Price after BTC bifurcation
About bitcoin, the news is flying all over the world these two days
specifically, a foundation called BTN foundation announced that it has set up a bitcoin bifurcated development team to launch a new bitcoin bifurcated BTN. Now its official website is online, which is called btn.kim. Two days later, bitgo, another bitcoin development team, announced that it would fork out from bitcoin. Its name is BTF, which literally means "bitcoin faith"
according to Yao yuan, a well-known bitcoin columnist, bitcoin will "have 10 children" in December, and will at least bifurcate out of 10 "children" such as BCX, SBTC and LBTC
as soon as these things happened, the bitcoin market began to fluctuate again, some investors blew up, and all kinds of rumors came out: why so many forks? Is bitcoin out of order
in fact, the bifurcating of bitcoin is far more complicated than what it shows. If we don't explain its historical background clearly, we really can't understand what happened
< b > the origin of bifurcations: the origin of the bifurcations of bitcoin has existed. The so-called bifurcations refer to the accounting differences caused by different underlying protocols. According to Xue Hongyan, director of the Internet financial center of Suning Financial Research Institute, bitcoin is jointly maintained by a number of point-to-point decentralized nodes. The orderly operation of the whole system depends on the consensus of all nodes, that is, there is a set of recognized standards for key issues such as which transactions are acceptable and which nodes have accounting rights. This set of standards is deployed in the underlying protocol of blockchain and implemented automatically
but nodes are operated by people after all, which is the so-called "miner", but everything operated by people will be different. For example, the miners of some nodes go online every day, while the miners of some nodes go online occasionally; Some nodes are in the eastern hemisphere, some nodes are in the Western Hemisphere... In a word, e to various reasons, over time, bitcoin has different underlying protocols in different nodes
if different versions of underlying protocols are running in a node, different standards will appear, which will result in bifurcation. If the nodes can deal with these version differences and finally form a unified standard, the bifurcation will eventually disappear, which is called soft bifurcation. If the difference cannot be eliminated, when some nodes continue to run different versions of the protocol, the bifurcation will continue, which is called hard bifurcation
it's easy to solve the problem of soft bifurcation, that is, if the account book is wrong, just modify it. Hard bifurcations are not easy to solve. No one thinks he is wrong and explains them according to his own standards. In the end, he can only go his own way and keep his own account. At present, bitcoin bifurcation refers to hard bifurcation
< b > the first bifurcations: the first hard bifurcations of bitcoin technology upgrade are purely technical reasons. The settlement performance of bitcoin itself is limited. According to the original technical agreement, bitcoin can only support up to seven settlements per second. This was not a problem in the early days. With the fire of bitcoin, more and more people flocked in, and the settlement became more frequent than ever. At this time, the original technology was not enough
therefore, in the middle of 2017, some miners proposed new technology agreements, but the other miners did not agree with them. Eventually, both sides held one end and ran their own underlying agreements, which was the first bifurcation in the history of bitcoin
However, with the development of bitcoin trading means, speculators graally regard the bifurcation as a means of money collection, which leads to a great change in the nature of the current bifurcationthe principle is that each bifurcation is essentially equivalent to the issue of a new digital currency, which is linked to bitcoin. The target audience is larger than the general ICO, and it is easier to be accepted by ordinary users than issuing a new digital currency directly
because the team that creates this kind of bifurcation takes the lead, it is very easy to control the transaction of the new currency, especially in the early stage, and it only needs a small cost to control the price trend of the whole currency. This leaves a lot of room for speculation. The forked team only needs to make the new currency accepted by the users, and then it can artificially raise the price to a sky high price. After the real users come in, they can sell all the money they hoard, and get high profits out of thin air
on October 25 this year, a domestic team forked out bitcoin gold (BTG). Two days before the forking, Jiang Zhuoer, CEO of leibitchi, denounced the forking as money looping: "Liao Xiang, founder of BTG, had g 200000 BTG coins in advance before the forking, and wanted to convert them into 20000 bitcoins, looping 80 million yuan."
