Decentralization trend of Shanghai real estate
Publish: 2021-03-27 21:45:03
1. Decentralization is a phenomenon or structure, which can only appear in a system with many users or nodes, and each user can connect and influence other nodes. Generally speaking, everyone is the center, and everyone can connect and influence other nodes. This flat, open-source and equal phenomenon or structure is called "decentralization"< Br > at the same time, "decentralization" is one of the typical features of blockchain, which uses distributed storage and computing power. The rights and obligations of the whole network nodes are the same, and the data in the system is jointly maintained by the whole network nodes, so that the blockchain no longer relies on the central processing node to realize the distributed storage, recording and updating of data. Each blockchain follows a unified rule, which is based on a cryptographic algorithm rather than a credit certificate, and the data update process needs to be approved by the user, so that the blockchain does not need the endorsement of intermediaries and trust institutions< The characteristics of br> de centralization:
centralization is first reflected in diversification. In the Internet world, there are no more than several portals has the final say. Various websites have begun to voice their own voice, express different choices and different hobbies, and these websites are distributed in every corner of the Internet world. Br > decentralisation is followed by the centralization of people, and decentralisation of content has become a trend, and people have become the key force to determine the survival of websites. It's a great change to build a website with indivials who lack interaction to gather talents and contribute their wisdom in the form of a circle. That is user-oriented, humanized< < br > decentralized content: < br > decentralization is the form of social relationship and content generation formed in the development of the Internet, which is a new network content proction process relative to "centralization"< Br > compared with the early Internet (Web1.0) era, today's Web (Web2.0) content is no longer proced by professional websites or specific groups of people, but is created by all Internet users with equal rights. Anyone can express their views or create original content on the Internet to proce information together< Br > with the diversification of network service forms, the decentralized network model is becoming clearer and more possible. After the rise of Web2.0, the services provided by Wikipedia, Flickr, blogger and other network service providers are decentralized. Any participant can submit content, and Internet users can create or contribute content together< After that, with the emergence of more simple and easy-to-use decentralized network services, the characteristics of Web2.0 became more and more obvious. For example, the birth of services more suitable for ordinary Internet users, such as twitter and Facebook, made it easier and more diversified to proce or contribute content to the Internet, thus enhancing the enthusiasm of Internet users to participate in the contribution and recing the threshold of procing content. Eventually, every netizen becomes a tiny and independent information provider, making the Internet more flat and content proction more diversified.
centralization is first reflected in diversification. In the Internet world, there are no more than several portals has the final say. Various websites have begun to voice their own voice, express different choices and different hobbies, and these websites are distributed in every corner of the Internet world. Br > decentralisation is followed by the centralization of people, and decentralisation of content has become a trend, and people have become the key force to determine the survival of websites. It's a great change to build a website with indivials who lack interaction to gather talents and contribute their wisdom in the form of a circle. That is user-oriented, humanized< < br > decentralized content: < br > decentralization is the form of social relationship and content generation formed in the development of the Internet, which is a new network content proction process relative to "centralization"< Br > compared with the early Internet (Web1.0) era, today's Web (Web2.0) content is no longer proced by professional websites or specific groups of people, but is created by all Internet users with equal rights. Anyone can express their views or create original content on the Internet to proce information together< Br > with the diversification of network service forms, the decentralized network model is becoming clearer and more possible. After the rise of Web2.0, the services provided by Wikipedia, Flickr, blogger and other network service providers are decentralized. Any participant can submit content, and Internet users can create or contribute content together< After that, with the emergence of more simple and easy-to-use decentralized network services, the characteristics of Web2.0 became more and more obvious. For example, the birth of services more suitable for ordinary Internet users, such as twitter and Facebook, made it easier and more diversified to proce or contribute content to the Internet, thus enhancing the enthusiasm of Internet users to participate in the contribution and recing the threshold of procing content. Eventually, every netizen becomes a tiny and independent information provider, making the Internet more flat and content proction more diversified.
2.
