Analysis of November 19, 2019 bitcoin

By midday, bitcoin had fallen to around $10700. Bitcoin's previous attempt to break through $12000 failed, and yesterday's downward trend continues to this day. As a result, the cryptocurrency market fell, with 90 of the top 100 currencies falling

in the past 24 hours, according to the okex platform, the net outflow amount of bitcoin reached 638 million yuan, and according to the currency security data, the net outflow amount of bitcoin reached 152 million yuan. Although the capital outflow in the past 24 hours is relatively large, it has decreased compared with yesterday's capital outflow, and bitcoin has hit the bottom of US $10600 for many times in the past 24 hours. However, in terms of trading volume, there is strong support in this position. After that, we still need to observe the withdrawal of funds, so as to confirm whether the market goes up or continues to fall below the down. In fact, the so-called "bear market" in the currency circle is more popular than the "three o'clock community" before. In my opinion, I basically dare to assert that there are makers in the currency circle who have successfully harvested a batch of "leeks" by using some financial means or big men. This view may sound like "conspiracy theory" to many people, But I have to admit that speculators are everywhere in the coin circle. Zhu Xiaohu's warning that "I hope you don't stay in history because you reap leeks to earn money with blood" also has a certain basis in my opinion

the craziest time was in December 2017, when bitcoin reached more than 100000 yuan. Before that, people who invested in bitcoin could make a fortune overnight. At the end of 2017, the price dropped to below 40000 yuan, and there was also a correction in 2018

there are two ways to invest in bitcoin

one is to buy bitcoin directly and wait for it to rise, that is, simply buy it low and sell it high. Judging from the historical data and the popularity of blockchain, there is still a lot of room for bitcoin to rise, but the cost of this investment method is relatively low, and the price of bitcoin fluctuates too much, so although the income of buying bitcoin directly is high, But the risk is also great

the other is to "dig" bitcoin with professional equipment. The total amount of bitcoin is 21 million. mining is the only way to get bitcoin, that is, through a professional computer, which is called mining machine in the instry, to get bitcoin through a lot of calculation, and then sell bitcoin to get income. At present, the price of a mining machine is about 10000, Another problem is the cost of electricity. This kind of equipment consumes a lot of power and needs 24-hour uninterrupted operation, so after a long time, the electricity cost is not a small cost

at present, there are many people engaged in mining, mostly in the form of mines, finding cheap electricity for centralized mining to rece costs

every day will generate income, the highest is more than 200. In addition, the fluctuation of the currency price has little impact on the mining, because the bitcoin can be sold at any price. Even if the price of the coin is low, it can be sold after the price rises. Therefore, the investment income is relatively stable, the risk is relatively low, and the current machine price is also low, There is no threshold for investment, so it is a good opportunity for investment

compared with self built mines, it has certain advantages to invest in mining machinery trusteeship business. Firstly, the time cost is saved to a certain extent, and the mining business can be started immediately. Secondly, unnecessary expenses, such as labor cost, are saved. Since the custody business concentrates the mining machines of multiple investors in one mine, the labor cost is shared by all investors. Finally, there are cheaper electricity prices. The ultimate goal of hosting enterprises to carry out mining machinery hosting business is to make profits. If they can not get lower than the normal electricity price on the market, it is difficult for hosting enterprises to make profits. Of course, the electricity price given to investors will also be lower than the normal electricity price on the market. Another important advantage is that some trusteeship enterprises are able to cash the virtual currency g up by investors' mining machines directly, which also relieves some investors from the worry that they can't cash the virtual currency

is mining profitable or not? There are several factors affecting the mining income: first, the currency price. The higher the currency price, the more profitable the mining. The second is the difficulty. The slower the difficulty rises, the more profitable the mining will be. The lower the cost, the more profitable the mining. Of course, the cost here refers to the purchasing cost and operating cost of computing power, including labor, network, construction, electricity and so on. The lower the cost, the better. Mining needs to deal with the risk of currency price plummeting, mining difficulty soaring, and mining costs rising. At present, the risk of mining currency speculation is much smaller

now the currency price continues to fall. Some people say that it's better to buy money directly than to buy a miner. In fact, it's not the case. Buying money must bear the risk of currency price falling, and the risk and income coexist, while buying a miner is to "protect the income from drought and flood" and keep the value of money rising; In the absence of rich market experience, the decision to buy money is only the choice of speculators

