Is bitcoin still likely to rise 100 times
bitcoin itself has no value, and its current values are all human factors. From the perspective of the price trend of bitcoin, there are obvious traces of manipulation by the makers. Considering that the range of use of bitcoin is gray and black, although there is a certain room for increase, the risk can not be controlled and there is a risk of being short at any time
In the future, the value of bitcoin will continue to rise, mainly e to the following reasons:
1. The value of bitcoin will rise over time in design
2. As the transaction volume of bitcoin is increasing every day in the world, the total amount of bitcoin and bitcoin generated every 10 minutes will decrease (that is, the bitcoin implemented on July 10 will be halved), The value of bitcoin will continue to rise in the foreseeable future
The dollar and many other fiat currencies are depreciating every year, which is e to inflation, that is, the increase of money supply. Bitcoin is designed to be deflationary4. Since now, the supply of bitcoin has been reced again, that is to say, bitcoin has been "halved", recing the number of bitcoins proced every ten minutes. At present, the reward for each block is 12.5btc
There is no proction limit on the quantity of US dollar, so it may be inflated by the order of the government or the central bank group. Paper money (legal tender) is usually inflated by trying to pay off excess debts or by paying for war But in bitcoin, there is no debt, inflation and bleeding. I would say that we are on the way to a good ideological start7. Bitcoin now has a bifurcation battle, but the market fluctuation is relatively stable, which proves that many countries in the world need it. If you split a coin into two. If your assets exceed 10 million, I suggest you invest 10%
I think bitcoin may continue to rise in a short time, but in the long run, bitcoin's rise has reached a very exaggerated level, and its value is not so high, so it's better not to participate in the bitcoin market. Of course, this is only my personal opinion
some partners may have paid attention to bitcoin in the past few years. At that time, they did not participate. At this time, they will find that the growth rate of bitcoin has been particularly high, so many people are eager to try, and want to get rich returns by investing in bitcoin. I think this idea needs to be vigilant, Because it's likely to cost you nothing
bitcoin has broken the $60000 mark
this news makes many people feel very surprised, because many people think that bitcoin itself has no value, but it can be fried so high. Under such circumstances, it is difficult to guarantee that some people will not be confused by the rise of investors' bitcoin, so many people often ask about the so-called bitcoin on the Internet, And want to get a return from the bitcoin market{ RRRRR}
BTC - total holding: 655355btc, gray BTC unit price: $53267.69, current premium rate: - 5.4%, 24h position change: - 35btc, gray position proportion: 3.48%
LTC - total holding: 1463881ltc, gray LTC unit price: $3074.08, current premium rate (+ 1408.7%), 24h position change (+ 2449ltc, Gray position proportion: 1.98%
eth -- total holding: 3173595eth, gray eth unit price: $1697.01, current premium rate: - 5.6%, 24h position change: - 220eth, gray position proportion: 2.56%
BCH -- total holding: 293105bch, gray BCH unit price: $2631.85, current premium rate (+ 373.7%), 24h position change (+ 914bch, Gray position proportion: 1.44%
etc -- total holding: 12427501etc, unit price of gray etc: $15.54, current premium rate: + 30.4%, 24h position change: + 82027etc, gray position proportion: 10.57%
Zec -- total holding: 303877zec, unit price of gray Zec: -, current premium rate: -, 24h position change: 0zec, Gray position proportion: 3.25%
Zen -- total holding: 604247zen, gray Zen unit price: -, current premium rate: -, 24h position change: 0zen, gray position proportion: 6.26%
XLM -- total holding: 63021829xlm, gray XLM unit price: -, current premium rate: -, 24h position change: 0xlm, Gray position proportion: 0.25%
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Why do you want to go up? What's the logic
not to mention how many years after the excavation, no one should have g this thing for a long time
take your time
is bitcoin a currency? No, money needs to be liquid, so it needs to be actively over issued to eliminate inflation. Bitcoin can't, so it's not money. It's just because money can't rise so much. Have you ever heard that money can ride a roller coaster? There is no such thing
at best, it can only be collectibles, such as gold, silver, jewelry, ancient books, calligraphy and paintings. You can accept them if you like, and sell them for money if you don't want them
so why is this thing going up so crazy now? In fact, it's just hype
you need to analyze the mentality of the holder, except those who really have faith, the rest are not waiting for it to give you money. Do you want money or bitcoin? Of course, it's money, or I won't ask if it will go up
everyone is bidding up its value. It's a tacit thing to get money after shipping. When you don't ship, you only have a market value, not money. So in essence, you have to ship. After shipping, you can "pursue a better life"