With the growth of age, time starts to pass faster and faster, and this year is also the last year of my two words. Standing at a new starting point of 30 years, looking back, I have 30 years of history. I can also think of a friend when I was a child and sigh: "we have known each other for more than 20 years." This should be a kind of thin and thick feeling
who said hobbies can't proce RMB! Wireless is always possible on the road of dream! Goodbye, 2017! 2018, come on
3. For the real estate instry, what ordinary people care about most is the housing price. For professionals, the housing price is only a small part. They will analyze the past and future of the real estate market. So in the end 10 years later, what will be the trend of the domestic property market
1. The houses in big cities are becoming more and more capitalized
in the first tier cities and about 10 second tier cities, the properties in their central areas will be increasingly capitalized, and the investors will be globalized and nationalized. In small and medium-sized cities, especially in cities with population loss, houses will return to the original properties of residence, office and commerce. For most Chinese, the most painful days of housing are over. After 95 of the majority of the city, their youth will no longer be squeezed by housing. This is the biggest welfare that the real estate bubble brings to us. Shqinyy
2. The housing price gap between cities will be greater
the government has always wanted to achieve the balanced development of large, medium and small cities in the process of urbanization. However, e to the unbalanced allocation of public resources, development opportunities are more concentrated in the capital, municipalities directly under the central government, provincial capitals and special zones, so the "Matthew effect" in urban development will become increasingly obvious
in the past five years, China has formed six population growth centers, namely, Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen, as well as their surrounding cities“ "Three small" are Zhengzhou, Changsha and "Xiamen + Quanzhou". In terms of capital increment, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Cheng, Hangzhou and Nanjing have become star cities. In these places, urban housing prices will be supported by people and money
3. It is difficult for big cities to "decentralize"
most cities in Europe and America have the trend of decentralization. At present, China's mega cities are all facing the pressure of traffic and environment. It has become a dream for many people to have a multi center city. But China's national condition is that the per capita cultivated land is small and the land is nationalized. The state is delimiting the boundaries of big cities to prevent unrestricted occupation of land
in addition, public resources can not be evenly distributed, so it is very difficult to go to the central area. On the contrary, the development of mobile Internet technology is making a new change in transportation: if there are 1.5 million taxis and special cars in a city like Beijing, there is no need for private cars. In this way, the traffic deadlock of the city will be opened, and the significance of decentralization will be small< 4. Counter urbanization is difficult to appear
many countries will appear counter urbanization after full urbanization. That is to say, city people go to the countryside to buy land and build villas. In the next 10 to 20 years, it will be very difficult for China to have such a situation. Because there are more Chinese people and less arable land, the land is owned by the state. In addition, the unbalanced distribution of public resources also makes people living in rural areas inconvenient and unsafe
5. Shops are facing revaluation
1. The houses in big cities are becoming more and more capitalized
in the first tier cities and about 10 second tier cities, the properties in their central areas will be increasingly capitalized, and the investors will be globalized and nationalized. In small and medium-sized cities, especially in cities with population loss, houses will return to the original properties of residence, office and commerce. For most Chinese, the most painful days of housing are over. After 95 of the majority of the city, their youth will no longer be squeezed by housing. This is the biggest welfare that the real estate bubble brings to us. Shqinyy
2. The housing price gap between cities will be greater
the government has always wanted to achieve the balanced development of large, medium and small cities in the process of urbanization. However, e to the unbalanced allocation of public resources, development opportunities are more concentrated in the capital, municipalities directly under the central government, provincial capitals and special zones, so the "Matthew effect" in urban development will become increasingly obvious
in the past five years, China has formed six population growth centers, namely, Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen, as well as their surrounding cities“ "Three small" are Zhengzhou, Changsha and "Xiamen + Quanzhou". In terms of capital increment, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Cheng, Hangzhou and Nanjing have become star cities. In these places, urban housing prices will be supported by people and money
3. It is difficult for big cities to "decentralize"
most cities in Europe and America have the trend of decentralization. At present, China's mega cities are all facing the pressure of traffic and environment. It has become a dream for many people to have a multi center city. But China's national condition is that the per capita cultivated land is small and the land is nationalized. The state is delimiting the boundaries of big cities to prevent unrestricted occupation of land
in addition, public resources can not be evenly distributed, so it is very difficult to go to the central area. On the contrary, the development of mobile Internet technology is making a new change in transportation: if there are 1.5 million taxis and special cars in a city like Beijing, there is no need for private cars. In this way, the traffic deadlock of the city will be opened, and the significance of decentralization will be small< 4. Counter urbanization is difficult to appear
many countries will appear counter urbanization after full urbanization. That is to say, city people go to the countryside to buy land and build villas. In the next 10 to 20 years, it will be very difficult for China to have such a situation. Because there are more Chinese people and less arable land, the land is owned by the state. In addition, the unbalanced distribution of public resources also makes people living in rural areas inconvenient and unsafe
5. Shops are facing revaluation
4.
1. The price gap between cities will be bigger. As public resources can not be allocated in a balanced way, development opportunities are more concentrated in the capital, municipalities directly under the central government, provincial capitals and special zones, and the "Matthew effect" in urban development will become increasingly obvious. In the past five years, China has formed six population growth centers, namely, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and their surrounding cities“ "Three small" are Zhengzhou, Changsha and "Xiamen + Quanzhou". In terms of capital increment, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Cheng, Hangzhou and Nanjing have become star cities. In these places, the house price will be supported by people and money
