What is the impact of bitcoin inflation
bitcoin bulls often mention that the scarcity value of this cryptocurrency is the main reason for its continued rise. Bitcoin is similar to gold to some extent. The growth of its supply is extremely slow, and it is still slowing down. Its total supply will only reach 21 million
with the increasing interest of institutional investors and retail investors in bitcoin, global exchanges such as the Chicago Board of options (CBOE) have launched bitcoin futures contracts. This is likely to encourage more institutional investors to invest in bitcoin, while at the same time further curbing the price volatility of bitcoin
this much anticipated bitcoin futures trading has been launched on the Chicago Board of options exchange, which represents a significant step in the legalization of cryptocurrency. Futures is a derivative / financial instrument, which can force dealers to buy and sell an asset at a specific time and price
supply and demand
when compared with other virtual currencies, bitcoin always mentions "fixed output 21 million". In the early years, bitcoin had not been exposed to investors in a large area. It proced a lot and g a lot, but there was no demand. But now purchase bitcoin, the price is expensive, the output is small, the demand is big
analysts of jiafengruide believe that when there is an imbalance between supply and demand, commodity prices will be affected. Influenced by the policy, many bitcoin holders are now keeping a wait-and-see attitude. The decrease of bitcoin in circulation in the market and the increasing demand for bitcoin in the market are bound to push the price up, but in fact, it will not be the investment speculators who come into the market at this high level who will benefit in the end
popularization of regional chain
the report released by UBS in October mentioned the problem of regional chain technology. The report shows that by 2027, the global investment value of regional chain technology will reach 300 billion to 400 billion US dollars. And the regional chain as an infrastructure development, will be applied to more and more scenarios
at that time, whether the popularity of regional chain will raise the price of bitcoin is also full of uncertainty
investor confidence remains unchanged
although many institutions and financial giants are short of bitcoin, investors are still confident in the future value of bitcoin. After all, in history, is there any trading proct that can soar 7.54 million times in eight years
analysts at Jifeng Reed said that 10 years ago, the impact of the financial crisis left many countries so far unshadowed, and the share price bubble continued to expand, and investors would worry whether the original financial system would collapse again. Bitcoin, which has a strong performance, will attract more investors with capital inflows, thus driving up prices. In a way, bitcoin is already a safe haven
although the trading of bitcoin was suspended by China in September this year, bitcoin surged by more than 233% after de Sinicization< In November, bitcoin began to hard bifurcate, that is to say, the regional chain was divided into two parts, which is equivalent to doubling the issue of bitcoin, which means that the value of bitcoin will be diluted. Affected by the impending start of hard bifurcations, bitcoin started on November 9 and has been on the decline for four days
the suspension of the 2x fork, originally scheled for November 16, has eased the anxiety over the expansion of the bitcoin instry chain, and the market is a little relieved of the possible collapse crisis caused by the fork
bubble greater risk
many investors have seen the bitcoin appreciation and profit margins after they have entered the bitcoin trading market. However, the current domestic large-scale bitcoin trading platform has been completely closed, and the regulatory level has not relaxed the entry of bitcoin into the domestic market
bitcoin, as a speculative commodity, has great bubbles and unknown risks. We tend to ignore the risk, and it is often the risk that damages the funds in our pockets. When participating in a high-risk market, we must reasonably allocate personal assets, such as the allocation of stable financial procts such as stable profit selection investment plan. We must not use all our wealth to allocate high-risk investment procts
in a word, bitcoin has risen dramatically in recent years. It's hard to avoid some words like "you are the richest man in China now if you bought bitcoin eight years ago". But eight years ago, you didn't know that bitcoin could be as brilliant as it is today. You might as well change your vision and look for the next "bitcoin".
The sharp rise of bitcoin is expected, so for bitcoin, the result of the sharp rise is that some people make money and some people lose money, but no one thinks about the deeper result. For the deeper result, there will be problems affecting the world economy and the world environment. Therefore, the sharp rise of bitcoin may not be a good thing for human beings, Maybe it will be a devastating problem. Now let me talk about my thoughts and opinions on this matter for reference only
problem analysis
the soaring of bitcoin actually reflects the bad market economy. When the bad market is more serious, bitcoin may rise more, but in the end, when the economy is over, who will take over bitcoin? How do you know you're not the last one? So there are these problems behind the rapid rise of bitcoin, and these problems are closely related to people's lives. We should think about them calmly. The above are my personal views and ideas, for reference only
cryptocurrency has an exchange, but its price is determined according to the change of stock in the market. Many people want to buy bitcoin and other currencies, they have to go to these exchanges to buy, sell and other operations. In other words, the exchange provides a platform to facilitate bitcoin trading. Because of its encryption property, it is difficult for the regulatory level to uniformly deploy and implement relevant measures, so many countries prohibit bitcoin trading
but even so, bitcoin still has a high transaction value, part of which is the labor and cost of digging out coins, part of which is e to market factors. The total amount of coins is determined, so every coin g out will be one less. From the perspective of Marketization, the value of bitcoin will be higher and higher. Therefore, many people think that bitcoin has great value-added space, and many investors choose to hold bitcoin for a long time. As a result, the underlying bitcoin value is locked in. Later, bitcoin was also used in some social activities. For example, some foreign companies used bitcoin to pay their employees, and even bitcoin could be used for shopping
once the underlying value is determined, the sharp rise and fall of bitcoin is dominated by market behavior. This kind of uncertainty is more serious, and the market fluctuates more frequently. In the absence of relevant credit endorsement support, naturally, once there is any disturbance, bitcoin's value will fluctuate greatly.
