Global economic crisis will lead to bitcoin
1, the short-term factors that determine the price: supply and demand and market sentiment
the relationship between supply and demand means that if the amount of money spent on buying bitcoin is more than that spent on selling bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will rise. If more people buy bitcoin, it will rise
market sentiment refers to the views of the market and the media on the price trend of bitcoin at that time. When many people strongly see bitcoin, the market sentiment is confident, and the price of bitcoin will rise rapidly. If the media makes pessimistic reports on the price of bitcoin, it will affect people's confidence and lead people to sell bitcoin, and the price of bitcoin will fall
2, the medium-term factors that determine the price: policy, news and mining cost
on the policy side, it is the policy attitude of governments towards bitcoin. For example, the recent crackdown and regulation of bitcoin by the South Korean government has led to a sharp drop in the price of bitcoin in the near future. If more and more countries support and encourage the development of bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will be higher and higher. On the contrary, if many countries begin to suppress bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will continue to fall
on the news side, there are some important things in the bitcoin instry. For example, around December, the two major stock exchanges in the United States launched bitcoin futures, which are good for bitcoin and directly push the price of bitcoin up to about $20000
mining cost is the cost of bitcoin miners using machines to dig out bitcoin. At present, the cost of digging out a bitcoin is about 12000 US dollars, so it is difficult for the price of bitcoin to fall below 12000 US dollars. Mining cost is the bottom line of bitcoin price. With the continuous increase of mining costs, the reason is that more competitors enter the mining field, especially many large institutions, companies and countries
3 determines the long-term price factors: the US dollar trend, the global bubble, the official digital currency, and the block chain technology.
the trend of the US dollar. According to the personal analysis data, the US dollar will weaken in the next few years, which means that the global monetary system with us dollar as the world currency in the past will be rebuilt. The rise and future of bitcoin is to assume the identity and mission of the world currency
global bubble. Since the United States abolished the gold standard Bretton Woods system in 70s, many countries in the United States have been printing banknote printing machines. The bubble of currency has caused the global economic bubble and asset bubble. The global economic crisis triggered by the US subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 is the crisis triggered by the currency bubble. At present, the global economic bubble and asset bubble have reached the critical point of collapse. The birth of bitcoin was e to the reason of the currency bubble, which made people no longer believe in the currency of national credit, and began to believe and recognize bitcoin.
official digital currency, countries around the world have begun to prepare to issue official digital currency, that is, digital currency issued by countries. Venezuela has issued a national level digital currency - Petroleum currency. Israel is preparing to issue it, Russia is also preparing to issue it, and the Japanese government is issuing it. 2018 will become the first year of the global official digital currency. The accelerated launch of official digital currency and its increasing popularity show that the value of bitcoin as internet currency is unlimited.
same
the association added: "other factors that affect the price of gold."
