BTC bear market forecast

1.

My prediction method is that the MACD will be reced to 60 degrees, and the comparative prediction will be made in 2007 and 2008. From 4600, we know that this is a bear market

How to predict? Forecast method:

(Rough forecast) in 2007, 2008, MACD decline angle compared with this year, 2015

(accurate forecast) whether the number of account opening is reced (the number of account opening is very important, when the number of account opening is reced, it largely indicates the beginning of bear, which is very accurate)

because the daily moving average of 5000 points crosses each other, And the day before yesterday saw 60 minutes a Yin wear 4 lines, to fall. So we have escaped several stock market disasters from 5000 to 3600

the picture is a rough prediction of the formation of bull and bear markets. The most accurate prediction: the number of accounts opened has decreased significantly

2.

By midday, bitcoin had fallen to around $10700. Bitcoin's previous attempt to break through $12000 failed, and yesterday's downward trend continues to this day. As a result, the cryptocurrency market fell, with 90 of the top 100 currencies falling

in the past 24 hours, according to the okex platform, the net outflow amount of bitcoin reached 638 million yuan, and according to the currency security data, the net outflow amount of bitcoin reached 152 million yuan. Although the capital outflow in the past 24 hours is relatively large, it has decreased compared with yesterday's capital outflow, and bitcoin has hit the bottom of US $10600 for many times in the past 24 hours. However, in terms of trading volume, there is strong support in this position. After that, we still need to observe the withdrawal of funds, so as to confirm whether the market goes up or continues to fall below the down. In fact, the so-called "bear market" in the currency circle is more popular than the "three o'clock community" before. In my opinion, I basically dare to assert that there are makers in the currency circle who have successfully harvested a batch of "leeks" by using some financial means or big men. This view may sound like "conspiracy theory" to many people, But I have to admit that speculators are everywhere in the coin circle. Zhu Xiaohu's warning that "I hope you don't stay in history because you reap leeks to earn money with blood" also has a certain basis in my opinion

the craziest time was in December 2017, when bitcoin reached more than 100000 yuan. Before that, people who invested in bitcoin could make a fortune overnight. At the end of 2017, the price dropped to below 40000 yuan, and there was also a correction in 2018

there are two ways to invest in bitcoin

one is to buy bitcoin directly and wait for it to rise, that is, simply buy it low and sell it high. Judging from the historical data and the popularity of blockchain, there is still a lot of room for bitcoin to rise, but the cost of this investment method is relatively low, and the price of bitcoin fluctuates too much, so although the income of buying bitcoin directly is high, But the risk is also great

the other is to "dig" bitcoin with professional equipment. The total amount of bitcoin is 21 million. mining is the only way to get bitcoin, that is, through a professional computer, which is called mining machine in the instry, to get bitcoin through a lot of calculation, and then sell bitcoin to get income. At present, the price of a mining machine is about 10000, Another problem is the cost of electricity. This kind of equipment consumes a lot of power and needs 24-hour uninterrupted operation, so after a long time, the electricity cost is not a small cost

at present, there are many people engaged in mining, mostly in the form of mines, finding cheap electricity for centralized mining to rece costs

every day will generate income, the highest is more than 200. In addition, the fluctuation of the currency price has little impact on the mining, because the bitcoin can be sold at any price. Even if the price of the coin is low, it can be sold after the price rises. Therefore, the investment income is relatively stable, the risk is relatively low, and the current machine price is also low, There is no threshold for investment, so it is a good opportunity for investment

