Bitcoin price on July 3
the price of bitcoin is always floating, so the price of bitcoin for RMB is always changing. From the beginning, a few years ago, when bitcoin was converted into RMB, it was only one to several, and finally it graally developed to one to more than ten, and then to one to dozens. At this time, it has been very shocking, and many people think it is a very strange phenomenon, As a virtual currency, although many people don't know what its main function is, most people think it's a bit similar to stocks, so they made a series of investments in bitcoin. Until January 2020, the value of bitcoin has grown crazily, rising to nearly 1:47000 this growth rate has exceeded most excellent stocks. Many people are shocked and often want to understand why this phenomenon occurs. In fact, my analysis is mainly caused by the following reasons:
3 Of course, one of the main reasons why the price of bitcoin has risen so fast is also related to the psychology of chasing up and killing down. For example, when many stocks have been rising, more people will buy them, but when they are falling, many people withdraw because of fear. So far, bitcoin's rise is still very large, Therefore, some people think it has investment value, so they have been buying it
When bitcoin first appeared in 2009, its price was less than 1 cent. One dollar could be converted into 1300 bitcoins, that is to say, seven yuan could be converted into 1300 bitcoins. On May 5, 2017, bitfinex, an overseas digital currency trading platform, quoted a price. Bitcoin once hit US $1700, or about RMB 11737
the concept of bitcoin was first proposed by Nakamoto on November 1, 2008, and was officially born on January 3, 2009. According to the idea of Nakamoto, the open source software is designed and released, and the P2P network on it is constructed. Bitcoin is a virtual encrypted digital currency in the form of P2P. Point to point transmission means a decentralized payment system
unlike all currencies, bitcoin does not rely on specific currency institutions. It is generated by a large number of calculations based on specific algorithms. Bitcoin economy uses the distributed database composed of many nodes in the whole P2P network to confirm and record all transactions, and uses the design of cryptography to ensure the security of all aspects of currency circulation
the decentralized feature and algorithm of P2P can ensure that it is impossible to artificially control the value of bitcoin by mass manufacturing. The design based on cryptography can make bitcoin only be transferred or paid by the real owner. This also ensures the anonymity of money ownership and circulation transactions. The biggest difference between bitcoin and other virtual currencies is that the total amount of bitcoin is very limited and it has a strong scarcity
extended data:
transaction method
bitcoin is e-cash similar to e-mail, and both parties need "bitcoin wallet" similar to e-mail and "bitcoin address" similar to e-mail address. Just like sending and receiving e-mail, the remitter pays bitcoin directly to the other party through a computer or smart phone according to the recipient's address. The following table lists some websites that download bitcoin wallets and addresses for free
a bitcoin address is a string of about 33 characters long, consisting of letters and numbers, always starting with 1 or 3, such as & quot& quot; Bitcoin software can generate address automatically, and it doesn't need to exchange information online, so it can be offline. There are a lot of bitcoin addresses available
the bitcoin address and private key appear in pairs, and their relationship is just like the bank card number and password. A bitcoin address is like a bank card number, which is used to record how much bitcoin is stored in the address. You can generate bitcoin address to store bitcoin at will. When each bitcoin address is generated, a corresponding private key of the address will be generated
this private key can prove ownership of the bitcoin at the address. The bitcoin address can be simply understood as the bank card number, and the private key of the address can be understood as the password of the corresponding bank card number. Only when you know the bank password can you use the money on the bank card number. Therefore, please keep the address and private key when using bitcoin wallet
source of reference: network bitcoin
bitcoin's fluctuation space is narrowing, which indicates that bitcoin's performance is not strong when facing pressure breakthrough. Recently, the closing price of bitcoin rose slightly, indicating that the inertial rebound ring the sharp rise in price on October 21 still exists 8203;
at the same time, considering the lack of willingness of bull pull, the number of active addresses has been significantly withdrawn in the short term. At present, bitcoin may need to adjust the trading day before it will continue to expand its rise 8203;
recently, bitcoin is strong, while Ethereum is weak. I plan to buy bitcoin for many times and Ethereum for short selling.
< EM > at this time today, the price of bitcoin is 2349 yuan, and the price of each platform is true EM >
< EM > at present, there is a way to make money: it is called moving bricks. That is to buy bitcoin from cheap platforms and sell it on expensive platforms EM >
< EM > to emphasize: never play bitcoin futures. Bitcoin will not collapse for the simple reason that there is an instry around bitcoin. If you want to know more about bitcoin, you can follow the microblog "things about bitcoin". This microblog is very good, and bitcoin news updates quickly EM >
< EM > James (investors holding 5-digit bitcoin) < / EM >
according to the data of coindesk digital currency trading platform, the price of bitcoin once fell below US $6000 in 18 years, which has dropped by 70% compared with the highest value of US $20000 in 2017
"the price movements we are seeing now may seem drastic, but they are quite normal for this market." Etiro's senior market analyst, MATI Greenspan, wrote in an email to CNBC
with the decline of bitcoin, most digital currencies are affected, and other digital currencies are not much better. Most digital currencies are down by more than 10%. But in the long run, the future of digital currency is worth looking forward to.