will bitcoin keep rising? This actually doesn't exist, you don't sell bitcoin? You don't know? Don't you want a better life? You will meet your real needs more or less by discounting when you are still young and energetic. The money I earn is for use, and bitcoin does not create value. Then the money I want to use is yours. It's so simple. To put it bluntly, the longer the time, the greater the desire for discounting, even at a stable high level, This kind of pressure still exists. With this pressure, the rise will be limited, and the decline is the manifestation of pressure accumulation
here we need to introce something that we haven't mentioned before, which is the circulation disk. In fact, the proportion of bitcoin circulation disk is not high. Why such a large market value of things can rise and fall more quickly is actually the problem of circulation disk. That is to say, only a small part of the circulation disk is supported by money, and most of the non circulation is actually false value
you can now switch back to the topic
when the total amount of something that can be hyped is exhausted, that is to say, you have lost the way to obtain it at no cost or low cost. Then you have to hold it through trading, and it is not a necessity of your life, and you do not have to hold it. Maybe the price is already at a high level, and the rise and fall of the market will not be very crazy, If you want a big return, you have to buy a large amount of money. The cost you hold is very large. The cost means that the risk is high, and ordinary people can't afford to play. Please note that the original purpose of money is to fight small for big. How much investment enthusiasm is there at this time
because it has completely presented its own value, that is, the so-called generation currency, and obviously it has not achieved the expected goal, such as the idea of decentralization, which is impossible to realize. If it is realized, you will not care how much it is worth, whether it will rise or not, but only how much you hold, and its value logic will collapse
at this time, we can see whether it has collection value. It is no longer proced, but it is a pity that it is not a complete collection. It has neither scarcity nor the most basic aesthetic feeling. It has no artistry, craftsmanship and so on. Its quantity is very large. Do you think degradable garbage bags have collection value? Even if this kind of garbage bag is no longer proced, it is still not
to sum up, 1. There is no cheap way to get it; 2. The price is already very high, the profit space is small, and the cost is high; 3. The value logic has collapsed, and it is not a token; 4. Even as a collection, it doesn't mean much. What are these rules destroying? It is confidence
do you still want to hold such a thing? It's normal that there are things to hold, things to come out and things to go in. But as I said before, there is a time pressure there. Money has to be used. Holding needs to be discounted
at this time, we have to talk about the circulation market. If the circulation market is not big enough, it is a dead hole. Theoretically speaking, if the value logic can not be realized, we should sell as a normal investor. We consider that most of the circulation market are normal investors, so it is inevitable that the sales volume of circulation market is larger than the purchase volume, As long as the money coming out is greater than the money going in, it can be seen that the market value is falling, and it is obvious that the shrinkage of the market value is several times of the actual outflow, because those that are not in circulation are nominal prices, and those that do not exist will disappear as soon as they fall
and this decline is continuous, if it worsens into panic selling, it will be irreversible
that's my point of view. Of course, I don't think it's possible to wait until the last coin is g out. At present, there are obvious signs of a decline in investment confidence. If you are a rational investor, whether you will hold bitcoin for a long time, most of the answers are whether or not you will buy on the cheap, and most of the answers are wait-and-see, which shows the problem, At the end of the day, bitcoin is about confidence
finally, we get the following relationship between bitcoin price and number of users, which is the logical relationship. It is a kind of equation to describe the relationship between the number of species and time in biology, so the title of the paper is "bitcoin spreads like a virus"
the study also found that this relationship is not accidental, but there is a law behind it, which is Metcalfe's law
Metcalfe's law
in the 1980s, Robert Metcalfe, the inventor of Ethereum, proposed a method to evaluate the value of the Internet. He believes that the value of the network is directly proportional to the square of the network nodes (users). This is the so-called "network effect". The more users, the greater the value of the network
in a network with n users, the number of links between each user and other users is n (n-1) / 2. When n is large, n (n-1) / 2 is about n & # 178;. In this way, Metcalfe's law takes the following form: network value equals the constant c times the square of n
However, if n grows linearly with time, the network value will grow exponentially with time, and there is no boundary, which is obviously not in line with the reality. Therefore, in 2013, Metcalfe revised that n should be logistic growth, which is known as "s" growththis rule is not only applicable to bitcoin, Peterson also studied the price change of Facebook over time, and found that the price of Facebook also applies to Metcalfe's law