The influence of central bank's digital currency on China'

1.

On November 9, 2019, the central bank has not launched digital currency

in 2014, the Central Bank of China set up a special research team to conct in-depth research on the framework of digital currency issuance and business operation, key technologies of digital currency, issuance and circulation environment, and legal issues

in January 2017, the central bank officially established the digital currency Research Institute in Shenzhen

in September 2018, the Institute of digital currency built a trade finance blockchain platform

On July 8, 2019, at the launching ceremony of the digital finance open research program and the first academic seminar, Wang Xin, director of the Research Bureau of the people's Bank of China, disclosed that the State Council has officially approved the research and development of the central bank's digital currency, and the central bank is engaged in corresponding work in organizing market institutions

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benefits of digital currency

the digitalization of central bank's currency helps to optimize the central bank's monetary payment function, improve the central bank's monetary status and the effectiveness of monetary policy. The central bank's digital currency can become an interest bearing asset to meet the holder's reserve demand for safe assets, and can also become the lower limit of bank deposit interest rate. It can also become a new monetary policy tool

at the same time, the central bank can affect the bank deposit and loan interest rate by adjusting the digital currency interest rate of the central bank, and help to break the zero interest rate lower limit

2. The core value of CBDC can be summarized as four points: first, the original purpose is to let the central bank better manage money creation and supply, enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission mechanism and better deal with the business cycle. Second, the construction of payment and clearing infrastructure based on blockchain related technologies can rece costs and increase efficiency. Digital currency can greatly rece the cost of currency issuance, circulation, use and other links, and realize banknote free transactions, which is also in line with the current trend of rapid development of electronic payment. Third, it has given the central bank stronger control over the monetary system, such as KFC, anti money laundering, anti-terrorism financing, and some targeted policies. Before the launch of Libra, the central bank attached importance to CBDC mainly for the above three purposes. But now, the significance of CBDC in promoting the internationalization of RMB has become more important than ever. This is the fourth purpose of the central bank. Judging from the current progress of RMB internationalization, there are indeed many difficulties. One is the US led encirclement and interception, and the other is the turbulence in the stock and exchange markets. In order to break the encirclement led by the United States, realize the normal development of the stock exchange market and the foreign exchange market, and realize the internationalization of RMB, it is really a good way for the central bank to issue digital currency. On the 10th anniversary of RMB internationalization, RMB internationalization has made remarkable achievements. 13 international financial institutions around the world began to pay attention to China's bond market. In the tide of interest rate rection in developed countries, negative interest rate has become a conventional means, and China's bonds are very competitive in the world. As of the second quarter of 2019, 38 countries have signed currency swap agreements with China, with a total amount of 3.67 trillion yuan. The one belt, one road, which one belt, one road to push forward, is continuously creating demand for RMB internationalization, and the export of RMB has become an important means of "one belt and one road" internationalization of RMB. In addition, RMB is one of the most active currencies in the global foreign exchange market, and London has surpassed Hong Kong as the world's largest offshore RMB foreign exchange trading center. With the steady development of China's economy, RMB assets will continue to be favored by all countries in the world< One belt, one road or other friendly country, was also shared by the Central Bank of China when it issued the CBDC. It shared some of the mint rights with br />
CBDC. How to participate? Including the following two cases, let's take Kazakhstan as an example. The first is that Kazakhstan can issue RMB denominated Kazakh government bonds. The issuer is Kazakhstan, but the RMB denominated bonds are sovereign bonds for Kazakhstan, which can also be sold to the Central Bank of China in exchange for CBDC. The second is that Kazakhstan issues treasury bonds denominated in its own currency, which are issued by Kazakhstan and priced in its own currency. This method is the easiest for Kazakhstan, because this is their own national debt, which is sold to the Central Bank of China, which gives it CBDC. The similarities between the two lie in that they both sell treasury bonds to the Central Bank of China, but the issuers of treasury bonds are not the same, and the pricing currencies of treasury bonds are not the same, so the requirements for Kazakhstan are not the same. In theory, these ways can be used as a political tool to influence and regulate the relationship between the Chinese government and Kazakhstan<

4 digital currency will become the biggest magic weapon of RMB internationalization

