BTC foam index

2. In online games, legal tender is game currency. All transactions of game players in the game should be completed through game currency. The role of the game company is the equivalent of the government, or, to be more exaggerated, the equivalent of God

game companies can control the economy in the game by controlling the generation of game currency (the rate of losing treasure). So, are game companies really omnipotent? The answer is No. what do game companies fear most

it is the offline transaction of players. After the players meet, they trade in RMB. I will give you money and you will give me the best equipment. In this way, they can directly skip the monitoring of the game company and affect the economic balance of the whole game

this is the reason why many online games prohibit players from trading offline, and even the game props can't be given away at all, because they are afraid that RMB trading will damage the economic system in the game

when playing the game, all players understand that the money, gold coins, diamonds, gemstones and so on in the game are essentially fake money. What is real money? It's RMB

you can only use RMB to exchange the currency in the game. The currency in the game can never be converted into RMB

you only need to understand this logic, and then replace the game company with the government

you can easily understand the essence of bitcoin. Whether it's US dollar, pound sterling or RMB, it's all issued by governments, and the government is equivalent to a game company

as long as you survive in this country, all your transactions should be completed through legal tender. However, the emergence of bitcoin is equivalent to "player offline trading". You can bypass the government and freely switch property among various countries. In the logic of bitcoin, US dollar, pound sterling and RMB become fake currencies, while bitcoin becomes real currency

the reason why bitcoin can become a real currency is that it is non renewable. There are only 21 million bitcoins, which will disappear after digging. Bitcoin, like gold, is non renewable. Whether you believe it or not, at least its logic is self consistent

but the currencies of different countries are different. As long as the government feels that it is short of money and turns on the banknote printing machine, it will be able to run full power for printing

this leads to inflation. I don't need to say anything about inflation. Comparing prices 20 years ago, 10 years ago and today, I believe everyone has his own understanding of inflation. In China, it is self-evident how much house prices have soared in the past two decades

many people buy a house not because they don't have a house to live in, but to fight against inflation. Ten thousand yuan to buy financial procts, ten years later, it will become twenty thousand yuan; Ten thousand to buy a house of one square meter, ten years later, it will become 100000 yuan

"house" was essentially "real currency" and "hard currency" before the emergence of bitcoin. The rich buy a lot of real estate to fight against inflation, but the house also has its disadvantages: first, if you really commit a crime,

the house can't be taken in your pocket, and the government should check and seal it, so there are still many risks; Second, a large number of houses are often difficult to sell, and the transaction takes a long period of time; Third, even if the house is sold, a lot of cash can not be transferred overseas. The emergence of bitcoin just perfectly solves these problems

bitcoin is installed in the hard disk. As long as you remember the password, there will be no one to check where you get it, and someone can't seal it (unless you rob your hard disk). Any fixed assets, cash need time cycle, bitcoin do not use, this second order, the next second cash to the account. Transfer assets overseas

is that true? Bitcoin was designed to bypass the monitoring of the national government and transfer assets perfectly and efficiently. Why do most ordinary people think bitcoin is useless, or even can't think of any use? Very simply,

poverty limits our imagination. As a small white-collar who works hard and earns money all his life, what assets need to be transferred? Estate tax? What's more, it's ridiculous. When people die, they just kick their legs. They never think about the need to avoid taxes on inheritance, but it's different for the rich

suppose that the inheritance tax of a certain country is 50%. Once the rich man dies, his son can only get half of his assets. However, if the rich man changes all his assets into bitcoin and gives his son the password hard disk, he will perfectly inherit it, and the government will not be able to collect any tax

(of course, this is only an ideal situation. In fact, it may not be perfect for tax avoidance, but it is still very enlightening). In addition, for law-abiding citizens, there is no risk of bankruptcy and home hunting

but for some of the top rich, they may not care about the amount of assets, but they are very concerned about the safety of assets. It's acceptable for a rich man with a fortune of 1 billion to lose 500 million in business. But what if he was robbed of his family for some inconvenient reasons? He can't accept direct bankruptcy

at this time, if he holds bitcoin, he will never be bankrupt, and no one can his bitcoin. At least we can leave some capital to make a comeback, or leave a way for future generations“ "Asset security" is what the top rich care about most, not more money but less security. To say that bitcoin can fight inflation caused by the government's printing money indiscriminately is just a good cover at this stage

only those in real need can know the real value of bitcoin and figure out its essence The ancients said: Chunjiang water warm ck prophet) this is also the most perfect function of bitcoin, which is recognized by a group of rich and anxious rich people all over the world, who are no longer willing to be controlled by the government,

or have their own blemishes in all aspects. They have reached a consensus by using bitcoin to maintain the security of their own assets by holding bitcoin together

therefore, bitcoin was not designed for the poor at first. When all living beings can understand the purpose of bitcoin, the price will not be affordable to the poor

some common mistakes about bitcoin: Q: isn't bitcoin really a Ponzi scheme? A: bitcoin is not a Ponzi scheme. Ponzi scheme needs to use the money of later generations to supplement the investors in front, and it is in the shape of a pyramid

bitcoin can be bought and sold freely, with ups and downs. If you don't buy or sell bitcoin, you can maintain the original price, which is similar to stocks. A stock can drop 90%, or even drop to delisting, can you simply say that the stock is a fraud

