BTC's annual trend in 2016

1.

The impact of the okex incident on the currency market is fading; With the US election becoming increasingly white hot, the difficulty and hash rate of bitcoin are higher than before

in terms of price, so far, BTC has rushed to around us $11720, with a 24-hour increase of more than 2%

so the question is: where will bitcoin go in the next week

here are five factors that may affect the BTC price trend in the coming week

No.1 US macro level: election and stimulus plan this week, the US is the absolute focus of the macro market. The US presidential election will soon usher in a decisive moment (November 3)

analysts warn that if the Democratic Party (Biden) wins, the dollar will depreciate - and the long-term outlook for the dollar is already precarious. Goldman Sachs said last week that Trump's re-election was not enough to get the dollar out of danger

however, no matter what the election result is, professionals recommend buying gold as a hedge. However, in the view of others, bitcoin may bring more profits

However, e to the inverse correlation between BTC / USD and the dollar currency index (DXY), the strength of the US dollar, in the view of some bitcoin traders, will still affect the price trend of bitcoin. Although this correlation has become less and less obvious in recent weeks, the sudden weakness of the US dollar is still likely to be a boon for bitcoin

six month chart of US dollar currency index. Source: tradingview

at the same time, not only the election, but also what happened before is also a topic of interest. Specifically, a coronavirus stimulus plan was in place before polling day

If this happens, trillions of dollars of liquidity will increase the growing debt pile of the United States, and Americans will see additional benefits, such as an additional $1200 economic stimulus plan

No.2 Europe suggests more intervention

with the outbreak again, the European Central Bank (ECB) is considering further measures

European Central Bank President Christina; In an interview with Le Monde on Monday, Lagarde said the European Central Bank would use more financial instruments if necessary

the European Central Bank's coronavirus stimulus program has purchased a total of 1.5 trillion euros of assets

"We haven't run out of options in our toolbox yet," says Lagarde

brexit is increasingly moving towards "no agreement" brexit, which makes the possibility of instability worse

No.3 the fundamentals of bitcoin have reached a new high

recently, bitcoin has maintained a strong resilience in the face of various black swan events. Influenced by okex, BTC recently dropped below $11200, but recovered steadily soon. So far, it has exceeded $11600

and on the technical level, the fundamentals of bitcoin also maintained a record strength this month

two days ago, the difficulty of the latest adjustment increased by 3.5% than expected

at the same time, the hash rate also climbed to a record high on Monday. At the time of publication, the estimated computing power for mining is 146 exahashs (EH / s) per second

as often reported in the media, the popular theory is that the price follows the hash rate, because the long-term investment prospect of bitcoin is better than ever before

bitcoin 7-day average hash rate 1-month chart

No.4 analysts focus on $12000 BTC price breakthrough

for famous analyst Micha & # 235; For Lvan de Poppe, the key price conversion of bitcoin is becoming more and more reasonable

in his latest video update on Sunday, he stressed that the significant resistance level of weekly closing price below US $12000 for several consecutive years will soon end

Van de Popper believes that since the beginning of the bear market in early 2018, US $12000 has become the rejection point of the weekly chart, but the consolidation below cannot last forever

he concluded: "we are likely to rebound to the range of US $16000 to US $17000, because this is the obvious level and the last obstacle for bitcoin to begin to break through the all-time high."

after this move, there will be another consolidation period, which may last longer than the current period

van der BOPP added that he advised viewers to work hard to accumulate bitcoin, even in the $16000 range

BTC / USD 7-day price trend chart. Data source: coin360

No.5 market sentiment: greed is back

with the graal strengthening of prices, investor sentiment is also changing: data shows that investor sentiment is becoming more and more greedy. In the latest market data, the fear and greed index has returned to the "greedy" area, rising slightly from "neutral" in the past week

this indicates that bitcoin investors' emotional expectations will be bullish, but it should be noted that if the price rises too fast, "greed" will become "extreme greed", in which case the index is more likely to callback

2.