the world gold association said. There is an indirect positive relationship between these markets and interest rates, that is, the periodic rise of interest rates is usually accompanied by the increase of economic growth and consumer spending
the world gold association said. As of December 31, the real yields on three-month and one-year treasury bonds were - 0.73% and - 0.05%, respectively. Since 2008, the Federal Reserve has kept the federal funds rate close to zero
although the Fed was initially expected to raise interest rates for the first time in a decade in June this year, a series of mixed economic data, low inflation rate and dovish comments on the US economic growth rate issued by Fed chairman Yellen delayed the schele of raising interest rates, including some factors positively related to economic growth, It emphasizes that gold is an important diversified asset and a portfolio asset for risk management. "
in terms of investment demand, gold will continue to be a diversified asset
the World Gold Council said: "even when the nominal interest rate rises to 4%, gold has been quite effective in diversifying the investment portfolio and recing the risk of real interest rate, and it is not very sensitive to the change of interest rate in the United States. This helps to increase the demand for gold, as some investors will use gold to supplement bonds when managing equity risks and diversifying their portfolios. The impact of the US dollar interest rate increase on gold is the same as that of bitcoin, and the US Federal Reserve interest rate increase may not have the adverse effect on gold price as many people think
the relationship between gold prices and interest rates is more complex than it appears and more fragile than in the past, the World Gold Council said in a report on Thursday. In addition, demand for jewelry and technology is largely Pro cyclical, prompting investors to turn to profitable assets
according to the World Gold Council, the percentage is 0.6%
according to the association, the following is the impact of US dollar interest rate increase on gold. The view that US interest rate increase affects gold price is not as strong as before, because this situation is largely based on the market's analysis of gold price and interest rate performance from 1970s to 1980s. At that time, the economy was very different from what it is now< According to the World Gold Council, the gold market is also different:
the World Gold Council (WGC) claims that "the interest rate increase will not improve the prospects of fixed income assets. The demand for jewelry and technology accounts for nearly 60% of the annual demand for physical gold and is far below the threshold level. Over the past decade, demand for gold in developed markets has fallen from more than 60% in the 1970s to less than 30%. Emerging market demand for gold accounts for 70% a year, as stocks and bonds are likely to provide below average returns over the next few years. "
in the past 12 months. This role is becoming increasingly important. At the current yield level, the rising space of bonds may be limited, so it is not as effective as gold in easing equity risk
the price of bitcoin once plummeted to US $48000. There are many reasons for the rise and fall of bitcoin, one of which is the recent capital investment and speculation with the rapid development of Internet economy and network technology, bitcoin, a new open source currency, is born, which is different from traditional virtual currency. Bitcoin has initially formed a relatively complete instrial chain and market, and has become a popular financial investment proct. At the same time, it provides new ideas for the reform of e-commerce payment methods. But the price of bitcoin fluctuates a lot< since its birth, its price has experienced several sharp rises and falls. The main reasons for bitcoin's ups and downs are as follows Secondly, it is not widely used. As more and more people regard it as an investment proct, it may lose the function of currency circulation. bitcoin can be easily used in transnational money laundering activities, which has aroused the attention of financial regulators. In theory, if you want to transfer funds from China to the United States, you only need to convert RMB into bitcoin in the exchanges supporting Chinese accounts, and then sell bitcoin in the exchanges supporting U.S. bank accounts and withdraw it< transnational capital transfer is usually subject to strict supervision, and the cost of illegal underground transfer is very high. Bitcoin, as an intermediary, can transfer funds quickly at low cost strong>
bitcoin fell by more than $10000 a day. There are many reasons for the sharp fall of bitcoin. First, the most important thing is the support of relevant departments. Second, whether some big companies circulate bitcoin and whether people are willing to accept bitcoin
when it comes to bitcoin, people immediately think of a very popular virtual currency on the Internet recently. This kind of currency is g up through graphics card and precise calculation, so now the price of a bitcoin is very high, but it has dropped a little recently e to various reasons, but it still can't resist the enthusiasm of many people for bitcoin, if you want to dig bitcoin, Well, maybe the dividend period is over now. A good computer may take half a year to a year to dig up a bitcoin. So let's not consider this aspect. Today, I'm going to talk about some reasons for the sharp decline of bitcoin
if you have any good ideas about some investment techniques of bitcoin, please share them below the comments
The crazy rise of bitcoin price reflects the potential crisis in the global financial market, that is, it may be rotten in the hands and can not be realized. All kinds of virtual currencies you see now are very popular, but you should clearly know that virtual currency itself has no economic value and is not recognized by any government, If you say that he has no value and no one will buy him, he has no value at all{ RRRRR}
although it is simple to say, it is not so simple in actual operation, but the general principle is similar, because the virtual currency itself is affected by the investment tuyere, more and more investors pour into the instry, and oversupply will lead to its price rising rapidly. Before Tesla put forward a one currency car purchase plan, If it can be implemented, it means that it has the purchasing power in real life, and the risk is much lower. At the same time, there are a lot of virtual currencies. Because of the rapid rise in the price, also because of this, its price once rose rapidly, but whether it can survive or not strong>