The advantage of bifurcations can be seen, so that the word "bifurcations create value" has become popular in the field of currency speculation. For this reason, a new word "IFO" - first token issue has been derivedHe Sheng, a well-known financial blogger, once told the media that most of the so-called IFO may evolve into the operation of collecting money by harvesting leeks. "Many previous ICOS are doing IFO, and ICO needs to write a white paper and go to the stock exchange to gain market recognition, while IFO does not even need to write a white paper."
this also explains why bitcoin is becoming more and more profitable. To put it bluntly, everyone wants Nakamoto
Can< b > not bifurcate
whether it's Hong shuning of Suning finance, or Mike & Chen, CEO of bitgo, a bitcoin wallet software provider and one of the project leaders of segwit2x; Mike belshe, the instry actually refuses this bifurcation of bitcoin. In fact, real blockchain practitioners have always hated speculation. At present, the leading enterprises in the domestic blockchain instry have clearly expressed their opposition to the overflow of bitcoin bifurcation. For example, when Xunlei launched the first popular blockchain project in China, its CEO Chen Lei said in an interview: "Xunlei opposes all speculative activities using blockchain, so it is definitely against bitcoin for the purpose of speculation and leek cutting arbitrage."
However, to solve this problem, it is not enough to have an attitude alone, but to have specific means. The best way is not to let bitcoin bifurcatethis is difficult to achieve. Bitcoin's own technology is a relatively primitive blockchain technology with limited computing power. It can barely cope with the previous transaction scale. In view of the current situation of bitcoin fire, it is difficult to support. So sooner or later bitcoin will have to solve the problem of its own computing power
but there is no hope at all. With the innovation of blockchain technology, there will always be some new ways. For example, the shared computing proposed by Xunlei can effectively improve the total amount of computing power and rece the cost per unit of computing power without changing the existing hardware facilities. If bitcoin is combined with shared computing, it can effectively solve the problem of bitcoin's computing power limit without new bifurcation
secondly, the bifurcations for the purpose of cutting Chinese chives can be supervised by means of supervision. For example, compared with the real name system of special currency wallet, the real name system of transactions can effectively prevent the risk of Financial Bureau. At present, the real name system has been implemented in some blockchain projects, and has achieved good results. For example, Xunlei's blockchain is the first blockchain application to introce the real name system in China, which basically eliminates the hidden danger of malicious speculation
in a word, there is a way. It depends on whether bitcoin players accept it or not, and there is a process to implement it. It takes time. Therefore, at this stage, it is better for us to stay away from the bifurcations of bitcoin in various names
Q: What is bitcoin bifurcation and why
A: the reason why bitcoin bifurcates is that the underlying technology of bitcoin is blockchain. Some people begin to think that bitcoin's block capacity is too small and there are always congestion. So they ask for bitcoin's upgrade and expansion. Some people think that bitcoin's function is too single and its future development is not optimistic, So these people ask bitcoin to have the function of building DAPP (decentralized application), and some support it, while others oppose it. This kind of divergence can be understood as the bifurcation of bitcoin
Q: the classification of bitcoin bifurcation
A: there are two kinds of bifurcations of bitcoin, one is soft bifurcations, the other is hard bifurcations, so what is soft bifurcations
Q: the formation principle of soft bifurcation
A: soft fork refers to optimizing and modifying bugs in the original bitcoin network to improve the capacity of the block, such as 2m, 4m or 8m, 16m. The segwit lightning network is the mainstream solution, which is equivalent to a traffic jam on the main road, and the development team will build an auxiliary road to help the main road to divert congestion
this is a mild solution, which can make the original bitcoin network compatible with the network after soft bifurcation, and the main transaction of bitcoin is still on the main chain
Q: disadvantages of soft bifurcation
A: of course, there are disadvantages of soft bifurcation, that is, it can only solve the temporary congestion problem, and after the implementation of soft bifurcation, it can only keep the network unobstructed for a few years. In the future, it needs continuous expansion, which has an impact on the stability of the system
Q: what is hard bifurcation and its formation principle
