Prospects of bitcoin cash SV
1. The advantages of bitcoin are exaggerated: About decentralization, no transaction costs and anti inflation
it is true that bitcoin has various advantages over paper money, but these advantages have been over interpreted. First of all, bitcoin is a kind of decentralized currency, which will not have the same risk of central bank controlling money supply and affecting market value as paper money; Bitcoin is mainly held in the hands of large investors, and the market depth is not enough. At present, the trading behavior of large investors is also very easy to affect the price of bitcoin. Even if the attribute of decentralization is regarded as the advantage of bitcoin when it is fully mature, then the prerequisite of holding decentralization should be added. In addition, there are great differences between centralized and decentralized online payment systems in the degree and type of financial risks they are exposed to
secondly, the low transaction cost of bitcoin is not without transaction cost. On the contrary, e to the increasing difficulty of bitcoin mining and the further stability of currency value, the dependence of relevant transaction platforms on transaction cost will increase, which will certainly increase the transaction cost. Finally, the confidentiality of the bitcoin transaction needs to be discussed. The principle of the bitcoin transaction makes all the processes of each bitcoin transaction stored in each machine. If someone can determine the real background of a transaction, they can find all the transactions down and up through these data
compared with other advantages, anti inflation or anti inflation is the most publicized advantage. Although its supply is stable and the upper limit of supply is locked according to its algorithm, unless the whole world is unified and all countries use bits as currency, it can not prevent the over issuance of money only as a means of payment or a storage of value, just as the current existence of gold can not constrain the growth of each country's currency. If bits can only be used as a means of payment in local areas (such as the network), then global or some countries' inflation will still be transmitted to the areas where bits are used. Therefore, the use of bits to prevent inflation is basically untenable, or has a strong premise. As for anti inflation, that is to say, it has the function of value storage, it needs to have the property similar to gold. However, from the reality, bit's essential property and prospect are still hard to match gold. See below for details
2. Bitcoin's future positioning is too high
the expectation of bitcoin's future in the market generally compares it with gold and US dollar, which is relatively high. The recognition of gold not only lies in its natural physical properties, but also in its official acceptance as a reserve currency (or an important allocation of foreign exchange assets). In theory, bitcoin as an electronic currency does not have the unique and exclusive status, and it is more difficult to become the official reserve of central banks like gold. Therefore, it is not appropriate to expect too much bit. As an electronic currency, bit has the first mover advantage. If it can be guaranteed in terms of security, its most optimistic prospect will be as a means of payment in local areas
3. Speculation and speculative demand caused by event factors are the main reasons for the rise of bitcoin in this round
under the credit currency system, people's lack of confidence in the currencies of various countries and pessimistic economic prospects are the general environment for the rise of bitcoin in this round. The speculation of the major dealers in the market and the derivatives market of bitcoin, together with the speculative psychology of the participants, further accelerated its rise. Btcchina's investment of US $5 million and the announcement of Ben's position are the main driving factors for the recent surge
however, a lot of big players start to enter the market and buy a lot, which not only drives the bit price up to a high level, but also increases the market risk. Chamath, a former Facebook executive, has spent $5 million on bitcoin and plans to spend another $10 million. Bitcoin investment trust also exceeded its target within four weeks, raising $15 million. These people's investments not only make bitcoin further rise, but also concentrate on the holding of bitcoin, which strengthens the influence of indivials and institutions on the price of bitcoin and increases the market risk
4. There is still strong room for speculation in the medium and short term
although our previous analysis is not optimistic about the prospect of bit, it is likely that bit will still have strong room for speculation in such a short and medium term period of time as one year. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the creators of bitcoin advocate that the generation of bitcoin is not manipulated by human factors, which is quite different from the credit currencies of various countries. We expect that the monetary policies of major countries will be divided next year. With the release of economic risks and the heavy damage to traditional asset markets, bitcoin will have better room for speculation and imagination< The use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
the U.S. government seized the drug trading website "Silk Road" at the beginning of last month. A crowdfunding network called "assassination market" even marked the sale of murderers with bitcoin price. The founder of the assassin market, under the pseudonym of kuwabatake Sanjuro, is an extreme anarchist. Both prism gate incident and the use of bitcoin in relevant sensitive fields highlight the increasingly prominent position of information field in national security. The Third Plenary Session proposed the establishment of the national security committee, which will play an important role in China's security strategy and expand from traditional national defense, stability maintenance / urban security to information security and other emerging areas
bitcoin has not yet grown into a baby, and there is still huge room for growth. Its prospects are broad. In the next decade, let's look at the height of bitcoin. More and more people will know about bitcoin. Everyone needs bitcoin, and the demand for bitcoin transactions will be extremely strong.
The reason why the programmer threw away 7500 bitcoins as garbage is because these bitcoins are stored in the hard disk, and he carelessly threw away the hard disk
recently, a British programmer found that in 2013, he accidentally threw away the hard disk with 7500 bitcoin private keys as garbage
these 7500 bitcoins were g up by him on his personal computer. In order to retrieve the hard disk, he went to the landfill, but even if he "wanted to go back to the past", it was impossible to recover it. 7500 pieces, estimated at the current price of 32000 dollars, which is equivalent to throwing 240 million dollars into the garbage can
In fact, millions of bitcoins have been "lost" worldwide. But the "lost" bitcoin did not disappear. On the blockchain, you will record how many bitcoins you have in your name, but you need a private key to tradethe programmer is careless, that is, after throwing away the hard disk, he adds symbols to the string of very complex letters. Nowadays, the "value" of bitcoin has risen sharply. Those who lost bitcoin will naturally regret it
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reasons for bitcoin's recent surge:
according to the analysis of CICC's research report, bitcoin's price rose nearly three times from $7200 at the end of 2019 to $27084 (as of December 28, 2020), and became the asset category with the highest increase since the beginning of the year, Even more than the faamng tech giants index
in addition to the impact of global liquidity easing, the analysis shows that the financial innovation of financial institutions represented by PayPal, Robinhood and grayscale in broadening the channels of digital assets in the past year is the structural reason behind the nearly three times rise of currency price in the past year. In the short run, the price of bitcoin may fluctuate greatly, driven by liquidity and the inflow and outflow of speculative funds. However, in the long run, the continuous expansion of the traditional investor base is concive to the stable rise of the price of bitcoin and other digital assets
fire coin and coin an are the top exchanges in China
Russian World Cup organizers said in Doha on the 16th that since 2013, the 2018 World Cup has increased Russia's GDP by more than 14 billion US dollars
Alexei Sorokin, chief executive officer of Russia's World Cup Organizing Committee, revealed this information in a report on the economic, social and environmental impact of the world cup
"the figures in this report are quite amazing." Sorokin told a football conference in Qatar. Qatar is the "host" of the 2022 World Cup
the report, written by the organizers of the Russian World Cup, also said that the world cup has created up to 315000 jobs for Russia every year since 2013, and the world cup will still have a positive impact on the Russian economy in the next five years