Bitcoin's boom
bitcoin bulls often mention that the scarcity value of this cryptocurrency is the main reason for its continued rise. Bitcoin is similar to gold to some extent. The growth of its supply is extremely slow, and it is still slowing down. Its total supply will only reach 21 million
with the increasing interest of institutional investors and retail investors in bitcoin, global exchanges such as the Chicago Board of options (CBOE) have launched bitcoin futures contracts. This is likely to encourage more institutional investors to invest in bitcoin, while at the same time further curbing the price volatility of bitcoin
this much anticipated bitcoin futures trading has been launched on the Chicago Board of options exchange, which represents a significant step in the legalization of cryptocurrency. Futures is a derivative / financial instrument, which can force dealers to buy and sell an asset at a specific time and price
supply and demand
when compared with other virtual currencies, bitcoin always mentions "fixed output 21 million". In the early years, bitcoin had not been exposed to investors in a large area. It proced a lot and g a lot, but there was no demand. But now purchase bitcoin, the price is expensive, the output is small, the demand is big
analysts of jiafengruide believe that when there is an imbalance between supply and demand, commodity prices will be affected. Influenced by the policy, many bitcoin holders are now keeping a wait-and-see attitude. The decrease of bitcoin in circulation in the market and the increasing demand for bitcoin in the market are bound to push the price up, but in fact, it will not be the investment speculators who come into the market at this high level who will benefit in the end
popularization of regional chain
the report released by UBS in October mentioned the problem of regional chain technology. The report shows that by 2027, the global investment value of regional chain technology will reach 300 billion to 400 billion US dollars. And the regional chain as an infrastructure development, will be applied to more and more scenarios
at that time, whether the popularity of regional chain will raise the price of bitcoin is also full of uncertainty
investor confidence remains unchanged
although many institutions and financial giants are short of bitcoin, investors are still confident in the future value of bitcoin. After all, in history, is there any trading proct that can soar 7.54 million times in eight years
analysts at Jifeng Reed said that 10 years ago, the impact of the financial crisis left many countries so far unshadowed, and the share price bubble continued to expand, and investors would worry whether the original financial system would collapse again. Bitcoin, which has a strong performance, will attract more investors with capital inflows, thus driving up prices. In a way, bitcoin is already a safe haven
although the trading of bitcoin was suspended by China in September this year, bitcoin surged by more than 233% after de Sinicization< In November, bitcoin began to hard bifurcate, that is to say, the regional chain was divided into two parts, which is equivalent to doubling the issue of bitcoin, which means that the value of bitcoin will be diluted. Affected by the impending start of hard bifurcations, bitcoin started on November 9 and has been on the decline for four days
the suspension of the 2x fork, originally scheled for November 16, has eased the anxiety over the expansion of the bitcoin instry chain, and the market is a little relieved of the possible collapse crisis caused by the fork
bubble greater risk
many investors have seen the bitcoin appreciation and profit margins after they have entered the bitcoin trading market. However, the current domestic large-scale bitcoin trading platform has been completely closed, and the regulatory level has not relaxed the entry of bitcoin into the domestic market
bitcoin, as a speculative commodity, has great bubbles and unknown risks. We tend to ignore the risk, and it is often the risk that damages the funds in our pockets. When participating in a high-risk market, we must reasonably allocate personal assets, such as the allocation of stable financial procts such as stable profit selection investment plan. We must not use all our wealth to allocate high-risk investment procts
in a word, bitcoin has risen dramatically in recent years. It's hard to avoid some words like "you are the richest man in China now if you bought bitcoin eight years ago". But eight years ago, you didn't know that bitcoin could be as brilliant as it is today. You might as well change your vision and look for the next "bitcoin".