Peter boockvar, chief investment officer of bleakey Consulting Group. I won't be surprised if the price of bitcoin drops to $1000 to $3000 in the next year, because bitcoin is not really relevant in this $19 trillion economy. Any commodity with a parabolic rise in price will usually fall back to the starting point< However, I'm not sure whether bitcoin will slow down or plummet suddenly

the implementation of loose monetary policy by central banks such as the Federal Reserve is the main reason for people's enthusiasm for virtual money. As interest rates graally return to the right track, virtual money will collapse. Once there is a crack in the virtual currency market, investors' attitude towards high-risk assets will also change, and the stock market may be injured. All this depends on the market psychology and has nothing to do with the economic fundamentals. "

Emma, the first one is scared to pee, so hurry to add a BTC

Soros

"as a currency, it should have a stable value storage function. The fluctuation of bitcoin in a day can be as high as 25%, which means that it is not feasible to pay wages with bitcoin

compared with the rapid collapse, the price of bitcoin may remain at a flat high. The reason why the outcome of bitcoin may be different is that some people, such as dictators, want to store wealth overseas through bitcoin

, however, can not change the nature of bitcoin as a typical bubble. It is based on misunderstanding as well as tulip fever. p> It seems that BTC is not reliable. But an alligator is an alligator. There's something in it, but it's not clear. I have an epiphany. You can do it yourself

Robert Shiller, Nobel Laureate in economics and professor of economics at Yale University, reminds me of the tulip craze that took place in the Netherlands in the 1640's. basically, bitcoin has no value unless some market participants believe it is valuable. In contrast, gold has some uses even if it is not used as an investment commodity

up to now, people still pay for tulips, and sometimes the price is even quite high. In contrast, bitcoin is afraid to collapse completely and then be forgotten by the public. However, bitcoin may still exist for a long time, or even last for 100 years "

I don't understand, thank you

"Bitcoin and blockchain attract people's attention because they think it's an 'interesting experiment'". If it succeeds, it may change the world more than the Internet

however, it is also possible to fail, and the probability of failure is at least 20%. It is suggested that the amount of cryptocurrency held should be controlled within the range of bearable loss

the main reason for bitcoin's failure is that people put too much money into bitcoin and can't afford to lose money. "

raise so much money from all over the world just for an interesting experiment? Give me 0.005 BTC

dailyfx, a professional financial media of Fuhui group, said: "as the price of bitcoin failed to rebound to its historical peak in December, the price continued to fall. But objectively speaking, although the price of bitcoin fluctuates greatly, it will not fall by 50%. On the disk, the price has obvious support at the 11750 / 160 level, and the price rebounds above or after touching the support level; If the price falls below this point, it may continue to fall later

the price of Ethereum may break through the current slope area, but it will reach 1380 in the short term from the low point of 500 in December, or it will show that the bull rally is almost exhausted. Therefore, if the price does not fall in the later period, it will be more likely to consolidate. At present, the first support is at 863. If the price is still up, it will be a good opportunity for bulls to make another correction

in the later period, Ruibo currency may be in the trend of high consolidation or downward correction. As the price fell below the support level of 2.1577 yesterday, it continued to fall. In view of the sharp rise in prices last month, it is still unclear which point the current price will stabilize after falling or hitting. Therefore, it is still necessary to be cautious about the trading of Ruibo currency. "

The stock review has been changed to currency review. Brother, I recommend a coin circle of Guizhou Maotai

Dennis gartman, founder of the "king of commodities" gartman news agency, said: "nothing can change my skepticism about bitcoin. Bitcoin will bring disaster to all those involved. At the same time, once this happens, investors will rush to the gold market. There is no doubt that bitcoin will fall below $5000. "

It seems that it is necessary to collect some gold

2. Good prediction

cesares, member of PayPal's board of directors

"the probability of successful bitcoin and blockchain experiments is more than 50%. But instry participants must be patient, because it will take another five to 10 years to achieve solid success

if the experiment is successful, the world will be very different. By then, the value of a bitcoin will reach one million dollars. Therefore, most people in the world will want to buy bitcoin in the price range of $14000 or $20000. "

previously, it was said that the probability of failure is at least 20%. Now it is said that the probability of success is more than 50%. You have all the good words and bad words. Do you owe a BTC

analyst van Petersen of Shengbao bank

"the price of bitcoin is likely to reach $50000 to $100000 in 2018. Digital currencies other than bitcoin will also soar

first of all, you may think that the price of bitcoin has been properly adjusted. After all, it has dropped by 50%, which is healthy. But we haven't seen the full effect of futures contracts

this year, Ethernet may surpass bitcoin, and it will appear later than bitcoin, but it has a more unified leadership position than bitcoin. "

He was right about this guy last time. When the transaction price of bitcoin was below $900 in December 2016, he predicted that bitcoin would reach $2000 in 2017. As a result, bitcoin exceeded $2000 in May 2017. However, it is predicted that eth will surpass BTC. Well, it's not impossible for the second child to seek power to usurp the throne and kill the first child. It's just difficult

