely its "credit system", comes from distrust of centralized units. Every country finds that seigniorage is too easy to collect, which leads to the increasingly poor trust between countries. Even the people of all countries do not trust the national currency

and trust, like quality, is conserved. Trust in centralized money decreases, while trust in decentralized money increases naturally

this is the essential reason why the value of bitcoin continues to rise. Therefore, for digital currencies such as bitcoin, there are only two outcomes. Either countries want to understand that they will no longer issue excess currencies, issue additional currencies in a scientific and reasonable way, unify stable exchange rates, and maintain the credit system of centralized currencies, then the value of bitcoin will be infinitely close to zero. Or countries will continue to drink water to quench their thirst, and more frantically use the method of issuing excess currency to collect seigniorage from everyone, then the trust in the centralized currency will be lower and lower, and the total value of bitcoin, a decentralized currency, will be infinitely close to the gross labor value of all the units that do not trust the government and other governments, but need international trade

either the price is crazy or it's worthless

after understanding these, we can answer this question. Will bitcoin be replaced by other digital currencies

swindlers like * * and even the old Wang next door can come and yell, "I spent 10 minutes to change bitcoin's core and create a new digital currency called SBC. Come and join my ICO and pay me seigniorage ~". So, if this happens, will you immediately choose to use Lao Wang's SBC next door

the answer is that some speculators will participate, but the market will not. The reason is very simple, the new cryptocurrency has not been recognized by the market, the application has not been proced, this kind of currency has no way to exchange for means of proction. Then this kind of currency is not money, but a virtual commodity for speculation. In other words, even if old Wang ICO next door has an SBC, no one will choose this kind of currency except those speculators who have no brains

in the current market, there are many other digital currencies, such as Ethereum, EOS, XRP, and so on, which may have technological advantages in some aspects (in fact, BTC has been evolving, and it will also learn from the advanced technologies of other digital currencies that have been successfully proved by the market. LTC and other currencies can be said to be the experimental currencies of BTC's advanced technologies.), There may be more application scenarios than BTC in the future, but they are not likely to challenge the status of BTC. BTC will always be the first consensus in the currency circle, which is the belief of many people. BTC will exist for a long time as the gold in the currency market, not mainly for the circulation of digital currency

The digital currency issued by the central bank can indeed increase the process of RMB globalization to a certain extent, which is positive and powerful for the current global currency diversification. However, to replace the current U.S. dollar as the mainstream or the most hard currency in the world, even the digitized RMB needs a considerable part of the time cycle, which we need to maintain a very clear understanding

plus the Chinese dollar are only a matter of time. But this time period may start in five or ten years. The road is tortuous but the prospects are bright. br />

At present, the status of RMB is constantly rising. Many countries have begun to abandon the US dollar and use RMB to price oil, but it will not shake the petrodollar system. Although RMB can be used to price oil transactions now, it still needs a long way to go to become an international one and completely break the petrodollar system, It's going to take a long time. But it has no effect on digital currency, because many countries do not recognize digital currency. Now the world is mainly based on the currency of the Committee. The appreciation of RMB has a great impact on the domestic market, and even leads to inflation. After promotion, it is even less valuable. However, with the rise of RMB, Can let us the influence of RMB, can let all the people in the country on the mobile phone can exchange, this is very convenient{ RRR} in this case, cash will only be less and less, replaced by the rise of digital currency. But the rise of digital RMB will not affect the status of the United States now