Bitcoin has plummeted

1. To be honest, I may come into contact with bitcoin later than many of my peers, but I'm one of the quickest people to make a decision to join the instry. I learned from the news that Jet Li's one foundation was grateful to the enthusiasts who donated bitcoin. After less than ten minutes of thinking, I immediately decided to put down 90% of the projects I had completed and devote myself to this instry with incomparable prospects. I am a technology controller. Although I am not well-known in the Internet instry, I have operated no less than 10 it projects, and have cooperated with or established 7 companies. Among them, there are also successes and failures. The only instry that has not been involved is group buying, because I thought from the beginning that group buying deviated from its original appearance and would not be a very promising instry. But after learning about bitcoin, I feel that I have found a window, a window to the palace of ideals, a way to change the world. Today, I still insist on my choice, but the real use value of bitcoin in China is rarely reflected except for its speculative property. After multi-party analysis, I think the short-term downward trend is irreversible. Let's list the following factors that cause the price of bitcoin to fall:
first, the excessively free market - the copper price killer
bitcoin is born for freedom and lives for freedom, which has created a group of bitcoin fans who are crazy about pursuing freedom. The decentralization of the bitcoin exchange has been rampant for a time. The current situation of no supervision of the bitcoin exchange is obvious to all, and it can not be solved by itself, such as the forever anonymous dark village, the disorderly competition of mining machinery, etc. these important factors that are often ignored by people are also important drivers of the price drop
just think of the capitalist social system in the early days. People had great expectations and perseverance. They could sacrifice their lives for freedom and cut the rope on puppets at all costs. During the transition from feudal socialism to capitalism, people were like holding on to the water for several generations, suddenly came out to breathe fresh air, and no one was allowed to press themselves into the water again, The result is a social system of excessive freedom. The result of excessive freedom is that once someone obtains certain resources and social advantages, he can quickly devour everything around him like a black hole, forming a monopoly and giving birth to an oligarchy. They don't care about other people's lives, just like gladiators. If you lose, you have to bear all the consequences; If I win, I can enjoy some honor. But after all, oligarchs are a minority. Society is made up of thousands of ordinary people, so the system made up of people must be unstable and unreasonable. Therefore, modern capitalist society has learned to compromise. After learning from many advantages of capitalist society at that time, it is found that there are anti-monopoly laws, various anti-commercial bribery and other daily laws for proper supervision, In order to effectively delay the outbreak cycle of the financial crisis
the reason why so many words are used to describe capitalist society is that bitcoin has too many similarities with it. A brand new financial system does not depend on specific institutions or indivials, but also depends on all participants. With it, we can eliminate all external influences and keep our wallets. It's a great idea, but what about the reality? Holding a large amount of bitcoin, amzhuang can control the price of bitcoin. In the capital market, 1 billion yuan is only a very small amount. For the bitcoin market, it is enough to control the price rise and fall of any exchange, back and forth volatility, commonly known as "fleece". Easier said than done, as like as two peas in the market, you will be able to control the bitcoin in your hands. But you have to be in the market. For these makers, they can benefit from the ups and downs, because in the trend of the rising market, they will increase ring each shock period, and fall more every time the market falls. At the top of the pyramid, there are always only a few people
after more than a year of communication with players in the instry, we found that those who are still left behind are either deeply covered or persistent believers. Even if they are covered, only a few of them are entities. Most of the left behind are pure it houses, and they blush when they meet. Most of them have no financial experience, even few of them have speculated in stocks, so they are in shock, It's certain that Xiaosan will be injured< Another important factor is that, like stocks, the amount of cash in circulation is far less than the total value. Although several exchanges have not announced the amount of bitcoin and the total amount of RMB assets, it can be concluded from the data of mtgox's bankruptcy that the amount of cash announced by mtgox is US $40 million, Bitcoin is worth US $450 million, reaching a staggering 1:11. According to my preliminary understanding, the general comparison of domestic trading platforms is between 1:3 and 1:6, which is slightly better than mtfox, but it is also enough to illustrate the problem. Once the bear market comes, the power of shorting is far greater than that of long
