比特币周期性减半

1. 姣旂壒甯4骞村噺鍗婃椂闂

璇ヨ揣甯佺殑鍑忓崐鏃堕棿鍦2024骞4鏈27鏃ユ槦鏈熷叚涓嬪崍5鐐03鍒39绉掑彂鐢熴
姣旂壒甯佺殑杩欐″噺鍗婂皢浣垮尯鍧楀栧姳浠庡綋鍓嶇殑6.25 BTC鍑忓皯鍒3.125 BTC銆傛瘮鐗瑰竵鐨勫噺鍗婅勫垯鏄鍐欏叆姣旂壒甯佹寲鐭跨畻娉曚腑鐨勩傛瘮鐗瑰竵灏嗘瘡210000涓鍖哄潡锛堟瘡鍥涘勾锛夊噺鍗婁竴娆★紝鐩村埌2140骞达紝灞婃椂鎵鏈2100涓囨灇BTC鍏ㄩ儴寮閲囧畬姣曘傛瘮鐗瑰竵鐨勫噺鍗婁簨浠跺瑰競鍦烘湁鐫閲嶅ぇ褰卞搷銆備竴鏂归潰锛屽噺鍗婇檷浣庝簡姣旂壒甯佺殑渚涘簲閫熷害锛屾彁楂樹簡鍏剁█缂烘э紝杩欐湁鍔╀簬缁存寔鍏朵环鍊笺

2. 姣旂壒甯佸噺鍗婃槸浠涔堜互鍙婂畠濡備綍褰卞搷浠锋牸

姣旂壒甯佸噺鍗婏細浠锋牸娉㈠姩鑳屽悗鐨勭炵樺姏閲

褰撴椂闂存潵鍒2024骞4鏈堬紝涓鍦哄囧彈鏈熷緟鐨勬瘮鐗瑰竵鍘嗗彶浜嬩欢鍗冲皢涓婃紨鈥斺斿噺鍗娿傝繖鍦烘瘡鍥涘勾杞鍥炵殑閲戣瀺鐩涘达紝涓嶄粎褰卞搷鐫姣旂壒甯佺殑浠峰硷紝杩樻繁鍒诲戦犵潃鐭垮伐鐨勬敹鐩娿傞偅涔堬紝浠涔堟槸姣旂壒甯佸噺鍗婏紵瀹冨張濡備綍宸﹀彸姣旂壒甯佺殑鏈鏉ヨ蛋鍚戯紵璁╂垜浠涓鎺㈢┒绔熴

鍑忓崐鐨勬湰璐ㄤ笌璧锋簮

姣旂壒甯佸噺鍗婏紝绠鍗曟潵璇达紝鏄鎸栫熆濂栧姳鐨勫姩鎬佽皟鏁淬傛瘡涓鍖哄潡鐨勮癁鐢燂紝濡傚悓鐭垮伐鐨勮緵鍕ゅ姵浣滐紝浠栦滑閫氳繃瑙ｅ喅澶嶆潅鐨勭畻娉曢棶棰橈紝鏀惰幏鐨勪笉浠呬粎鏄鑽ｈ獕锛岃繕鏈夋柊甯佺殑閾搁犮傝捣鍒濓紝姣忎釜鎴愬姛鎸栫熆鑰呰兘鑾峰緱50涓姣旂壒甯侊紝浣嗛殢鐫鏃堕棿鐨勬帹绉伙紝杩欎竴鏁板瓧姣210,000涓鍖哄潡鍑忓崐涓娆★紝鏃ㄥ湪鎺у埗姣旂壒甯佺殑渚涘簲閲忥紝淇濇寔鍏跺唴鍦ㄤ环鍊笺

鍘嗗彶鑴氭ヤ笌閲嶈佸奖鍝

鑷2009骞存瘮鐗瑰竵璇炵敓浠ユ潵锛屽噺鍗婂凡鍘嗙粡涓夋°備粠50 BTC鐨勫垵濮嬪栧姳锛屽埌2012骞寸殑棣栨″噺鍗婏紝鍐嶅埌2016骞寸殑绗浜屾★紝姣旂壒甯佺殑濂栧姳涓璺鍑忓崐锛岀洿鑷2020骞撮檷涓6.25 BTC銆傛瘡涓娆″噺鍗婏紝閮藉傚悓鎸変笅浜嗕竴涓鏃堕棿鑳跺泭锛屽噺缂撲簡鏂板竵娴佸叆甯傚満鐨勯熷害锛屽炲己浜嗘瘮鐗瑰竵鐨勭█缂烘э紝浠庤岄┍鍔ㄤ簡浠锋牸鐨勯欏崌銆

