比特幣周期性減半
1. 姣旂壒甯4騫村噺鍗婃椂闂
璇ヨ揣甯佺殑鍑忓崐鏃墮棿鍦2024騫4鏈27鏃ユ槦鏈熷叚涓嬪崍5鐐03鍒39縐掑彂鐢熴
姣旂壒甯佺殑榪欐″噺鍗婂皢浣垮尯鍧楀栧姳浠庡綋鍓嶇殑6.25 BTC鍑忓皯鍒3.125 BTC銆傛瘮鐗瑰竵鐨勫噺鍗婅勫垯鏄鍐欏叆姣旂壒甯佹寲鐭跨畻娉曚腑鐨勩傛瘮鐗瑰竵灝嗘瘡210000涓鍖哄潡錛堟瘡鍥涘勾錛夊噺鍗婁竴嬈★紝鐩村埌2140騫達紝灞婃椂鎵鏈2100涓囨灇BTC鍏ㄩ儴寮閲囧畬姣曘傛瘮鐗瑰竵鐨勫噺鍗婁簨浠跺瑰競鍦烘湁鐫閲嶅ぇ褰卞搷銆備竴鏂歸潰錛屽噺鍗婇檷浣庝簡姣旂壒甯佺殑渚涘簲閫熷害錛屾彁楂樹簡鍏剁█緙烘э紝榪欐湁鍔╀簬緇存寔鍏朵環鍊箋
2. 姣旂壒甯佸噺鍗婃槸浠涔堜互鍙婂畠濡備綍褰卞搷浠鋒牸
姣旂壒甯佸噺鍗婏細浠鋒牸娉㈠姩鑳屽悗鐨勭炵樺姏閲
褰撴椂闂存潵鍒2024騫4鏈堬紝涓鍦哄囧彈鏈熷緟鐨勬瘮鐗瑰竵鍘嗗彶浜嬩歡鍗沖皢涓婃紨鈥斺斿噺鍗娿傝繖鍦烘瘡鍥涘勾杞鍥炵殑閲戣瀺鐩涘達紝涓嶄粎褰卞搷鐫姣旂壒甯佺殑浠峰礆紝榪樻繁鍒誨戦犵潃鐭垮伐鐨勬敹鐩娿傞偅涔堬紝浠涔堟槸姣旂壒甯佸噺鍗婏紵瀹冨張濡備綍宸﹀彸姣旂壒甯佺殑鏈鏉ヨ蛋鍚戱紵璁╂垜浠涓鎺㈢┒絝熴
鍑忓崐鐨勬湰璐ㄤ笌璧鋒簮
姣旂壒甯佸噺鍗婏紝綆鍗曟潵璇達紝鏄鎸栫熆濂栧姳鐨勫姩鎬佽皟鏁淬傛瘡涓鍖哄潡鐨勮癁鐢燂紝濡傚悓鐭垮伐鐨勮緵鍕ゅ姵浣滐紝浠栦滑閫氳繃瑙ｅ喅澶嶆潅鐨勭畻娉曢棶棰橈紝鏀惰幏鐨勪笉浠呬粎鏄鑽ｈ獕錛岃繕鏈夋柊甯佺殑閾擱犮傝搗鍒濓紝姣忎釜鎴愬姛鎸栫熆鑰呰兘鑾峰緱50涓姣旂壒甯侊紝浣嗛殢鐫鏃墮棿鐨勬帹縐伙紝榪欎竴鏁板瓧姣210,000涓鍖哄潡鍑忓崐涓嬈★紝鏃ㄥ湪鎺у埗姣旂壒甯佺殑渚涘簲閲忥紝淇濇寔鍏跺唴鍦ㄤ環鍊箋
鍘嗗彶鑴氭ヤ笌閲嶈佸獎鍝
鑷2009騫存瘮鐗瑰竵璇炵敓浠ユ潵錛屽噺鍗婂凡鍘嗙粡涓夋°備粠50 BTC鐨勫垵濮嬪栧姳錛屽埌2012騫寸殑棣栨″噺鍗婏紝鍐嶅埌2016騫寸殑絎浜屾★紝姣旂壒甯佺殑濂栧姳涓璺鍑忓崐錛岀洿鑷2020騫撮檷涓6.25 BTC銆傛瘡涓嬈″噺鍗婏紝閮藉傚悓鎸変笅浜嗕竴涓鏃墮棿鑳跺泭錛屽噺緙撲簡鏂板竵嫻佸叆甯傚満鐨勯熷害錛屽炲己浜嗘瘮鐗瑰竵鐨勭█緙烘э紝浠庤岄┍鍔ㄤ簡浠鋒牸鐨勯欏崌銆
