The impact of the US election in November on the bitcoin

1.

Now the price of bitcoin is hovering around $37800. For the price trend of bitcoin in 2019, cailu.com will discuss with you

1. First of all, we know that bitcoin is a virtual digital currency, which is an upgraded proct on the blockchain. At present, the transaction volume of bitcoin is the largest among the digital currencies. In the development of bitcoin, the speed is not very fast, the infrastructure is complete, and there are good regulatory policies. The price in 2019 can be expected

2. The attitude of the regulatory authorities: bitcoin is not protected by law in our country at present. It is a trading proct imported from or abroad. At present, it is still a proct that needs to be investigated in our country. The regulatory authorities should make corresponding policies on how the investigation results are suitable for our domestic transactions, and we can expect the price rise in the later period

3. For investors, to enter the digital money market is to gain profits from this market, but bitcoin is a very risky transaction. In addition, bitcoin has no limit on the rise and fall, and the risk is uncontrollable. According to the 28 law of the investment market, only a few people can make profits

generally speaking, we can look forward to bitcoin in 2019. At present, we can look forward to the $4000 mark. If we can break through it, the price may go up. Of course, we can't know what kind of news will appear in the future. If there is good news, the price of bitcoin will rise in 2019

2.

As for bitcoin's sharp rise and breaking the $48000 mark, I believe no one will expect that. What are the reasons for bitcoin's sharp rise? Will bitcoin continue to soar in the future? With these questions, let's analyze this problem. Here are my personal thoughts and opinions, for your reference and discussion only

problem analysis

the above has explained various factors of bitcoin soaring, but none of these factors is under our personal control, and when you invest, you can't guarantee that you can bear the loss, so when you choose to invest in bitcoin, you are doomed to pay for your decision, The world is so big and there are so many procts to invest in. Why choose bitcoin with such high risk? The above is my personal views and ideas, for reference only

3. As a financial technology enthusiast, kuanke online Xiaobian, I think, there are several major factors to promote
1, the short-term factors that determine the price: supply and demand and market sentiment
the relationship between supply and demand means that if the amount of money spent on buying bitcoin is more than that spent on selling bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will rise. If more people buy bitcoin, it will rise
market sentiment refers to the views of the market and the media on the price trend of bitcoin at that time. When many people strongly see bitcoin, the market sentiment is confident, and the price of bitcoin will rise rapidly. If the media makes pessimistic reports on the price of bitcoin, it will affect people's confidence and lead people to sell bitcoin, and the price of bitcoin will fall
2, the medium-term factors that determine the price: policy, news and mining cost
on the policy side, it is the policy attitude of governments towards bitcoin. For example, the recent crackdown and regulation of bitcoin by the South Korean government has led to a sharp drop in the price of bitcoin in the near future. If more and more countries support and encourage the development of bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will be higher and higher. On the contrary, if many countries begin to suppress bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will continue to fall
on the news side, there are some important things in the bitcoin instry. For example, around December, the two major stock exchanges in the United States launched bitcoin futures, which are good for bitcoin and directly push the price of bitcoin up to about $20000
mining cost is the cost of bitcoin miners using machines to dig out bitcoin. At present, the cost of digging out a bitcoin is about 12000 US dollars, so it is difficult for the price of bitcoin to fall below 12000 US dollars. Mining cost is the bottom line of bitcoin price. With the continuous increase of mining costs, the reason is that more competitors enter the mining field, especially many large institutions, companies and countries
3 determines the long-term price factors: the US dollar trend, the global bubble, the official digital currency, and the block chain technology.
the trend of the US dollar. According to the personal analysis data, the US dollar will weaken in the next few years, which means that the global monetary system with us dollar as the world currency in the past will be rebuilt. The rise and future of bitcoin is to assume the identity and mission of the world currency
global bubble. Since the United States abolished the gold standard Bretton Woods system in 70s, many countries in the United States have been printing banknote printing machines. The bubble of currency has caused the global economic bubble and asset bubble. The global economic crisis triggered by the US subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 is the crisis triggered by the currency bubble. At present, the global economic bubble and asset bubble have reached the critical point of collapse. The birth of bitcoin was e to the reason of the currency bubble, which made people no longer believe in the currency of national credit, and began to believe and recognize bitcoin.
official digital currency, countries around the world have begun to prepare to issue official digital currency, that is, digital currency issued by countries. Venezuela has issued a national level digital currency - Petroleum currency. Israel is preparing to issue it, Russia is also preparing to issue it, and the Japanese government is issuing it. 2018 will become the first year of the global official digital currency. The accelerated launch of official digital currency and its increasing popularity show that the value of bitcoin as internet currency is unlimited.