although the stock market did not rise sharply last year, many people did profit from the stock market and attracted many of the few users who swayed between the stock market and bitcoin. Many of the professional investment users and deep-seated users who benefited from bitcoin also left the bitcoin instry for various reasons. The big reason is that for bitcoin, They think that in addition to speculation, it is a game played by technical talents. Although this is a misunderstanding, let's think about it from another perspective. If you are an investor outside the IT instry and face the world's largest trading platform, you will go bankrupt if it goes bankrupt. If bitcoin is stolen, it will be stolen without supervision and responsibility. What would you think? Therefore, the reason for today's situation is that the number of bitcoin has not decreased, but the capital is decreasing. Although there are many foreign advantages ring this period, the domestic situation has been declining. This is an indisputable fact
with the decrease of funds, long has lost enough momentum. The reason why there is no sharp decline is that there are still a number of bitcoin loyalists. Some of them have been engaged in bitcoin for several consecutive years, and almost every year they have to experience a similar slump. Therefore, they still firmly believe that this year is just a repetition of the market rules of previous years, and the final price will rise; Of course, I personally believe that in the long run, the trend of bitcoin will go up, but is it half a year or three to five years? I'm really not sure, because the biggest constant in the world is change. As the saying goes, the flowers are similar year by year, but the people are different year by year. The past experience may not be applicable to the present< Third, domestic policy - gold price killer
I don't know if the Americans have understood that it was not Japan, the United States, Europe, but China that decided the price of bitcoin in 2013. Made in China used to be a headache for foreigners. Now, they also realize the power of China's speculation. China's real estate speculators are like locusts everywhere they go. At present, China's speculators are also rapidly overdrawn the growth value of bitcoin. China, which has 80% of the world's trading volume, explicitly forbids the value of bitcoin as a medium of exchange, so it has no real value in China except for speculation
I believe that the world's understanding of the power of Chinese speculators in bitcoin began with the documents of five ministries and commissions, because before that, almost no organization participated in the international bitcoin conference. After that, many foreign media swarmed in, professional and unprofessional media came. This time, although the documents on April 15 have not been confirmed, the financial times interviewed bitcoin in advance, which shows that they recognize the power of Chinese speculators
why is an Internet proct that started in foreign countries so influenced by China's policies? This is not its main application place, which just reflects that the price of bitcoin is seriously out of its actual value line, artificially pushed up and overdrawn its value. In my opinion, without CCTV's report and China's participation, it would have been good for bitcoin to have a price of more than 1000 last year. It was also e to excessive attention, which created the fastest five ministerial documents in history< 4. Crazy miner - the ultimate price killer
the computing power of bitcoin miner has increased from 1p at the end of last year to more than 30p now. In less than five months, the price of bitcoin miner has dropped from 6000 to 2700 today. In other words, the number of miner has increased dozens of times, from CPU to motherboard, power supply, power supply, etc The chassis and processing costs are all paid in RMB. Just imagine how much cash flow the mining machine has taken from the whole bitcoin ecological chain. Once the cash flows into the hands of TSMC, motherboard factory and others, it will never be kept back. This is also the result of disorderly competition, once profitable, the number will never end! It is said that Shenzhen proces 90% of the world's computing power of mining machines, and each time the chips are streamed, the chips are less than 3.5 million, more than 20.3 million, not to mention the whole machine. A mining machine manufacturer I know in Shenzhen club said that he sold 1000 USB mining machines a minute, which shows the madness
to sum up, all aspects have exerted pressure on cash flow, so the continuous decline of bitcoin in the short term is caused by many reasons. Even without the 4.15 document, I believe a continuous decline process will be formed. As for the bottom, it depends on the belief of those who still hold fast to it and when the crazy mining machine will not continue, And the actual application of bitcoin in foreign countries
those who played with stocks in 2008 may find that bitcoin shares a striking resemblance to the price trend of stocks. If bitcoin goes up from 2000 to 5300, any good news, even an additional issue, will make stocks soar all the time. After that, although the stock surged to the highest point, the downward trend was like "defeat like a mountain". Any bad news would cause a decline. Coupled with the excessive issuance of new shares and serious overdraft of market cash, the a share once fell back to about 1600 points. Although it rebounded to more than 3000 points, it would still jump to about 2000 points. After several years of shock, it did not improve
bitcoin plate is small and easy to rise and fall. However, if the retail investors are excessively injured, bitcoin's loyalty can only be powerless to let bitcoin rise. The false rise of the makers will face a lot of market capital pressure and can only follow the trend
at present, there are several companies in the whole instry that can support short selling, such as fire coin, China bitcoin and okcoin, which also aggravates the dection process
of course, I am still very optimistic about the long-term development of bitcoin, but I really can't see how to break the current deadlock. The purpose of this article is to provide some personal opinions for the majority of small businesses. Maybe you are more in-depth and complete than I think, but finance is nothing more than that

2.