A: another solution is hard fork, which means to upgrade the bitcoin system again, change the height of the block completely in the form of code, and take bitcoin unlimited as the mainstream solution. Generally speaking, it is equivalent to a traffic jam on the main road. We directly abandon this road and find a place to build a three-dimensional transportation hub on the ground and underground. All new cars use this transportation system, which changes the block size of the bitcoin network and optimizes the processing speed of the network
Q: what are the disadvantages of hard bifurcation
A: but hard bifurcations also have disadvantages, that is, they are not compatible with the original bitcoin system, which requires all people in the bitcoin network to support hard bifurcations. If some people do not support hard bifurcations, there will be two versions of bitcoin network, which will proce two bitcoins. The blockchains of the two bitcoins form a competitive relationship, This kind of internal friction will lead to greater price volatility and uncertainty of bitcoin's future situation
Q: a classic case of bitcoin bifurcation
A: Eth and etc are typical cases of hard bifurcation. The Dao project is a crowdfunding project initiated by slock.it, a blockchain Internet of things company. It was officially released in May 2016. As of June of that year, the Dao project has raised more than $160 million. It wasn't long before the Dao project was targeted by hackers. Because of the huge loopholes in the smart contract, the Dao project was transferred to ether coin with a market value of 50 million US dollars
in order to recover the assets of many investors and stop the panic, vitalik buterin, the founder of Ethereum, finally proposed the idea of hard bifurcation, and finally completed the hard bifurcation in block 1920000 of Ethereum through a majority vote of the community, rolling back all the Ethereum coins occupied by hackers
even though Ethereum hard bifurcates into two chains, some people who believe in the tamper proof property of blockchain still stay on the original chain of Ethereum classic. Today, Ethereum (ETH) and Ethereum classic (etc) are ranked in the top 20 in the global cryptocurrency market value, which is one of the reasons why they are regarded as classic cases in the field of hard bifurcations
Q: the difference and influence between soft bifurcation and hard bifurcation
A: for users, soft forking will not proce new bitcoin currency. They only need to understand the transaction mode and K-line characteristics of bitcoin. They only need a mainstream wallet of bitcoin
hard bifurcation will generate new currencies, and there may be more than one new currency. Once the core code of bitcoin is modified and the core code of bitcoin is reconstructed, there may be a second time for the first time, and btc1 and btc23456789 may all happen. Users will be confused. Which kind of coin would be better for me to trade? What kind of bitcoin do I use to pay for a large circulation range? In short, users with dyschooia will crash. Moreover, users need to download wallets of different hard bifurcated systems, which brings complex operation to save and pay bitcoin
however, correspondingly, the user's right to choose has also increased. You can choose the bitcoin code developed by the development team you like and trust. When the bifurcations of bitcoin are not clear, when the soft bifurcations start to activate and the computing power starts to vote, the best way for users to deal with it is to wait and see. Don't recharge and extract bitcoin in the process of bifurcation
in addition, soft fork will change the settlement mode of bitcoin all nodes, and some small settlement will be confirmed by the third party node, namely settlement channel. The settlement channel may incur part of the service charge. Similar to the role and business model of UnionPay
what is bitcoin bifurcation? The difference and influence of soft bifurcation and hard bifurcation
as we all know, there are two common types of bitcoin wallets:
first, the network version, which does not need to be downloaded by users, can directly access the wallet platform through a computer or mobile phone, and use bitcoin wallets
Second, the stand-alone version, which needs to be downloaded from the computer (or the lower end of the mobile phone) and installed before it can be used
in addition, there is a bitcoin wallet (Hard Wallet) similar to U disk
as a bitcoin wallet service platform, coin pack thinks that whether the bitcoin in the wallet will generate new tokens after bifurcation mainly depends on whether the wallet supports bitcoin bifurcation
as a bitcoin wallet, whether it is a network version, a stand-alone version or a hard wallet, it is necessary to compare the bifurcated support of bitcoin before a new token can be generated; Whether there is a new token proct depends on the users
users can also consult the customer service of the wallet to learn about the bifurcations of bitcoin.
