Is quantitative transaction of digital currency reliable
1. Trading volume. Bitwise and Bti reports show that most of the trading volume of the head exchanges is water injection or "washing volume". Domestic exchanges are more serious, and even some exchanges have washing volume as high as 90%. Specifically, I don't guide public opinion and have no interests. You can search by yourself according to the above keywords. There are a lot of news< 2. Advertising strategy of ranking platform. At first glance, you may feel fair and beautiful, but where you don't easily pay attention, the operation of these platforms is very sneaky. For example, if you look at the second page of some ranking platforms (because you only pay attention to the first page, and the second page will not turn), all kinds of ghosts and ghosts are on it, and the weak trading volume is also on it. It's a shop bully. So we still have to clean our eyes
how to choose? Move back the priority of trading volume in your mind, and see what negative comments the exchange has, what controversial currencies are on it, and what functions you want to try. Just sort them out by yourself.
Basic routine: the "trading market" of MLM digital currency is basically controlled by specific institutions. In order to attract investors' investment in the early stage, the currency price may be very high. Once the time is ripe, it will be sold intensively, and the price will plummet, and the investors will lose all their money
There are three characteristics of digital money MLM:1. Digital money is a real proct, and it is highly packaged
2. The participants can get a head pulling reward, and the prize is the digital currency itself
3. Digital currency will appreciate with the increase of participants in the scam. In the cycle of digital currency appreciation, the number of participants who can obtain digital currency will also increase, and the participants, including the lowest level participants, will also gain, but in the cycle of devaluation, the bottom level participants often lose a lot
in 2017, the Internet Finance Association of Jiangsu Province issued the "internet pyramid selling identification guide", which named 26 so-called digital currencies as illegal pyramid selling projects covered or suspected to be covered with digital currency. They are: treasure money, Baichuan money, SMI, MBI, mark money, Diablo money, mmm, Fuda compound wealth management, carat money, V treasure, Vicat money, petroleum money, Huaqiang money, CB aiib Hong Kong Group, Yuansheng, Morgan money, beta money, WorldCom, u money, Jubao, 21st century fox, Wanxi wealth management, Wanfu money, Wuxing money, Yi money, Zhonghua money, etc
extended materials:
five ways to distinguish whether digital currency is pyramid selling currency:
1. Issuance mode
virtual currency does not rely on specific monetary institutions. It is proced by a large number of calculations according to specific algorithms, and is a decentralized issuance mode. Each different terminal node is responsible for maintaining the same account book, and the maintenance process is mainly to package and encrypt the transaction information by the algorithm, while the MLM currency is mainly issued by a certain organization, and the profit is made by pulling the head
2. Transaction mode
virtual currency is a kind of sporadic transaction spontaneously formed in the market, which is graally completed by a third party establishing an exchange after the scale is formed. The MLM currency is issued by an institution and traded on its own platform
3. Implementation method
virtual currency itself is an open source program, which is maintained in GitHub community. The parameters and methods of the total amount limit are shown in the open source code. The open source of MLM currency is completely ing other people's open source code, and there is no use of open source code to build programs, so its essence is controlled by the website like Q currency
4, whether to give the source code link
General decentralized digital currency will give the source code link in the prominent position of the official website, so as to show the operation mechanism of the monetary system openly and transparently. The MLM currency focuses on the transaction process of recharge purchase, but does not mention its operation mechanism. Even the website does not have the link address of the source code
5, whether the official website starts with HTTPS
generally, the addresses of the official website and trading website of decentralized digital currency start with HTTPS, and the purpose is that this kind of website can well protect the user's data from illegal theft. But the official website of MLM currency, trading website and other related websites do not start with HTTPS
Quantification is based on mathematical statistics and mathematical modeling, using computer technology, from the massive historical and current data, to explore the trading mode that can bring large probability of excess return, to avoid the negative impact of irrational decision-making caused by investor sentiment fluctuations in the artificial trading process. A qualified quantitative trading model must be based on the trend judgment or arbitrage principle with clear economic meaning, and further systematized and programmed abstraction, presenting a set of complete logic executable trading instruction flow and logic control scheme
what is strategy
strategy, literally refers to the set of solutions that can achieve the goal; In short, it is a series of preset behavior patterns, which will be enabled under different trigger conditions
in securities trading, strategy refers to taking corresponding trading actions when pre-set events or signals occur
what is quantitative strategy
the so-called quantification is to digitize the events or signals in the behavior pattern and analyze them through a set of fixed logic, rather than relying on people's feelings or intuition to judge and make decisions
traditional traders usually execute some specific transactions after seeing some graphical technical form. If they can describe the graphical form with a series of data that can be recognized by a computer program, the program will automatically judge and decide whether to trade, and automatically carry out position management and risk control actions, which will become a quantitative strategy
generally speaking, the so-called quantitative strategy means that the whole transaction process is completely realized as a computer program, and the data receiving, processing and transaction execution are automatically completed by the computer program. In order to develop such a quantitative strategy, it is necessary to collect a certain amount of data in advance and establish a set of decision-making model based on digital processing; After studying the strategy, we should implement it and let it run
is it reliable to invest with quantitative strategy
let's take a look at the data of a quantitative platform:
according to the back test data of Yikuan quantitative platform based on the one week strategy of digital currency running in December 2017 (December 11-17):
"ready to go" entered the market first, however, the premature stop profit led to repeated opening and stop loss, which was not suitable for that period of market, Fortunately, in the last paragraph, we can recover a little
the judgment and decision-making process of any indivial investor will be affected by various psychological factors such as cognition, emotion and will to varying degrees. Quantitative investment relies on computer to allocate portfolio, which overcomes the weakness of human nature and makes investment decision more scientific and rational