Jiangzhuoer predicts bitcoin in 2021

1.

About bitcoin, the news is flying all over the world these two days

specifically, a foundation called BTN foundation announced that it has set up a bitcoin bifurcated development team to launch a new bitcoin bifurcated BTN. Now its official website is online, which is called btn.kim. Two days later, bitgo, another bitcoin development team, announced that it would fork out from bitcoin. Its name is BTF, which literally means "bitcoin faith"

according to Yao yuan, a well-known bitcoin columnist, bitcoin will "have 10 children" in December, and will at least bifurcate out of 10 "children" such as BCX, SBTC and LBTC

as soon as these things happened, the bitcoin market began to fluctuate again, some investors blew up, and all kinds of rumors came out: why so many forks? Is bitcoin out of order

in fact, the bifurcating of bitcoin is far more complicated than what it shows. If we don't explain its historical background clearly, we really can't understand what happened

< b > the origin of bifurcations: the origin of the bifurcations of bitcoin has existed. The so-called bifurcations refer to the accounting differences caused by different underlying protocols. According to Xue Hongyan, director of the Internet financial center of Suning Financial Research Institute, bitcoin is jointly maintained by a number of point-to-point decentralized nodes. The orderly operation of the whole system depends on the consensus of all nodes, that is, there is a set of recognized standards for key issues such as which transactions are acceptable and which nodes have accounting rights. This set of standards is deployed in the underlying protocol of blockchain and implemented automatically

but nodes are operated by people after all, which is the so-called "miner", but everything operated by people will be different. For example, the miners of some nodes go online every day, while the miners of some nodes go online occasionally; Some nodes are in the eastern hemisphere, some nodes are in the Western Hemisphere... In a word, e to various reasons, over time, bitcoin has different underlying protocols in different nodes

if different versions of underlying protocols are running in a node, different standards will appear, which will result in bifurcation. If the nodes can deal with these version differences and finally form a unified standard, the bifurcation will eventually disappear, which is called soft bifurcation. If the difference cannot be eliminated, when some nodes continue to run different versions of the protocol, the bifurcation will continue, which is called hard bifurcation

it's easy to solve the problem of soft bifurcation, that is, if the account book is wrong, just modify it. Hard bifurcations are not easy to solve. No one thinks he is wrong and explains them according to his own standards. In the end, he can only go his own way and keep his own account. At present, bitcoin bifurcation refers to hard bifurcation

< b > the first bifurcations: the first hard bifurcations of bitcoin technology upgrade are purely technical reasons. The settlement performance of bitcoin itself is limited. According to the original technical agreement, bitcoin can only support up to seven settlements per second. This was not a problem in the early days. With the fire of bitcoin, more and more people flocked in, and the settlement became more frequent than ever. At this time, the original technology was not enough

therefore, in the middle of 2017, some miners proposed new technology agreements, but the other miners did not agree with them. Eventually, both sides held one end and ran their own underlying agreements, which was the first bifurcation in the history of bitcoin

However, with the development of bitcoin trading means, speculators graally regard the bifurcation as a means of money collection, which leads to a great change in the nature of the current bifurcation

the principle is that each bifurcation is essentially equivalent to the issue of a new digital currency, which is linked to bitcoin. The target audience is larger than the general ICO, and it is easier to be accepted by ordinary users than issuing a new digital currency directly

because the team that creates this kind of bifurcation takes the lead, it is very easy to control the transaction of the new currency, especially in the early stage, and it only needs a small cost to control the price trend of the whole currency. This leaves a lot of room for speculation. The forked team only needs to make the new currency accepted by the users, and then it can artificially raise the price to a sky high price. After the real users come in, they can sell all the money they hoard, and get high profits out of thin air

on October 25 this year, a domestic team forked out bitcoin gold (BTG). Two days before the forking, Jiang Zhuoer, CEO of leibitchi, denounced the forking as money looping: "Liao Xiang, founder of BTG, had g 200000 BTG coins in advance before the forking, and wanted to convert them into 20000 bitcoins, looping 80 million yuan."

The advantage of bifurcations can be seen, so that the word "bifurcations create value" has become popular in the field of currency speculation. For this reason, a new word "IFO" - first token issue has been derived

He Sheng, a well-known financial blogger, once told the media that most of the so-called IFO may evolve into the operation of collecting money by harvesting leeks. "Many previous ICOS are doing IFO, and ICO needs to write a white paper and go to the stock exchange to gain market recognition, while IFO does not even need to write a white paper."

this also explains why bitcoin is becoming more and more profitable. To put it bluntly, everyone wants Nakamoto

Can

< b > not bifurcate

whether it's Hong shuning of Suning finance, or Mike & Chen, CEO of bitgo, a bitcoin wallet software provider and one of the project leaders of segwit2x; Mike belshe, the instry actually refuses this bifurcation of bitcoin. In fact, real blockchain practitioners have always hated speculation. At present, the leading enterprises in the domestic blockchain instry have clearly expressed their opposition to the overflow of bitcoin bifurcation. For example, when Xunlei launched the first popular blockchain project in China, its CEO Chen Lei said in an interview: "Xunlei opposes all speculative activities using blockchain, so it is definitely against bitcoin for the purpose of speculation and leek cutting arbitrage."