According to the latest data of bitfinex, poloniex, gdax and other trading platforms, the price of bitcoin continued to decline for six consecutive days. The latest price has reached the $14000 mark of Tiepo, which has dropped more than 30% from the highest point

Once people realize that's how it works, they start selling it, he says. The old bitcoin network may not work

Oldenburg admits that buying, selling or trading bitcoin is not a problem nowadays, but when bitcoin transactions are recorded in the blockchain, that is, when each transaction is recorded in the digital ledger, the problem will come to the surface. The crux of the problem is that you can only process a limited number of transactions per second in a bitcoin network, which in turn depends on the "block size" of memory in which the transactions are stored. Aldenberg said that would lead to the scarcity of liquidity and the unavailability of cryptocurrency

All in all, aldenberg doesn't believe that bitcoin will become the currency people use everyday. As long as the network is run by this group [in the old bitcoin network], these solutions will be found in bitcoin cash, where I will see the future, he said

Roger Waugh, an early investor of bitcoin and known as "bitcoin Jesus", believes that compared with the traditional version of bitcoin, bitcoin cash is faster, cheaper and more reliable. Some people in the market have predicted that bitcoin cash will replace bitcoin as the big boss of cryptocurrency, because bitcoin cash is more suitable for the efficient market

However, on Tuesday, coinbase, the leading bitcoin trading platform in the United States, announced that customers could buy and sell bitcoin cash freely, which prompted the rapid rise of bitcoin cash in the past two days, more than doubled in two trading days and set a record high of US $4300

said in a weekly "House View" report: "what we think is all the characteristics of bubbles: high trading volume and little practical use, which indicates that many traders are seeking speculative returns. Although the supply of bitcoin is limited, there are many more widely used cryptocurrencies, and there are now thousands of potential substitutes. "

the report from UBS's chief investment office of wealth management reiterated the bank's attitude in October. UBS said at the time that it believed that the whole encrypted money market was in the "speculative bubble". p>

in this week's report, UBS wrote: "we do not recommend customers to invest in bitcoin or short bitcoin. In principle, the irrational time of these markets is much longer than you can tolerate."

3.

In a long enough period of time, the ups and downs of the investment market is a reciprocating cycle. In a short time, human nature has been tested. Between short and long positions, between buying and selling, the wealth of participants is redistributed rapidly

after the news of Sino US trade war settlement came out, the stock market had a good start on Monday, but then fell back in the next few days. Nothing seems to have happened

in the view of many people, the sharp decline after bitcoin's soaring is actually predictable. However, many people are faced with the continuous protection of bitcoin, and subconsciously believe that the price of bitcoin will not plummet at this moment, but when the result appears, it is too late. This time, the bitcoin storm is a wake-up call for investors who are not optimistic about gold to some extent

it can be seen from the slump that bitcoin is still unable to compare with gold. If they disagree, bitcoin will double; If not, it is usually halved. It is impossible for gold to make a systematic forecast based on market news. Gold prices can be predicted by the overall market direction, and changes in news can be used to control gold prices and minimize losses

ring the soaring price of bitcoin, many gold investors gave up their investment in gold and turned to the bitcoin market, which led to a certain degree of decline in the demand for gold investment. After the collapse, market sentiment may return to calm, and gold will be chosen as an investment target again, especially in the period of possible interest rate increase. During this period, if the demand for gold investment rises, a certain amount of bottom support may be added for gold to hedge the negative impact of interest rate increase

