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The future of bitcoin

Publish: 2021-03-27 19:45:05
1. bitcoin is different from the previous currency, it completely relies on the Internet to create and trade; Bitcoin's unique technical attributes lead to its economic and cultural attributes beyond the present currency. Bitcoin is a kind of electronic currency proced by open-source P2P software. Compared with the paper currency in circulation, the biggest feature of bitcoin is decentralization and global circulation in the network world, followed by high security and high confidentiality. These technical attributes further extend to the economic attributes of no inflation, no freezing, and no man-made supply; In terms of culture, bitcoin is popular among anarchists and liberals. The advantages of bitcoin are artificially exaggerated, and its anti inflation and anti inflation functions cannot stand up to scrutiny. In the long run, the prospect of bit is hard to match that of gold. In the most optimistic case, it will become a means of payment in some areas; But in the short and medium term, bit still has room for speculation and imagination. In addition, the use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
1. The advantages of bitcoin are exaggerated: About decentralization, no transaction costs and anti inflation
it is true that bitcoin has various advantages over paper money, but these advantages have been over interpreted. First of all, bitcoin is a kind of decentralized currency, which will not have the same risk of central bank controlling money supply and affecting market value as paper money; Bitcoin is mainly held in the hands of large investors, and the market depth is not enough. At present, the trading behavior of large investors is also very easy to affect the price of bitcoin. Even if the attribute of decentralization is regarded as the advantage of bitcoin when it is fully mature, then the prerequisite of holding decentralization should be added. In addition, there are great differences between centralized and decentralized online payment systems in the degree and type of financial risks they are exposed to
secondly, the low transaction cost of bitcoin is not without transaction cost. On the contrary, e to the increasing difficulty of bitcoin mining and the further stability of currency value, the dependence of relevant transaction platforms on transaction cost will increase, which will certainly increase the transaction cost. Finally, the confidentiality of the bitcoin transaction needs to be discussed. The principle of the bitcoin transaction makes all the processes of each bitcoin transaction stored in each machine. If someone can determine the real background of a transaction, they can find all the transactions down and up through these data
compared with other advantages, anti inflation or anti inflation is the most publicized advantage. Although its supply is stable and the upper limit of supply is locked according to its algorithm, unless the whole world is unified and all countries use bits as currency, it can not prevent the over issuance of money only as a means of payment or a storage of value, just as the current existence of gold can not constrain the growth of each country's currency. If bits can only be used as a means of payment in local areas (such as the network), then global or some countries' inflation will still be transmitted to the areas where bits are used. Therefore, the use of bits to prevent inflation is basically untenable, or has a strong premise. As for anti inflation, that is to say, it has the function of value storage, it needs to have the property similar to gold. However, from the reality, bit's essential property and prospect are still hard to match gold. See below for details
2. Bitcoin's future positioning is too high
the expectation of bitcoin's future in the market generally compares it with gold and US dollar, which is relatively high. The recognition of gold not only lies in its natural physical properties, but also in its official acceptance as a reserve currency (or an important allocation of foreign exchange assets). In theory, bitcoin as an electronic currency does not have the unique and exclusive status, and it is more difficult to become the official reserve of central banks like gold. Therefore, it is not appropriate to expect too much bit. As an electronic currency, bit has the first mover advantage. If it can be guaranteed in terms of security, its most optimistic prospect will be as a means of payment in local areas
3. Speculation and speculative demand caused by event factors are the main reasons for the rise of bitcoin in this round
under the credit currency system, people's lack of confidence in the currencies of various countries and pessimistic economic prospects are the general environment for the rise of bitcoin in this round. The speculation of the major dealers in the market and the derivatives market of bitcoin, together with the speculative psychology of the participants, further accelerated its rise. Btcchina's investment of US $5 million and the announcement of Ben's position are the main driving factors for the recent surge
however, a lot of big players start to enter the market and buy a lot, which not only drives the bit price up to a high level, but also increases the market risk. Chamath, a former Facebook executive, has spent $5 million on bitcoin and plans to spend another $10 million. Bitcoin investment trust also exceeded its target within four weeks, raising $15 million. These people's investments not only make bitcoin further rise, but also concentrate on the holding of bitcoin, which strengthens the influence of indivials and institutions on the price of bitcoin and increases the market risk
4. There is still strong room for speculation in the medium and short term
although our previous analysis is not optimistic about the prospect of bit, it is likely that bit will still have strong room for speculation in such a short and medium term period of time as one year. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the creators of bitcoin advocate that the generation of bitcoin is not manipulated by human factors, which is quite different from the credit currencies of various countries. We expect that the monetary policies of major countries will be divided next year. With the release of economic risks and the heavy damage to traditional asset markets, bitcoin will have better room for speculation and imagination< The use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
the U.S. government seized the drug trading website "Silk Road" at the beginning of last month. A crowdfunding network called "assassination market" even marked the sale of murderers with bitcoin price. The founder of the assassin market, under the pseudonym of kuwabatake Sanjuro, is an extreme anarchist. Both prism gate incident and the use of bitcoin in relevant sensitive fields highlight the increasingly prominent position of information field in national security. The Third Plenary Session proposed the establishment of the national security committee, which will play an important role in China's security strategy and expand from traditional national defense, stability maintenance / urban security to information security and other emerging areas
2.