However, to solve this problem, it is not enough to have an attitude alone, but to have specific means. The best way is not to let bitcoin bifurcate

this is difficult to achieve. Bitcoin's own technology is a relatively primitive blockchain technology with limited computing power. It can barely cope with the previous transaction scale. In view of the current situation of bitcoin fire, it is difficult to support. So sooner or later bitcoin will have to solve the problem of its own computing power

but there is no hope at all. With the innovation of blockchain technology, there will always be some new ways. For example, the shared computing proposed by Xunlei can effectively improve the total amount of computing power and rece the cost per unit of computing power without changing the existing hardware facilities. If bitcoin is combined with shared computing, it can effectively solve the problem of bitcoin's computing power limit without new bifurcation

secondly, the bifurcations for the purpose of cutting Chinese chives can be supervised by means of supervision. For example, compared with the real name system of special currency wallet, the real name system of transactions can effectively prevent the risk of Financial Bureau. At present, the real name system has been implemented in some blockchain projects, and has achieved good results. For example, Xunlei's blockchain is the first blockchain application to introce the real name system in China, which basically eliminates the hidden danger of malicious speculation

in a word, there is a way. It depends on whether bitcoin players accept it or not, and there is a process to implement it. It takes time. Therefore, at this stage, it is better for us to stay away from the bifurcations of bitcoin in various names

2. The concept of bitcoin was first proposed by Nakamoto in 2009. According to Nakamoto's idea, open source software was designed and released, and P2P network was built on it. Bitcoin is a kind of P2P digital currency

"Spring Festival red envelope" refers to the rising market of bitcoin ring the Spring Festival. Big V jiangzhuo'er once predicted the end of bitcoin on Weibo, and then it stopped the sharp decline since November 2018 and began to shock. In the same microblog, it was also mentioned that bitcoin bottomed out before the Spring Festival, which was thought by fans to be very likely to come true
latest bitcoin Market:
bitcoin (BTC) market_ Golden Finance

24459.78 & # 160; RMB 53.02 + 0.22%

02-11 14:27 Trading

3. In 2009, Nakamoto Tsung invented bitcoin, and he designed the issuing mechanism of bitcoin:
the issuance of bitcoin does not depend on indivials or teams, but through a process called "mining". By solving the problem of cryptography, people get the right to create new blocks and get rewards. It can be said that the new bitcoin is proced to reward miners to verify blocks. In the beginning, 50 bitcoins were awarded for each block packed. Nakamoto designed a set of rules. For every 210000 blocks excavated (about four years), the reward will be halved. This is what we call "halving" event
the first half was at the end of 2012, when 50 bitcoins were awarded to the 210000 block, but only 25 bitcoins were awarded to the 210001 block
the second half took place in the middle of 2016, and the reward was halved again, so 12.5 bitcoins were awarded in 420001 block
and so on...
until around 2140, 21 million bitcoins were g up, and then they stopped rewarding
Why do we need this half design? If bitcoin is issued too fast and there is no circulation limit, there will be a large amount of bitcoin in circulation in the market, and it will definitely be greatly devalued. One thing to remember: bitcoin is valuable. First, the number of bitcoins is fixed, that is 21 million; Moreover, through the halving process, inflation in the bitcoin economy can be suppressed
the third halving will take place in May this year. Let's wait and see.

4. This is where the myth of bitcoin really takes over. According to legend, Satoshi Nakamoto, an unknown person, released an agreement on the digital point-to-point system of decentralized digital currency on October 31, 2008. I urge you to read this short and wonderful paper. While the idea behind bitcoin is revolutionary, it can now begin to make more sense in the context of all other systems, not all of them. Bitcoin proposed blockchain as a synchronous network to solve the probability consensus. According to BFT, from having less than 50% of the total network hash rate of Byzantine rivals Security is achieved in different ways than other historical protocols. Blockchain is designed to support availability rather than consistency, and can support thousands of distributed nodes. The cost of decentralization is much lower throughput in terms of transactions per second (TPS).

5. In the 1980s, a group of talented programmers explored this problem in the password mail group. In 1982, David Chaum proposed an untraceable cryptography network payment system. Eight years later, he extended this idea to cryptology anonymous cash system, namely ecash.
2 in 1998, Wei Dai's paper elaborated an anonymous and distributed e-cash system: B-money. At the same time, Nick Szabo invented bitgold and put forward the workload proof mechanism. Users solve mathematical problems competitively, and then publish the results in series with encryption algorithm to build a property rights authentication system. Hal Finney improved the mechanism as a "reusable workload proof"
3 on the basis of previous work, in 2008, the little-known "Nakamoto Tsung" published "bitcoin: a peer-to-peer cash payment system" in the cryptography mailing list of metzdowd.com. On January 3, 2009, bitcoin network was born, and Nakamoto himself released the first version of open source bitcoin client
since then, the monetary history of mankind has opened a new page.