Q: does it make sense that bitcoin consumes a lot of power? A: it takes a lot of manpower and material resources to dig gold. What's the significance of digging gold? The power consumption of bitcoin is the same as the essence of gold mining, which expresses the recognition of its monetary attribute and its value. Q: bitcoin has no government recognition, so it has no value

also has no monetary attribute. A: the original intention of bitcoin is to fight against the government. It doesn't care whether it is recognized by the government or not. In addition, if the government breaks its promise, the currency will also be a piece of waste paper, not to mention Zimbabwe's 100 billion banknotes, and Venezuela's currency devaluation,

in terms of the bad inflation of legal currency before the liberation of our country, it was only 60 years ago. Q: what is the difference between bitcoin and tulip bubble? A: tulips are not non renewable. If they are planted, they will grow. If they are planted more, they will depreciate. There is no way to store them for a long time and cash them in time

similar foam and walnut walnut, all kinds of high-grade wood, strange stones, Tibetan mastiff... These are a way, is a bubble. There are only 21 million bitcoins, which will only be less and less

Q: the principle of bitcoin is very simple and easy to . Will it still have value? A: the principle of religion is also very simple from the perspective of modern people<

but apart from the several religions in Jerusalem, which are regarded as orthodox, what other religions have world-class influence? In fact, it's not many. You can count three to five

will modern people recognize the creation of a religion? Orthodoxy matters. It takes a long time and energy to cultivate the market

bitcoin is orthodox, authentic, the loudest and brightest brand, and the rest are niche. Q: do you think bitcoin is absolutely safe? Will hackers one day blackout bitcoin all over the world

A: This is a question of raising bar. At least for now, bitcoin is logically self consistent

you have to say that someone has broken the bitcoin system. It's like asking, "what if the aliens invade the earth tomorrow?", This possibility also exists, no one can deny, but this assumption is meaningless

Q: will there be a behind the scenes and a big dealer in bitcoin? When it rises to a certain height, it will throw everyone away

A: it may exist, but I think the probability is similar to the probability that Freemasons manipulate the world. This article is not bitcoin soft text, I did not buy bitcoin, just a simple chat about my understanding of bitcoin

I didn't buy bitcoin, and I won't recommend it to anyone

bitcoin has a great risk. The hard disk may be damaged by material resources, may be lost, and may forget the password. This risk is really great

with bitcoin jumping up and down, ordinary people may not be able to stand this fluctuation. If you want to buy it, it is suggested to look at it in a cycle of one year, three years, five years or even ten years. We should have the height and attitude of "not afraid of clouds covering our eyes", otherwise don't touch it

the stable currency usdt is a token issued by tether company based on the stable value currency USD. Tether company strictly abides by the 1:1 reserve guarantee, that is, every usdt token issued, its bank account will have a capital guarantee of USD, and users can exchange USD and TEDA at any time

1usdt = US $1, users can query funds on the tether platform to ensure transparency

use of usdt? Usdt can be said to be the intermediary carrier between digital currency and US dollar legal currency. Why do you say that? For novices, everyone is confused when they first enter the market,

buy usdt with legal currency, and then buy BTC, ETH or other currencies with usdt after a series of observation. Does this process seem familiar? There are also many contract exchanges that use usdt as contract margin

more stable currency to mainstream currency contract trading pairs appear in the options section of big exchanges. As a stable currency, its "stable" nature is reflected in the price and the consensus value it brings to us

of course, there is a price difference between inside and outside the court, let alone digital currency. So in addition to trading different digital currencies, you can also move bricks arbitrage! Brick arbitrage refers to the same commodity in different markets, there will always be different prices

as digital currency is a global asset, it is impossible for many exchanges and OTC trading platforms to have the same price at the same time

the price gap here is very small

3. As for the impact of various events on the price of bitcoin, there are four types of such events
political events: most of these events involve the government's attitude towards bitcoin, such as the Federal Reserve's recognition of bitcoin as a financial instrument, Germany's recognition of bitcoin as a currency, China's prohibition of financial institutions from participating in bitcoin trading, and Russia's prohibition of using bitcoin and participating in bitcoin mining. Although bitcoin itself is a neutral technology, it is not affected by politics, but the price of bitcoin will fluctuate dramatically because of such events. So far, this is the biggest factor affecting the price of bitcoin
exchange events: Although bitcoin is a decentralized currency, bitcoin transactions mainly take place in centralized exchanges. Since the birth of bitcoin, many exchanges have been stolen. For example, mtgox, the largest Japanese exchange, lost 700000 bitcoins. Recently, bitfinex, the Hong Kong exchange, lost 120000 bitcoins. Bitstamp, the Slovenian exchange, was attacked and lost 19000 bitcoins. Whenever such an event occurs, the risk of bitcoin trading increases sharply, and bitcoin will often usher in a larger decline
financial events: such events often come from the instability of the real financial world, such as the default of the Central Bank of Cyprus, which leads to zero savings of more than 100000 euros of the country's depositors, serious devaluation of Ukraine's currency under the pressure of war, and brexit of the UK, which weakens the stability of the euro area. Bitcoin, as a safe haven asset, is gaining more and more market recognition. At present, the trading volume of bitcoin in the world has exceeded that of gold ETF, and the instability of fiat money has caused the continuous rise of bitcoin
Technical events: as a decentralized open source network protocol, bitcoin's code is far from perfect. There have been several crises in bitcoin's protocol. For example, a certain upgrade of bitcoin protocol has not been unanimously recognized by the whole network. In the end, there is a double flower problem. The scalability of bitcoin's transaction makes it easy for hackers to attack and steal, At one time, it forced several bitcoin exchanges to suspend trading. Recently, there has been a heated debate about expansion in the bitcoin community, and no effective solution has been available, which has cast a shadow on the future of bitcoin. Whether the bitcoin protocol can continue to evolve is a long-term impact on the price of bitcoin.