In terms of technological innovation, people who know blockchain are very supportive; About the future trend of bitcoin, as the earliest blockchain proct, it has been basically in the market. As for how big a pie there will be in the future, you can see my share

[John McPhee, the head of IBM and the board of directors of PayPal all predict that bitcoin will reach $1 million]

in recent days, the market has slowed down temporarily. However, this has not deterred investors. As previously reported, although some bearish pressure is forming, bulls have responded well and kept prices stable

since bitcoin failed to break through $5450, bitcoin bulls have kept the price above $5000. Recently, after a stable weekend, there was almost no report on the price trend, and the market rose appropriately. Now all attention is turning to $5200 as the next key target, and finally retesting the resistance level of $5450

as of April 15, the marginal revenue of bitcoin was less than 2%, and the transaction price was $5160. Earlier in the day, it had risen to a high of $5193, but failed to reach the target of $5200

Then bitcoin fell back to US $5157. The high degree of stability and flexibility that bulls maintain and push prices up shows how strong the current bull market is. As long as bitcoin can remain above $5000 and avoid a sharp correction, the bullish trend will continue to get more support and push prices higher

the price of bitcoin (BTC) will reach $1 million

a few weeks after PayPal first invested in blockchain technology, its latest board of directors made a bold price forecast for bitcoin. Wences Casares, a member of PayPal's board, said bitcoin could reach $1 million in the next 10 years. IBM blockchain & amp; Jesse Lund and John McAfee, directors of digital currency, have also made such predictions, which many believe are overconfident

in my (subjective) opinion, the chance of success is at least 50%. If bitcoin really succeeds, a bitcoin could be worth more than $1 million in seven to 10 years

the growth of bitcoin has driven Shanzhai coin

with the rise of bitcoin, most Shanzhai coins are also rising. Although the income is relatively low, most Shanzhai coins have about 1% to 4% income, but this growth is likely to continue

before the deadline, lightcoin's LTC was one of the best performing currencies. In the past few weeks, the performance of this coin has been extraordinary, which seems to determine the price trend of Shanzhai coin again

XRP and eth are also on the rise, but the marginal returns are 0.30% and 1.26% respectively. XRP's short-term goal is to return above $0.33, and its long-term goal is above $0.4. On the other hand, ETH hopes to climb back to more than $170, becoming its next target, and its preferred position is more than $190

3. Bitcoin:
blockchain is the underlying system of distributed ledger in bitcoin. Bitcoin ledgers are built in a distributed and spontaneous way. Anyone can generate new currency blocks by performing specific cryptographic calculations, so as to obtain a digital "currency" that can be used for transactions. Bitcoin's impact on the world monetary system can be said to be subversive, which is also an important reason why it has attracted a lot of people's strong attention since it came out. After that, there were dozens of similar electronic currencies such as
"lightcoin". The abstract extraction of distributed digital currency technology from bitcoin forms a "blockchain" technology, which can be used in more fields
bitcoin and other virtual digital currencies are only an application scenario of blockchain technology. Theoretically speaking, based on the characteristics of blockchain technology, human beings can create a very rich form of services and procts. There are a large number of scenarios in finance, government, enterprises, cross instry and other fields, which are suitable for blockchain technology and have broad prospects. At present, many countries around the world have started the research of blockchain technology, and a series of instry organizations and alliances have been established. However, as blockchain technology is a brand-new technology, which subverts the traditional centralized mode, major institutions are still in the research stage, with only a small number of actual projects landing, and the great development of the instry has just begun
now, blockchain economy is on the eve of outbreak. The exploration of financial instry is ahead of others, while the application of other instries is developing rapidly. The obvious advantage of blockchain instry application is to optimize business process, rece operation cost and improve collaborative efficiency. This advantage has been graally reflected in financial services, Internet of things, public services, social welfare and supply chain management
as the backbone of emerging technologies, blockchain is not only used in the field of virtual currency, but also in other fields such as finance, medical care, intellectual property certification, etc. a large number of excellent enterprises have emerged in China to explore or enter the blockchain instry. According to the in-depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of blockchain instry released by foresight Instry Research Institute, as of the end of 2016, there were 105 blockchain related enterprises in China, 80% of which were concentrated in eastern coastal cities, including Shanghai, Hangzhou and Taipei
trustworthiness is the core requirement of blockchain, and the importance of standards and specifications is becoming increasingly prominent
in the future value delivery network based on blockchain, we will completely use algorithms and software to build the trust foundation. However, we believe that this is far from enough, and we need the standard to increase the credibility of the blockchain. In the future, the standard of blockchain will standardize the technology and governance of blockchain from the perspective of users, business oriented, and from the dimensions of smart contract, consensus mechanism, private key security, and authority management, so as to enhance the credibility of blockchain and add weight to the trust of blockchain.
4. From the perspective of foreign bitcoin trading market, the future form of bitcoin is very good
however, coin pack believes that there are risks as well as benefits; Because income and risk exist at the same time
this is similar to the stock market, there must be high risk while obtaining high returns
but bitcoin is proced by bitcoin software system based on P2P network; If there is a new currency software system, and users generally accept it, it may have a certain impact compared with the special currency.
5.