On the whole, the bear market is still long. Now is not the best time for the spot party to sell Soha, but there is no need to worry about returning to zero. If the fixed investment is still good

last year, when bitcoin was more than 100000 yuan, many people who didn't get on the bus patted their thighs and said: when NIMA was more than 20000 yuan, they didn't dare to buy it! God give me another chance to sell my house

after less than a year, bitcoin has returned to more than 20000, but at this time, it says that this thing is going to fall, and it is about to collapse

bitcoin has been declared dead more than 300 times, and now it still has a market value of 59.2 billion. After each new high, there are a group of people who blame themselves for not entering in time with tears. Any opportunity is like this. There are few successful people, and the weak people are mediocre all their lives

4. Maybe everyone has a dream of "getting rich overnight", but no one has ever thought about "going bankrupt overnight"
in fact, this does not mean much to us. After all, we have never experienced "sudden wealth". How can we talk about "bankruptcy"
bitcoin can be regarded as an imperial presence in virtual currency, and the price of each one is amazing
after bitcoin plummeted some time ago, I saw a very interesting passage:
a friend in the coin circle was still talking about buying a house in the second ring of the imperial capital last year. When I met him today, he said to me: Hello, this is your take out
people who once relied on bitcoin and were worth billions of dollars have fallen to this point in just a few days. How can we not let people sigh
12% in a day, 42% in a month, 77% in a year, and 1.6 trillion in evaporation, no less than the magnitude 10 earthquake
bitcoin, which has doubled 25 million times in the past eight years, has now become a boundless hell struggling to survive
at the end of 2017, the high price of US $20000 was amazing,
10 bitcoins can buy a Mercedes Benz S500,
100 bitcoins can buy a three bedroom apartment in Shenzhen. It doesn't look like much, does it
but in 2009, one dollar could buy 1309 bitcoins. Do you think you missed dozens of billions
however, as we approach the end of the year, bitcoin has become a sad and helpless topic
at the beginning of bitcoin's decline, most people scrambled to get the bottom, but did not think that it was like jumping into an endless abyss, the bottom was broken again and again, and it was just between your thoughts that you lost everything
for the sadness of currency speculation, those who don't will regret it even more
in the past 11 years, I knew that someone had asked for 6800 financial procts on hand
but in the end, instead of buying bitcoin, she spent it traveling
if you buy it, it will be worth about 100 million at the end of 17! Even if it's 4000 dollars, there's 20 million
it turns out that most of the time, we just miss hundreds of millions of properties, but we don't know it
if we want to make money, the stock market and real estate market are all weak, where can we compare with the bitcoin market
of course, some people have studied that every sharp fall of bitcoin will predict the next sharp rise:
in November 2011, US $30 fell to US $2, a 93% drop
in December 2013, it dropped from $1166 to $170, a drop of 85%
since 2017, it has fallen below $4000, a 77% decline
it means that every fall will be followed by a more violent rise
however, many people will suffer from Stockholm syndrome after being locked up. The more they are locked up, the more convinced they are of the scarcity of bitcoin, and then they will surely usher in a ten thousand times soaring future
after all, most of the time, people who rely on bitcoin to make a fortune are not willing to believe that they will lose money
stock god Warren Buffett once warned us: bitcoin is a mirage, a way to transfer funds, and the quadratic power of rat poison. Cryptocurrency has no bottom. What you can do is to stay as far away as possible
we don't know whether bitcoin will continue to fall or soar overnight in the near future. All we can do is wait and see
admission? It depends on your own choice. After all, every financial management has its own risks
be cautious when entering the market. This sentence is not only applicable to the stock market, but also to the bitcoin circle
but as the saying goes: if you are brave enough, if you are hungry enough, you can decide for yourself! Mi Xiaoli, a new way of life.

5.

There are many reasons for bitcoin's collapse. I think it is mainly because it has no government policy support, the conflict between cash bitcoin and virtual bitcoin, and the decline of public confidence in it. First of all, bitcoin is not supported by the government. It is not protected by relevant government policies. In China, the protection of the government is a big protective film. With policy protection, the impact of this slump will be minimized, and the government will share part of the pressure{ RRRRR}

in any case, there are a lot of reasons for bitcoin's collapse, and each has its own views

6. $3264

7. Bitcoin is a complete fraud
take a look at several countries where bitcoin is booming, which one is not the United States or the dog country of the United States
they tried to use bitcoin to launder money and rob China.