Global prospect of blockchain Technology
What is the prospect of blockchain technology? The following is just personal experience and opinions, for reference and learning only
I have been in touch with the blockchain instry for many years, and I have my own views and understanding from its ups and downs. I personally think blockchain technology is still very good. The reasons are as follows:
first, blockchain technology as a rookie after the Internet, the Internet is the transmission of information, and blockchain is the exchange of value. The development trend of blockchain is similar to that of Internet
2. After the blockchain has gone through great waves and been widely misunderstood, there are still many blockchain explorers and practitioners in the instry making continuous efforts
Third, with the attention of the country and other countries to the blockchain instry, governments all over the country have set up blockchain development funds to promote the development of the local blockchain instry, so as to occupy the highland of the blockchain instry Fourthly, the Internet of things is the development trend in the future. In the face of the growing demand of the Internet of things ecosystem, the computing power of the central server is severely challenged, and decentralization becomes the key to solve this problemthe above content is only a new point of view, or it needs specific analysis of specific issues. After all, practice is the only standard to test the truth
in 2019, the market scale of China's blockchain instry will reach 1.2 billion yuan
in 2016, the market scale of China's blockchain instry will be about 100 million yuan, and it will grow to 1 billion yuan by 2018.
in 2019, the scale of China's blockchain instry will grow steadily, with an instrial scale of about 1.2 billion yuan. With the attention and attention of local governments, it is estimated that by 2022, the market scale of China's blockchain core procts and solutions and related derivative instries will reach 10 billion yuan
from the research results, in terms of consensus mechanism, China's consensus mechanism graally moves from single algorithm to mixed consensus; In terms of cryptographic algorithms, cryptographic algorithms such as secure multiparty computation, homomorphic encryption and zero knowledge proof are continuously integrated and applied; The research of cross chain technology and security technology has graally become a research hotspot
from the perspective of blockchain hardware, at present, the world's most important digital currency mining equipment suppliers are all located in China, and only bitmainland, Jianan Yun and Yibang technology occupy more than 90% of the market share
from the perspective of instry application, the financial instry is the instry with the largest number of blockchain technology implementation projects and the richest scenarios, such as supply chain finance, asset certificate aromatization, credit reference and risk control
in 2020, the blockchain instry will be further standardized
in 2020, China's blockchain policy will continue to be favorable, the standard specifications will be more perfect, the instrial scale will continue to grow, the technology will continue to innovate and develop, and the application demonstration effect in key fields will accelerate. At the same time, according to the problems existing in the development of China's blockchain in 2019, CCID blockchain Research Institute puts forward six suggestions: accelerating the formulation of top-level design, establishing and improving the regulatory system, accelerating the innovation and development of core technologies, promoting the third-party evaluation and certification, strengthening the cultivation of professional talents, and accelerating the implementation of applications in various fields
- the above data comes from the analysis report of China's blockchain instry market outlook and investment strategic planning of foresight Instry Research Institute
in the Internet era, there is a database behind every system. This database can be regarded as a large account book. In the past, the person who maintained the system was responsible for managing the database and recording the user's behavior, that is, bookkeeping. However, the blockchain is "decentralized", which allows every member of the system to participate in it, not only everyone bookkeeping, but also through links, Everyone can have a complete account book
"blockchain is essentially a collective recording mode. What's special is that it adopts a set of techniques in an ingenious way to realize the authenticity and credibility of the recorded results, which is difficult to destroy and tamper with. " Zhang Xiaorong said, "first, everyone has the right to record and authenticate with each other to distinguish the true from the false, which is called consensus mechanism; Second, no one can tamper with the records, because there are cryptographic signatures; Third, everyone has a , so even if some account books are damaged, the whole will not be affected. This is called distributed storage. The information recorded in this way is presented in block mode according to the time chain, so it is called blockchain. "
various cryptocurrencies represented by bitcoin are originally an application of blockchain technology, which can be described as blockchain version 1.0. However, around 2014, the instry began to realize the important value of blockchain technology. Blockchain graally separated from digital currency and applied to various economic and social fields other than digital currency
it has broad application prospects
blockchain technology is considered as a disruptive innovation after steam engine, electric power and Internet. If the steam engine and electricity liberate the proctivity, and the Internet has changed the way of information transmission, the blockchain, as a machine for building trust, may change the way of value transmission
