Will there be a gap in bitcoin market
1, the short-term factors that determine the price: supply and demand and market sentiment
the relationship between supply and demand means that if the amount of money spent on buying bitcoin is more than that spent on selling bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will rise. If more people buy bitcoin, it will rise
market sentiment refers to the views of the market and the media on the price trend of bitcoin at that time. When many people strongly see bitcoin, the market sentiment is confident, and the price of bitcoin will rise rapidly. If the media makes pessimistic reports on the price of bitcoin, it will affect people's confidence and lead people to sell bitcoin, and the price of bitcoin will fall
2, the medium-term factors that determine the price: policy, news and mining cost
on the policy side, it is the policy attitude of governments towards bitcoin. For example, the recent crackdown and regulation of bitcoin by the South Korean government has led to a sharp drop in the price of bitcoin in the near future. If more and more countries support and encourage the development of bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will be higher and higher. On the contrary, if many countries begin to suppress bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will continue to fall
on the news side, there are some important things in the bitcoin instry. For example, around December, the two major stock exchanges in the United States launched bitcoin futures, which are good for bitcoin and directly push the price of bitcoin up to about $20000
mining cost is the cost of bitcoin miners using machines to dig out bitcoin. At present, the cost of digging out a bitcoin is about 12000 US dollars, so it is difficult for the price of bitcoin to fall below 12000 US dollars. Mining cost is the bottom line of bitcoin price. With the continuous increase of mining costs, the reason is that more competitors enter the mining field, especially many large institutions, companies and countries
3 determines the long-term price factors: the US dollar trend, the global bubble, the official digital currency, and the block chain technology.
the trend of the US dollar. According to the personal analysis data, the US dollar will weaken in the next few years, which means that the global monetary system with us dollar as the world currency in the past will be rebuilt. The rise and future of bitcoin is to assume the identity and mission of the world currency
global bubble. Since the United States abolished the gold standard Bretton Woods system in 70s, many countries in the United States have been printing banknote printing machines. The bubble of currency has caused the global economic bubble and asset bubble. The global economic crisis triggered by the US subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 is the crisis triggered by the currency bubble. At present, the global economic bubble and asset bubble have reached the critical point of collapse. The birth of bitcoin was e to the reason of the currency bubble, which made people no longer believe in the currency of national credit, and began to believe and recognize bitcoin.
official digital currency, countries around the world have begun to prepare to issue official digital currency, that is, digital currency issued by countries. Venezuela has issued a national level digital currency - Petroleum currency. Israel is preparing to issue it, Russia is also preparing to issue it, and the Japanese government is issuing it. 2018 will become the first year of the global official digital currency. The accelerated launch of official digital currency and its increasing popularity show that the value of bitcoin as internet currency is unlimited.
in recent years, people are crazy about bitcoin. How many people can understand the value of bitcoin
to put it bluntly, bitcoin is just a pile of chips on the gambling table. It has no value at all now or in the future. The drop from 20000 to 3000 is the nature of gambling chips
digital currency must be legal in order to have circulation value. Now, with the help of bitcoin, most of the hundreds of "digital coins" created by indivials in China have returned to zero, and a few of them have also been used as MLM coins by outlaws. How many of them lost their money
bitcoin is a modern version of "Dutch tulip". Sooner or later, it will burst
now that our country is carrying out research on digital currency, please pay attention to an attribute repeatedly emphasized by relevant departments - "legal"! This digital coin has nothing to do with the "deceptive coin" in bitcoin
as for bitcoin market? It depends on how the "control panel bosses" draw pictures for you at will.
the starting point of cognitive theory is to confirm that thought and belief are the causes of emotional state and behavior. Beck argued that patients with depression often become depressed and distort the meaning of things e to the mistakes in making logical judgments; Usually, a small thing (such as spilling a drink) will be seen as a sign of complete despair in his life. Therefore, patients with depression always make illogical inferences about themselves and explain all events with the idea of self depreciation and self blame
cognitive therapy is a general term for a class of psychotherapy methods that change patients' bad cognition through cognitive and behavioral technology according to the theoretical hypothesis that cognitive process affects emotion and behavior. Cognition generally refers to cognitive activities or processes, including belief and belief system, thinking and imagination. Cognitive process generally consists of three parts: (1) the process of receiving and evaluating information 2) The process of generating methods to deal with and deal with problems 3) The process of forecasting and estimating results
cognitive therapy attaches great importance to the study of patients' bad cognition and way of thinking, and regards self frustration behavior as the result of patients' bad cognition. The so-called bad cognition refers to distorted and unreasonable; Negative beliefs or thoughts often lead to emotional disorders and non adaptive behaviors. The purpose of treatment is to correct these unreasonable cognition, so that the patient's emotion and behavior can be changed accordingly. Cognitive therapy pays more attention to the change of patients' cognitive style and the harmony of cognition emotion behavior. We also attach importance to the events in consciousness rather than subconsciousness; Introspective therapy attaches importance to the influence of past experiences, especially childhood experiences, on eye problems, and pays attention to subconsciousness while neglecting conscious events
the theory and scope of cognitive therapy are constantly complementing and expanding, and dynamic cognitive therapy and cognitive behavioral therapy emerge as the times require. The former is advocated and developed by Weiner. He believes that the development of cognitive process (i.e. perception, memory, reasoning, evaluation, problem-solving and learning methods) can not be separated from indivial growth and interpersonal communication. Only without separation can we have self-esteem and identity, vent and control impulse, and contact with others. Children with trauma and without good ecation often have partial or comprehensive cognitive impairment. Dynamic cognitive therapy is to replace the defective cognitive structure with appropriate cognitive structure. The latter is systematically elaborated and developed by Marner and arnkov on the basis of previous work. Its basic assumption is that maladjustment is caused by the interaction of psychological factors, biological factors and environmental factors. The treatment method is to comprehensively apply cognitive technology and behavioral technology to correct bad behavior.
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OK in terms of contracts, uses the index price, and selects the weighted average price of each mainstream exchange as the contract trading index price. So you say that the contract index price of OK can reflect the latest mainstream quotation of bitcoin market. I have no opinion, but OK does not make much contribution. In addition to OK, the giants in the contract field also have a bitmex. In addition to the non physical delivery of the contract, it has an impact, but it is not reflected in the contribution of OK to the price of bitcoin
the second is spot . The transaction price of bitcoin is the consensus price reached by all exchanges in circulation all over the world at every moment. It changes every second e to the change of trading order. Specifically, there will be a price gap e to the size of each market, but the market will fill in the gap in a very short time. As for the impact of okex on the price of bitcoin, it will have a certain impact on the global price of bitcoin unless someone makes a shocking overbooking or selling order on OK. For example, some time ago, there were 7000 big orders for bitcoin in coin Anson, which caused the price of bitcoin in coin Anson to be different from that of other exchanges. However, as the market digested the order immediately, the gap was filled in again, which had no impact on the mainstream price. The market of the exchange is based on the rational investors' correct understanding of the bitcoin market. The buy / sell operation is the proct of the exchange traders. However, the price of bitcoin is global. You have to become a super maker of bitcoin to leverage the price of bitcoin, This market is too big (in addition to these head exchanges, there are emerging exchanges such as Matcha, BISS, and coin E)
now is the beginning of a new round of price increase