China is now facing the biggest challenge, in terms of currency, in fact, the internationalization of RMB. The monetary settlement system based on US dollar has brought great problems to the decision-makers outside the US dollar. The best way to rece the status of US dollar is to replace us dollar with a global digital currency to end the dominant advantage of US dollar. The Chinese version of CBDC is likely to become the biggest magic weapon to promote the internationalization of RMB and end the hegemony of US dollar. The opportunity for RMB internationalization lies in the trend of de dollarization. Therefore, we need friendly countries other than US dollars to participate in China's digital currency. Taking the lead in the use of digital currency in block trading and financial settlement to bypass the restrictions on trading in US dollar will certainly realize the development of de dollarization and form a new currency trading system dominated by China and participated by many parties. So how to achieve it? In essence, it is to transfer benefits, so that non dollarized friendly countries can participate in the issuance process of CBDC, and even share the seigniorage of RMB. It is the most effective magic weapon to embody the spirit of democratization and benefit sharing of blockchain and bitcoin in the design of sovereign currency, which is also the most practical way to realize the internationalization of RMB.

3.

The role of digital currency:

1. First of all, the central bank's digital currency can provide a huge data base for monetary policy and macro Prudential policy, so that the regulatory authorities can collect real-time trading books of different frequency and different institutions according to their needs, and it is complete and real. This information advantage can help the central bank use policy tools more accurately and flexibly

Secondly, the central bank's digital currency technology can track the flow of funds and help the regulatory authorities to comprehensively monitor and assess financial risks. Finally, the central bank's digital money technology is concive to the transmission of interest rate of monetary policy. Digital currency technology supports "point-to-point" payment and settlement, which can improve the liquidity of market participants. Only the digital currency of the central bank, which is generally accepted by the whole society, can radiate this advantage to the participants of different financial markets, so as to improve the liquidity of financial markets. This will make the term structure of interest rate smoother and the transmission mechanism of interest rate smoother

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digital currency can be considered as a virtual currency based on node network and digital encryption algorithm. The core characteristics of digital currency are mainly reflected in three aspects: because it comes from some open algorithms, digital currency has no issuing subject, so no one or institution can control its issuing; Because the number of algorithm solutions is fixed, the total amount of digital currency is fixed, which fundamentally eliminates the possibility of inflation caused by the overuse of virtual currency; Because the transaction process needs the approval of each node in the network, the transaction process of digital currency is safe enough

4. Digital currency is very popular with the central bank. The central bank has been studying digital currency for a long time. The central bank's version of digital currency has been revised twice, and the issue of digital currency by the central bank has become a certainty< At present, the digital currency issued by the central bank is mainly to replace the physical cash, rece the cost of traditional paper currency issuance and circulation, and improve the convenience and transparency of economic transactions. In general, the central bank will fully consider the existing monetary policy regulation, money supply and creation mechanism, and monetary policy transmission channels when designing digital currency
unlike virtual currencies such as bitcoin, central bank digital currency is a legal currency issued by the central bank, encrypted and supported by national credit. The media mentioned that at present, the research and development of the prototype system of legal digital currency is in progress. As for when to launch China's legal digital currency, Yao Qian said that there is no timetable Netease)
it is certain that the advent of the central bank's version of digital currency will have a great impact on cryptocurrencies such as special currency and Leyte currency. In the future, the form of these digital currencies may graally evolve, just like the tokens launched by the European crowdfunding platform, as a kind of asset certificate.

5. The digital currency issued by the central bank is only a substitute for banknotes and coins. In fact, it is a kind of electronic cash, which has little impact on monetary policy and commercial banks. In the traditional currency issuance, the cash in circulation is actually the direct debt of the central bank to the public, only because of technical constraints and cost considerations, the central bank issues cash through commercial banks. With the progress of technology, it is possible for the central bank to issue money directly to indivial and enterprise accounts in the form of digital currency. E-cash flow is still through the central bank and financial institutions, and then to enterprises and indivials. In terms of money manufacturing channels, circulation links and functions, e-cash flow is exactly the same as paper money

e-cash flow still flows through the central bank and financial institutions to enterprises and indivials, which is identical with paper money in terms of money creation channels, circulation links and functions, and does not break away from the scope of traditional monetary policy regulation. The main function of e-cash is to facilitate transaction payment
considering that the development of non cash payment methods such as third-party payment has greatly facilitated transaction payment in recent years, the impact of e-cash on money transaction demand is limited, and the overall impact on monetary policy is not significant. The extent to which e-cash is accepted by the public depends on its convenience and security.