搴撳瓨娴侀噺妯″瀷鎻绀轰环鏍煎姩鍚

鍖垮悕鍒嗘瀽甯圥lanB鐨凷2F妯″瀷锛岄氳繃鍒嗘瀽姣旂壒甯佺殑搴撳瓨娴侀噺姣旂巼锛屾彮绀轰簡鍑忓崐瀵逛环鏍肩殑鐩存帴褰卞搷銆傛ā鍨嬫樉绀猴紝闅忕潃渚涘簲閲忕殑閫愬勾鍑忓皯锛岀█缂烘у甫鏉ョ殑浠峰兼彁鍗囷紝棰勬祴浜嗘瘮鐗瑰竵浠锋牸鐨勪笂娑ㄨ秼鍔裤傜劧鑰岋紝鐜板疄涓栫晫涓锛岄渶姹傘佹斂绛栧彉鍔ㄧ瓑鍥犵礌鍚屾牱閲嶈侊紝涓嶈兘蹇借嗐

鍑忓崐鐨勫弻鍒冨墤

鍑忓崐鐨勪紭鍔垮湪浜庡规姉閫氳揣鑶ㄨ儉锛屽炲己绋缂烘э紝浣嗗悓鏃朵篃浼撮殢鐫涓浜涙寫鎴樸傚噺鍗婂彲鑳藉艰嚧鐭鏈熶环鏍兼尝鍔ㄥ姞鍓э紝鐭垮伐鐩堝埄鑳藉姏涓嬫粦锛岀敋鑷冲彲鑳藉甫鏉ヤ腑蹇冨寲椋庨櫓銆傛ゅ栵紝缃戠粶瀹夊叏鎬у湪鍑忓崐鏈熼棿鍙鑳介潰涓磋冮獙锛屽敖绠¤繖绉嶆媴蹇ч氬父琚瑙嗕负闀胯繙闂棰樸

鏈鏉ュ睍鏈涗笌娼滃湪褰卞搷

鍗冲皢鍒版潵鐨2024骞村噺鍗婏紝鍖哄潡濂栧姳灏嗗啀娆″噺鍗婏紝浠3.125 BTC闄嶈嚦1.5625 BTC銆傚競鍦轰笌绀惧尯鐨勫叧娉ㄧ偣灏嗚仛鐒︿簬鍑忓崐鍚庣綉缁滄椿鍔ㄤ笌浠锋牸鐨勫弽搴斻傚敖绠′簤璁涓庝笉纭瀹氭у苟瀛橈紝浣嗗噺鍗婃棤鐤戞槸姣旂壒甯佺粡娴庨暱鏈熸紨鍖栦腑鐨勯噸瑕佹帹鎵嬶紝鐩磋嚦2100涓囨灇鐨勪笂闄愯瑙﹀強銆

鎬荤殑鏉ヨ达紝姣旂壒甯佸噺鍗婁笉浠呮槸涓涓鎶鏈鎬х殑浜嬩欢锛屾洿鏄甯傚満鎯呯华銆佷緵姹傚叧绯讳笌鎶鏈杩涙ョ殑浜ょ粐銆傛瘡涓娆″噺鍗婏紝閮芥槸涓娆″瑰尯鍧楅摼鏈鏉ヤ环鍊肩殑閲嶆柊璇勪及锛屼负鎶曡祫鑰呮彁渚涗簡鐙鐗圭殑娲炲療瑙嗚掋傝╂垜浠灞忔伅浠ュ緟锛岀湅鐪2024骞寸殑鍑忓崐浼氬備綍涔﹀啓鏂扮殑绡囩珷銆