6.

From the moment bitcoin was born, it was worthless, then it was stir fried, and then it was stopped by the supervision. It's really a roller coaster story. The news of the closing of bitcoin trading platform is increasingly true, and the regulatory authorities have made a conclusion on domestic bitcoin trading platforms: "bitcoin China will shut down and withdraw from the market in the near future." So, can bitcoin investors withdraw cash

bitcoin China will be shut down

bitcoin China will be shut down: Xiaobian learned from multiple sources that bitcoin trading platform will be shut down at the end of September. Regulators close to the local Internet Finance rectification office told China first finance and economics reporters on September 14 that the regulatory authorities have reached a conclusion on the domestic bitcoin trading platform: "all of them will be shut down, and they will withdraw from the market in the near future."

Can bitcoin investors still withdraw cash?

Xiaobian then learned from the sources of Shanghai financial office that Shanghai has begun to issue "verbal instructions" to several bitcoin trading platforms under its jurisdiction, shut down the trading platforms and make them withdraw from the market. The time node is set at the end of September

as for the stock business of the platform, a person from a bitcoin platform told the reporter of China first finance and economics that the regulatory requirement is to "negotiate with the platform and customers". The above-mentioned sources close to the regulation also said that the regulatory requirements should be solved smoothly and properly, but the overall strength is relatively large this time

the voice of bitcoin China on the evening of September 14 confirms the above news. The official microblog announced that bitcoin China digital asset trading platform will stop new user registration from the same day; On September 30, 2017, the digital asset trading platform will stop all trading businesses. Bitcoin China's mining pool (national pool) and other businesses will not be affected

can bitcoin investors withdraw cash

first of all, before the implementation of regulatory policies, it is still possible to withdraw cash on the platform and convert bitcoin into RMB. In addition, if the policy is implemented, cash withdrawal can be completed in other international exchanges, such as the US dollar. According to the existing notice, if the virtual currency trading platform announces to suspend the exchange between legal tender and virtual currency, investors who have purchased virtual currencies such as bitcoin will not be able to withdraw RMB cash for the time being, an instry source said

however, cash withdrawal can be completed in other international exchanges, such as the US dollar. Take bitcoin as an example, you can transfer the bitcoin purchased on the domestic virtual currency trading platform to the bitcoin wallet, and then complete the withdrawal in the overseas virtual currency exchange. At the same time, cash can be withdrawn through the over-the-counter channel. According to the analysis of instry insiders, the over-the-counter trading channel between bitcoin and RMB (i.e. not trading through the platform) has not been blocked

7. When someone does something wrong, people's first reaction is to stop him. However, e to the factors of status and timing, sometimes direct check will have the opposite effect
I think the first step is to make sure that your parents are not deceived, because parents may be better at communicating. Then work with your parents to stop your uncle
I think you can find one or two professionals to teach your uncle, such as your teacher, and you can also find the content of online rumor refutation.

8. Virtual currency, two functions, speculation and money laundering

9.

Bitcoin is an electronic currency proced by open source P2P software. Digital currency is a kind of network virtual currency. Bitcoin is also paraphrased as "bitcoin."

bitcoin does not rely on specific currency institutions to issue, it is generated through a large number of calculations of specific algorithms. Bitcoin economy uses a distributed database composed of many nodes in the whole P2P network to confirm and record all transactions. The decentralized nature and algorithm of P2P can ensure that it is impossible to artificially manipulate the value of bitcoin through mass proction

< H2 > development materials:

unlike most currencies, bitcoin does not rely on specific currency institutions. It is generated by a large number of calculations based on specific algorithms. Bitcoin economy uses a distributed database composed of many nodes in the whole P2P network to confirm and record all transactions, And the use of cryptography design to ensure the security of all aspects of money circulation

the decentralized feature and algorithm of P2P can ensure that it is impossible to artificially control the value of bitcoin by mass manufacturing. The design based on cryptography can make bitcoin only be transferred or paid by the real owner. This also ensures the anonymity of money ownership and circulation transactions. The biggest difference between bitcoin and other virtual currencies is that the total amount of bitcoin is very limited and it has a strong scarcity. The monetary system used to have no more than 10.5 million in four years, after which the total number will be permanently limited to 21 million

bitcoin can be cashed and converted into the currency of most countries. Users can use bitcoin to buy some virtual items, such as clothes, hats and equipment in online games. As long as someone accepts it, they can also use bitcoin to buy real-life items

< H2 > reference: network bitcoin < H2 >