Last night's bitcoin was destined to be recorded in history

at 2:00 a.m., bitcoin suddenly plummeted, rapidly falling by nearly $1500. 3: 45, bitcoin fell rapidly from $9700 to a low of $7998. This is the first time since mid June that bitcoin has fallen below $8000, the lowest level in four months

according to the statistics of coin data, in the past 24 hours, a total of 920 million usdt (about RMB 6.65 billion) of burst orders were added

"bitcoin crash" also appeared on the microblog hot search list again two months later

it is worth noting that a few days ago, there was news in the market that "the Central Bank of China will issue digital currency within 80 days". At a news conference yesterday (September 24), Yi Gang, governor of the people's Bank of China, said that there is no timetable for the introction of digital currency. He said the goal of digital currency and electronic payment in the future is to replace part of cash

bitcoin plummeted by more than 15% in 100 minutes

below US $8000

last night, the collapse of bitcoin shocked investors again

at 2:00 a.m., bitcoin suddenly plummeted, rapidly falling by nearly $1500. 3: 45, bitcoin fell to a low of $7998, down more than 15%. This is the first time since mid June that bitcoin has fallen below $8000, the lowest level in four months

"in terms of bitcoin, this is quite a rare event," said Qiao Wang, proct director of messari, a New York based cryptocurrency centric data and research company

so far, bitcoin has plummeted nearly 35% from the highest point of US $13355 in the year

this means that bitcoin's bull market in 2019 is in trouble

since September 2, BTC has started to collapse from a bearish downward triangle, which has been noticed by most people in the cryptocurrency twitter community

some market participants said that the decline of bitcoin was partly e to technical factors. They pointed out that the digital currency has been falling in a triangle, which is a bearish signal

ZBG CMO Lizzie of the Hong Kong digital currency exchange
Lo told the fund that a series of expectations have been digested, including the expected baktt exchange online, but the trading is flat. In addition, the institutions will make corresponding strategic adjustments,
several major institutions short bitcoin

as of the press release, the price of bitcoin was $8651.53, down 11.08% in the past 24 hours

and the coin circle is also full of sorrow: EOS, Ethereum, etc. all fell by more than 10%

however, Lizzie Lo said that after a round of slump,
it noticed that usdt, a stable currency, had a large premium as a ticket for investment in the currency circle, which meant that there was a lot of money on the sidelines. In the medium and long term, it believes in the consensus of bitcoin, and the downward adjustment only gives opportunities for traditional funds that had not entered the market

investors were awakened by qiangping's SMS in the middle of the night

the overall collapse of the currency circle has brought about a miserable contract market, which was full of blood last night

according to the statistics of coin data, in the past 24 hours, a total of 920 million usdt (about RMB 6.65 billion) of burst orders were added. Among them, bitcoin added 6.34 million burst warehouse receipts, about 72000
BTC; EOS added 9.79 million explosive warehouse receipts, about 36.07 million EOS; Ethereum added 10.5 million explosive warehouse receipts, about 652000 eth

some bitcoin investors said that they woke up in the middle of the night last night, received a burst SMS, and then couldn't sleep any more...

the long short ratio ranged from 2:1 to 1:1

however, there were also those who made a lot of money by shorting:

according to the triple BTC short index of ZBG platform, the short profit reached its peak at 3:30 on September 25. So far, the short index has grown by 33.5% in 24 hours

Lizzie Lo points out that at 3:30 a.m., the triple shorting index reaches its peak, which means that the most people are short at that time

under the crazy counterattack of bears, the market long short ratio was slaughtered from 2:1 to 1:1

in addition, as investors sought to close their positions in the crazy sell-off, they withdrew from the market of $30 billion within 24 hours About 213.3 billion yuan)

I would like to say a few points about digital currency. First, the people's Bank of China has been studying digital currency since 2014. We have a digital currency Research Institute and a special team, and we have made positive progress. We combine the central bank's digital currency and electronic payment tools, so it is called a package of digital currency and electronic payment

Fourth, we will adhere to the centralized management, do not presuppose the technical route in the research and development work, we can choose the best in the market through fair competition, we can consider the blockchain technology, we can also adopt the new technology evolved from the existing electronic payment, fully mobilize the enthusiasm and creativity of the market, we have also set up a mechanism compatible with the incentive mechanism of market institutions. As for when you ask, we don't have a timetable. I think there will be a series of research, testing, pilot, assessment and risk prevention. Especially if digital currency is used across borders, there will be a series of regulatory requirements such as anti money laundering, anti terrorist financing, anti tax haven and "know your customer"

- for more data, please refer to the in depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of China's blockchain instry published by foresight Instry Research Institute