Bitcoin transaction and current situation
Publish: 2021-05-23 01:55:56
1. bitcoin is different from the previous currency, it completely relies on the Internet to create and trade; Bitcoin's unique technical attributes lead to its economic and cultural attributes beyond the present currency. Bitcoin is a kind of electronic currency proced by open-source P2P software. Compared with the paper currency in circulation, the biggest feature of bitcoin is decentralization and global circulation in the network world, followed by high security and high confidentiality. These technical attributes further extend to the economic attributes of no inflation, no freezing, and no man-made supply; In terms of culture, bitcoin is popular among anarchists and liberals. The advantages of bitcoin are artificially exaggerated, and its anti inflation and anti inflation functions cannot stand up to scrutiny. In the long run, the prospect of bit is hard to match that of gold. In the most optimistic case, it will become a means of payment in some areas; But in the short and medium term, bit still has room for speculation and imagination. In addition, the use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
1. The advantages of bitcoin are exaggerated: About decentralization, no transaction costs and anti inflation
it is true that bitcoin has various advantages over paper money, but these advantages have been over interpreted. First of all, bitcoin is a kind of decentralized currency, which will not have the same risk of central bank controlling money supply and affecting market value as paper money; Bitcoin is mainly held in the hands of large investors, and the market depth is not enough. At present, the trading behavior of large investors is also very easy to affect the price of bitcoin. Even if the attribute of decentralization is regarded as the advantage of bitcoin when it is fully mature, then the prerequisite of holding decentralization should be added. In addition, there are great differences between centralized and decentralized online payment systems in the degree and type of financial risks they are exposed to
secondly, the low transaction cost of bitcoin is not without transaction cost. On the contrary, e to the increasing difficulty of bitcoin mining and the further stability of currency value, the dependence of relevant transaction platforms on transaction cost will increase, which will certainly increase the transaction cost. Finally, the confidentiality of the bitcoin transaction needs to be discussed. The principle of the bitcoin transaction makes all the processes of each bitcoin transaction stored in each machine. If someone can determine the real background of a transaction, they can find all the transactions down and up through these data
compared with other advantages, anti inflation or anti inflation is the most publicized advantage. Although its supply is stable and the upper limit of supply is locked according to its algorithm, unless the whole world is unified and all countries use bits as currency, it can not prevent the over issuance of money only as a means of payment or a storage of value, just as the current existence of gold can not constrain the growth of each country's currency. If bits can only be used as a means of payment in local areas (such as the network), then global or some countries' inflation will still be transmitted to the areas where bits are used. Therefore, the use of bits to prevent inflation is basically untenable, or has a strong premise. As for anti inflation, that is to say, it has the function of value storage, it needs to have the property similar to gold. However, from the reality, bit's essential property and prospect are still hard to match gold. See below for details
2. Bitcoin's future positioning is too high
the expectation of bitcoin's future in the market generally compares it with gold and US dollar, which is relatively high. The recognition of gold not only lies in its natural physical properties, but also in its official acceptance as a reserve currency (or an important allocation of foreign exchange assets). In theory, bitcoin as an electronic currency does not have the unique and exclusive status, and it is more difficult to become the official reserve of central banks like gold. Therefore, it is not appropriate to expect too much bit. As an electronic currency, bit has the first mover advantage. If it can be guaranteed in terms of security, its most optimistic prospect will be as a means of payment in local areas
3. Speculation and speculative demand caused by event factors are the main reasons for the rise of bitcoin in this round
under the credit currency system, people's lack of confidence in the currencies of various countries and pessimistic economic prospects are the general environment for the rise of bitcoin in this round. The speculation of the major dealers in the market and the derivatives market of bitcoin, together with the speculative psychology of the participants, further accelerated its rise. Btcchina's investment of US $5 million and the announcement of Ben's position are the main driving factors for the recent surge
however, a lot of big players start to enter the market and buy a lot, which not only drives the bit price up to a high level, but also increases the market risk. Chamath, a former Facebook executive, has spent $5 million on bitcoin and plans to spend another $10 million. Bitcoin investment trust also exceeded its target within four weeks, raising $15 million. These people's investments not only make bitcoin further rise, but also concentrate on the holding of bitcoin, which strengthens the influence of indivials and institutions on the price of bitcoin and increases the market risk
4. There is still strong room for speculation in the medium and short term
although our previous analysis is not optimistic about the prospect of bit, it is likely that bit will still have strong room for speculation in such a short and medium term period of time as one year. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the creators of bitcoin advocate that the generation of bitcoin is not manipulated by human factors, which is quite different from the credit currencies of various countries. We expect that the monetary policies of major countries will be divided next year. With the release of economic risks and the heavy damage to traditional asset markets, bitcoin will have better room for speculation and imagination< The use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
the U.S. government seized the drug trading website "Silk Road" at the beginning of last month. A crowdfunding network called "assassination market" even marked the sale of murderers with bitcoin price. The founder of the assassin market, under the pseudonym of kuwabatake Sanjuro, is an extreme anarchist. Both prism gate incident and the use of bitcoin in relevant sensitive fields highlight the increasingly prominent position of information field in national security. The Third Plenary Session proposed the establishment of the national security committee, which will play an important role in China's security strategy and expand from traditional national defense, stability maintenance / urban security to information security and other emerging areas