Michael Graham, analyst at canaccord genuity, an investment company, said, "one of our themes is that more institutions will enter the cryptocurrency market in 2018. The number of institutional investment procts related to bitcoin is increasing. Regulators will approve a bitcoin Trading Fund in the second half of this year or early 2019

I confirm that this year, the public will see IPOs from some encryption companies and more widely from blockchain companies. "

it's better for me to break the news! CBOE applied for six cryptocurrency ETFs at the end of 2017 and may go online in 2018. What the hell is this? That is to say, it increases the opportunity for institutional investors to have close contact with cryptocurrency and opens channels for professional speculators

Tom Lee, co-founder of fundstrat and super bull of bitcoin, predicts that the bottom of bitcoin will be about $9000. If it falls to this position, we will buy strongly, and $9000 is the best time to enter this year

it is estimated that bitcoin will rise to US $25000 by the end of the year and US $125000 by 2022

bitcoin has experienced many ups and downs, but it always stands back to the previous high point, and the low point becomes a good opportunity to buy

since the middle of 2016, bitcoin has risen more than 75% for five times and plummeted more than 25% for six times. Similar ups and downs in the stock market will take several years, but the virtual currency world can do it in a few months

also optimistic about three kinds of virtual currency. The first is eth, which has the function of smart contract and has a bright future. It is estimated that eth will rise from the current US $1000 to US $1900 at the end of this year. The second is etc, a virtual hybrid of bitcoin and Ethernet, which will rise from the current $25 to $60 at the end of the year. The third is the virtual currency Neo developed by China, whose price will rise from US $114 to US $225 at the end of the year. "

Say! How much did the project give you? I'd like to introce you to Mr. Ali, chief investment officer of blocktower capital, a cryptocurrency investment company; Ari Paul

"at some point in 2018, the price of bitcoin can be as low as $4000 or as high as $30000."

Go away

Julian hope, co-founder and President of tenx

"bitcoin may break the $60000 mark in 2018, but it may also drop to the bottom of $5000, but it's not sure which one will come first, surprise or scare."

go away + 1

Nick colas, analyst of datatrek research, a data analysis organization, said, "the fluctuation of bitcoin in 2018 will exceed that in 2017, and the fluctuation may range from US $6500 to US $22000, all of which are reasonable valuations. And $14035 would be a reasonable median. In addition, there will be four price collapses of bitcoin in 2018, with the magnitude of each collapse being about 40% or more. "

are there still four opportunities for bottom selling and position increase this year

George Tung, co-founder of cryptos r us and a veteran of cryptocurrency investment, will we see another virtual currency whose market value exceeds that of bitcoin? Yes, I believe it is absolutely possible in the next three to five years. Or as soon as three years, there will be competitors who can compete with bitcoin. "

the 3000 year old little demon wants to kill the 7000 year old demon? It's still tender

Lex Sokolin, global head of financial technology strategy, automous research, said, "the currency circle may usher in a new round of" furcation frenzy "in 2018, with a maximum of 50 furcation times!"

Pro, we are here to talk about the price. What do you mean by having a second child