for example, in the financial field, the cost of reconciliation, clearing and settlement between financial institutions, especially cross-border financial institutions, has always been very high, and there are complex manual processes. The application of blockchain technology can help rece the cost of reconciliation and dispute resolution between financial institutions, and significantly improve the processing speed and efficiency of payment business, It also makes small cross-border payments possible. In December 2017, China Merchants Bank completed the RMB position transfer business from Hongkong Wing Lung Bank to Shenzhen Branch of Wing Lung Bank. This is the world's first interbank cross-border RMB clearing business based on blockchain technology
in addition, according to the white paper 2016 on China's blockchain technology and application development issued by the Ministry of instry and information technology of China, the application of blockchain has been extended to medical and health, ecation, charity, social management and other fields. Taking the cultural instry as an example, the low cost of reproction, the high cost of safeguarding rights, and the difficulty of providing evidence make the protection of intellectual property rights a pain point for the instry. With blockchain, the proction, dissemination and transaction records of cultural procts are true, transparent and reliable, and the problem can be solved
Zhang Xiaorong said that blockchain technology has solved two major problems in the era of Digital Economy: one is the visible flow direction, and the other is zero trust cost. In the past, the circulation of physical paper money was invisible, but the flow of all digital assets had a "chain" to check. Yang Yanchao, a researcher at the intellectual property center of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, also believes that the biggest advantage of blockchain is that it has truly completed the credit construction in an anonymous society, bringing new opportunities to many fields, thus making various innovative applications possible
there is a long way to go in the future development
in terms of technology promotion, there is no big barrier to blockchain, which has been confirmed in the global practice of bitcoin, and its main resistance comes from the obstacles in concept and implementation
"on the one hand, the society may be very concerned about the" naked "state in the blockchain. Blockchain has built a "Skynet" for the commercial society. The company's economic activities are all recorded, so there is no secret to speak of. In this way, some business strategies may not be implemented under the blockchain. "
"on the other hand, the current legal system lags behind the development of information technology, so how to put the emerging blockchain technology under the legal supervision needs to be studied." Duan Yongchao said
the core of blockchain is decentralization, which will have an impact on the long-standing central management model. In addition to the law, how to establish a regulatory environment that can promote the application of blockchain technology, so that the technology can benefit the society and not be used to do evil, is also an urgent problem to be solved.
There is no doubt that blockchain has development prospects, and the necessary condition for development prospects is to enter the mainstream market
North America blockchain infrastructure the oan (former aion network) founder and CEO Matt spoke published an article entitled "in order to successfully enter the mainstream market, blockchain projects must" eat dog food "in Forbes on July 24, in which Matt mentioned his views on how blockchain should enter the mainstream market - & quot; Eat dog food strong>
in the science and technology circle, there is a jargon called & quot; Eat dog food Dogfood (also known as eating your own dog food) refers to companies using their own procts and becoming users of their own procts. Many high growth companies (such as Microsoft, Facebook, Amazon, apple, Netflix and Google) also test their procts by "eating dog food" or help build credibility“ "Eat dog food" is often used to find and fix bugs, but it has another value: to create reliable use cases for the company's procts
this is worth learning from blockchain projects, because blockchain projects often hold & quot; Once built, they (users) will come naturally , which habitually leaves the responsibility of creating new and interesting blockchain applications to a third party
this attitude is very common, even the well-known blockchain summit consensus 2019 also held a conference entitled & quot; Once built, they (users) will naturally come: to build a global blockchain Center & quot; To discuss how governments around the world can make efforts to attract blockchain projects while balancing regulatory, investment and innovation needs
to be fair, this strategy may be effective for blockchains that only focus on people in the currency circle. For the security token, especially for the exchange represented by the transaction, it makes more sense - "supply creates demand" is the usual idea here, especially considering that the realization of these transactions requires the construction of complex infrastructure
in contrast, "eat dog food" is more likely to be adopted by blockchain project developers who seek mainstream audiences (such as those in financial instry, manufacturing and supply chain, identity management, etc.). If blockchain technology wants to enter these mainstream fields, blockchain companies must first "eat dog food". This can not only clearly prove that blockchain technology is feasible outside the coin circle, but also highlight that blockchain can not only optimize existing use cases, but also create new use cases
and the oan team has been adhering to this concept, and relying on the oan and aion's technology stack built over the years, it has developed a financial technology platform moves for independent workers
Matt said that in the development and development of moves, the team hopes that the relevant functions of the OAN blockchain network can be brought into full play, so it will focus on the following three aspects:
1. How to use the OAN blockchain network to improve the credit efficiency of the proct
there are two main considerations to improve credit efficiency: 1) can we use the mechanism of the defi market to rece the cost of capital; 2) Can the blockchain technology be used to increase the external trust in the credit process of moves. Here, moves will form a mechanism of "pooling wisdom", so that everyone can contribute to recing credit risk and increasing the credibility of credit process, and may even develop a micro guarantee mechanism in the future. Therefore, users will be able to participate in the market established by the platform as borrowers, lenders or guarantors