I can only say that I don't know if it is possible for the makers to harvest Chinese chives, but it may be relatively small. When the market is falling, it usually causes the panic of leeks. This is the best time for the makers to buy the bottom at a low price < HR / > < blockquote > however, one thing we need to confirm is that such a decline is nothing compared with the special currency, and it has not even fallen out of the monthly line. In the history of bitcoin, it once fell by 94%. There are many more cases than this. Therefore, there is no need to over interpret the decline and look at the rise and fall of the currency market with the thinking of speculating in stocks personally believes that such a fall is a rectifying correction for a period of time when bitcoin has skyrocketed, bringing a lot of bubbles, and there is nothing too peculiar about what the market is doing. p> summary: bitcoin, as the pioneer of digital currency, although it has the first mover advantage, we can foresee that bitcoin will be the slowest and most backward digital currency in the future. Compared with eth or EOS with smart contract, the application of bitcoin will be extremely narrow. Another reason why bitcoin is not suitable as a currency is that the total amount of bitcoin is limited and cannot be over issued. However, the total amount of money should never be limited, because it will lead to deflation. Everyone will hoard bitcoin instead of trading it. Therefore, the trading volume will be very small, which indicates that bitcoin is not suitable for use as a kind of currency at all
Author: Huang Shiliang
source: Lightning HSL
Introction
this problem has been bothering me for a long time. I don't understand why those forked coins that have no technology, no team, and even no one to do publicity still have good prices. Who is buying them
Chapter 1 the greatest wealth making movement in human history from the perspective of history
the first historical event was the enclosure movement in England. This incident is described by our history books and Marx's political economy as a terrifying and aggressive movement, in which one part of the people want to occupy the land of another part. But if you go to the history books written by the British, you will find that this is a power confirmation event. That is, the state and the government give clear private ownership to the ownerless land in the name of law. Distribute the original ownerless land to indivials, and the ownerless land becomes wealth. Britain also started the first round of wealth creation revolution in human history - Instrial Revolution
the second historical event is the western development of US dollar. At that time, the American government encouraged the people to go to the West for proction and construction, and the measures adopted were similar to the British enclosure movement. The U.S. government announced that as long as the people go to a place, and then insert a flag, then how many kilometers of land around the flag belongs to you. The western part of the United States, once totally destitute, has become an unprecedented wealth
The third historical event is the Meiji Restoration in Japan. At that time, the Japanese upper class realized that it was necessary to engage in enterprises to make the country strong and rich, but the common people did not understand. The Japanese government has set up many state-owned enterprises. After the success of the enterprises, they were sold to private enterprises for one yuan. The Meiji Restoration turned a pan dependent state of the Qing Dynasty into a country that defeated its master. Later, Japanese enterprises did very well. Up to now, there are still a large number of world-class enterprises. This kind of distribution of state-owned (non owned) assets to the private sector with clear property rights is inseparable The fourth historical event is much closer to us. That's new China, which was founded 49 years later, and it eliminated private ownership very quickly. Land is owned by the state, that is, it is owned by no owner, and enterprises become state-owned enterprises. As a result, we all know, poor, miserable. In 1978, a new China began. In the 1980s, the state restored private ownership for the first time, though very implicitly. The 30-year system of land property rights has suddenly made us Chinese rich. Nima, if you have land, you don't have to starve at last In the 1980s, the state began to let people speculate in stocks. You know, as long as you dare to buy stocks, you will earn money. In fact, the stock market in the 1980s was the process of privatization of state enterprises. At that time, the enterprises were basically set up by national resourcesin the 1990s, there was a more extensive movement to create wealth in China. At that time, if you dare to set up an enterprise, the state would dare to grant you a piece of land, and then you just need to buy a few machines and put them there, You can borrow money from the bank. Your enterprise is called a limited liability company, but if you think about it carefully, in essence, the factory building was originally the state, the capital was the bank loan, and the bank was the state's. So the process is similar to that of the Japanese buying enterprises with one yuan