Bitcoin burst in one day, and the price of 3.7 billion bitcoin keeps rising. For those large holders, they don't care, because the price rise of bitcoin is related to them, they buy a lot, which leads to the price rise, but it has an impact on retail investors
if you also like to invest, you can consider the fund, because although the fund is in the summer now, you have to say that it is a time when it can make a bottom. As for whether this is the real bottom, I don't know. However, the risk of the fund is much lower than that of the special currency, and the risk of the stock is higher, However, the stock trading system has been mature, it does not have so many trading risks, at most is the risk of price changes strong>
for bitcoin, such a virtual currency, if frequent large-scale rise, the entire capital market and investment field will have a certain impact, because for most investors, they can not find out the intrinsic value of such investment procts, and this asset behavior exists relatively large financial bubble. So for this unique virtual proct, its existence for the entire capital market, although it is a supplement to the financial attributes, but there are also many problems{ RRRRR}
and bitcoin skyrocketing will lead to a very big financial bubble, bitcoin prices are very unstable, often in a few days, there are very large fluctuations and ups and downs, for most ordinary investors, they simply can not afford this large increase and fall, so many investors will be a huge decline because of a number of non return. Even for some investors with poor psychological enrance, they may lose their lives directly because of investment failure. Therefore, the uncertainty of bitcoin price also has a certain impact on social stability. So for bitcoin, its investment risk is very large, and for the whole economy and society, it will increase the systemic risk of the whole society
bitcoin has not experienced big ups and falls for several days, and it may have much to do with the bubble of the market. Tesla's float is up to 990 million US dollars, or about 6 billion 400 million yuan. Some people really like this price, while others worry about it. After all, some people have made a lot of money in bitcoin, but some people think that the bubble will always be broken. The high price now does not know what will bring serious consequences. p> Third, the price of bitcoin can not be sustained< p> JPMorgan team believes that bitcoin's surge since January this year seems to be more affected by speculative capital flows. Analysts at the bank pointed out that in the past five months, the total institutional inflow was only about $11 billion, but the market value of bitcoin increased by about $700 billion. According to Xinhua news agency, JP Morgan believes that from the perspective of risk assets, the reasonable price range of bitcoin is $11000 to $25000. The price of $25000 has reflected the long-term acceptance of bitcoin by institutions, and the current price of more than $50000 is unsustainable
Before and after the Spring Festival, the price of bitcoin changed the declining trend since the beginning of 2018, with an overall increase of 90%. On February 21, it once rose to $11720. At present, it maintains a consolidation position of about US $10000 and chooses a new direction
in the short term, the current situation is much more optimistic than the previous range of 6000-8000 US dollars. But investors still need to be cautious until the direction is set
However, it can be seen that the regulatory policies of cryptocurrency in various countries are becoming more cautious. Therefore, in the short term, the price of bitcoin should not have a very sharp drop Note: This paper is not an investment proposalIn just 10 days, bitcoin has been in two crash market< every time bitcoin goes up and down, it increases the risk of speculators on April 23, bitcoin plummeted for the second time. In a single day, more than 500000 people burst their positions, and more than 20 billion yuan of funds disappeared
"bitcoin starts serial killing." A person in the instry said that according to the fluctuation of bitcoin, unless there is no leverage at all, the assets of those who are leveraged will be destroyed, and whether they are short or long, the lack of collateral will be forced to level off
bitcoin, with its high popularity, has also caused many voices recently. In April 25th, Liu Shengjun, Dean of the Institute of financial reform, bluntly pointed out that the bitcoin is utopia and has entered the final stage of "self entertaining" bubble at the 12th anniversary Festival and the financial planners summit. p>
"whether bitcoin will enter the final stage is still unknown, but bitcoin is really entertaining itself. There are at least two risks in investing in bitcoin in the future. First, the emergence of a strong enough digital currency will overturn the rules of bitcoin's game; Second, the change of regulatory rules will deeply affect its market development. " Li Quan commented
relevant national departments strengthen the supervision of bitcoin
at the same time, bitcoin plummeted, a strong supervision storm about virtual currency is also coming
in recent days, the CIRC and the central bank have made intensive voice to strengthen the risk warning of virtual currency respectively. Among them, the CIRC has stressed that it will pay close attention to the new risks under the banner of blockchain, virtual currency and debt service, and the central bank will also strengthen the risk prevention and disposal in view of the new methods and new problems such as using virtual currency and blockchain technology to evade traceability P>
above refer to China Youth Daily - ten days, 26% bitcoin bubble will be broken? p>