搴撳瓨嫻侀噺妯″瀷鎻紺轟環鏍煎姩鍚
鍖垮悕鍒嗘瀽甯圥lanB鐨凷2F妯″瀷錛岄氳繃鍒嗘瀽姣旂壒甯佺殑搴撳瓨嫻侀噺姣旂巼錛屾彮紺轟簡鍑忓崐瀵逛環鏍肩殑鐩存帴褰卞搷銆傛ā鍨嬫樉紺猴紝闅忕潃渚涘簲閲忕殑閫愬勾鍑忓皯錛岀█緙烘у甫鏉ョ殑浠峰兼彁鍗囷紝棰勬祴浜嗘瘮鐗瑰竵浠鋒牸鐨勪笂娑ㄨ秼鍔褲傜劧鑰岋紝鐜板疄涓栫晫涓錛岄渶奼傘佹斂絳栧彉鍔ㄧ瓑鍥犵礌鍚屾牱閲嶈侊紝涓嶈兘蹇借嗐
鍑忓崐鐨勫弻鍒冨墤
鍑忓崐鐨勪紭鍔垮湪浜庡規姉閫氳揣鑶ㄨ儉錛屽炲己紼緙烘э紝浣嗗悓鏃朵篃浼撮殢鐫涓浜涙寫鎴樸傚噺鍗婂彲鑳藉艱嚧鐭鏈熶環鏍兼嘗鍔ㄥ姞鍓э紝鐭垮伐鐩堝埄鑳藉姏涓嬫粦錛岀敋鑷沖彲鑳藉甫鏉ヤ腑蹇冨寲椋庨櫓銆傛ゅ栵紝緗戠粶瀹夊叏鎬у湪鍑忓崐鏈熼棿鍙鑳介潰涓磋冮獙錛屽敖綆¤繖縐嶆媴蹇ч氬父琚瑙嗕負闀胯繙闂棰樸
鏈鏉ュ睍鏈涗笌娼滃湪褰卞搷
鍗沖皢鍒版潵鐨2024騫村噺鍗婏紝鍖哄潡濂栧姳灝嗗啀嬈″噺鍗婏紝浠3.125 BTC闄嶈嚦1.5625 BTC銆傚競鍦轟笌紺懼尯鐨勫叧娉ㄧ偣灝嗚仛鐒︿簬鍑忓崐鍚庣綉緇滄椿鍔ㄤ笌浠鋒牸鐨勫弽搴斻傚敖綆′簤璁涓庝笉紜瀹氭у苟瀛橈紝浣嗗噺鍗婃棤鐤戞槸姣旂壒甯佺粡嫻庨暱鏈熸紨鍖栦腑鐨勯噸瑕佹帹鎵嬶紝鐩磋嚦2100涓囨灇鐨勪笂闄愯瑙﹀強銆
鎬葷殑鏉ヨ達紝姣旂壒甯佸噺鍗婁笉浠呮槸涓涓鎶鏈鎬х殑浜嬩歡錛屾洿鏄甯傚満鎯呯華銆佷緵奼傚叧緋諱笌鎶鏈榪涙ョ殑浜ょ粐銆傛瘡涓嬈″噺鍗婏紝閮芥槸涓嬈″瑰尯鍧楅摼鏈鏉ヤ環鍊肩殑閲嶆柊璇勪及錛屼負鎶曡祫鑰呮彁渚涗簡鐙鐗圭殑媧炲療瑙嗚掋傝╂垜浠灞忔伅浠ュ緟錛岀湅鐪2024騫寸殑鍑忓崐浼氬備綍涔﹀啓鏂扮殑綃囩珷銆
3. 浠婂勾姣旂壒甯佽繕浼氭定鍚
1. 姣旂壒甯佹寲鐭垮栧姳鍑忓崐棰勮″皢鍦5鏈18鏃ユ垨鍏跺墠鍚庡彂鐢燂紝榪欐槸姣旂壒甯佺畻娉曢勮劇殑鍛ㄦ湡鎬т簨浠躲傚巻鍙蹭笂錛岃繖涓鏈哄埗宸茬粡瀹炴柦浜嗕袱嬈°傜涓嬈℃槸鍦2012騫達紝鎸栫熆濂栧姳浠庢瘡鍧50姣旂壒甯佸噺灝戝埌25姣旂壒甯侊紝鍦ㄩ偅涓騫村唴錛屾瘮鐗瑰竵浠鋒牸娑ㄥ箙鎺ヨ繎8200%銆傜浜屾″噺鍗婂彂鐢熷湪2016騫達紝闅忓悗鐨18涓鏈堝唴錛屾瘮鐗瑰竵浠鋒牸涓婂崌浜嗚秴榪2200%銆