The houses in big cities are becoming more and more assets. First tier cities, as well as about 10 strong second tier cities, the property in their central areas will be increasingly capitalized, and investors will be globalized and nationalized. In small and medium-sized cities, especially in cities with population loss, houses will return to the original properties of residence, office and commerce. For most Chinese, the most painful days of housing are over. After 95 of the majority of the city, their youth will no longer be squeezed by housing. This is the biggest welfare that the real estate bubble brings to us. p> Small house will be mechanized. The small apartment with an area of 20 square meters will evolve into a sophisticated instrument, which can be folded and opened to create rich life scenes. Developers are more and more like manufacturers of passenger planes and cruise ships It is very difficult to appear reverse urbanization. In the next 10 to 20 years, it will be popular for city dwellers to buy land and build villas in rural areas? It is very difficult for China to have such a situation. Because there are more people and less land in China, the land is owned by the state; The unbalanced distribution of public resources also makes rural life inconvenient and unsafe It is difficult for big cities to "decentralize". The state is delimiting the boundaries of big cities to prevent unrestricted occupation of land. In addition, public resources can not be evenly distributed, so it is very difficult to go to the central area6. Shops are facing revaluation. Street shops in traditional commercial districts may be the most dangerous asset, because the unit price is too high“ It's becoming more and more difficult for one shop to support three generations. "Three generations support one shop" will happen at any time
The prices of office buildings and residential buildings will be inverted for a long time. In the Internet age, it is popular to work at home, in scattered places and in suburbs, and the "rigid demand" of office buildings is insufficient. In the future, the first choice for real estate investment is the residence in the central area of big cities. Of course, if you want cash flow, invest in good office buildings Real estate tax will be introced, but it has little impact on the market. Real estate tax is the source of local government tax. In the future, it will adjust measures to local conditions, but it will not be severe. First tier cities are bound to have the highest property tax rate. Overall, property tax has little effect on house prices The family planning policy will be adjusted graally, but it has little influence on the real estate market. It's just a matter of time. In the future, there may be more relaxed population policies. This has a long-term positive effect on the property market, but the effect may not be as big as expected, because the enthusiasm of young people in childbearing is declining. Sooner or later, the local government will announce that it will reward half a house for having one more child The housing prices in big cities are on the rise. China's urban model is totally different from that of the United States. We are stacked cities with high density and high concentration of population. Once this trend is formed, it is difficult to change. In cities with increasing population, it is difficult for housing prices to come down. In addition, the money supply of RMB has been on the high side for a long time, so house prices can only keep rising Real estate enterprises will die out and transform. In the end, there may be only about 100 large real estate enterprises left in China, and they are diversified. A large number of people will leave the instry for another way out12. "interconnection + real estate" bubble will break. With the approach of US dollar interest rate increase, the major adjustment of US stock market has begun. In China, the IPO registration system reform has been inevitably delayed e to the stock disaster, which makes the crazy PE and VC investment in the past two years face the exit dilemma. 2016 is probably a "Internet plus" full of ebb tide. Internet plus real estate enterprises run out of ammunition will run out of ammunition and food supplies. But the Internet's reshaping of real estate will not stop
(the above answers were published on November 19, 2015, and the current relevant purchase policies are subject to the actual situation)
to buy a new house, you can go to Sohu Focus website
5. The operation mode of network gold can be included in the category of pyramid selling. Its operation mode is: network pyramid selling + illegal fund-raising + recruiting. This mode itself is not desirable and deviates from the normal investment market and profit model
moreover, the online gold EDG itself has no value significance, and its value is self hyped, so it is worthless in real life. Those so-called websites that can exchange money are all privately supported websites, when they may suddenly be unable to exchange money, and there is no bank recognition. To put it bluntly, a group of people first invent this proct, then hold a large amount of it in their own hands, and then resell it back and forth internally, giving the market a very hot feeling, pushing the price up step by step, and then attracting outside investors to take over the offer. What is worthless in itself is sold at a sky high price. This kind of investment will undoubtedly make a profit from the fire, and the state will not admit that if something goes wrong, the investors will lose all their money
personal point of view, pure hand look to adopt, thank you
moreover, the online gold EDG itself has no value significance, and its value is self hyped, so it is worthless in real life. Those so-called websites that can exchange money are all privately supported websites, when they may suddenly be unable to exchange money, and there is no bank recognition. To put it bluntly, a group of people first invent this proct, then hold a large amount of it in their own hands, and then resell it back and forth internally, giving the market a very hot feeling, pushing the price up step by step, and then attracting outside investors to take over the offer. What is worthless in itself is sold at a sky high price. This kind of investment will undoubtedly make a profit from the fire, and the state will not admit that if something goes wrong, the investors will lose all their money
personal point of view, pure hand look to adopt, thank you
6.
Half of 2016 has passed. In the first half of the year, the property market is busy with the setting of destocking. What's the trend of the property market in the second half of the year
1. The gap of housing price between cities will be bigger
e to the unbalanced allocation of public resources, more development opportunities are concentrated in the capital, municipalities, provincial capitals and special zones, and the "Matthew effect" in urban development will become increasingly obvious
in the past five years, China has formed six population growth centers, namely, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and their surrounding cities“ "Three small" are Zhengzhou, Changsha and "Xiamen + Quanzhou". In terms of capital increment, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Cheng, Hangzhou and Nanjing have become star cities. In these places, the house price will be supported by people and money
