Bitcoin serious
first, the excessively free market - the copper price killer
bitcoin is born for freedom and lives for freedom, which has created a group of bitcoin fans who are crazy about pursuing freedom. The decentralization of the bitcoin exchange has been rampant for a time. The current situation of no supervision of the bitcoin exchange is obvious to all, and it can not be solved by itself, such as the forever anonymous dark village, the disorderly competition of mining machinery, etc. these important factors that are often ignored by people are also important drivers of the price drop
just think of the capitalist social system in the early days. People had great expectations and perseverance. They could sacrifice their lives for freedom and cut the rope on puppets at all costs. During the transition from feudal socialism to capitalism, people were like holding on to the water for several generations, suddenly came out to breathe fresh air, and no one was allowed to press themselves into the water again, The result is a social system of excessive freedom. The result of excessive freedom is that once someone obtains certain resources and social advantages, he can quickly devour everything around him like a black hole, forming a monopoly and giving birth to an oligarchy. They don't care about other people's lives, just like gladiators. If you lose, you have to bear all the consequences; If I win, I can enjoy some honor. But after all, oligarchs are a minority. Society is made up of thousands of ordinary people, so the system made up of people must be unstable and unreasonable. Therefore, modern capitalist society has learned to compromise. After learning from many advantages of capitalist society at that time, it is found that there are anti-monopoly laws, various anti-commercial bribery and other daily laws for proper supervision, In order to effectively delay the outbreak cycle of the financial crisis
the reason why so many words are used to describe capitalist society is that bitcoin has too many similarities with it. A brand new financial system does not depend on specific institutions or indivials, but also depends on all participants. With it, we can eliminate all external influences and keep our wallets. It's a great idea, but what about the reality? Holding a large amount of bitcoin, amzhuang can control the price of bitcoin. In the capital market, 1 billion yuan is only a very small amount. For the bitcoin market, it is enough to control the price rise and fall of any exchange, back and forth volatility, commonly known as "fleece". Easier said than done, as like as two peas in the market, you will be able to control the bitcoin in your hands. But you have to be in the market. For these makers, they can benefit from the ups and downs, because in the trend of the rising market, they will increase ring each shock period, and fall more every time the market falls. At the top of the pyramid, there are always only a few people
after more than a year of communication with players in the instry, we found that those who are still left behind are either deeply covered or persistent believers. Even if they are covered, only a few of them are entities. Most of the left behind are pure it houses, and they blush when they meet. Most of them have no financial experience, even few of them have speculated in stocks, so they are in shock, It's certain that Xiaosan will be injured< Another important factor is that, like stocks, the amount of cash in circulation is far less than the total value. Although several exchanges have not announced the amount of bitcoin and the total amount of RMB assets, it can be concluded from the data of mtgox's bankruptcy that the amount of cash announced by mtgox is US $40 million, Bitcoin is worth US $450 million, reaching a staggering 1:11. According to my preliminary understanding, the general comparison of domestic trading platforms is between 1:3 and 1:6, which is slightly better than mtfox, but it is also enough to illustrate the problem. Once the bear market comes, the power of shorting is far greater than that of long
although the stock market did not rise sharply last year, many people did profit from the stock market and attracted many of the few users who swayed between the stock market and bitcoin. Many of the professional investment users and deep-seated users who benefited from bitcoin also left the bitcoin instry for various reasons. The big reason is that for bitcoin, They think that in addition to speculation, it is a game played by technical talents. Although this is a misunderstanding, let's think about it from another perspective. If you are an investor outside the IT instry and face the world's largest trading platform, you will go bankrupt if it goes bankrupt. If bitcoin is stolen, it will be stolen without supervision and responsibility. What would you think? Therefore, the reason for today's situation is that the number of bitcoin has not decreased, but the capital is decreasing. Although there are many foreign advantages ring this period, the domestic situation has been declining. This is an indisputable fact
with the decrease of funds, long has lost enough momentum. The reason why there is no sharp decline is that there are still a number of bitcoin loyalists. Some of them have been engaged in bitcoin for several consecutive years, and almost every year they have to experience a similar slump. Therefore, they still firmly believe that this year is just a repetition of the market rules of previous years, and the final price will rise; Of course, I personally believe that in the long run, the trend of bitcoin will go up, but is it half a year or three to five years? I'm really not sure, because the biggest constant in the world is change. As the saying goes, the flowers are similar year by year, but the people are different year by year. The past experience may not be applicable to the present< Third, domestic policy - gold price killer