the price of bitcoin is determined by supply and demand. When the demand for bitcoin increases, the price of bitcoin rises; As demand decreases, prices fall. At present, only a few bitcoins are in circulation, and new bitcoins are issued at a predictable rate of graal decline, which means that demand must follow this inflation level in order to maintain price stability. Compared with the market scale it may become, bitcoin is still a relatively small market at present. It does not need a lot of money to make the market price fluctuate up and down. Therefore, the price of bitcoin is still very unstable.
the price of Leyte is determined by supply and demand. When the demand for Leyte increased, the price of Leyte increased; As demand decreases, prices fall. At present, only a small number of leytes are in circulation, and new leytes are issued at a predictable rate of graal decline, which means that demand must follow this inflation level in order to maintain price stability. Compared with the market scale it may become, Leyte is still a relatively small market. It does not need a lot of money to make the market price fluctuate. Therefore, the price of Leyte is still very unstable.
Here is the latest bitcoin market chart of China on July 13:
generally speaking, the value of money depends on its activity: the central bank prints a lot of money and puts it into the economy with high-speed monetary activity. Therefore, we find that if the value of money decreases, we will be more inclined to sell in the future, resulting in a further decline in the quoted price. This cycle will lead to a runaway effect
for bitcoin, there is no high speed activity of bitcoin. Only the speculative bubble burst, and the quotations get closer to the mall balance point. This leads to a humorous question: where is the balance? First of all, let's make some assumptions. If in the future, no one in the world will hoard bitcoin at all: no one believes that bitcoin will rise, but will only fall in the future. Therefore, in the near future, we will only purchase procts by purchasing just enough bitcoin. In this way, the quotation of bitcoin depends entirely on the demand (the amount of bitcoin that people spend on purchasing procts and services) and the supply (the amount of bitcoin that exists). We are going to test to set up a lower bound: there will be some conjecture data in it, so we are going to choose the more extreme (disappointed) data. Data results are relatively small, and are affected by many factors, but data results can let us roughly know the magnitude of the answer to the question. In addition, we have the same assumption that everyone has lost interest in all counterfeit coins: we only pay attention to the bitcoin quotation supported by the bitcoin demand brought by real procts and services, that is to say, we do not use the statistical data of business channels to count the demand
let's get started. It is an excellent representative of the total demand of bitcoin for procts and services. It is the total activity of coinbase and bitpay, the two largest bitcoin payment processors in the bitcoin instry. Of course, bitcoin for procts and services also occurs in other places (this does not include the bitcoin compensation paid by some companies). The total bitcoin traffic of these two payment processors can exceed 50% of the bitcoin demand in all bitcoin businesses: the service of all large-scale commercial bitcoin transactions is coinbase or bitpay
surprisingly, neither coinbase nor bitpay clearly revealed their detailed business data. Fortunately, we can make a reasonable and accurate guess about the implied meaning of some articles announced by them. For example, we know that bitpay's business volume in 2013 was $100 million, and we also know that its business volume in 2012 was $3 million. Bitpay was founded in 2011, so we can reasonably guess that the total business volume of bitpay at the end of 2013 will be at least $94 million. Coinbase didn't disclose similar data, but both sides made clear the detailed number of cooperative businesses: bitpay is "more than 30000 businesses", coinbase is "31000 businesses". If we assume that the average bitcoin business volume of each of the two payment processors is similar, then the revenue of coinbase and bitpay are very similar. Let's calculate according to this. They are all US $100 million per year, or the remaining 50% of bitcoin needs that do not flow through coinbase and bitpay will bring us $300 million per year. In fact, since it is almost certain that there will be a continuous increase in 2014, these figures are likely to be higher. Since it is difficult to evaluate the detailed increase, let's leave it alone and simply assume that it will be $300 million in 2014
according to the current quotation of bitcoin (US $474), the total value of bitcoin mall is about US $6 billion, so US $300 million only accounts for 5%. That is to say, 95% of the total demand for bitcoin is speculative. Therefore, our estimation of the lower bound of bitcoin price is 23 US dollars. At this moment, the natural market's strength will prevent the price from further falling
let's analyze the above achievements reasonably. Our approximate data comes from bitpay and coinbase's bitcoin traffic (2013), and the bitcoin traffic of the three major business channels is accounted for by the partners working in coindesk. The channel traffic of bitcoin business is mainly speculative business (and counterfeit money business), which can hardly represent the business needs of bitcoin brought by any procts and services. At the same time, the three major business channels in the world (Mt. GOx, bitstamp, btc-e) account for 93% of the total amount of bitcoin shopping malls, and 7% are not included. We think that it is appropriate for the real commercial bitcoin demand to account for 5%
but will bitcoin really fall to $23? Very likely not. Let's assume that bitpay and coinbase did not increase in 2014, which is 100% wrong. Overstock, a US online retailer, Dell, a global PC retailer, and Xindan, a US e-commerce channel, announced in 2014 that they had accepted bitcoin payment, so the real amount could be several times higher. In addition, no one can store bitcoin and counterfeit coins at all. Therefore, this achievement is likely to be far lower than the low bound of the actual quotation, but it also gives us a general idea of where the equilibrium point of the market can exist, and the current bitcoin quotation is actually unsustainable.