2. The houses in big cities are becoming more and more capitalized.
in the first tier cities and about 10 second tier cities, the properties in their central areas will become more and more capitalized, and the investors will be globalized and nationalized. In small and medium-sized cities, especially in cities with population loss, houses will return to the original properties of residence, office and commerce. For most Chinese, the most painful days of housing are over. After 95 of the majority of the city, their youth will no longer be squeezed by housing. This is the biggest welfare that the real estate bubble brings to us. p>
3. The small apartment will be mechanized, and the small apartment with an area of less than 20 square meters will evolve into a precise instrument, which can create rich life scenes by folding and opening. Developers are more and more like manufacturers of passenger planes and cruise ships
In the next 10 to 20 years, it will be popular for urban people to buy land and build villas in rural areas? It is very difficult for China to have such a situation. Because there are more people and less land in China, the land is owned by the state; The unbalanced distribution of public resources also makes rural life inconvenient and unsafe5. It is difficult for big cities to "decentralize"
the state is delimiting the boundaries of big cities to prevent unrestricted occupation of land. In addition, public resources can not be evenly distributed, so it is very difficult to go to the central area
6. Shops are faced with revaluation
street shops in traditional commercial districts may be the most dangerous assets, because the unit price is too high“ It's becoming more and more difficult for one shop to support three generations. "Three generations support one shop" will happen at any time
The prices of office buildings and residential buildings will be inverted for a long time. In the future, the first choice for real estate investment is the residence in the central area of big cities. Of course, if you want cash flow, invest in good office buildings Real estate tax will be introced, but it has little impact on the market. First tier cities are bound to have the highest property tax rate. Overall, property tax has little effect on house prices The family planning policy will be graally adjusted, but it has little impact on the property market. In the future, there may be more relaxed population policies. This has a long-term positive effect on the property market, but the effect may not be as big as expected, because the enthusiasm of young people in childbearing is declining. Sooner or later, the local government will announce that it will reward half a house for having one more child10. The housing prices in big cities are rising
China's urban model is completely different from that of the United States. We are stacked cities with high density and high concentration of population. Once this trend is formed, it is difficult to change. In cities with increasing population, it is difficult for housing prices to come down. In addition, the money supply of RMB has been on the high side for a long time, so house prices can only keep rising
In the end, there may be only about 100 large real estate enterprises in China, and they are diversified. A large number of people will leave the instry for another way out12, "interconnection and real estate" bubble will break
. With the increase of US dollar interest rate, the US stock market big adjustment has begun. In China, the IPO registration system reform has been inevitably delayed e to the stock disaster, which makes the crazy PE and VC investment in the past two years face the exit dilemma. 2016 is probably a "Internet plus" full of ebb tide. Internet plus real estate enterprises run out of ammunition will run out of ammunition and food supplies. But the Internet's reshaping of real estate will not stop
(the above answers were published on June 30, 2016, and the current relevant purchase policies are subject to the actual situation)
Click to view more comprehensive, more timely and more accurate new house information
7. What's the trend of house prices in the next 10 years
1. The housing price gap between cities will be greater
the government has always wanted to achieve the balanced development of large, medium and small cities in the process of urbanization. However, e to the unbalanced allocation of public resources, development opportunities are more concentrated in the capital, municipalities directly under the central government, provincial capitals and special zones, so the "Matthew effect" in urban development will become increasingly obvious. In the past five years, China has formed six population growth centers, namely, Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen, as well as their surrounding cities“ "Three small" are Zhengzhou, Changsha and "Xiamen + Quanzhou"
2. With the increasing capitalization of housing in big cities, the properties in the central areas of first tier cities and about 10 second tier cities will be increasingly capitalized, and the investors will be global and nationwide. In small and medium-sized cities, especially in cities with population loss, houses will return to the original properties of residence, office and commerce. For most Chinese, the most painful days of housing are over. After 95 of the majority of the city, their youth will no longer be squeezed by housing. This is the biggest welfare that the real estate bubble brings to us.
3. Counter urbanization is difficult to appear
many countries will appear counter urbanization after full urbanization. That is to say, city people go to the countryside to buy land and build villas. In the next 10 to 20 years, it will be very difficult for China to have such a situation. Because there are more Chinese people and less arable land, the land is owned by the state. In addition, the unbalanced distribution of public resources also makes people living in rural areas inconvenient and unsafe< 4. It is difficult for big cities to "decentralize"
most cities in Europe and the United States have the trend of decentralization. At present, China's mega cities are all facing the pressure of traffic and environment. It has become a dream for many people to have a multi center city. But China's national condition is that the per capita cultivated land is small and the land is nationalized. The state is delimiting the boundaries of big cities to prevent unrestricted occupation of land. In addition, public resources can not be evenly distributed, so it is very difficult to go to the central area
5. Shops are faced with value revaluation
the biggest problem that shops are facing is that traditional shopping is increasingly replaced by online shopping, and only "experiential consumption" (catering, film, training, skating rink) is left to support the value of shops. Street shops in traditional commercial districts may be the most dangerous asset, because the unit price is too high. In addition, it is a complex of suburbs and new areas of cities with population loss“ It is more and more difficult to support three generations in one shop. The tragedy of "three generations support one shop" happens at any time< However, it has little impact on the market.
e to the inflection point of real estate in most cities, in order to stabilize the growth, the state is unlikely to introce a strict real estate tax. Real estate tax is the tax source of local governments. In the future, it will be adjusted to local conditions, with different tax rates and tax rection policies. First tier cities are bound to have the highest property tax rate. Overall, property tax has little effect on house prices.
1. The housing price gap between cities will be greater
the government has always wanted to achieve the balanced development of large, medium and small cities in the process of urbanization. However, e to the unbalanced allocation of public resources, development opportunities are more concentrated in the capital, municipalities directly under the central government, provincial capitals and special zones, so the "Matthew effect" in urban development will become increasingly obvious. In the past five years, China has formed six population growth centers, namely, Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen, as well as their surrounding cities“ "Three small" are Zhengzhou, Changsha and "Xiamen + Quanzhou"
2. With the increasing capitalization of housing in big cities, the properties in the central areas of first tier cities and about 10 second tier cities will be increasingly capitalized, and the investors will be global and nationwide. In small and medium-sized cities, especially in cities with population loss, houses will return to the original properties of residence, office and commerce. For most Chinese, the most painful days of housing are over. After 95 of the majority of the city, their youth will no longer be squeezed by housing. This is the biggest welfare that the real estate bubble brings to us.