I don't know if the Americans have understood that it was not Japan, the United States, Europe, but China that decided the price of bitcoin in 2013. Made in China used to be a headache for foreigners. Now, they also realize the power of China's speculation. China's real estate speculators are like locusts everywhere they go. At present, China's speculators are also rapidly overdrawn the growth value of bitcoin. China, which has 80% of the world's trading volume, explicitly forbids the value of bitcoin as a medium of exchange, so it has no real value in China except for speculation
I believe that the world's understanding of the power of Chinese speculators in bitcoin began with the documents of five ministries and commissions, because before that, almost no organization participated in the international bitcoin conference. After that, many foreign media swarmed in, professional and unprofessional media came. This time, although the documents on April 15 have not been confirmed, the financial times interviewed bitcoin in advance, which shows that they recognize the power of Chinese speculators
why is an Internet proct that started in foreign countries so influenced by China's policies? This is not its main application place, which just reflects that the price of bitcoin is seriously out of its actual value line, artificially pushed up and overdrawn its value. In my opinion, without CCTV's report and China's participation, it would have been good for bitcoin to have a price of more than 1000 last year. It was also e to excessive attention, which created the fastest five ministerial documents in history< 4. Crazy miner - the ultimate price killer
the computing power of bitcoin miner has increased from 1p at the end of last year to more than 30p now. In less than five months, the price of bitcoin miner has dropped from 6000 to 2700 today. In other words, the number of miner has increased dozens of times, from CPU to motherboard, power supply, power supply, etc The chassis and processing costs are all paid in RMB. Just imagine how much cash flow the mining machine has taken from the whole bitcoin ecological chain. Once the cash flows into the hands of TSMC, motherboard factory and others, it will never be kept back. This is also the result of disorderly competition, once profitable, the number will never end! It is said that Shenzhen proces 90% of the world's computing power of mining machines, and each time the chips are streamed, the chips are less than 3.5 million, more than 20.3 million, not to mention the whole machine. A mining machine manufacturer I know in Shenzhen club said that he sold 1000 USB mining machines a minute, which shows the madness
to sum up, all aspects have exerted pressure on cash flow, so the continuous decline of bitcoin in the short term is caused by many reasons. Even without the 4.15 document, I believe a continuous decline process will be formed. As for the bottom, it depends on the belief of those who still hold fast to it and when the crazy mining machine will not continue, And the actual application of bitcoin in foreign countries
those who played with stocks in 2008 may find that bitcoin shares a striking resemblance to the price trend of stocks. If bitcoin goes up from 2000 to 5300, any good news, even an additional issue, will make stocks soar all the time. After that, although the stock surged to the highest point, the downward trend was like "defeat like a mountain". Any bad news would cause a decline. Coupled with the excessive issuance of new shares and serious overdraft of market cash, the a share once fell back to about 1600 points. Although it rebounded to more than 3000 points, it would still jump to about 2000 points. After several years of shock, it did not improve
bitcoin plate is small and easy to rise and fall. However, if the retail investors are excessively injured, bitcoin's loyalty can only be powerless to let bitcoin rise. The false rise of the makers will face a lot of market capital pressure and can only follow the trend
at present, there are several companies in the whole instry that can support short selling, such as fire coin, China bitcoin and okcoin, which also aggravates the dection process
of course, I am still very optimistic about the long-term development of bitcoin, but I really can't see how to break the current deadlock. The purpose of this article is to provide some personal opinions for the majority of small businesses. Maybe you are more in-depth and complete than I think, but finance is nothing more than that
Yesterday, I went to the electronic reading room. Not long after I plugged in the USB flash drive, the teacher suddenly asked everyone to unplug the USB flash drive. Some students found that all the files in the USB flash drive could not be opened, and there were two more documents asking for money
so everyone rushed to check, as long as the U disk inserted in the school computer were poisoned, large-scale computer poisoning occurred in the evening
a lot of people's information and graation thesis are in the computer. I really feel that hacker's behavior is disgusting. For the sake of money, regardless of the future of students, teachers' lifelong scientific research achievements...