1. The advantages of bitcoin are exaggerated: About decentralization, no transaction costs and anti inflation
it is true that bitcoin has various advantages over paper money, but these advantages have been over interpreted. First of all, bitcoin is a kind of decentralized currency, which will not have the same risk of central bank controlling money supply and affecting market value as paper money; Bitcoin is mainly held in the hands of large investors, and the market depth is not enough. At present, the trading behavior of large investors is also very easy to affect the price of bitcoin. Even if the attribute of decentralization is regarded as the advantage of bitcoin when it is fully mature, then the prerequisite of holding decentralization should be added. In addition, there are great differences between centralized and decentralized online payment systems in the degree and type of financial risks they are exposed to
secondly, the low transaction cost of bitcoin is not without transaction cost. On the contrary, e to the increasing difficulty of bitcoin mining and the further stability of currency value, the dependence of relevant transaction platforms on transaction cost will increase, which will certainly increase the transaction cost. Finally, the confidentiality of the bitcoin transaction needs to be discussed. The principle of the bitcoin transaction makes all the processes of each bitcoin transaction stored in each machine. If someone can determine the real background of a transaction, they can find all the transactions down and up through these data
compared with other advantages, anti inflation or anti inflation is the most publicized advantage. Although its supply is stable and the upper limit of supply is locked according to its algorithm, unless the whole world is unified and all countries use bits as currency, it can not prevent the over issuance of money only as a means of payment or a storage of value, just as the current existence of gold can not constrain the growth of each country's currency. If bits can only be used as a means of payment in local areas (such as the network), then global or some countries' inflation will still be transmitted to the areas where bits are used. Therefore, the use of bits to prevent inflation is basically untenable, or has a strong premise. As for anti inflation, that is to say, it has the function of value storage, it needs to have the property similar to gold. However, from the reality, bit's essential property and prospect are still hard to match gold. See below for details
2. Bitcoin's future positioning is too high
the expectation of bitcoin's future in the market generally compares it with gold and US dollar, which is relatively high. The recognition of gold not only lies in its natural physical properties, but also in its official acceptance as a reserve currency (or an important allocation of foreign exchange assets). In theory, bitcoin as an electronic currency does not have the unique and exclusive status, and it is more difficult to become the official reserve of central banks like gold. Therefore, it is not appropriate to expect too much bit. As an electronic currency, bit has the first mover advantage. If it can be guaranteed in terms of security, its most optimistic prospect will be as a means of payment in local areas
3. Speculation and speculative demand caused by event factors are the main reasons for the rise of bitcoin in this round
under the credit currency system, people's lack of confidence in the currencies of various countries and pessimistic economic prospects are the general environment for the rise of bitcoin in this round. The speculation of the major dealers in the market and the derivatives market of bitcoin, together with the speculative psychology of the participants, further accelerated its rise. Btcchina's investment of US $5 million and the announcement of Ben's position are the main driving factors for the recent surge
however, a lot of big players start to enter the market and buy a lot, which not only drives the bit price up to a high level, but also increases the market risk. Chamath, a former Facebook executive, has spent $5 million on bitcoin and plans to spend another $10 million. Bitcoin investment trust also exceeded its target within four weeks, raising $15 million. These people's investments not only make bitcoin further rise, but also concentrate on the holding of bitcoin, which strengthens the influence of indivials and institutions on the price of bitcoin and increases the market risk
4. There is still strong room for speculation in the medium and short term
although our previous analysis is not optimistic about the prospect of bit, it is likely that bit will still have strong room for speculation in such a short and medium term period of time as one year. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the creators of bitcoin advocate that the generation of bitcoin is not manipulated by human factors, which is quite different from the credit currencies of various countries. We expect that the monetary policies of major countries will be divided next year. With the release of economic risks and the heavy damage to traditional asset markets, bitcoin will have better room for speculation and imagination< The use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
the U.S. government seized the drug trading website "Silk Road" at the beginning of last month. A crowdfunding network called "assassination market" even marked the sale of murderers with bitcoin price. The founder of the assassin market, under the pseudonym of kuwabatake Sanjuro, is an extreme anarchist. Both prism gate incident and the use of bitcoin in relevant sensitive fields highlight the increasingly prominent position of information field in national security. The Third Plenary Session proposed the establishment of the national security committee, which will play an important role in China's security strategy and expand from traditional national defense, stability maintenance / urban security to information security and other emerging areas
2. Bitcoin is a decentralized point-to-point e-cash system. It has been more than 10 years since its birth. The price of bitcoin now hovers around $10000. Many people think that the price is too high and it is not cost-effective to buy it now. But in fact, even though bitcoin has been around for 10 years, it is still like a fetus in the womb, and a lot of people do not know the existence of bitcoin
bitcoin has not yet grown into a baby, and there is still huge room for growth. Its prospects are broad. In the next decade, let's look at the height of bitcoin. More and more people will know about bitcoin. Everyone needs bitcoin, and the demand for bitcoin transactions will be extremely strong.