3. Counter urbanization is difficult to appear
many countries will appear counter urbanization after full urbanization. That is to say, city people go to the countryside to buy land and build villas. In the next 10 to 20 years, it will be very difficult for China to have such a situation. Because there are more Chinese people and less arable land, the land is owned by the state. In addition, the unbalanced distribution of public resources also makes people living in rural areas inconvenient and unsafe< 4. It is difficult for big cities to "decentralize"
most cities in Europe and the United States have the trend of decentralization. At present, China's mega cities are all facing the pressure of traffic and environment. It has become a dream for many people to have a multi center city. But China's national condition is that the per capita cultivated land is small and the land is nationalized. The state is delimiting the boundaries of big cities to prevent unrestricted occupation of land. In addition, public resources can not be evenly distributed, so it is very difficult to go to the central area
5. Shops are faced with value revaluation
the biggest problem that shops are facing is that traditional shopping is increasingly replaced by online shopping, and only "experiential consumption" (catering, film, training, skating rink) is left to support the value of shops. Street shops in traditional commercial districts may be the most dangerous asset, because the unit price is too high. In addition, it is a complex of suburbs and new areas of cities with population loss“ It is more and more difficult to support three generations in one shop. The tragedy of "three generations support one shop" happens at any time< However, it has little impact on the market.
e to the inflection point of real estate in most cities, in order to stabilize the growth, the state is unlikely to introce a strict real estate tax. Real estate tax is the tax source of local governments. In the future, it will be adjusted to local conditions, with different tax rates and tax rection policies. First tier cities are bound to have the highest property tax rate. Overall, property tax has little effect on house prices.
8. First tier cities have great potential for rising. In Beijing, house prices only rise slowly and quickly, but not without rising. Second tier cities depend on whether local policies have housing support. I have seen many encouraging policies in Qing before. You may as well check them
in 2014, the "macro-control" was loosened, and house prices continued to fall. In 2015, the market rescue policy continued, and house prices stopped falling and rebounded. The property market has come to a crossroads. There are risks in the stock market. If funds need to be transferred, will the property market become the next battlefield
in 2014, the "macro-control" was loosened, and house prices continued to fall. In 2015, the market rescue policy continued, and house prices stopped falling and rebounded. The property market has come to a crossroads. There are risks in the stock market. If funds need to be transferred, will the property market become the next battlefield< On August 31, the Ministry of housing and urban rural development and other three ministries jointly issued a document to lower the threshold of provident fund loans. According to the document, for those who pay off the provident fund loan for the first house and apply for the provident fund loan again to buy the second house, the down payment ratio will be reced to 20%. The policy has continued the "9? Since the "30" new deal, the policy theme of "recing costs and increasing leverage" to encourage self occupied and improved housing demand has also continued the policy choice of provident fund as the "main force" to support the real estate market
the main purpose of this large-scale adjustment of the provident fund policy is to achieve "de Stocking" in the third and fourth tier cities by stimulating the demand for improved housing
as the future of the property market is still uncertain, many people are very confused about whether to buy a house now or later. Let's take you to understand the 12 trends of China's property market in the future, and see if it's the right time to buy a house now
first, the price gap between cities will be greater
the government has always wanted to achieve the balanced development of large, medium and small cities in the process of urbanization. However, e to the unbalanced allocation of public resources, development opportunities are more concentrated in the capital, municipalities directly under the central government, provincial capitals and special zones, so the "Matthew effect" in urban development will become increasingly obvious
in the past five years, China has formed six population growth centers, namely, Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen, as well as their surrounding cities“ "Three small" are Zhengzhou, Changsha and "Xiamen + Quanzhou". In terms of capital increment, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Cheng, Hangzhou and Nanjing have become star cities. In these places, the house price will be supported by people and money
2. The houses in big cities are becoming more and more capitalized
in the first tier cities and about 10 second tier cities, the properties in their central areas will become more and more capitalized, and the investors will be globalized and nationalized. In small and medium-sized cities, especially in cities with population loss, houses will return to the original properties of residence, office and commerce. For most Chinese, the most painful days of housing are over. After 95 of the majority of the city, their youth will no longer be squeezed by housing. This is the biggest welfare that the real estate bubble brings to us.