According to the current market, mining income is not high, and even some retail investors have caused losses, but it is difficult to lose money in large-scale professional mines. Mining requires the cost of machinery and equipment and the cost of electricity price. With the decline of bitcoin market, the cost of machinery has been reced again and again, and the electricity price in large mines is also extremely low. Therefore, the income of mining in large mines will be higher than the cost for a long time in the future, and the income will be higher after the price of bitcoin rises

compared with self built mines, it has certain advantages to invest in mining machinery trusteeship business. Firstly, the time cost is saved to a certain extent, and the mining business can be started immediately. Secondly, unnecessary expenses, such as labor cost, are saved. Since the custody business concentrates the mining machines of multiple investors in one mine, the labor cost is shared by all investors. Finally, there are cheaper electricity prices. The ultimate goal of hosting enterprises to carry out mining machinery hosting business is to make profits. If they can not get lower than the normal electricity price on the market, it is difficult for hosting enterprises to make profits. Of course, the electricity price given to investors will also be lower than the normal electricity price on the market. Another important advantage is that some trusteeship enterprises are able to cash the virtual currency g up by investors' mining machines directly, which also relieves some investors from the worry that they can't cash the virtual currency

is mining profitable or not? There are several factors affecting the mining income: first, the currency price. The higher the currency price, the more profitable the mining. The second is the difficulty. The slower the difficulty rises, the more profitable the mining will be. The lower the cost, the more profitable the mining. Of course, the cost here refers to the purchasing cost and operating cost of computing power, including labor, network, construction, electricity and so on. The lower the cost, the better. Mining needs to deal with the risk of currency price plummeting, mining difficulty soaring, and mining costs rising. At present, the risk of mining currency speculation is much smaller

now the currency price continues to fall. Some people say that it's better to buy money directly than to buy a miner. In fact, it's not the case. Buying money must bear the risk of currency price falling, and the risk and income coexist, while buying a miner is to "protect the income from drought and flood" and keep the value of money rising; In the absence of rich market experience, the decision to buy money is only the choice of speculators

3. Since August this year, Chinese diggers, the so-called miners, have been dominating the price of bitcoin. The sharp rise from August to early December is entirely e to the increase in mining costs and difficulties caused by the accumulation of miners. At the same time, there have been many crazy money speculators for a long time. In three months, the price of bitcoin has risen from 2000 to more than 5000. For many people, the evil spear in Fuhua Dian Jiaodian temple is a myth, However, bitcoin is not a security, so there is no risk prevention and control. Based on the consideration of transaction security, the central bank "suggests" (because it only suggests that there is no travel regulations at present) that the third-party payment institutions stop providing payment and cash withdrawal services to the bitcoin trading platform. As soon as the news comes out, the bitcoin trading price plummeted within four days, and today's price is less than 3000 yuan, However, according to the market analysis, the price is likely to pick up. The main reason for the price decline is that the major payment companies have taken emergency measures to avoid the central bank's words, which has caused the payment obstacles and led to the price drop. However, it seems that this will create a new group of investors, and the price drop will give speculators a new opportunity to re-enter the game, So my conclusion is that the price will rise, but it will not be as crazy as it used to be. It is estimated that the price will go up and down in 3500 after two or three months of tossing. At the same time, the rise and fall will also be significantly reced. It is difficult to go up and down in hundreds and thousands like now, As a senior miner, I hope my answer will help you. Haha, it suck if you don't use it correctly.

4. William Dilbert Gann (1878-1955) is the most famous investor in American Securities and futures instry, the most magical master of technical analysis, a legendary financial forecaster in the early 1920s, and one of the greatest investors in the 20th century. He has been speculating in the market for 45 years. In his life, he experienced the first World War, the stock market crash in 1929, the financial crisis in 1929, the financial crisis in 1929, and the financial crisis in 1929 The Great Depression of the 1930s and the second world war made more than 50 million US dollars in profits in this turbulent era, which is equivalent to more than one billion US dollars now. He is not only a successful investor, but also a wise man and great philosopher. Jiang En was also a native of Tongzhou in Ming Dynasty, which was recorded in Tongzhou annals< br />

5. Bafett Soros doesn't even dare to say that you are a rookie

6.