How to make the interests of procts and users consistentspecifically, by connecting moves with the oan network, and with the help of digital asset aion, a relationship of interest consistency is formed between procts and users, so that users can personally experience the success of moves procts and directly participate in the oan, a blockchain network supporting moves
3. How to create the first open system of financial reputation data with moves
this open system may become a substitute for traditional credit scores or related mechanisms. Over the years, banks and financial institutions have been using Equifax, Fico or other similar institutions' scores as risk indicators, and the moves team believes that the procts they are building will be a good start - the beginning of a more perfect and modern financial reputation system. This is a long-term goal
moves supports North American mainstream carpooling, take out and other casual work economic platforms, and will be the flagship open application developed by the oan on its blockchain network. In June, moves expanded its operations from Ontario to Alberta and British Columbia into western Canada
all the initiatives of the oan team adhere to the spirit of "eating dog food" and strive to make blockchain technology enter the mainstream market as soon as possible. Blockchain is not for the minority, but for the mainstream. In addition to the oan team, many projects and institutions in the blockchain instry are also aiming at this goal. Can you say that such an excellent and targeted blockchain has no development prospects
the blockchain instry is in the stage of rapid development
China's blockchain instry is in the stage of rapid development. According to the data of the "in-depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of blockchain instry" released by foresight Instry Research Institute, by the end of March 2018, the number of blockchain companies with blockchain business as the main business in China has reached 456, from upstream hardware manufacturing, platform services, security services to downstream instrial technology application services, To ensure the development of the instry investment and financing, media, talent services, companies in various fields have been basically complete
according to the classification of application scenarios of top 20 enterprises in the ranking list, in addition to 13 enterprises focusing on the infrastructure and platform construction of blockchain such as underlying platform and blockchain hardware, the application scenarios of blockchain have graally enriched. According to the distribution of instry segments, there are 7 instry application companies, mainly Internet companies (Alibaba, Jingdong, Tencent) used in public welfare and commodity traceability, and innovative financial technology applications evolved by financial enterprises (Ping An, CMB, BOC), such as supply chain finance, bills and transaction clearing
as the blockchain can realize the non tampering of information, the possibility of data falsification is eliminated from the root, especially in the financial instry, which has high requirements for real data, it will embrace the blockchain more actively
analysis on the development trend of blockchain
Second, blockchain has become a new hot spot for innovation and entrepreneurship, and technology integration will expand new application space
3. Blockchain will be widely implemented in the real economy in the next three years and become an important support for the construction of Digital China
fourthly, blockchain creates a new platform economy and opens a new era of sharing economy
fifthly, blockchain accelerates the process of "credible digitization" and drives finance to "move from virtual to real" to serve the real economy< Sixth, the blockchain supervision and standard system will be further improved, and the instrial development foundation will continue to be consolidated
in addition, as an emerging technology, there are still many technical difficulties in the application of blockchain in the actual proction environment of the financial instry, such as throughput, scalability, consensus mechanism, privacy and security, manageability, etc
technological innovation such as blockchain is of great significance to the financial instry, which is expected to accelerate the process of "credible digitization" and continuously drive the financial instry to "move from virtual to real".
By the end of 2019, the number of blockchain research institutions in China has reached 97. In addition, domestic colleges and universities have arranged blockchain technology research, strengthened theoretical knowledge innovation of blockchain technology, and improved their blockchain technology R & D capability. By the end of 2019, there are 24 colleges and universities in China participating in strengthening blockchain technology R & D. The core technologies are mainly distributed in consensus algorithm, cross chain, underlying architecture and multi chain
in 2020, the blockchain instry will be further standardized
in 2020, China's blockchain policy will continue to be favorable, the standards and specifications will be more perfect, the instrial scale will continue to grow, the technology will continue to innovate and develop, and the application demonstration effect in key fields will accelerate. At the same time, according to the problems existing in the development of China's blockchain in 2019, CCID blockchain Research Institute puts forward six suggestions: accelerating the formulation of top-level design, establishing and improving the regulatory system, accelerating the innovation and development of core technologies, promoting the third-party evaluation and certification, strengthening the cultivation of professional talents, and accelerating the implementation of applications in various fields
- the above data comes from the analysis report of China's blockchain instry market outlook and investment strategic planning of foresight Instry Research Institute