Bitcoin trend and US stocks
Bitcoin as a typical virtual currency, its price fluctuation is very large, from the current relatively large economic situation, bitcoin decline may be a more normal development trend{ RRRRR}
once no one continues to play this game, the price of bitcoin will probably be cut, leading to large-scale investors may face the risk of bankruptcy. Moreover, because its value is uncertain, and its existence entity is a virtual number, Therefore, it can not play too much role in real life. It can only be used as an investment proct. Therefore, once there are corresponding risks, it will change greatly. Therefore, from the overall trend, its future trend is likely to be lower
1, the short-term factors that determine the price: supply and demand and market sentiment
the relationship between supply and demand means that if the amount of money spent on buying bitcoin is more than that spent on selling bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will rise. If more people buy bitcoin, it will rise
market sentiment refers to the views of the market and the media on the price trend of bitcoin at that time. When many people strongly see bitcoin, the market sentiment is confident, and the price of bitcoin will rise rapidly. If the media makes pessimistic reports on the price of bitcoin, it will affect people's confidence and lead people to sell bitcoin, and the price of bitcoin will fall
2, the medium-term factors that determine the price: policy, news and mining cost
on the policy side, it is the policy attitude of governments towards bitcoin. For example, the recent crackdown and regulation of bitcoin by the South Korean government has led to a sharp drop in the price of bitcoin in the near future. If more and more countries support and encourage the development of bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will be higher and higher. On the contrary, if many countries begin to suppress bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will continue to fall
on the news side, there are some important things in the bitcoin instry. For example, around December, the two major stock exchanges in the United States launched bitcoin futures, which are good for bitcoin and directly push the price of bitcoin up to about $20000
mining cost is the cost of bitcoin miners using machines to dig out bitcoin. At present, the cost of digging out a bitcoin is about 12000 US dollars, so it is difficult for the price of bitcoin to fall below 12000 US dollars. Mining cost is the bottom line of bitcoin price. With the continuous increase of mining costs, the reason is that more competitors enter the mining field, especially many large institutions, companies and countries
3 determines the long-term price factors: the US dollar trend, the global bubble, the official digital currency, and the block chain technology.
the trend of the US dollar. According to the personal analysis data, the US dollar will weaken in the next few years, which means that the global monetary system with us dollar as the world currency in the past will be rebuilt. The rise and future of bitcoin is to assume the identity and mission of the world currency
global bubble. Since the United States abolished the gold standard Bretton Woods system in 70s, many countries in the United States have been printing banknote printing machines. The bubble of currency has caused the global economic bubble and asset bubble. The global economic crisis triggered by the US subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 is the crisis triggered by the currency bubble. At present, the global economic bubble and asset bubble have reached the critical point of collapse. The birth of bitcoin was e to the reason of the currency bubble, which made people no longer believe in the currency of national credit, and began to believe and recognize bitcoin.
official digital currency, countries around the world have begun to prepare to issue official digital currency, that is, digital currency issued by countries. Venezuela has issued a national level digital currency - Petroleum currency. Israel is preparing to issue it, Russia is also preparing to issue it, and the Japanese government is issuing it. 2018 will become the first year of the global official digital currency. The accelerated launch of official digital currency and its increasing popularity show that the value of bitcoin as internet currency is unlimited.
It's a kind of virtual currency that attracts a wave of people to reap, and then it slowly exits. How can it reach a new high? There aren't so many idiots
1. When bitcoin is fried to $150000, a drop of $12000 seems insignificant, but this is not the final price limit< p> Bitcoin has only technology cost and service provider cost, and other things are fried. It has no so-called privacy ring the period. There are many similar mining activities, but it is the first to get up, so it is in the lead, and after other mining activities are yellow, it is still strong and can be fried higher and higher
the people who defend the legal line are much smarter than the people who want to play with the virtual currency. Why not put them in? It's because we are afraid that we will become others' leeks, but some of us have & lt; Society limits him to make money; My heart. Let me just ask you a question: if you have a lot of capital, you have 200 billion US dollars, will you take the opportunity of bitcoin's fall to buy it crazily, and then you will be able to understand what it is worth
(1) possible factors for the rise of US stock market. First of all, technology stocks led the US stock market, S & P stock market hit a new high, health care companies boosted the market strongly, and energy stocks rose with the price of crude oil. Second, the Fed will announce an interest rate decision later this week, and the market expects the fed to raise interest rates, which will be the third time this year. Standard & Poor's rose slightly by 0% or 3%, while Dow Jones and Nasdaq rose slightly, while Russell small company index fell slightly. Although inflation is low, the labor market is relatively strong. Third, last week, Apple shares rose, Symantec shares rose, and healthcare shares rose. Bluebird shares rose, while bank shares fell slightly. Oil and gas boosted energy stocks, while Chesapeake Energy Inc. rose
(2) possible factors for the rise of bitcoin. 1. Bitcoin futures rose on the first day of listing on the US stock exchange. Wall Street investors bought bitcoin for the first time, and the price of digital currency futures jumped about 20%. Bitcoin has risen this year. According to the Los Angeles Times, the US market has bought second-hand housing mortgage loans to buy bitcoin. 2. At present, the trading volume of bitcoin is relatively low, and most investors are optimistic about oil, gold, wheat and other commodities, or the stock market. The future direction of bitcoin is unknown, futures prices show that prices are rising, but investors are cautious about the market falling into bubbles and speculation. 3. JPMorgan said bitcoin was a fraud. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange will start trading bitcoin futures on December 18, with gold slightly lower and its value supporting the gold price. Bitcoin has no value, only the price rises
(3) why are US stocks rising with bitcoin? Gold fell slightly, oil prices rose, and the value of gold and oil supported each other for a long time. First, the price of gold fell slightly to about $1246 an ounce. According to the latest data of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the bullish position of gold declined. Silver fell to about $15 an ounce, while the dollar rose against the yen. U.S. benchmark crude rose to about $57 a barrel, while Brent crude rose to about $64 a barrel. Market risk appetite rose, gold slightly declined, and oil prices rose slightly. Second, the stronger non-agricultural report and tax rection plan boosted the US dollar. Before the US Federal Reserve increases interest rates, gold may go down and the US dollar is bullish. The U.S. dollar index reached a high of 94 points on Friday, then fell slightly to about 93, rebounded slightly from the low point and rose. Various factors supported the Federal Reserve's interest rate increase in December, which boosted the U.S. dollar. Third, bitcoin futures rose after listing in the US market, while US technology stocks rose, while banks and instrial enterprises stocks declined slightly. Fourth, the European Central Bank and the Bank of England will issue monetary policy statements. Wall Street is concerned about whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates for the third time in 2017 on Wednesday because of rising oil prices, rising U.S. energy stocks, rising ExxonMobil shares, rising chevron shares and rising ConocoPhillips shares. Fifth, U.S. technology stocks rose, Apple shares rose, Amazon shares rose, Google shares rose, Microsoft shares rose, Tesla shares rose, and Qualcomm shares rose. Bitcoin rose while blockchain related stocks rose. The price of gold is relatively stable, while the price of oil rises slightly, and the value supports gold and oil.