3. 浠婂勾姣旂壒甯佽繕浼氭定鍚

1. 姣旂壒甯佹寲鐭垮栧姳鍑忓崐棰勮″皢鍦5鏈18鏃ユ垨鍏跺墠鍚庡彂鐢燂紝杩欐槸姣旂壒甯佺畻娉曢勮剧殑鍛ㄦ湡鎬т簨浠躲傚巻鍙蹭笂锛岃繖涓鏈哄埗宸茬粡瀹炴柦浜嗕袱娆°傜涓娆℃槸鍦2012骞达紝鎸栫熆濂栧姳浠庢瘡鍧50姣旂壒甯佸噺灏戝埌25姣旂壒甯侊紝鍦ㄩ偅涓骞村唴锛屾瘮鐗瑰竵浠锋牸娑ㄥ箙鎺ヨ繎8200%銆傜浜屾″噺鍗婂彂鐢熷湪2016骞达紝闅忓悗鐨18涓鏈堝唴锛屾瘮鐗瑰竵浠锋牸涓婂崌浜嗚秴杩2200%銆
2. 姣旂壒甯佺殑鍙戣岄伒寰涓涓姣忓洓骞翠竴娆＄殑鍑忓崐鍛ㄦ湡锛岃繖涓杩囩▼绉颁负鈥滄瘮鐗瑰竵鍑忓崐鈥濄備笅涓娆″噺鍗婂皢鏍囧織鐫姣旂壒甯佺涓夋″噺鍗婏紝灞婃椂锛屽綋鍓嶆瘡10鍒嗛挓鐢熸垚鐨12.5姣旂壒甯佸栧姳灏嗗噺鍗婅嚦6.25姣旂壒甯併傛瘮鐗瑰竵鐨勬婚噺涓婇檺璁惧畾涓2100涓囷紝鍑忓崐浜嬩欢鎰忓懗鐫姣旂壒甯佺殑鐢熸垚閫熷害灏嗗噺鎱锛岄殢鐫鏃堕棿鎺ㄧЩ锛屾柊浜х敓鐨勬瘮鐗瑰竵灏嗛愭笎鍑忓皯锛屾瘮鐗瑰竵灏嗗彉寰楁洿鍔犵█缂恒
3. 鍘嗗彶涓婏紝姣旂壒甯佸噺鍗婃浘澶氭℃垚涓哄叾浠锋牸涓婂崌鐨勯噸瑕佸偓鍖栧墏锛屽洜姝わ紝璁稿氭瘮鐗瑰竵鏀鎸佽呮ｆ湡寰呯潃鏄庡勾鍙鑳藉嚭鐜扮殑甯傚満琛屾儏銆傛瘮鐗瑰竵鍦ㄥ姞瀵嗚揣甯佸競鍦轰腑鐨勪富瀵煎湴浣嶄緷鏃хǔ鍥恒傛牴鎹瓹oinmarketcap鐨勬暟鎹锛屾瘮鐗瑰竵鍦ㄥ姞瀵嗚揣甯佸競鍦轰腑鐨勫競鍊煎崰姣斿湪2019骞村ぇ閮ㄥ垎鏃堕棿淇濇寔鍦50%-70%涔嬮棿銆傝嚜姣旂壒甯侀棶涓栦互鏉ワ紝鍏跺競鍊煎崰姣旀浘鍦2013骞11鏈堣秴杩95%锛屽苟鍦2017骞3鏈堜箣鍓嶇殑澶ч儴鍒嗘椂闂撮噷淇濇寔鍦80%浠ヤ笂銆傛ゅ悗锛岃繖涓姣斾緥鏈夋墍涓嬮檷锛岀敋鑷充竴搴﹁穼鐮40%銆
4. 鍗庡皵琛楀墠浜ゆ槗鍛樸佸姞瀵嗚揣甯佸垎鏋愬笀Tone Vays棰勬祴锛屽埌2020骞达紝姣旂壒甯佺殑甯傚煎崰姣斿彲鑳戒細杈惧埌85%銆備粬鎸囧嚭锛屾瘮鐗瑰竵鍦ㄥ競鍦轰笂鐨勪富瀵煎湴浣嶅皢杩涗竴姝ュ炲己锛岀被浼间簬浠婂勾鎵鍙栧緱鐨勬垚灏便傜洰鍓嶏紝姣旂壒甯佺殑甯傚煎崰姣斾负69%锛岃屼粖骞1鏈堜唤涓51%銆備笌2018骞1鏈堢浉姣旓紝姣旂壒甯佺殑甯傚煎為暱浜87%銆俈ays璁や负锛屼粠闀胯繙鏉ョ湅锛屾瘮鐗瑰竵甯傚煎崰姣斿彲鑳戒細缁х画涓婂崌锛岀敋鑷冲彲鑳借揪鍒98%銆
5. 鏁板瓧璐у竵鎶曡祫閾惰孏alaxy Digital鐨勯栧腑鎵ц屽畼Mike Novogratz锛屼汉绉扳滃姞瀵嗚揣甯侀珮鐩涒濓紝棰勬祴姣旂壒甯佸湪2020骞寸殑甯傚煎皢瑙﹀強12000缇庡厓銆侼ovogratz鏄姣旂壒甯佺殑鍧氬畾鏀鎸佽咃紝鍦2018骞村垱绔婫alaxy Digital涔嬪墠锛屼粬鏇炬槸楂樼洓鐨勫悎浼欎汉銆備粖骞5鏈堝垵锛屽綋姣旂壒甯佷环鏍煎湪6000缇庡厓宸﹀彸鏃讹紝浠栭勬祴姣旂壒甯佸皢鍦ㄤ竴骞村崐鍐呭啀娆＄獊鐮2涓囩編鍏冦傚敖绠℃瘮鐗瑰竵鍦7鏈堜唤寮濮嬩笂娑锛屾渶楂樿揪鍒13000缇庡厓锛屼絾鏈鑳借秴杩2017骞寸殑鐗涘競宄板笺
6. Novogratz骞堕潪鍞涓棰勬祴姣旂壒甯佹湭鏉ョ殑甯傚満鍙備笌鑰呫傚尯鍧楅摼璧勬湰鏄涓瀹跺ぇ鍨嬮庨櫓鎶曡祫鏈烘瀯锛屽畠鏈杩戝彂甯冪殑鎶ュ憡棰勬祴姣旂壒甯佸湪2020骞存湁鏈轰細鍒涗笅鏂伴珮銆傜劧鑰岋紝璇ユ満鏋勪篃璋冧緝浜嗗彟涓浣嶆瘮鐗瑰竵鏀鎸佽匤ohn McAfee鐨100涓囩編鍏冮勬祴锛岃や负杩欎竴鐩鏍囦笉澶鍙鑳藉疄鐜般