Price trend of BTC in 2008
In the early morning of January 2, Beijing time, foreign media reported that at the beginning of the new year, the life of bitcoin has been difficult
this is the first time since 2015 that the cryptocurrency has opened a new year in the form of a sharp fall, further aggravating its decline since it hit a record high of $19511 on December 18
The surging trend of 
has given birth to a variety of other cryptocurrencies, and also made bitcoin enter the wall street in the form of futures contracts. On December 18, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange launched for the first time a derivatives agreement that some traders thought would encourage short positions, and bitcoin peaked a few hours later
virtual is always virtual
The current price of bitcoin is around $10000, but the price of bitcoin fluctuates a lot. At present, 1 bitcoin is equal to 4381 yuan, 10000 bitcoin is equal to 438100000 yuan
some people make money, others lose money. Many people take him as a hot investment. You can still make money by learning more. The third sharp rise and fall, 2017 to now this period is the most important two years of bitcoin, because bitcoin in 2017 a year, from 789 dollars, up to 19878 dollars. 24 times. Compared with the birth price of bitcoin, it has increased by 20 million times
reason: in this year, the underlying technology of bitcoin, blockchain technology, rose strongly, driving the value of bitcoin soaring. At the same time, the outbreak of Ethereum's ICO triggered the surge of bitcoin. Twenty thousand dollars, which makes many people become local tyrants overnight
now it's not only speculators. People on the earth know about bitcoin, which will surely attract more vampires, but also the murderous eyes of many countries. No, it is estimated that the long bear market rarely seen in the history of bitcoin is coming
since December 17, bitcoin has been in a bear market, falling from $20000 to more than $6000. The decline of 60% makes many people begin to doubt life. There are many reasons for this decline. Global regulation has become stricter, exchanges have been attacked all the time, and the vulnerable hearts of investors are under heavy pressure
The impact of the okex incident on the currency market is fading; With the US election becoming increasingly white hot, the difficulty and hash rate of bitcoin are higher than before
in terms of price, so far, BTC has rushed to around us $11720, with a 24-hour increase of more than 2%
so the question is: where will bitcoin go in the next week
here are five factors that may affect the BTC price trend in the coming week
No.1 US macro level: election and stimulus plan this week, the US is the absolute focus of the macro market. The US presidential election will soon usher in a decisive moment (November 3)
analysts warn that if the Democratic Party (Biden) wins, the dollar will depreciate - and the long-term outlook for the dollar is already precarious. Goldman Sachs said last week that Trump's re-election was not enough to get the dollar out of danger
however, no matter what the election result is, professionals recommend buying gold as a hedge. However, in the view of others, bitcoin may bring more profits
However, e to the inverse correlation between BTC / USD and the dollar currency index (DXY), the strength of the US dollar, in the view of some bitcoin traders, will still affect the price trend of bitcoin. Although this correlation has become less and less obvious in recent weeks, the sudden weakness of the US dollar is still likely to be a boon for bitcoin
six month chart of US dollar currency index. Source: tradingview
at the same time, not only the election, but also what happened before is also a topic of interest. Specifically, a coronavirus stimulus plan was in place before polling day
If this happens, trillions of dollars of liquidity will increase the growing debt pile of the United States, and Americans will see additional benefits, such as an additional $1200 economic stimulus planNo.2 Europe suggests more intervention
with the outbreak again, the European Central Bank (ECB) is considering further measures
European Central Bank President Christina; In an interview with Le Monde on Monday, Lagarde said the European Central Bank would use more financial instruments if necessary
the European Central Bank's coronavirus stimulus program has purchased a total of 1.5 trillion euros of assets
"We haven't run out of options in our toolbox yet," says Lagardebrexit is increasingly moving towards "no agreement" brexit, which makes the possibility of instability worse
No.3 the fundamentals of bitcoin have reached a new high
recently, bitcoin has maintained a strong resilience in the face of various black swan events. Influenced by okex, BTC recently dropped below $11200, but recovered steadily soon. So far, it has exceeded $11600
and on the technical level, the fundamentals of bitcoin also maintained a record strength this month
two days ago, the difficulty of the latest adjustment increased by 3.5% than expected
at the same time, the hash rate also climbed to a record high on Monday. At the time of publication, the estimated computing power for mining is 146 exahashs (EH / s) per second
as often reported in the media, the popular theory is that the price follows the hash rate, because the long-term investment prospect of bitcoin is better than ever before
bitcoin 7-day average hash rate 1-month chart
No.4 analysts focus on $12000 BTC price breakthrough
for famous analyst Micha & # 235; For Lvan de Poppe, the key price conversion of bitcoin is becoming more and more reasonable
in his latest video update on Sunday, he stressed that the significant resistance level of weekly closing price below US $12000 for several consecutive years will soon end
Van de Popper believes that since the beginning of the bear market in early 2018, US $12000 has become the rejection point of the weekly chart, but the consolidation below cannot last forever
he concluded: "we are likely to rebound to the range of US $16000 to US $17000, because this is the obvious level and the last obstacle for bitcoin to begin to break through the all-time high."
