What time does BTC go up
It was officially born on January 3, 2009
since 2015, the future of bitcoin has become more and more uncertain. On the one hand, bitcoin fell as much as 55.55% against RMB last year; In 2015, bitcoin fell by more than 30% against the RMB in the first half of January alone
bitcoin's "falling" reflects the "self-healing" of its value after "fanaticism" to a certain extent. According to statistics, in 2013, bitcoin rose from 1 ∶ 13.59 to 1 ∶ 731, with an annual increase of 5300%. This speculative driven inflation has affected the virtual currency property on which bitcoin relies
on the one hand, no country has defined it as a legal currency. On the other hand, in 2014, the US dollar rose significantly, and the prices of oil and bulk commodities fell correspondingly. The price trend of bitcoin is the same as that of the latter, becoming part of the asset allocation of some speculators, which highlights that its asset attribute is far greater than the monetary attribute
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Security and credit risk have also become the reasons for the decline of investor confidence. Mt. GOx, once the world's largest bitcoin exchange, claimed in March last year that it had lost all its assets e to hacker attacks. Recently, it was revealed that its lost bitcoin was probably e to internal system manipulation
the regulatory environment of bitcoin is not optimistic, and Russia, Thailand and other countries have begun to implement strict control on it. In addition, the global stock market performed well last year, resulting in the diversion of bitcoin investment funds, and the crazy "mining" activities also rapidly increased the supply of bitcoin, which may lead to a trend of oversupply in the short term, leading to a sharp drop in the price of bitcoin
Bitcoin network generates a new block every ten minutes. Every time a miner completes a block, he can get a certain amount of bitcoin as a block reward, and the reward will be halved for every 210000 blocks mined. Because the time for mining each block is limited to 10 minutes, at this rate, the period for the reward to be halved is four years, that is to say, the reward for bitcoin blocks is halved every four years
when the bitcoin block reward was halved for the first time, its price rose 25 times from 300 yuan to 7995 yuan; In the second half, the price rose 28 times from 5011 yuan to 140000 yuan. So many people predict that the third halving of bitcoin in May 2020 will lead to a sharp rise in the price of bitcoin, at least 10 times. However, these figures are not so clear. After halving in 2012, bitcoin prices rose for two months, and in 2016, there was almost no immediate response to deflation for a month. This may also be the result of the strategy of "buying rumors and selling news" implemented by some speculators
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after bitcoin halved, the supply slowed down, and keeping deflation through algorithm has always been a part of bitcoin protocol design. It was set up to ensure the value of bitcoin. By recing block incentives and setting the maximum possible supply of bitcoin at 21 million bitcoins, bitcoin has an anti inflation feature, which runs counter to the tendency of central banks to print money at will. At present, there are about 17.5 million bitcoins in circulation, and less than 3.5 million bitcoins are available for mining. When the next block award halves, bitcoin's annual inflation rate will drop from the current 3.8% to about 1.8%
maintaining deflation through algorithms has always been a part of the design of bitcoin protocol. It was created to guarantee the value of bitcoin. By recing block incentives and keeping the total amount of bitcoin at 21 million bitcoins, bitcoin is endowed with an anti inflation nature, which is different from the tendency of central banks to print money at will. At present, there are about 17.5 million bitcoins in circulation and less than 3.5 million available for mining. The next block award cut in half could rece bitcoin's annual inflation rate from the current 3.8% to about 1.8%. This will be the first time in bitcoin's history that it has fallen below the historical average of about 2% - 3% growth in gold supply
isn't this idea for fear that the world will not be in chaos? No, no, it's a cruel reality. If we look back at the birth of bitcoin, we will find that the root cause of bitcoin is that the US subprime mortgage crisis has spread to the whole world, resulting in the disorder of the world's economic system, and various countries have issued money printing policies, giving birth to bitcoin, such a "devil of the world". The inventor Nakamoto told economists all over the world, In fact, you can still play like this
bitcoin actually allows people to return to a credit controllable system, but it's too far ahead of time and leads to too big a step. Therefore, from the current point of view, bitcoin is more similar to gold and other safe haven assets. This kind of image is just a superficial likeness. Bitcoin has many scientific and technological advantages in its essence, but it can't play e to many restrictions for the time being. Therefore, if bitcoin wants to rise rapidly, it still depends on the "instability" of the economic system
this kind of thing has happened before. The Bank of Cyprus incident once pushed bitcoin soaring. Now, if there is another "second in Cyprus", I believe bitcoin will have a chance
is this a dream? No, the financial system at this stage has exposed various kinds of crisis. Russia's economy seems to be collapsing because of the fall of crude oil price, a lot of local debts in China can't be paid off, the government is playing hard to cut interest rates and reserve requirements, and the European debt crisis is getting worse and worse... Today's society is in the information age and the Internet age, If the spark can't be fixed, light the powder keg
the possibility of a rapid outbreak of economic crisis still exists, but no one can say for sure. Who knows whether the world will be transformed into a fast lane for a long time and will not be sick again? Marx said that economic crisis will appear periodically in capitalist society, but when will the next big outbreak take place
maybe in more than ten years, maybe in the next second, heaven or hell, there is no way to check.
since then, the pie has risen to US $14000 for more than a month. Today, it has been nearly two months since this high point. At present, the range of shock is almost a 30% callback
so, according to the historical situation, we are likely to experience another 150% rise this year? And if it can be realized in the next few months, it also means that the bear market is really far away from us:
however, it should be noted that the above is based on the rising cycle in history, and now, logically speaking, we can't be 100% sure that we must be in a rising cycle now. If we choose this chart today, we also want to remind the players who are looking at the general trend, Or we should be cautious to do some catch-up and sell down, or wait for a "bottom hunting" point, because it is possible to miss one or two times the income of ten or twenty points
time really flies. It is expected that bitcoin will rise to US $15000 by the end of the year
when the international community is in turmoil, it will rise
bitcoin will rise with positive technology updates.
the first time, in March last year, bitcoin soared from tens of dollars to 266 dollars overnight
for the second time, the United States held a bitcoin hearing on September 18 last year. Before the hearing, the Federal Reserve and other relevant people looked at bitcoin. Under the influence of the good news again, the price of bitcoin rose to 8000 yuan
the third time is ring this year's World Cup. Due to the influence of the world cup, the price of bitcoin once approached 6000
for the fourth time, bitcoin suddenly rose to 3000 yuan after six months of continuous downturn and hovering around 2400 for a long time. It is said that it is the entry of hot money.