3. Factors affecting the price of bitcoin 7: government regulation
some people want to see more regulation of bitcoin, because when the government regulates bitcoin, it will claim that bitcoin is legal or illegal. If it's legal, the laws governing bitcoin can help people measure its availability and longevity
on the other hand, some of us are afraid of government regulation, because the overall view of decentralized money is to keep it decentralized so that no one can control it. The government controls the amount of legal tender in circulation in the country. They can make more money, but they can't directly rece the amount in circulation. Wallet address storage bitcoin and wallet may be accidentally deleted, or they may be locked by forgotten password, but only 21 million bitcoin will be cast. This allows the value of bitcoin to increase over time rather than decrease
now imagine the government's announcement that they are only allowed to exploit cryptocurrency, and only their currency is legal in their country. Well, now we are in the same situation as before the invention of cryptocurrency. The government takes all the money, and they can start and stop mining at will. Maybe they'll even change the code to do more money mining when there's not enough money. The only difference is the form of the trading currency. Cryptocurrency regulation can bring a lot of terrible things, and some people are very afraid of the new rules
those who promote the regulation of bitcoin will buy more bitcoin and increase the value of bitcoin, but those who are afraid of government regulation may start panic selling when news such as nydfs bitlicense comes into play. This makes it possible for government regulation to affect the price of bitcoin. The price of bitcoin is stable. You can explain the news in two different ways
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 6: acceptance of bitcoin
no one uses bitcoin as currency, and bitcoin will not be used for any purpose as currency. When people pay with bitcoin, they are increasing their credibility and showing the world that someone wants to pay with bitcoin. Many people in companies like Dell, Newegg, and dish networks have taken the power of bitcoin to inform and allow customers to use it to buy their procts and services. Xapo offers a new credit card that allows you to use bitcoin for stores that accept regular debit cards
although shoppers have no direct impact on prices, they do help spread bitcoin around the world as a viable currency. Therefore, the impact of bitcoin shopping on bitcoin price factors has no short-term impact, but they provide a larger market
factors affecting bitcoin price 5: Mining
the more miners there are, the more secure the network will be as long as no one owns 51% or more of the network. When an entity owns at least 51% of the mining power in the network, 51% of the attacks may occur
for example, a person can buy a mansion with 10000 bitcoin. The real estate agent who sells the buyer's mansion receives the money and transfers the contract to the buyer to complete the transaction. Buyers now have luxury homes, and real estate agents get 10000 bitcoins from sales, right? Well, buyers have 51% of the bitcoin network hash rate, and they want to return their money while keeping the house. The buyer allocates the block chain before the transaction, and uses 51% network hash to compete for the official part of the fork, so that the new branch is longer than the original branch. In doing so, the entire network now treats the new branch as legal and the original branch containing 10000 BTC transactions as illegal. That means the buyer now has his 10, 00 BTC back. This is called a 51% attack
the 51% attack probability that affects the bitcoin price is the potential panic selling
e to several reasons, the impact of general mining, bitcoin price factors declined slightly. Some miners keep their bitcoin as part of their buying and holding strategies, while others cash in legal tender. Miners also have high electricity bills to run their equipment, so they often sell a large profit for legal purposes in order to pay for their electricity bills
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 4: media opinion
the media does play a role in the price of bitcoin
when most people read the news, most people will take action based on the news. For example, if the news says ghash. IO has 51% network hash value; Some people may launch DDoS attacks on ghash. Io. In front of the mountain, China's news trading is quite profitable. GOx crashes. People will sell panic crazily, so everyone who knows the latest news knows that the people's Bank of China will pitch on bitcoin, and then it will become a rumor that they will sell their collection and buy it back when the market starts to rise again
the key factor influencing the price of bitcoin in this news is the articles it provides. People will buy or sell bitcoin according to its content and send it with higher or lower value correspondingly
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 3: large enterprises mp money
bitcoin is not accepted everywhere; Not every employee wants to accept bitcoin's salary, and not every government system will accept bitcoin and other taxes. Before the world catches up, there are still things to pay in fiat money, so companies usually sell most of bitcoin to pay for their business. Just like the so-called "mping", the value of bitcoin will be in a low state. Depending on the company's sales volume and how many companies were selling bitcoin at the time, this could mimic "panic selling" and cause the price of bitcoin to collapse
the decline in the value of bitcoin is the key factor influencing the price of bitcoin for large enterprises that prefer fiat money< As you can see above, the common reason why management factors work in this way is that they buy and sell bitcoin in other currencies. When traders sell bitcoin on the exchange, the price is very low, and the price usually doesn't change, or the change is very small. If the trader is a large holder of bitcoin, that is, a person with a large number of bitcoin about 1000 + BTC, the price of bitcoin will drop significantly e to its large sales. Generally speaking, orders from large number of cash holders will not be filled with a single price, which is the reason for the price decline. Someone may buy a BTC for $600; Another may buy 20 BTC for $598; There may be more transactions of different values in the middle, and then the seller will sell 0.1 BTC to the buyer for $500. What is the new purchase price of bitcoin? Maybe 499 dollars
for all people selling bitcoin in the transaction, the price factor of bitcoin is always a decline in the value of bitcoin
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 1: trading volume and frequency of exchanges
of course, the primary factor affecting the value of bitcoin is how many people are willing to pay for bitcoin. When you place an order at the exchange to buy bitcoin, you can determine the value of bitcoin to you. The more people are willing to buy bitcoin, the greater the chance of increasing the overall value of bitcoin. The seller sells the highest bid first, so whoever is the current highest bidder is the one who decides the value of bitcoin
when someone buys bitcoin on the exchange, the factor that affects the price of bitcoin is that the value of bitcoin always rises
a formula for calculating the stock price
the rise and fall of the stock is calculated by comparing the closing price (or current price) of the trading day with the closing price of the previous trading day
calculation method of rise and fall range: the difference between the closing price (or current price) of the day minus the closing price of the previous trading day and then dividing the closing price of the previous trading day
calculation formula of rise and fall range: Rise and fall range = (current price - yesterday's closing price) / yesterday's closing price * 100% (the calculated value is positive for rise and negative for fall)
at present, the trading rules of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets are as follows: generally, the maximum limit of the rise and fall of each trading day is + - 10% for stocks, + - 5% for St stocks, and + - 44% for new stocks on the first day of listing, and the rise and fall of other special regulations are calculated separately