3. Small house types will be mechanized
in the central area of big cities, mechanized small house types will rise. The small apartment with an area of 20 square meters will evolve into a sophisticated instrument, which can be folded and opened to create rich life scenes. Developers, more and more like aircraft, cruise ship manufacturers
4. Counter urbanization is difficult to appear
many countries will appear counter urbanization after full urbanization. That is to say, city people go to the countryside to buy land and build villas. In the next 10 to 20 years, it will be very difficult for China to have such a situation. Because there are more Chinese people and less arable land, the land is owned by the state. In addition, the unbalanced distribution of public resources also makes people living in rural areas inconvenient and unsafe
5. It is difficult for big cities to "decentralize"
most cities in Europe and the United States have the trend of decentralization. At present, China's mega cities are all facing the pressure of traffic and environment. It has become a dream for many people to have a multi center city. But China's national condition is that the per capita cultivated land is small and the land is nationalized. The state is delimiting the boundaries of big cities to prevent unrestricted occupation of land. In addition, public resources can not be evenly distributed, so it is very difficult to go to the central area. On the contrary, the development of mobile Internet technology is making a new change in transportation: if there are 1.5 million taxis and special cars in a city like Beijing, there is no need for private cars. In this way, the traffic deadlock of the city will be opened, and the significance of decentralization will be small
6. Shops are faced with value revaluation
the biggest problem that shops are facing is that "bag consumption" (clothing, shoes and hats, home appliances, etc.) is increasingly replaced by online shopping, and only "experiential consumption" (catering, film, training, skating rink) is left to support the value of shops. Street shops in traditional commercial districts may be the most dangerous asset, because the unit price is too high. In addition, it is a complex of suburbs and new areas of cities with population loss“ It is more and more difficult to support three generations in one shop. The tragedy of "three generations support one shop" happens at any time
7. The prices of office buildings and residential buildings will be inverted for a long time
in the first tier cities, there has always been a phenomenon that the residential buildings and office buildings (including business apartments) of the same location and grade are more expensive. Why? There are three reasons: first, commercial property basically does not have a degree, can not be registered; Second, the commercial property land use life is short; Third, management fees, high water and electricity prices, generally can not pass gas
in the Internet age, home office, scattered office and suburban office are becoming fashionable, and the "just need color" of office buildings is insufficient. A person in the office, may only need 3 square meters is enough, but the demand for residential area is more. In the future, this phenomenon will continue, and the first choice for real estate investment is the residential buildings in the central area of big cities. Of course, if you want plenty of cash flow, invest in good office buildings
8. The real estate tax will be introced, but it has little impact on the market
e to the inflection point of the real estate in most cities, in order to stabilize the growth, the state is unlikely to introce a strict real estate tax. Real estate tax is the tax source of local governments. In the future, it will be adjusted to local conditions, with different tax rates and tax rection policies. First tier cities are bound to have the highest property tax rate. Overall, property tax has little effect on house prices
9. The family planning policy will be graally adjusted, but it has little impact on the property market
there is no suspense about the full liberalization of the second child policy, it is just a matter of time. In the future, there may be more relaxed population policies. Otherwise, China will face a severe population crisis (over aging, labor shortage) in decades. This has a long-term positive effect on the property market, but the effect may not be as great as expected, because the cost of childbearing is getting higher and higher, and the enthusiasm of young people in childbearing is declining, which is also the trend of the world. Sooner or later, the local government will announce that it will reward half a house for having one more child
10. House prices in big cities: rising
China's urban model is completely different from that of the United States. We are stacked cities with high density and high concentration of population. Once this trend is formed, it is difficult to change. It is impossible for Chinese people to live a life of "driving for 10 minutes to buy a toothbrush". Therefore, it is difficult for housing prices to fall in cities with increasing population. In addition, the money supply of RMB has been on the high side for a long time, so house prices can only keep rising
in US dollar terms, house prices in China's big cities may fluctuate, repeat or even fall in the next few years. But in terms of RMB, the general trend of house prices is rising. In other words, a big factor is currency depreciation
11. A large number of real estate enterprises will die out and transform.
numerous experts once said that China's real estate market is on the run. The escape routes include: escaping from the third and fourth tier cities, escaping from the suburbs, escaping from high debt, escaping to diversification, and escaping overseas. Now it seems that it has come true. In the next 10 years, this trend will continue, and a large number of small and medium-sized real estate enterprises will be acquired, transformed or died. In the end, there may be only about 100 large real estate enterprises left in China, and they are diversified. A large number of people will leave the instry for another way out
12 and the "interconnection and real estate" bubble will break the new wave of
what is the situation? Is housing prices going to "revive"? What about good regulation
in fact, in the first half of this year, the sales volume of commercial housing in China rebounded from the bottom. The rise of sales volume will inevitably lead to the rise of prices. In addition, the stock market soared in the early stage, and many people turned to the real estate market for profits, so the rise of house prices seems to be taken for granted< According to the report issued by the central bank, the turnover of commercial housing in China has stabilized and rebounded, the number of cities with rising house prices has increased, the growth rate of real estate development investment has continued to decline, and real estate loans have grown steadily and rapidly
rising house prices can not restrain consumers' desire to buy. In the first half of the year, the sales area of commercial housing was 500 million square meters, with a year-on-year growth of 3.9%. Housing prices in the first and second tier cities rose significantly. In terms of price, the average transaction price of the first and second tier cities reached a record high. Due to the heavy task of destocking in the third tier cities, the average transaction price of the first and second tier cities fell slightly month on month. In terms of trading volume, the trading volume of first tier cities increased the most year-on-year and month on month in the second quarter, reaching a record high