Liu Chuan and Zhang Ruimin in the 1990s?? This wave of entrepreneurs, who are now well-known, are actually "occupying" national resources and getting rich. Of course, Lenovo started with the nation, and the whole engineering team of Lenovo was also trained by the nation. But all these things that were originally in the name of the country are not wealth. As long as they are in the name of Liu Chuan, they immediately become enviable wealthwell, I think that's about it. Finally, an example is given
Do you think the Himalayas are wealth? No, at least not now. But if our country announces that this mountain is yours, you can build a fence at the foot of the mountain. Whoever can enter, who can climb the mountain, has the final say. Then you must be the richest man in the worldyou can see that if you turn a ownerless thing into a private thing, it will become wealth. This is the process of wealth creation
After the invention of the Internet, another online world paralleled the offline world appearedwhen I was in 1998, I went to the Internet bar and registered a lot of 5-digit QQ numbers. Now the 5-digit QQ is worth tens of thousands of yuan..... It's a pity that I forgot the password long ago
these QQ numbers were originally ownerless, but as long as they were registered and owned by specific people, they were worth so much money. You don't tell me what bubbles, what virtual wealth, TMD is someone willing to spend tens of thousands of dollars to buy a 5 digit QQ number. This is a real wealth. p>
another myth of wealth creation is domain names. We all know that the registration cost of domain names is very low. The domain name does not belong to anyone, but as long as you register, it belongs to you. Domain names are now a huge wealth market. The largest share of domain name wealth does not belong to domain name management companies, such as Wannet and Gouda. The real domain name wealth belongs to those who have been registered and belong to the private. Even if Alibaba gets a new suffix or something, it is very cheap at the beginning of the auction process, but after it is privately obtained, NIMA becomes more and more expensive
do you see that in the parallel world of the Internet, as long as we try to distribute the originally ownerless things to the private, wealth will come into being
Chapter 3 why is the fork coin valuable
no matter what it is, as long as there is a clear property right system and it belongs to the private, no matter how rubbish it is, it belongs to you, and it is likely to become wealth
land is like this. Ownerless land is not wealth, so Russia is the world's largest territorial country, but it is extremely poor. If Putin sells Siberia to private Chinese, so that the Chinese can buy a few hectares of land with just a few bitcoins, I tell you, in ten years, Russia will become a major center of the world's wealth. Re create the enclosure movement of British Empire and the myth of western development of American imperialism
If anyone owns the Himalayas, he must be the richest person in the world. But now that this thing is owned by the state, it's not wealth
the same is true for enterprises. As long as we find a way to give clear ownership to the private, no matter what the way is, we can give it for nothing, sell it to the private for one yuan, or cross the river by feeling for the stone. As long as the state recognizes it and the real executable law guarantees it, the enterprise will become a huge fortune and the stock will become wealth
The same is true for domain names and QQ numbersbitcoin and blockchain naturally have a clear ownership system. As long as you master the private key, it's yours, and no one can take it away. For any kind of currency, you don't care what it is, as long as it is really owned by you, because the property of blockchain, which is owned by you, is so guaranteed that it doesn't need the law or the government. As long as we believe in mathematics, we can clearly know that this thing really belongs to me. With such characteristics, it is very easy to become wealth. Everyone will think, this thing is mine, even if it's shit, it's also mine. If you want to take it away, it's impossible to give it away. You can buy it with money
that's the underlying reason why fork coins can be sold at a good price
Chapter 4 Why did Li Xiaolai give away the token of big.one for free. And a token PRS for press.one. Why send it
maybe the logic is the same. As long as specific things are fixed as ownership according to specific rules, then this thing will become wealth
Some of the big coins are given away free of charge, but the larger share is owned by the issuers. The part sent out becomes personal goods and wealth. By the way, the issuer's part is also estimated as a huge amount of propertyChapter 5 Conclusion
How can bitcoin, which clearly and accurately guarantees private ownership, be cheap
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bitcoin cash is affected by the tightening of domestic policies, and its price will continue to be low, especially the two sessions and G20 summit in March, which will have a huge impact on bitcoin cash. If the policies are good, bitcoin cash will return to the high point, if the policies are bad, it will continue to shake the market.
of course, bitcoin cash has been forked once. The forked currency can be traded on microbit, and the price has plummeted a lot, which is basically negligible. This is also the case with most of the forked currencies
bitcoin cash has removed isolation verification, and currently supports 8m, which has great advantages in stability and handling charges.