Is btc2018 worth starting
In my opinion, we can start with mainstream value currencies such as BTC now. Judging from the trend of BTC in the past year, it is basically at the bottom now. Even if it is possible to fall further, it will not fall too much. Ten years of history shows that BTC is certainly valuable, and BTC will definitely appreciate in the future. After all, it is the gold of the currency circle, which is rare and has the greatest consensus. The above is just a personal statement and does not constitute an investment proposal. Investment should be cautious! Finally, I declare that if you lose money by investing in virtual currency, I will not bear any legal responsibility
In the early morning of January 2, Beijing time, foreign media reported that at the beginning of the new year, the life of bitcoin has been difficult
this is the first time since 2015 that the cryptocurrency has opened a new year in the form of a sharp fall, further aggravating its decline since it hit a record high of $19511 on December 18
The surging trend of
has given birth to a variety of other cryptocurrencies, and also made bitcoin enter the wall street in the form of futures contracts. On December 18, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange launched for the first time a derivatives agreement that some traders thought would encourage short positions, and bitcoin peaked a few hours later
virtual is always virtual
The impact of the okex incident on the currency market is fading; With the US election becoming increasingly white hot, the difficulty and hash rate of bitcoin are higher than before
in terms of price, so far, BTC has rushed to around us $11720, with a 24-hour increase of more than 2%
so the question is: where will bitcoin go in the next week
here are five factors that may affect the BTC price trend in the coming week
No.1 US macro level: election and stimulus plan this week, the US is the absolute focus of the macro market. The US presidential election will soon usher in a decisive moment (November 3)
analysts warn that if the Democratic Party (Biden) wins, the dollar will depreciate - and the long-term outlook for the dollar is already precarious. Goldman Sachs said last week that Trump's re-election was not enough to get the dollar out of danger
however, no matter what the election result is, professionals recommend buying gold as a hedge. However, in the view of others, bitcoin may bring more profits
However, e to the inverse correlation between BTC / USD and the dollar currency index (DXY), the strength of the US dollar, in the view of some bitcoin traders, will still affect the price trend of bitcoin. Although this correlation has become less and less obvious in recent weeks, the sudden weakness of the US dollar is still likely to be a boon for bitcoin
six month chart of US dollar currency index. Source: tradingview
at the same time, not only the election, but also what happened before is also a topic of interest. Specifically, a coronavirus stimulus plan was in place before polling day
If this happens, trillions of dollars of liquidity will increase the growing debt pile of the United States, and Americans will see additional benefits, such as an additional $1200 economic stimulus planNo.2 Europe suggests more intervention
with the outbreak again, the European Central Bank (ECB) is considering further measures
European Central Bank President Christina; In an interview with Le Monde on Monday, Lagarde said the European Central Bank would use more financial instruments if necessary
the European Central Bank's coronavirus stimulus program has purchased a total of 1.5 trillion euros of assets
"We haven't run out of options in our toolbox yet," says Lagardebrexit is increasingly moving towards "no agreement" brexit, which makes the possibility of instability worse
No.3 the fundamentals of bitcoin have reached a new high
recently, bitcoin has maintained a strong resilience in the face of various black swan events. Influenced by okex, BTC recently dropped below $11200, but recovered steadily soon. So far, it has exceeded $11600
and on the technical level, the fundamentals of bitcoin also maintained a record strength this month
two days ago, the difficulty of the latest adjustment increased by 3.5% than expected
at the same time, the hash rate also climbed to a record high on Monday. At the time of publication, the estimated computing power for mining is 146 exahashs (EH / s) per second
as often reported in the media, the popular theory is that the price follows the hash rate, because the long-term investment prospect of bitcoin is better than ever before
bitcoin 7-day average hash rate 1-month chart
No.4 analysts focus on $12000 BTC price breakthrough
for famous analyst Micha & # 235; For Lvan de Poppe, the key price conversion of bitcoin is becoming more and more reasonable
in his latest video update on Sunday, he stressed that the significant resistance level of weekly closing price below US $12000 for several consecutive years will soon end
Van de Popper believes that since the beginning of the bear market in early 2018, US $12000 has become the rejection point of the weekly chart, but the consolidation below cannot last forever
he concluded: "we are likely to rebound to the range of US $16000 to US $17000, because this is the obvious level and the last obstacle for bitcoin to begin to break through the all-time high."