Bitcoin as a new thing, its existence has its value application, but it is only limited in its era. So if we look at the big time cycle, there are only two forms of bitcoin in the future. One is hidden in the long river of history, and the other is in the era of digital currency, which can lead to the existence of this special value of borderless and creditless endorsement. At that time, a bitcoin may be worth hundreds of thousands of dollars


up to now, bitcoin has been born for more than 10 years, and there have been four big bull markets in these 10 years, but the mission of bitcoin has been achieved to a certain extent, that is, a currency without borders and value endorsement has formed a certain consensus, and led the blockchain technology to the world. So far, the price of bitcoin has been maintained at around us $12000, which is a certain amount different from its previous record high of US $20000. However, whether it can set off a bigger blockchain bull market in the future still needs to wait< br />

6. Since August this year, Chinese diggers, the so-called miners, have been dominating the price of bitcoin. The sharp rise from August to early December is entirely e to the increase in mining costs and difficulties caused by the accumulation of miners. At the same time, there have been many crazy money speculators for a long time. In three months, the price of bitcoin has risen from 2000 to more than 5000. For many people, the evil spear in Fuhua Dian Jiaodian temple is a myth, However, bitcoin is not a security, so there is no risk prevention and control. Based on the consideration of transaction security, the central bank "suggests" (because it only suggests that there is no travel regulations at present) that the third-party payment institutions stop providing payment and cash withdrawal services to the bitcoin trading platform. As soon as the news comes out, the bitcoin trading price plummeted within four days, and today's price is less than 3000 yuan, However, according to the market analysis, the price is likely to pick up. The main reason for the price decline is that the major payment companies have taken emergency measures to avoid the central bank's words, which has caused the payment obstacles and led to the price drop. However, it seems that this will create a new group of investors, and the price drop will give speculators a new opportunity to re-enter the game, So my conclusion is that the price will rise, but it will not be as crazy as it used to be. It is estimated that the price will go up and down in 3500 after two or three months of tossing. At the same time, the rise and fall will also be significantly reced. It is difficult to go up and down in hundreds and thousands like now, As a senior miner, I hope my answer will help you. Haha, it suck if you don't use it correctly.
7.

In the future, the value of bitcoin will continue to rise, mainly e to the following reasons:

1. The value of bitcoin will rise over time in design

2. As the transaction volume of bitcoin is increasing every day in the world, the total amount of bitcoin and bitcoin generated every 10 minutes will decrease (that is, the bitcoin implemented on July 10 will be halved), The value of bitcoin will continue to rise in the foreseeable future

The dollar and many other fiat currencies are depreciating every year, which is e to inflation, that is, the increase of money supply. Bitcoin is designed to be deflationary

4. Since now, the supply of bitcoin has been reced again, that is to say, bitcoin has been "halved", recing the number of bitcoins proced every ten minutes. At present, the reward for each block is 12.5btc

There is no proction limit on the quantity of US dollar, so it may be inflated by the order of the government or the central bank group. Paper money (legal tender) is usually inflated by trying to pay off excess debts or by paying for war

But in bitcoin, there is no debt, inflation and bleeding. I would say that we are on the way to a good ideological start

7. Bitcoin now has a bifurcation battle, but the market fluctuation is relatively stable, which proves that many countries in the world need it. If you split a coin into two. If your assets exceed 10 million, I suggest you invest 10%

8. Bitcoin is a virtual digital currency. You can register an account on a professional trading platform and sell or buy bitcoin through advertising. Uto market as a professional bitcoin trading platform, its security, convenience is generally recognized by everyone, the important thing is that the transaction will not charge fees
nowadays, it takes a lot of time and money to raise a girlfriend, a family and a child. I always want to earn more. You can try bitcoin
at present, bitcoin is the mainstream currency, and people's cognition of bitcoin is also higher and higher. Bitcoin has doubled in just three months, which shows that its value has risen from RMB 25000 at the beginning of the year to RMB 80000 at present. It is very important to find a reliable trading platform. The technical team of utomarket has many years of experience in blockchain development, Professional wallet security team, unusual device IP login verification monitoring, wallet withdrawal common IP address monitoring, large amount operation manual audit, to ensure the security of account and wallet funds. Transaction does not charge any fees, suitable for just started small investment users, safe and reliable.
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