the first tier cities are the "leaders" of house price rise in the second quarter of this year. On the one hand, the continuous narrowing of the de inventory cycle has brought about the release of de inventory pressure in the real estate market, and real estate enterprises have taken the initiative to raise prices. For some luxury procts, the better volume will also promote its price. On the other hand, with the continuous change of market expectations, the first-line real estate market is still generally optimistic, which will also bring the price rise of the real estate market
in the near stage, the stock market seems to have planted land for the property market. Relevant experts said that "the property market is the harvester of the stock market". For investors with huge profits in the stock market, the soaring market also means that the risk is increasing. Coupled with the long-standing cognitive tradition of Chinese people on real estate, it is an inevitable choice to appropriately cash out the profitable funds for high-quality real estate investment. Stimulated by all kinds of favorable policies, it is expected that the market turnover will still be considerable in the second half of the year
What do you think of the future property market
for the real estate market in the second half of the year, experts believe that the first tier cities will face the risk of price rising in the second half of the year. On the one hand, the price rise will bring the rise of market turnover, but on the other hand, it will also interfere with market expectations, and even speed up the introction of investment speculation demand, which will make the purchase cost of just need buyers rise
the obvious recovery of the property market has something in common with the stock market, as well as the factors of policy bull market and financial bull market
in 2014, the "macro-control" was loosened, and house prices continued to fall. In 2015, the market rescue policy continued, and house prices stopped falling and rebounded. The property market has come to a crossroads. There are risks in the stock market. If funds need to be transferred, will the property market become the next battlefield
in 2014, the "macro-control" was loosened, and house prices continued to fall. In 2015, the market rescue policy continued, and house prices stopped falling and rebounded. The property market has come to a crossroads. There are risks in the stock market. If funds need to be transferred, will the property market become the next battlefield< On August 31, the Ministry of housing and urban rural development and other three ministries jointly issued a document to lower the threshold of provident fund loans. According to the document, for those who pay off the provident fund loan for the first house and apply for the provident fund loan again to buy the second house, the down payment ratio will be reced to 20%. The policy has continued the "9? Since the "30" new deal, the policy theme of "recing costs and increasing leverage" to encourage self occupied and improved housing demand has also continued the policy choice of provident fund as the "main force" to support the real estate market
the main purpose of this large-scale adjustment of the provident fund policy is to achieve "de Stocking" in the third and fourth tier cities by stimulating the demand for improved housing
as the future of the property market is still uncertain, many people are very confused about whether to buy a house now or later. Let's take you to understand the 12 trends of China's property market in the future, and see if it's the right time to buy a house now
first, the price gap between cities will be greater
the government has always wanted to achieve the balanced development of large, medium and small cities in the process of urbanization. However, e to the unbalanced allocation of public resources, development opportunities are more concentrated in the capital, municipalities directly under the central government, provincial capitals and special zones, so the "Matthew effect" in urban development will become increasingly obvious
in the past five years, China has formed six population growth centers, namely, Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen, as well as their surrounding cities“ "Three small" are Zhengzhou, Changsha and "Xiamen + Quanzhou". In terms of capital increment, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Cheng, Hangzhou and Nanjing have become star cities. In these places, the house price will be supported by people and money
2. The houses in big cities are becoming more and more capitalized
in the first tier cities and about 10 second tier cities, the properties in their central areas will become more and more capitalized, and the investors will be globalized and nationalized. In small and medium-sized cities, especially in cities with population loss, houses will return to the original properties of residence, office and commerce. For most Chinese, the most painful days of housing are over. After 95 of the majority of the city, their youth will no longer be squeezed by housing. This is the biggest welfare that the real estate bubble brings to us.
3. Small house types will be mechanized
in the central area of big cities, mechanized small house types will rise. The small apartment with an area of 20 square meters will evolve into a sophisticated instrument, which can be folded and opened to create rich life scenes. Developers, more and more like aircraft, cruise ship manufacturers
4. Counter urbanization is difficult to appear
many countries will appear counter urbanization after full urbanization. That is to say, city people go to the countryside to buy land and build villas. In the next 10 to 20 years, it will be very difficult for China to have such a situation. Because there are more Chinese people and less arable land, the land is owned by the state. In addition, the unbalanced distribution of public resources also makes people living in rural areas inconvenient and unsafe
5. It is difficult for big cities to "decentralize"
most cities in Europe and the United States have the trend of decentralization. At present, China's mega cities are all facing the pressure of traffic and environment. It has become a dream for many people to have a multi center city. But China's national condition is that the per capita cultivated land is small and the land is nationalized. The state is delimiting the boundaries of big cities to prevent unrestricted occupation of land. In addition, public resources can not be evenly distributed, so it is very difficult to go to the central area. On the contrary, the development of mobile Internet technology is making a new change in transportation: if there are 1.5 million taxis and special cars in a city like Beijing, there is no need for private cars. In this way, the traffic deadlock of the city will be opened, and the significance of decentralization will be small
6. Shops are faced with value revaluation