after this move, there will be another consolidation period, which may last longer than the current period
van der BOPP added that he advised viewers to work hard to accumulate bitcoin, even in the $16000 range
BTC / USD 7-day price trend chart. Data source: coin360
No.5 market sentiment: greed is back
with the graal strengthening of prices, investor sentiment is also changing: data shows that investor sentiment is becoming more and more greedy. In the latest market data, the fear and greed index has returned to the "greedy" area, rising slightly from "neutral" in the past week
this indicates that bitcoin investors' emotional expectations will be bullish, but it should be noted that if the price rises too fast, "greed" will become "extreme greed", in which case the index is more likely to callback
for example, if bitcoin's current price is $10000,
if it goes up to $11000, the spot profit will be $1000,
if it goes down to $9000, the spot loss will be $1000,
If a put option hedging is opened in bitoffer, the cost will only be $20,
if bitcoin goes down from $10000 to $9000, Spot loss of $1000
put option profit of $1000, the two mutually offset, your account has no loss, this is the charm of hedging
after opening the hedging mechanism, your account will make money if it goes up, and even if it goes down, because the risk has been completely offset
it is this scarcity that makes the price of bitcoin soar all the way in the near future. However, there are different voices about the future development trend of bitcoin and whether it is worth investing
[bitcoin investment is the most risky investment you can make at present]
bitcoin.com is one of the largest bitcoin websites in the world. Due to the soaring price of bitcoin, the website has achieved great development this year. But Emil Oldenburg, its co-founder and chief technology officer, is skeptical about the future of bitcoin
in an interview with breakit, a Swedish technology website, he said: "I would like to say that bitcoin investment is the most risky investment you can make at present. There are extremely high risks in it." "In fact, I recently sold all of my bitcoin in exchange for bitcoin cash," he said Bitcoin cash, a derivative separated from bitcoin in August this year, has recently overtaken Ethernet as the world's second largest cryptocurrency“ When people figure out how bitcoin works, they start selling bitcoin. " Oldenburg once again stressed doubts about the future of the bitcoin“ He doesn't believe that bitcoin will become the kind of everyday currency that the world has always wanted
[if people invest in bitcoin, they are ready to "lose all their money"]
on December 19, according to foreign media reports, the head of a major British financial regulatory agency warned that if people invest in bitcoin, they are ready to "lose all their money". It also shows the opposition of the British financial regulator to the bitcoin. Andrew Bailey, director of the financial market conct authority, told the BBC that neither the central bank nor the government supports "money", so it is not a safe investment
buying bitcoin is similar to gambling and has the same level of risk, he said. "It's not a currency, it's not actually managed in the form of bitcoin," Bailey told Newsnight“ In terms of pricing, it's a very volatile commodity. If you look at what happened this year, I would remind people that we know very little about the price of the bitcoin. This is a strange commodity because the stock is fixed. If you want to invest in bitcoin, you should be prepared to lose money, which will be my serious warning. "
[next year we will see central banks start to hold digital currencies for the first time]
Peter Smith, founder and CEO of blockchain, a cryptocurrency wallet, said that it is expected that central banks around the world will start to hold digital currencies as reserve assets next year, and some central banks may start to issue their own "digital assets"
in an interview with CNBC, Smith said: "I think next year we will see, for the first time, central banks starting to hold digital currencies as part of their balance sheets." Mr Smith said central banks would be likely to buy bitcoin and Ethernet as reserve assets. Central banks now hold gold and foreign exchange reserves to allow them to act in the event of any market shock. The appreciation of bitcoin as an asset may mean that some monetary authorities will have to start holding the digital currency. "Bitcoin is already one of the top 30 currencies in supply, and as prices rise, this trend and the pressure to hold digital currencies as reserve assets will only rise," Smith said This view shows its optimistic attitude towards bitcoin and other digital currencies
as for whether bitcoin is worth investing, we can only say that every investor has his own vision and judgment.
I can't buy it
the price of bitcoin rises and falls suddenly, which is very similar to the stock in the game Monopoly 4 played when I was a child, but I don't recommend you to buy it
The reasons are as follows: when we make any important financial decision, we must distinguish between investment and speculation it's just like sleeping, whether you sleep with your girlfriend or with your girlfriend's best friend is a matter of two natures
some inconvenient words are written in the public micro signal "Wu Handi ID:whdkad" (WeChat ID:whdkad), the official account replied "useful" with surprise. strong>
if the 2m hard fork in the second half of the New York consensus can not be implemented smoothly, the future of BTC will be more confused, the community will be more divided, and more user groups will turn to BCC. In fact, BTC has shown various signs of division. Not long ago, the core development group announced that the clients of the bitcoin core will no longer connect to the nodes running segwit2x, making the situation of easing the capacity expansion dispute tense again.
virtual currency refers to non real currency, which can be roughly divided into three categories:
the first category is familiar game currency. In the era of stand-alone games, the protagonist accumulates money by knocking down the enemy, entering the gambling house to win money, and using these to buy Herbs and equipment, but it can only be used in his own game console. At that time, there was no "market" between players. Since the establishment of Internet portal and community, the realization of game networking, virtual currency has a "financial market", players can trade game currency
the second type is the special currency issued by the portal website or instant messaging service provider, which is used to purchase the services in the website. The most widely used is Tencent's q-coin, which can be used to purchase membership, QQ show and other value-added services
the third kind of virtual currency on the Internet, such as bitcoin (BTC), Wright currency (LTC), Fuyuan currency (FTC), etc. bitcoin is an electronic currency proced by open-source P2P software. Some people also translate bitcoin as "bitcoin", which is a kind of network virtual currency. It is mainly used for Internet financial investment, and can also be directly used in daily life as a new currency.