Estimated output BTC
bitcoin is a kind of network virtual currency. Bitcoin network generates new bitcoin through "mining". In essence, the so-called "mining" is to use computers to solve a complex mathematical problem to ensure the consistency of bitcoin network distributed accounting system. Assuming that the mining computing power is 100 mhash / s and the total computing power is 4000 ghash / s per day, 3600 bitcoins can be g out every 24 hours
China's computing power has accounted for more than 75% of the world, that is to say, 75% of bitcoin in the world is made in China. How long does it take to dig a bitcoin
bitcoin used to be very good at "digging", which can be done by ordinary computer CPU, and it can automatically "solve problems" by downloading software. But with the rise of currency price, more and more people want to "solve the problem", and the difficulty of mining is also increasing. Now, the amount of computation needed to dig a bitcoin is beyond the reach of ordinary people. Ordinary computers can't afford it
instry insiders said that in 2014, 100 bitcoins were generated from 500000 yuan of electricity charge per day, and the cost of electricity charge alone was 5000 yuan per coin. But now, the same cost has more than doubled, and the electricity cost of each bitcoin is as high as 10000 yuan
in the generation mechanism of bitcoin, mining reward is decreasing. At the beginning of the birth of bitcoin, the miners could get 50 bitcoins for each page of the ledger, and then 25 bitcoins for each page of the ledger, decreasing in turn. It's like digging gold. At first, it's more and less. The time point at which each new reward is reced by half is called half bitcoin proction
assuming that the mining computing power is 100 mhash / s, the total computing power is 4000 ghash / s per day in 2014, and 3600 bitcoins are g out every 24 hours
now, we can understand the difficulty of bitcoin digging in this way, which is equivalent to 100 million dice throwing numbers less than 100 million and 50 million. Whoever throws them first will get the bookkeeping right. At this point, 1050 million is a hash value. The process of throwing dice is called hash collision. The unit of mining power is the number of hash collisions per second
at present, the computing power of bitcoin in the whole network has reached 2.36 billion hash collisions per second, which is equivalent to the number of water droplets in more than 200000 50 meter long standard swimming pools. But even with such a large amount of computing power, it will take about 10 minutes to hit a hash value that meets the requirements
in 2012, bitcoin's output was halved for the first time, and in July 2016, bitcoin's output was halved for the second time. At present, 12.5 bitcoins are awarded for recording one page of account book. The next halving will take place around 2020, and the total number of bitcoins will not increase by 2040, with a total of 21 million
Related videos: how long does it take to dig a bitcoin
estimated proction = estimated sales volume + ending stock - beginning stock
if the estimated sales volume is given in the title, it will be used directly. It is usually calculated according to the sales budget. If the estimated sales volume is not given, it needs to be calculated.
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it is estimated that 21 million pieces will be excavated in 2140
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according to the relevant literature of bitcoin, in 2140, 2100 bitcoins will be proced and will not grow any more. According to the principle of bitcoin, after 33 halving periods, the mining output of each block will reach 0.58 Cong, less than the minimum unit of one Cong. The interval of each half rection is 210000 blocks, and the total proction time (2140 years) given in the above literature is calculated from the proction time of each block of 10 minutes 210000 * 10 / 60 / 24 / 365 = 3.9954 * 33 = 132 years. Since 2008, 132 years later, it is 2140 years)
however, the "proction time of each block is 10 minutes" used in the above calculation method is an ideal state, which is only true when the computing power and difficulty of the whole network do not change. Looking at the bitcoin blockchain, it is not difficult to find that bitcoin's whole network computing power has been growing for a long time, and the difficulty of mining has also increased. Therefore, it is not difficult to find out that the above calculation is not tenable and there is a huge error
the shortcomings of the above methods are that they can not accurately predict the change of bitcoin network computing power and the mining speed of bitcoin. The 11.3-day data used in the above calculation method is only the average value from May 2013 to April 5, 2014, and the representativeness is questionable. We can integrate the results of big data analysis and mining machine proction to establish a more accurate mathematical model
bitcoin network generates one block every 10 minutes on average, and the reward for each block is currently 12.5. At the earliest time, 50 BTCs were awarded to each block, which was halved after 210000 blocks were excavated, about once every four years. It is expected that the next halving will be in May 2020, when the reward for each block will become 6.25
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when preparing the "estimated proction volume" item in the proction budget, the following factors need to be considered: estimated sales volume, estimated beginning inventory and actual sales volume in the previous period
a total of 2100W bitcoins are issued, and each block is generated for 10 minutes, and a block rewards a certain number of bitcoins. In the beginning, 50 bitcoins were awarded for each block of mining. In the future, the reward was halved for every 21000 blocks (about once every four years). Now, 12.5 bitcoins are awarded for each block generated. The generation time of each block is 10 minutes, but with the development of computer technology, now the mining calculation power is increasing, so the generation time of a block must be less than 10 minutes, which requires certain control measures to ensure this time. This measure is the difficulty of mining. If the output time of each block is less than 10 minutes, the difficulty of mining will be increased. If the output time is more than 10 minutes, the difficulty of mining will be reced. The difficulty adjustment time is 2016 blocks, that is, 2 weeks
after every 2016 blocks, all nodes will automatically adjust the mining difficulty according to a certain formula. This formula is obtained by comparing the latest time spent in 2016 blocks in this cycle with the expected time (20160 minutes, i.e. two weeks)
new difficulty = old difficulty * (time spent in the past 2016 blocks / 20160 minutes)