the biggest problem that shops are facing is that "bag consumption" (clothing, shoes and hats, home appliances, etc.) is increasingly replaced by online shopping, and only "experiential consumption" (catering, film, training, skating rink) is left to support the value of shops. Street shops in traditional commercial districts may be the most dangerous asset, because the unit price is too high. In addition, it is a complex of suburbs and new areas of cities with population loss“ It is more and more difficult to support three generations in one shop. The tragedy of "three generations support one shop" happens at any time
7. The prices of office buildings and residential buildings will be inverted for a long time
in the first tier cities, there has always been a phenomenon that the residential buildings and office buildings (including business apartments) of the same location and grade are more expensive. Why? There are three reasons: first, commercial property basically does not have a degree, can not be registered; Second, the commercial property land use life is short; Third, management fees, high water and electricity prices, generally can not pass gas
in the Internet age, home office, scattered office and suburban office are becoming fashionable, and the "just need color" of office buildings is insufficient. A person in the office, may only need 3 square meters is enough, but the demand for residential area is more. In the future, this phenomenon will continue, and the first choice for real estate investment is the residential buildings in the central area of big cities. Of course, if you want plenty of cash flow, invest in good office buildings
8. The real estate tax will be introced, but it has little impact on the market
e to the inflection point of the real estate in most cities, in order to stabilize the growth, the state is unlikely to introce a strict real estate tax. Real estate tax is the tax source of local governments. In the future, it will be adjusted to local conditions, with different tax rates and tax rection policies. First tier cities are bound to have the highest property tax rate. Overall, property tax has little effect on house prices
9. The family planning policy will be graally adjusted, but it has little impact on the property market
there is no suspense about the full liberalization of the second child policy, it is just a matter of time. In the future, there may be more relaxed population policies. Otherwise, China will face a severe population crisis (over aging, labor shortage) in decades. This has a long-term positive effect on the property market, but the effect may not be as great as expected, because the cost of childbearing is getting higher and higher, and the enthusiasm of young people in childbearing is declining, which is also the trend of the world. Sooner or later, the local government will announce that it will reward half a house for having one more child
10. House prices in big cities: rising
China's urban model is completely different from that of the United States. We are stacked cities with high density and high concentration of population. Once this trend is formed, it is difficult to change. It is impossible for Chinese people to live a life of "driving for 10 minutes to buy a toothbrush". Therefore, it is difficult for housing prices to fall in cities with increasing population. In addition, the money supply of RMB has been on the high side for a long time, so house prices can only keep rising
in US dollar terms, house prices in China's big cities may fluctuate, repeat or even fall in the next few years. But in terms of RMB, the general trend of house prices is rising. In other words, a big factor is currency depreciation
11. A large number of real estate enterprises will die out and transform.
numerous experts once said that China's real estate market is on the run. The escape routes include: escaping from the third and fourth tier cities, escaping from the suburbs, escaping from high debt, escaping to diversification, and escaping overseas. Now it seems that it has come true. In the next 10 years, this trend will continue, and a large number of small and medium-sized real estate enterprises will be acquired, transformed or died. In the end, there may be only about 100 large real estate enterprises left in China, and they are diversified. A large number of people will leave the instry for another way out
12 and the "interconnection and real estate" bubble will break the new wave of
what is the situation? Is housing prices going to "revive"? What about good regulation
in fact, in the first half of this year, the sales volume of commercial housing in China rebounded from the bottom. The rise of sales volume will inevitably lead to the rise of prices. In addition, the stock market soared in the early stage, and many people turned to the real estate market for profits, so the rise of house prices seems to be taken for granted< According to the report issued by the central bank, the turnover of commercial housing in China has stabilized and rebounded, the number of cities with rising house prices has increased, the growth rate of real estate development investment has continued to decline, and real estate loans have grown steadily and rapidly
rising house prices can not restrain consumers' desire to buy. In the first half of the year, the sales area of commercial housing was 500 million square meters, with a year-on-year growth of 3.9%. Housing prices in the first and second tier cities rose significantly. In terms of price, the average transaction price of the first and second tier cities reached a record high. Due to the heavy task of destocking in the third tier cities, the average transaction price of the first and second tier cities fell slightly month on month. In terms of trading volume, the trading volume of first tier cities increased the most year-on-year and month on month in the second quarter, reaching a record high
the first tier cities are the "leaders" of house price rise in the second quarter of this year. On the one hand, the continuous narrowing of the de inventory cycle has brought about the release of de inventory pressure in the real estate market, and real estate enterprises have taken the initiative to raise prices. For some luxury procts, the better volume will also promote its price. On the other hand, with the continuous change of market expectations, the first-line real estate market is still generally optimistic, which will also bring the price rise of the real estate market
in the near stage, the stock market seems to have planted land for the property market. Relevant experts said that "the property market is the harvester of the stock market". For investors with huge profits in the stock market, the soaring market also means that the risk is increasing. Coupled with the long-standing cognitive tradition of Chinese people on real estate, it is an inevitable choice to appropriately cash out the profitable funds for high-quality real estate investment. Stimulated by all kinds of favorable policies, it is expected that the market turnover will still be considerable in the second half of the year
What do you think of the future property market
for the real estate market in the second half of the year, experts believe that the first tier cities will face the risk of price rising in the second half of the year. On the one hand, the price rise will bring the rise of market turnover, but on the other hand, it will also interfere with market expectations, and even speed up the introction of investment speculation demand, which will make the purchase cost of just need buyers rise
the obvious recovery of the property market has something in common with the stock market, as well as the factors of policy bull market and financial bull market
Hot content