Bitcoin can be said to be deified, because bitcoin has broken through $58000. After the previous drop of $10000, it has returned to the original price, and there is still some rise. So bitcoin can't stop the rising trend. What's the reason for the rise of bitcoin this time? Now let me talk about my views and Thoughts on this matter for your reference and discussion only
Third, how to think about investing in bitcoin< p> In fact, for investment, there are many procts that can be invested. However, when we are not sure about virtual currency, we should not touch it. After all, we don't know what the result will be when we touch it. Therefore, for investment in bitcoin, unless you have special money and you can't use it, you don't care even if you lose money, In addition to this situation, I suggest not to participate in bitcoin investment, because you can't control what will happen in the future market. So if your income is all hard-earned hard-earned money, then you don't consider bitcoin investment. After all, you may be very down with nothing
although bitcoin is rising rapidly, and many people become rich overnight, there are still many people who have nothing overnight. When you can't bear the result, don't participate in such investment. Maybe bitcoin can exceed $100000 in a period of time, which has nothing to do with you, Because it is very likely that after you buy bitcoin, your income may be cleared. The above is my personal views and ideas, for reference and discussion only
reason 1: the cost of mining bitcoin may be further increased
bitcoin is deflationary in nature, which means that the proction of bitcoin will decrease over time. The key is that in the near future, the return of bitcoin mining will be reced from 25 bitcoin to 12.5 bitcoin
the price halving will take place when the 420000th block of bitcoin is g up, which is likely to come in the next few weeks. We don't know how market prices will be affected at that time, but several news reports say that the price surge in the past week may be partly e to the imminent pressure of reced mineral supply< The second reason is that the public's interest in bitcoin has been rekindled by the speculation on the new e-currency.
Ethereum, as a blockchain technology, has been strongly supported by banks and VCs, and has been talked about a lot by experts in science and technology circles. In short, many people think that Ethereum is faster and more reliable than bitcoin, and may even replace bitcoin as a better electronic currency
the emergence of competitors is of course bad news for bitcoin. However, an article on the quartz website assumes that the rise in the price of Ethereum may in turn stimulate the price of bitcoin. But so far, there is no evidence that there is a strong correlation between the two e-money prices
the third reason: China, China, China
China seems to be the most convincing reason behind the soaring price of bitcoin The Wall Street Journal said:
at present, about 92% of the global bitcoin transactions are completed on huobi.com and okcoin, two Chinese bitcoin trading platforms. The rise in bitcoin prices over the weekend may be just the latest sign that Chinese investors are shifting money between different assets in search of higher returns
China's economic situation has influenced the fluctuations of bitcoin in the past. Therefore, we have reason to believe that this round of inflation is also related to China
at the same time, experts also mentioned the Chinese investor effect in their comments on reddit and twitter, and they think that this effect may not last long. If it turns out that the buying frenzy of bitcoin is just a passing stop for asset transfer to other forms, the current crazy situation will end.
cryptocurrency has an exchange, but its price is determined according to the change of stock in the market. Many people want to buy bitcoin and other currencies, they have to go to these exchanges to buy, sell and other operations. In other words, the exchange provides a platform to facilitate bitcoin trading. Because of its encryption property, it is difficult for the regulatory level to uniformly deploy and implement relevant measures, so many countries prohibit bitcoin trading
but even so, bitcoin still has a high transaction value, part of which is the labor and cost of digging out coins, part of which is e to market factors. The total amount of coins is determined, so every coin g out will be one less. From the perspective of Marketization, the value of bitcoin will be higher and higher. Therefore, many people think that bitcoin has great value-added space, and many investors choose to hold bitcoin for a long time. As a result, the underlying bitcoin value is locked in. Later, bitcoin was also used in some social activities. For example, some foreign companies used bitcoin to pay their employees, and even bitcoin could be used for shopping
once the underlying value is determined, the sharp rise and fall of bitcoin is dominated by market behavior. This kind of uncertainty is more serious, and the market fluctuates more frequently. In the absence of relevant credit endorsement support, naturally, once there is any disturbance, bitcoin's value will fluctuate greatly.