after this move, there will be another consolidation period, which may last longer than the current period
van der BOPP added that he advised viewers to work hard to accumulate bitcoin, even in the $16000 range
BTC / USD 7-day price trend chart. Data source: coin360
No.5 market sentiment: greed is back
with the graal strengthening of prices, investor sentiment is also changing: data shows that investor sentiment is becoming more and more greedy. In the latest market data, the fear and greed index has returned to the "greedy" area, rising slightly from "neutral" in the past week
this indicates that bitcoin investors' emotional expectations will be bullish, but it should be noted that if the price rises too fast, "greed" will become "extreme greed", in which case the index is more likely to callback
as long as the government fails to suppress policies, bitcoin will not become a bubble. According to the coin.love trading platform, the price was less than 50000 yuan. I remember that at the end of June, the price was around 42000 yuan, and it rose by 8000 yuan in less than two months. It is said that the rarity is the most expensive. At present, BTC has become the mainstream currency of digital assets
if the figure below is accurate, the price of bitcoin will rise to US $91000 by 2020
1、 As of April 2020, bitcoin is now 98 yuan
1. Bitcoin is e-cash similar to e-mail. Both parties need a bitcoin wallet similar to e-mail and a bitcoin address similar to e-mail address. Just like sending and receiving e-mail, the remitter pays bitcoin directly to the other party through a computer or smart phone according to the recipient's address. The following table lists some websites that download bitcoin wallets and addresses for free
The bitcoin address and private key appear in pairs, and their relationship is just like the bank card number and password. A bitcoin address is like a bank card number, which records how much bitcoin you have on it. You can generate bitcoin address at will to store bitcoin. When each bitcoin address is generated, a corresponding private key of the address will be generatedit is this scarcity that makes the price of bitcoin soar all the way in the near future. However, there are different voices about the future development trend of bitcoin and whether it is worth investing
[bitcoin investment is the most risky investment you can make at present]
bitcoin.com is one of the largest bitcoin websites in the world. Due to the soaring price of bitcoin, the website has achieved great development this year. But Emil Oldenburg, its co-founder and chief technology officer, is skeptical about the future of bitcoin
in an interview with breakit, a Swedish technology website, he said: "I would like to say that bitcoin investment is the most risky investment you can make at present. There are extremely high risks in it." "In fact, I recently sold all of my bitcoin in exchange for bitcoin cash," he said Bitcoin cash, a derivative separated from bitcoin in August this year, has recently overtaken Ethernet as the world's second largest cryptocurrency“ When people figure out how bitcoin works, they start selling bitcoin. " Oldenburg once again stressed doubts about the future of the bitcoin“ He doesn't believe that bitcoin will become the kind of everyday currency that the world has always wanted
[if people invest in bitcoin, they are ready to "lose all their money"]
on December 19, according to foreign media reports, the head of a major British financial regulatory agency warned that if people invest in bitcoin, they are ready to "lose all their money". It also shows the opposition of the British financial regulator to the bitcoin. Andrew Bailey, director of the financial market conct authority, told the BBC that neither the central bank nor the government supports "money", so it is not a safe investment
buying bitcoin is similar to gambling and has the same level of risk, he said. "It's not a currency, it's not actually managed in the form of bitcoin," Bailey told Newsnight“ In terms of pricing, it's a very volatile commodity. If you look at what happened this year, I would remind people that we know very little about the price of the bitcoin. This is a strange commodity because the stock is fixed. If you want to invest in bitcoin, you should be prepared to lose money, which will be my serious warning. "
[next year we will see central banks start to hold digital currencies for the first time]
Peter Smith, founder and CEO of blockchain, a cryptocurrency wallet, said that it is expected that central banks around the world will start to hold digital currencies as reserve assets next year, and some central banks may start to issue their own "digital assets"
in an interview with CNBC, Smith said: "I think next year we will see, for the first time, central banks starting to hold digital currencies as part of their balance sheets." Mr Smith said central banks would be likely to buy bitcoin and Ethernet as reserve assets. Central banks now hold gold and foreign exchange reserves to allow them to act in the event of any market shock. The appreciation of bitcoin as an asset may mean that some monetary authorities will have to start holding the digital currency. "Bitcoin is already one of the top 30 currencies in supply, and as prices rise, this trend and the pressure to hold digital currencies as reserve assets will only rise," Smith said This view shows its optimistic attitude towards bitcoin and other digital currencies
as for whether bitcoin is worth investing, we can only say that every investor has his own vision and judgment.