bitcoin has not yet grown into a baby, and there is still huge room for growth. Its prospects are broad. In the next decade, let's look at the height of bitcoin. More and more people will know about bitcoin. Everyone needs bitcoin, and the demand for bitcoin transactions will be extremely strong.
3. Research on the innovation of China's commercial monetary economy and financial procts
analysis on the legal issues of financing monetary economy rights and interests protection in export insurance
the application of VaR in the credit risk management of commercial monetary economy
on RAROC, the core method of comprehensive risk management of monetary economy
the strategic choice of China's transnational operation of monetary economy
innovation of monetary economy business model based on value chain
Research on the development of urban commercial monetary economy after China's entry into WTO
empirical analysis on the competitiveness of rural commercial monetary economy in China
analysis on the competitiveness of urban commercial monetary economy in China
discussion on customer satisfaction of commercial monetary economy enterprises
measurement of human capital value of monetary economy and its contribution
on brand building of private business of commercial monetary economy in China Research on the causes and Countermeasures of non-performing assets of state-owned commercial monetary economy Research on the application of foreign capital in the performance management of China's commercial monetary economy
Research on the legal supervision system of foreign capital monetary economy
discussion on the public function of state-owned commercial monetary economy
Research on the development and Countermeasures of China's commercial monetary economy intermediary business
Research on the bottleneck and Countermeasures of China's monetary economy insurance development
Research on the influencing factors and Countermeasures of China's commercial monetary economy information disclosure Effect research
on the relationship between the government and the state-owned commercial monetary economy management
on the development of China's private monetary economy
on the construction of online monetary economy of China Merchants monetary economy
on the institutional change of commercial monetary economy
on the reconstruction of customer management of China's commercial monetary economy
the application of VAR model in the market risk management of China's commercial monetary economy />The theory of customer relationship management and the application of information technology in China's commercial monetary economy
analysis on the legal issues of financing monetary economy rights and interests protection in export insurance
the application of VaR in the credit risk management of commercial monetary economy
on RAROC, the core method of comprehensive risk management of monetary economy
the strategic choice of China's transnational operation of monetary economy
innovation of monetary economy business model based on value chain
Research on the development of urban commercial monetary economy after China's entry into WTO
empirical analysis on the competitiveness of rural commercial monetary economy in China
analysis on the competitiveness of urban commercial monetary economy in China
discussion on customer satisfaction of commercial monetary economy enterprises
measurement of human capital value of monetary economy and its contribution
on brand building of private business of commercial monetary economy in China Research on the causes and Countermeasures of non-performing assets of state-owned commercial monetary economy Research on the application of foreign capital in the performance management of China's commercial monetary economy
Research on the legal supervision system of foreign capital monetary economy
discussion on the public function of state-owned commercial monetary economy
Research on the development and Countermeasures of China's commercial monetary economy intermediary business
Research on the bottleneck and Countermeasures of China's monetary economy insurance development
Research on the influencing factors and Countermeasures of China's commercial monetary economy information disclosure Effect research
on the relationship between the government and the state-owned commercial monetary economy management
on the development of China's private monetary economy
on the construction of online monetary economy of China Merchants monetary economy
on the institutional change of commercial monetary economy
on the reconstruction of customer management of China's commercial monetary economy
the application of VAR model in the market risk management of China's commercial monetary economy />The theory of customer relationship management and the application of information technology in China's commercial monetary economy
4. At present, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, the United States and other European and American countries hold a positive attitude towards bitcoin as a legitimate private property, and more than 100000 businesses accept bitcoin payment in the world. In China, it can only be traded on platforms such as fire currency, and can not be used as general currency.
5. Digital currency group play more, probably fire money, okex, easybtc have their own advantages. At present, the amplitude of bitcoin trading is too large. Remember to read more information and don't trade impulsively. I'm afraid I won't be responsible for losing all.
6. It seems that we can start from the diversified development of economy
7. Bitcoin's impact on the financial system paper, requirements, original
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