4.

Bitcoin's surge is just a short-term phenomenon. In the past, bitcoin was really hot, which made many people crazy, but its hot period has passed. At present, the sudden rise of bitcoin is obviously a kind of hype by some people who hold a lot of bitcoin. Their purpose is also very pure, through this way to attract more retail investors to invest, and then they start to make crazy profits. Don't be attracted by the heat

in fact, when it comes to bitcoin, many people may not know what it is, but the only thing people value is that it can make money, which reflects the phenomenon that people blindly follow the trend of investment. The risk of investment market is big, but the profit is also big, which requires our investors to recognize the hero. Let your own investment knowledge enrich, so that you know investment like the palm of your hand, and you won't be blind

the popularity of bitcoin will soon disappear, and it must not be speculated and invested by some people

the era of bull market has long passed, so investment should be cautious

5. Hello! MGK project has only one app, without any white paper, team introction and background introction related to blockchain. Moreover, the app interface is stuck and unsmooth, and there is no technology at all. The content is just related to "pulling the head". It adopts the offline development mode to attract investors, and claims that it only goes up but not down, and goes up unilaterally. It is obviously a pyramid scheme.

6. The concept of bitcoin was first proposed by Nakamoto on November 1, 2008, and was officially born on January 3, 2009. According to the idea of Nakamoto, the open source software is designed and released, and the P2P network on it is constructed. Bitcoin is a virtual encrypted digital currency in the form of P2P. Point to point transmission means a decentralized payment system. Unlike all currencies, bitcoin does not rely on a specific currency institution to issue. It is generated by a large number of calculations based on a specific algorithm. Bitcoin economy uses a distributed database composed of many nodes in the whole P2P network to confirm and record all transactions, and uses cryptography design to ensure the security of all aspects of money circulation. The decentralized nature and algorithm of P2P can ensure that it is impossible to artificially manipulate the value of bitcoin through mass proction. The design based on cryptography can make bitcoin only be transferred or paid by the real owner. This also ensures the anonymity of money ownership and circulation transactions. The biggest difference between bitcoin and other virtual currencies is that the total amount of bitcoin is very limited and it has a strong scarcity

warm tips:
1. According to the notice and announcement issued by the people's Bank of China and other departments, virtual currency is not issued by monetary authorities, does not have monetary attributes such as legal compensation and compulsion, is not a real currency, does not have the same legal status as currency, and cannot and should not be used as currency in the market, Citizens' investment and transaction of virtual currency are not protected by law
2. The above explanation is for reference only. Before investing, it is suggested that you first understand the risks existing in the project, and clearly understand the investors, investment institutions, chain activity and other information of the project, rather than blindly investing or mistakenly entering the capital market
3. Investors should not use such information to replace their independent judgment or only make decisions based on such information, which does not constitute any investment operation
response time: February 4, 2021. Please refer to the official website of Ping An Bank for the latest business changes
[Ping An Bank I know] want to know more? Come and see "Ping An Bank I know" ~
https://b.pingan.com.cn/paim/iknow/index.html

7. Now the Shandong Provincial Center for Disease Control and prevention is not responsible for the health certificate and vaccination. Major hospitals can do it, but some hospitals may be temporarily short of vaccines, so they can call the hospital before going, and the hospital can call 114. Today, I went to the central hospital and had no vaccine. I took a taxi in Jinan hospital (Jinan rehabilitation hospital)

8. No, bitcoin was born at the end of 2008, and blockchain technology was well known 14 or 15 years later. It is the large-scale application of bitcoin that makes people pay attention to the underlying technology of blockchain.

9. In the case of spot, I suggest you don't be afraid to make up for the fall. I have prepared a lot of u in Bitz, waiting for him to fall. I hope my answer can help you. Thank you very much!

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