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to ask how much worry you can have, which is like worrying about money
since December last year, the price of bitcoin has continued to decline, with the average price of bitcoin hovering at US $6000. For old chives, the bear market of "bitcoin circle" for half a year seems nothing, but for those who have not yet entered, their hearts are full of doubts. Is this a new round of bear market of "coin circle", Or does it mean bitcoin has taken off all its packaging and returned to its e value. Perhaps the collapse of the currency circle is not a "bear market". Bitcoin has fallen from US $20000 to US $6000, Ethereum has fallen from the highest US $1500 to more than US $300, the prices of various air currencies and counterfeit currencies have been cleared, and the total market value of global digital currencies has fallen from more than US $800 billion to the lowest US $260 billion. More people call this a long bear market of the "currency circle", When all bad currencies leave the market, the currency circle will return to the bull market

red is like fire, pink is like haze, and white is like snow. The flowers are sweet; When I close my eyes, the trees seem to be full of peaches, apricots and pears. Under the flowers, hundreds of bees are buzzing and butterflies are flying around. Wild flowers everywhere are: miscellaneous children, with a name, no name, scattered in the grass, like eyes, like stars, but also blinking
"blowing face is not cold, willow wind", it's good, like mother's hand touching you. The wind brings the smell of some newly turned soil, mixed with the smell of grass, and the fragrance of various flowers, all brewing in the slightly moist air. The birds set their nests among the flowers and leaves. They are happy. They show off their crisp throats and sing melodies in harmony with the breeze and the flowing water. The piccolo of the shepherd boy on the cow's back is also ringing all day

rain is the most common, which lasts for three or two days. Don't be upset. Look, it's like cow hair, flower needle and fine silk. It's densely woven obliquely. There's a thin layer of smoke on the roof. The leaves are bright green, and the grass is green to your eyes. In the evening, when the lamp was on, a little yellow halo light set off a quiet and peaceful night. In the countryside, on the path, beside the stone bridge, there are people who are holding up umbrellas and walking slowly. There are also working farmers in the field, wearing coir and hat. Their houses, sparsely silent in the rain

there are more kites in the sky and more children on the ground. Every family in the city and countryside, old and small, came out one by one. Shuhuo Shuhuo muscles and bones, shake up the spirit, each do their own thing“ The plan of a year lies in the spring. "At the beginning, there are some efforts and some hopes

spring is like a newly fallen baby, which is new from head to toe and growing
in spring

7. At the end of the bear market, the main performance of the market is the feeling that no one is involved in the market. After a long period of decline, the vast majority of investors were completely desperate, the bulls in the market were completely wiped out, the index repeatedly hit new lows, and the correct idea of when to sell was deeply rooted in the hearts of the people, and a consensus was formed. The effective support recognized in the market has been effectively broken down, forming a bottomless state, and can not be found in the end<

as an indivial, ordinary investors have mental breakdown and can't sleep at night. When they implement their actions, they cut their positions in tears regardless of cost, vow never to enter the stock market, and some investors cancel their stock accounts

from the historical bottom of the past few times, the financing function of the market has completely lost. The management will no longer issue new shares, even if they are issued, they will not be issued. The opening price of new shares falls below the issue price, and the number of people who subscribe for new shares is extremely shrinking, which means that it really moves the management's cheese. Policy began to restore the care of the stock market, the introction of new policies on the stock market is particularly careful, careful care of the stock market, no one dare to casually guide the market

from the perspective of market performance, land quantity often appears before land price. Technically, the amount of land indicates that the release of short kinetic energy is completed, but whether there will be a new amount of land is the key. At this time, we just wait for the last drop of the market to proce the land price. For indivial stocks, the stock price should be less than 2 yuan, and a large number of 4-5 Yuan stocks should appear at the same time

the reason why a bear market doesn't come to a conclusion is that any successful forecast always has n failed forecasts ahead of it. Can successfully to the end, the whole warehouse to buy people, equivalent to Liu Xiang in the hurdle competition at the same time to pick up an embroidery needle, that is only theoretical existence

when the real bottom of the market appears, no one knows it is the bottom, and no one dares to believe it is the bottom. Only when the market comes out from the bottom and is repeatedly confirmed, can it be regarded as the bottom of the market afterwards. As for the market recognized effective support, such as 2245 points, 2000 points is not the bottom, can only be determined by the market.