hope to catch criminals as soon as possible and give them severe punishment by law
this virus will scan windows devices with open 445 file sharing port. As long as the user's device is on the Internet, hackers can implant blackmail software, remote control Trojan horse, virtual currency mining machine and other malicious programs in computers and servers
some security researchers point out that this large-scale network attack seems to be deployed through a worm application, and wannacry can spread among computers. What's more terrible is that unlike most malicious programs, this program can replicate and spread on its own in the network, and most of the current viruses still need to rely on the successful users to spread by cheating them to click the attachment with the attack code
the attack has affected 99 countries and as many as 75000 computers, but because the virus uses anonymous network and bitcoin anonymous transaction to obtain ransom, it is very difficult to track and locate the originator of the virus
There are many reasons for bitcoin's collapse. I think it is mainly because it has no government policy support, the conflict between cash bitcoin and virtual bitcoin, and the decline of public confidence in it. First of all, bitcoin is not supported by the government. It is not protected by relevant government policies. In China, the protection of the government is a big protective film. With policy protection, the impact of this slump will be minimized, and the government will share part of the pressure{ RRRRR}
in any case, there are a lot of reasons for bitcoin's collapse, and each has its own views
Burst position means that some people go up and some people go down. Although we can't describe bitcoin as a zero sum game , many people do suffer serious losses
for those small partners who recognize bitcoin, they very much recognize the value of bitcoin and believe that bitcoin will continue to rise in the next few decades P>
for those who deny bitcoin, they think bitcoin has no value, it is just a bubble of capital. I personally prefer the latter view. p>
bitcoin has more than 110000 people in one day
this news is absolutely a sensation in other instries, but in the bitcoin circle, it is a very normal phenomenon that more than 110000 people burst their positions. We know that bitcoin's big ups and downs are very common. Now bitcoin has broken through $60000, reaching the highest level ever. During this period, 110000 people will burst their positions at the same time on the same day. We can imagine how many people will lose money{ RRRRR}
because bitcoin is just a psychological currency at present, it is not allowed to withdraw cash from any channel
for those small partners who invest in bitcoin, if they need to withdraw cash in the process of investing in bitcoin, they need to do it through offline transactions rather than through the so-called financial management software. At present, many countries and regions do not recognize bitcoin as a virtual currency, and even some regions have listed bitcoin as a strictly prohibited object of speculation
bitcoin's sudden plunge
after landing $65000 before bitcoin, the current bitcoin is in the callback stage, and there will be a periodic plunge almost every once in a while. Now bitcoin has a big drop compared with before, and it is about $50000 at present. Because bitcoin's market is not stable, sometimes it can plummet by thousands of dollars in just one hour, which also leads to many people's positions bursting and losing money{ RRRRR}
some people say that one day in the coin circle, ten years in the world , which is not too much. I think investing in virtual currency is not suitable for most people, just like riding a roller coaster
The reason why bitcoin has fallen sharply recently is that for some institutional investors, they have withdrawn from the bitcoin market one after another. Therefore, the withdrawal of a large number of funds has led to a huge decline in the whole bitcoin market. As a result, some small investors have seen a certain degree of price decline, which has also triggered a certain degree of panic, So one after another selling bitcoin, making the price of bitcoin continue to fall{ RRRRR}