4. The bubble risk of bitcoin is not enough to constitute systemic risk. This is because the participants are mainly indivials, and the normative financial institutions are hardly involved. The two bitcoin does not have the collateral nature of formal finance, that is to say, even if the bitcoin price falls sharply, it will not constitute a risk conction to the financial market.

5.

Not long ago, the total value of bitcoin in the world exceeded one billion US dollars for the first time. For a pure virtual currency without the support of a central bank or other authority, this is a remarkable achievement. But this is also temporary: we are experiencing a bitcoin bubble, and the bursting of bubbles is only a matter of time. P>

says bubbles are doomed to break down for several reasons. The first is: because it is a bubble, no matter what charts, if it grows into the above picture, it will usher in tears at the end of a certain moment. but there is a deeper reason - bitcoin is a strange mixture of goods and money. The commodity value of bitcoin is generated by its monetary value, but as its commodity attribute becomes more and more significant, its use as currency becomes smaller

the distrust of existing financial institutions by these people, including Nakamoto, is no exception. What makes Nakamoto different is that he turns this distrust into a philosophy, which is the most important driving force behind the bitcoin project. When he introced bitcoin to the world in February 2009, Nakamoto boasted that his new currency had achieved "complete decentralization and there was no credible party". Moreover, he explained in great detail the problems that he thought should be solved urgently:

"the fundamental problem of traditional currency is the trust needed to make it work. We must trust the central bank not to devalue the currency, but the history of fiat money is full of betrayal of this trust. We have to trust that banks will save our money and transfer them electronically, but they still lend money without reservation in the rising credit bubble. We have to trust them with our privacy and trust them not to let impostors take money out of our accounts. "

Nakamoto is not paranoid: what he said here is the same as Warren; What Mr. Buffett said in his letter to shareholders in 2012 doesn't make much difference

" under the current monetary system, known investment types include money market funds, bonds, mortgage loans, bank savings, and other forms. Most of these money based investments are considered "safe.". In fact, they are among the most dangerous assets

"in the past century, these investment methods have destroyed the purchasing power of investors in many countries, even if they can continue to harvest principal and interest in a timely manner. In addition, this terrible consequence will reappear again and again. Governments determine the final value of money, and systemic factors occasionally bias them toward policies that trigger inflation. From time to time, such policies get out of control

"even in the United States, which strongly appeals for currency stability, the depreciation of the US dollar since I took over the management of Berkshire in 1965 has reached an alarming 86%. What you could buy for a dollar back then costs as much as seven dollars today. "

if you hold dollars, you have to trust the US government not to destroy your wealth. By contrast, bitcoin is built on distrust - it's designed to be a "everyone for himself" currency. In vain, because of his stupidity, he was criticized by many people in the bitcoin world: what did he think of storing his e-wallet on an Internet connected windows machine

but even when using bitcoin, people have to trust others in the end - and the objects they trust often turn out to be unreliable

zero trust

this degree of distrust is not only a feature but also a loophole compared with the special coin - in fact, most of us are willing to outsource the task of hoarding wealth to a large trusted organization, rather than hiding $1000 under the black volcanic rock in the stone wall of the old oak root, Or a $90000 100 dollar bill wrapped in aluminum foil and hidden in the refrigerator. Managing bitcoin yourself is risky and requires high computer skills. But the trust needed to entrust one's own bitcoin to others is exactly what bitcoin aims to avoid

bitcoin's inherent suspicion of financial institutions not only distinguishes it from legal tender, but also makes it different from other virtual currencies, such as Facebook coin in the United States, Q coin in China and linden coin in the world's largest virtual game second life. All of these virtual currencies are closely monitored by the company that invented them, and are of little value outside these particular economies

some of these virtual currencies are about the same order of magnitude as bitcoin in scale, although it is difficult to compare them in the same sense for example, the annual revenue of Facebook coin is about one billion US dollars, and the market of Q coin in 2007 was so big that the people's Bank of China intervened and called on companies to stop trading with Q coin. In the recent bubble, bitcoins traded for more than $30 million a day, and most of the time they traded more than $5 million a day. The annual turnover will be about $2 billion, so long as the bubble will not burst. strong>