4. This is a global unification. It must be the same everywhere. Now it mainly depends on the attitude of the central banks of China and the United States towards the special currency

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6. The main principle of bitcoin and the blockchain technology behind bitcoin is to establish a global distributed ledger, Each node participating in account verification and packaging can query all the transaction details stored since Genesis to ensure that a sum of money in any account will not be spent twice. Every 10 minutes, the transaction is packed as a "block" and encrypted signature technology is used. The latter block uses the signature information of the previous block to sign itself, forming a signature "chain". Such a "blockchain" can ensure that the account and transaction information will not be tampered with Red circle)
refer to the development analysis and investment value evaluation report of China miner steel market released by guanyanxia
unconfirmed transactions are broadcast to the whole network every moment, and then all nodes (bitcoin miner) who are willing to participate in the verification of transactions will select some unconfirmed transactions to verify against the historical blockchain and package them into a "block" every 10 minutes, However, not all the blocks packed by bitcoin miners are effective blocks. Next, they need to participate in an arithmetic competition with increasing difficulty. The winner's results can be recognized by the whole network and rewarded (New bitcoin) (green circle). At the same time, when more than one person wins, only the result of one miner should be retained through the voting mechanism, and the confirmation of others should be cancelled
unconfirmed transactions are broadcast to the whole network all the time, and then all nodes (bitcoin miners) who are willing to participate in verifying transactions will select some unconfirmed transactions every 10 minutes to verify against the historical blockchain and package them into a "block", but not all the blocks packed by bitcoin miners are effective blocks, But next, we need to participate in an arithmetic competition with increasing difficulty. The winner's result can be recognized by the whole network and be rewarded (New bitcoin) (green circle). At the same time, when more than one person wins, only the result of one miner should be retained through the voting mechanism, and the confirmation of others should be cancelled.

7. Compared with the U.S. dollar, the king of global currencies, bitcoin is still a "small potato". Although the market value of bitcoin has risen to more than $1 trillion, the proportion is still small compared with the circulation supply of $19.4 trillion. However, it can not be ignored that the market value of bitcoin has increased about 55 times in the past four years and more than 100 times in the past seven years. Therefore, it is not impossible to compare bitcoin with the US dollar

a sub committee of the House Financial Services Committee will discuss how to prevent access to KB financing, including cryptocurrency. The US national security, international development and monetary policy sub committee will hold a hearing. The hearing will assess the "overall growth" in the popularity of cryptocurrencies as banks begin to tighten financing measures because of cryptocurrencies, the Commission said. In addition, US Treasury Secretary John Yellen has mentioned at least three times in the past five weeks that the use of cryptocurrency is a key issue
the Xueshuo innovation blockchain Technology Workstation of Lianqiao ecation online is the only approved "blockchain Technology Specialty" pilot workstation of "smart learning workshop 2020 Xueshuo innovation workstation" launched by the school planning, construction and development center of the Ministry of ecation of China. Based on providing diversified growth paths for students, the professional station promotes the reform of the training mode of the combination of professional degree research, proction, learning and research, and constructs the applied and compound talent training system.

8.

On July 25, 2020, the U.S. federal court said for the first time that bitcoin and other virtual currencies are a kind of "currency" covered by the country's laws, which means that bitcoin is not only a commodity transaction category, but also money with monetary attributes. However, the U.S. federal government does not regard it as legal tender, so there is no need to over read it. The U.S. dollar is still far from collapse, As far as the current world monetary pattern is concerned, it is difficult for us dollar to replace its position for the time being. Even if the United States recognizes bitcoin as a currency, it is difficult to compare it with the US dollar. It is only for various reasons

there is no doubt that blockchain technology will lead the market reform, optimize the current financial payment system, and form a more secure, fast and stable monetary system. There are many kinds of air currencies in the market, but they will not become the leading role. The last big corner is still in the central banks, The cryptocurrency launched by the central bank itself is the real mainstream in the future

I'm roseview finance. Please pay attention to more questions. Welcome to exchange and discuss with us. I hope it can help you

9. Bitcoin trading is pure online trading, which can be said to be completely unaffected - unless the number of dead people is followed by two zeros.

10. After the outbreak of the epidemic last year, the US dollar began to print in a crazy way. Within a month, the total amount of money printed in the past ten years was printed, leading to a vertical rise in the whole money supply

all kinds of signs make us dollar credit system full of uncertainty.