BTC multi space contrast index
The impact of the okex incident on the currency market is fading; With the US election becoming increasingly white hot, the difficulty and hash rate of bitcoin are higher than before
in terms of price, so far, BTC has rushed to around us $11720, with a 24-hour increase of more than 2%
so the question is: where will bitcoin go in the next week
here are five factors that may affect the BTC price trend in the coming week
No.1 US macro level: election and stimulus plan this week, the US is the absolute focus of the macro market. The US presidential election will soon usher in a decisive moment (November 3)
analysts warn that if the Democratic Party (Biden) wins, the dollar will depreciate - and the long-term outlook for the dollar is already precarious. Goldman Sachs said last week that Trump's re-election was not enough to get the dollar out of danger
however, no matter what the election result is, professionals recommend buying gold as a hedge. However, in the view of others, bitcoin may bring more profits
However, e to the inverse correlation between BTC / USD and the dollar currency index (DXY), the strength of the US dollar, in the view of some bitcoin traders, will still affect the price trend of bitcoin. Although this correlation has become less and less obvious in recent weeks, the sudden weakness of the US dollar is still likely to be a boon for bitcoin
six month chart of US dollar currency index. Source: tradingview
at the same time, not only the election, but also what happened before is also a topic of interest. Specifically, a coronavirus stimulus plan was in place before polling day
If this happens, trillions of dollars of liquidity will increase the growing debt pile of the United States, and Americans will see additional benefits, such as an additional $1200 economic stimulus planNo.2 Europe suggests more intervention
with the outbreak again, the European Central Bank (ECB) is considering further measures
European Central Bank President Christina; In an interview with Le Monde on Monday, Lagarde said the European Central Bank would use more financial instruments if necessary
the European Central Bank's coronavirus stimulus program has purchased a total of 1.5 trillion euros of assets
"We haven't run out of options in our toolbox yet," says Lagardebrexit is increasingly moving towards "no agreement" brexit, which makes the possibility of instability worse
No.3 the fundamentals of bitcoin have reached a new high
recently, bitcoin has maintained a strong resilience in the face of various black swan events. Influenced by okex, BTC recently dropped below $11200, but recovered steadily soon. So far, it has exceeded $11600
and on the technical level, the fundamentals of bitcoin also maintained a record strength this month
two days ago, the difficulty of the latest adjustment increased by 3.5% than expected
at the same time, the hash rate also climbed to a record high on Monday. At the time of publication, the estimated computing power for mining is 146 exahashs (EH / s) per second
as often reported in the media, the popular theory is that the price follows the hash rate, because the long-term investment prospect of bitcoin is better than ever before
bitcoin 7-day average hash rate 1-month chart
No.4 analysts focus on $12000 BTC price breakthrough
for famous analyst Micha & # 235; For Lvan de Poppe, the key price conversion of bitcoin is becoming more and more reasonable
in his latest video update on Sunday, he stressed that the significant resistance level of weekly closing price below US $12000 for several consecutive years will soon end
Van de Popper believes that since the beginning of the bear market in early 2018, US $12000 has become the rejection point of the weekly chart, but the consolidation below cannot last forever
he concluded: "we are likely to rebound to the range of US $16000 to US $17000, because this is the obvious level and the last obstacle for bitcoin to begin to break through the all-time high."
after this move, there will be another consolidation period, which may last longer than the current period
van der BOPP added that he advised viewers to work hard to accumulate bitcoin, even in the $16000 range
BTC / USD 7-day price trend chart. Data source: coin360
No.5 market sentiment: greed is back
with the graal strengthening of prices, investor sentiment is also changing: data shows that investor sentiment is becoming more and more greedy. In the latest market data, the fear and greed index has returned to the "greedy" area, rising slightly from "neutral" in the past week
this indicates that bitcoin investors' emotional expectations will be bullish, but it should be noted that if the price rises too fast, "greed" will become "extreme greed", in which case the index is more likely to callback
The main cross-border e-commerce platforms at home and abroad are as follows:
1. International B2C cross-border e-commerce platforms: sumitong, Amazon, eBay, wish, Lanting Jishi, Dunhuang
2. Import cross-border e-commerce platforms: foreign terminal, tmall global, Suning cloud, Kaola and Shunfeng
the growth of new platforms mainly focuses on local cross-border e-commerce platforms, such as flipkart India, yandex Russia, tobox Russia, trade New Zealand, etc
Cross border e-commerce is based on the development of the network. The unique value standards and behavior patterns of cyberspace have a profound impact on cross-border e-commerce, making it different from the traditional way of transaction and showing its own characteristicsTransnational E-commerce has many characteristics different from the traditional trade mode, but the traditional tax system is proced under the traditional trade mode, which is bound to be full of loopholes in e-commerce trade. The network has a profound impact on human society, and also brings unprecedented impact and challenge to the tax legal norms
BTC pushed related stocks higher. Sold on Nasdaq, bitdigital, a mining company, has seen its stock price rise 53 times in the past 12 months, becoming one of the winners in the U.S. stock market last year. The current S & P 500 and Nasdaq index rose only 15.5% and 43.4% this year. In addition, the patent rights and patent holding company marathon patent rights group company, which is selling shares in the United States, e to the mining business process, the stock price of the company has continued to rise recently, making the stock price rise 10 times this year
in a report by investment analysts of Morgan bank, it is difficult to prevent BTC from overbought. If the net capital inflow of the digital money stock fund with large volume of trading in the world is greatly reced, then the probability of BTC callback function may be increased. Noah wealth investment analysts told China first financial that BTC does have regulatory requirements in terms of trading in the future. However, some changes have taken place in the characteristics of BTC in the last year, and some investors are actively and reasonably distributing. Therefore, with the support of organizational assets, it is unlikely that the market price will reverse immediately in the short term< to observe the trend of bitcoin in 2020, we must consider three factors: one is whether there will be a large amount of net inflow of organizational capital