Three factors lead to bitcoin
There are many reasons for bitcoin's collapse. I think it is mainly because it has no government policy support, the conflict between cash bitcoin and virtual bitcoin, and the decline of public confidence in it. First of all, bitcoin is not supported by the government. It is not protected by relevant government policies. In China, the protection of the government is a big protective film. With policy protection, the impact of this slump will be minimized, and the government will share part of the pressure{ RRRRR}
in any case, there are a lot of reasons for bitcoin's collapse, and each has its own views
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factor 1: bitcoin's spot trading volume rose
the decline on March 13 caused BTC to drop from US $8000 to US $3600 within 24 hours, and the buying volume of coinbase, Kraken, binance, bitfinex and other spot exchanges surged
at the same time, open positions (used to describe the total number of long and short positions opened at a specific time) fell sharply in mainstream futures exchanges (including bitmex, binance futures and okex)
the sharp decline of open position and the obvious increase of spot purchase volume of futures exchange actually lead to the transformation of the market. The spot market began to control the price of bitcoin, rather than the futures market
the futures market usually causes sharp fluctuations in the price of bitcoin, because traders use leverage (borrowed funds) to trade cryptocurrency, while in the spot market, investors buy and sell bitcoin without borrowing funds
this change has stabilized the market, enabled the price of bitcoin to rebound without a significant correction, and the volatility is relatively low
factor 2: BTC should not have fallen below $4000 at the beginning
on March 31, coinbase published a blog post, describing in detail the market trend after bitcoin plummeted to $3600
the exchange said that most users of the platform bought bitcoin after a sudden decline, adding that the waterfall clearing led to a much lower decline in bitcoin on the futures exchange than on the spot exchange
coinbase explained: "waterfall clearing is the most prominent in bitmex, which provides highly leveraged procts. During the sell-off period, bitcoin trading price on bitmex was much lower than other exchanges. Until bitmex was maintained at the time of the highest volatility (based on DDoS attacks), waterfall clearing was suspended and prices rebounded rapidly. When the st settles, bitcoin hovers around $5000, before plummeting below $4000. "
this opens up a theory that bitcoin should not have fallen to $3000 in the first place, which explains why bitcoin rebounded rapidly to $7350 in a V-shape
factor 3: rapid recovery to key support level
since the beginning of 2018, the level of $5800 has been an important support area in history. Avoid bitcoin prices falling between $3000 and $4000, except in December 2018
bitcoin prices quickly recovered from the $3000 range to $5800 in seven days. After three tests in March, the price of $5800 became a strong bottom, allowing bitcoin to continue its rally.
The sharp drop in the price of bitcoin will affect the stock market, and the funds that buy bitcoin and the blocks related to blockchain will fall e to the sharp drop in the price of bitcoin
with the continuous development of science and technology and the emergence of emerging instries, bitcoin, as an emerging instry, has attracted the attention of many people. Bitcoin has increased tens of thousands of times in more than ten years, which makes many people feel incredible. Bitcoin has also become a symbol of wealth in everyone's mind. The sharp drop in the price of bitcoin will have an impact on the stock market, especially on the bitcoin funds and blockchain technology, which are closely related to bitcoin. The sharp drop in bitcoin will also cause investors' losses
I think there are three reasons for bitcoin's continuous rise
I. imbalance between supply and demand
in terms of demand, the output of bitcoin is designed to be only 21 million pieces, and the output is halved every four years. More and more people want to own bitcoin, and the imbalance between supply and demand leads to the soaring price of bitcoin. In addition, the mining machine will be replaced in four years. With the annual electricity charge unchanged, the mining cost of bitcoin will be doubled, and the price of bitcoin will be higher than the mining cost for a long time
in 2020, the total money supply of eight developed economies, including the United States, China, Europe and Japan, will reach 14 trillion US dollars this year. In addition, the total amount of money in the world's 12 largest economies has exploded to $94.8 trillion. You know, this is an astronomical number. In 2016, the total global money supply was only $60 trillion
2020 can be said to be the year of global water release, but there is even worse news that a new round of global water release in 2021 is on the way. Recently, in order to stabilize the financial market, Europe and the United States have released a huge amount of water again. The European Central Bank has released another 500 billion euros, and the US $900 billion economic stimulus plan has been signed and implemented. According to the prediction of Morgan Stanley, a world-famous investment bank, in the next two years, the scale of money printing of the four major banks in the world, namely, the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England, will be as high as US $5 trillion, and US $5 trillion in RMB will be US $32 trillion. In the past few decades, the total scale of water release of the four central banks will be US $25 trillion. Let's think about the volume of this wave of water release
With the development of science and technology, people's lives need to be digitized more and more. Digital currency is one of them. Bitcoin is the originator of digital currency. Its price once rose from less than one dollar to 20000 dollars. Later, with the continuous participation of people in the transaction, the price of bitcoin fluctuated greatly. Since the news that PayPal supported bitcoin transaction came out on the Internet, Bitcoin broke through several key obstacles and its price rose sharply. So what caused bitcoin to soar< PayPal supports bitcoin payment, which leads to a sharp rise in bitcoin. Bitcoin is the originator of digital currency, and it has a strong benchmarking effect. The price of bitcoin fluctuates, but it was relatively low before, so it rebounded from the bottom
1. PayPal is a world-famous payment tool, and its support has led to a sharp rise in bitcoin< p> PayPal has nearly 300 million users in the world. It can be used and traded across countries. Its support for bitcoin has led to people's belief that bitcoin can not be realized through digital currency exchanges, but can also buy things to pay. It widens the application scenarios and realizes in multiple channels. Therefore, after PayPal announced the news, bitcoin's price rose sharply{ RRRRR}if you have any other ideas about the special currency, please leave a comment
2, ditto
3, ditto
4, ditto.