When will bitcoin crash
Prior to that, the regulatory authorities decided to close the exchanges of virtual currency in China. On September 14, regulatory rumors finally came to the ground. Just now, bitcoin China, one of China's three major virtual currency trading platforms, announced that bitcoin China would stop all trading business on September 30
according to public information, bitcoin China is the longest operating bitcoin trading platform in China, which was established on June 9, 2011. Affected by the news, bitcoin, lightcoin and Ethereum all fell sharply
Bitcoin network generates a new block every ten minutes. Every time a miner completes a block, he can get a certain amount of bitcoin as a block reward, and the reward will be halved for every 210000 blocks mined. Because the time for mining each block is limited to 10 minutes, at this rate, the period for the reward to be halved is four years, that is to say, the reward for bitcoin blocks is halved every four years
when the bitcoin block reward was halved for the first time, its price rose 25 times from 300 yuan to 7995 yuan; In the second half, the price rose 28 times from 5011 yuan to 140000 yuan. So many people predict that the third halving of bitcoin in May 2020 will lead to a sharp rise in the price of bitcoin, at least 10 times. However, these figures are not so clear. After halving in 2012, bitcoin prices rose for two months, and in 2016, there was almost no immediate response to deflation for a month. This may also be the result of the strategy of "buying rumors and selling news" implemented by some speculators
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after bitcoin halved, the supply slowed down, and keeping deflation through algorithm has always been a part of bitcoin protocol design. It was set up to ensure the value of bitcoin. By recing block incentives and setting the maximum possible supply of bitcoin at 21 million bitcoins, bitcoin has an anti inflation feature, which runs counter to the tendency of central banks to print money at will. At present, there are about 17.5 million bitcoins in circulation, and less than 3.5 million bitcoins are available for mining. When the next block award halves, bitcoin's annual inflation rate will drop from the current 3.8% to about 1.8%
maintaining deflation through algorithms has always been a part of the design of bitcoin protocol. It was created to guarantee the value of bitcoin. By recing block incentives and keeping the total amount of bitcoin at 21 million bitcoins, bitcoin is endowed with an anti inflation nature, which is different from the tendency of central banks to print money at will. At present, there are about 17.5 million bitcoins in circulation and less than 3.5 million available for mining. The next block award cut in half could rece bitcoin's annual inflation rate from the current 3.8% to about 1.8%. This will be the first time in bitcoin's history that it has fallen below the historical average of about 2% - 3% growth in gold supply
in addition, the underlying reason is that the world does not recognize the monetary payment property of bitcoin, but regards it as an investment commodity similar to gold, and even has large-scale capital participation in speculation.
It's hard to say whether bitcoin will crash in the future, because according to the cycle rate of bitcoin, the 90% drop from the highest point is basically a daily operation. In 2018, the highest price of bitcoin reached a high of $20000, and it also fell continuously in the same year, resulting in the lowest price even reaching a new low of $3155 P>
imagine that one day, if all the investment institutions find new things that are more investment and technology than bibitt, all the investment will be withdrawn from the bitcoin. Then the journey of the bubble that looks like a drum will be stopped. It really lacks the support of entity value and the credit value of currency itself< br />
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