2. 姣旂壒甯佺殑鍙戣岄伒寰涓涓姣忓洓騫翠竴嬈＄殑鍑忓崐鍛ㄦ湡錛岃繖涓榪囩▼縐頒負鈥滄瘮鐗瑰竵鍑忓崐鈥濄備笅涓嬈″噺鍗婂皢鏍囧織鐫姣旂壒甯佺涓夋″噺鍗婏紝灞婃椂錛屽綋鍓嶆瘡10鍒嗛挓鐢熸垚鐨12.5姣旂壒甯佸栧姳灝嗗噺鍗婅嚦6.25姣旂壒甯併傛瘮鐗瑰竵鐨勬婚噺涓婇檺璁懼畾涓2100涓囷紝鍑忓崐浜嬩歡鎰忓懗鐫姣旂壒甯佺殑鐢熸垚閫熷害灝嗗噺鎱錛岄殢鐫鏃墮棿鎺ㄧЩ錛屾柊浜х敓鐨勬瘮鐗瑰竵灝嗛愭笎鍑忓皯錛屾瘮鐗瑰竵灝嗗彉寰楁洿鍔犵█緙恆
3. 鍘嗗彶涓婏紝姣旂壒甯佸噺鍗婃浘澶氭℃垚涓哄叾浠鋒牸涓婂崌鐨勯噸瑕佸偓鍖栧墏錛屽洜姝わ紝璁稿氭瘮鐗瑰竵鏀鎸佽呮ｆ湡寰呯潃鏄庡勾鍙鑳藉嚭鐜扮殑甯傚満琛屾儏銆傛瘮鐗瑰竵鍦ㄥ姞瀵嗚揣甯佸競鍦轟腑鐨勪富瀵煎湴浣嶄緷鏃хǔ鍥恆傛牴鎹瓹oinmarketcap鐨勬暟鎹錛屾瘮鐗瑰竵鍦ㄥ姞瀵嗚揣甯佸競鍦轟腑鐨勫競鍊煎崰姣斿湪2019騫村ぇ閮ㄥ垎鏃墮棿淇濇寔鍦50%-70%涔嬮棿銆傝嚜姣旂壒甯侀棶涓栦互鏉ワ紝鍏跺競鍊煎崰姣旀浘鍦2013騫11鏈堣秴榪95%錛屽苟鍦2017騫3鏈堜箣鍓嶇殑澶ч儴鍒嗘椂闂撮噷淇濇寔鍦80%浠ヤ笂銆傛ゅ悗錛岃繖涓姣斾緥鏈夋墍涓嬮檷錛岀敋鑷充竴搴﹁穼鐮40%銆
4. 鍗庡皵琛楀墠浜ゆ槗鍛樸佸姞瀵嗚揣甯佸垎鏋愬笀Tone Vays棰勬祴錛屽埌2020騫達紝姣旂壒甯佺殑甯傚煎崰姣斿彲鑳戒細杈懼埌85%銆備粬鎸囧嚭錛屾瘮鐗瑰竵鍦ㄥ競鍦轟笂鐨勪富瀵煎湴浣嶅皢榪涗竴姝ュ炲己錛岀被浼間簬浠婂勾鎵鍙栧緱鐨勬垚灝便傜洰鍓嶏紝姣旂壒甯佺殑甯傚煎崰姣斾負69%錛岃屼粖騫1鏈堜喚涓51%銆備笌2018騫1鏈堢浉姣旓紝姣旂壒甯佺殑甯傚煎為暱浜87%銆俈ays璁や負錛屼粠闀胯繙鏉ョ湅錛屾瘮鐗瑰竵甯傚煎崰姣斿彲鑳戒細緇х畫涓婂崌錛岀敋鑷沖彲鑳借揪鍒98%銆
5. 鏁板瓧璐у竵鎶曡祫閾惰孏alaxy Digital鐨勯栧腑鎵ц屽畼Mike Novogratz錛屼漢縐扳滃姞瀵嗚揣甯侀珮鐩涒濓紝棰勬祴姣旂壒甯佸湪2020騫寸殑甯傚煎皢瑙﹀強12000緹庡厓銆侼ovogratz鏄姣旂壒甯佺殑鍧氬畾鏀鎸佽咃紝鍦2018騫村壋絝婫alaxy Digital涔嬪墠錛屼粬鏇炬槸楂樼洓鐨勫悎浼欎漢銆備粖騫5鏈堝垵錛屽綋姣旂壒甯佷環鏍煎湪6000緹庡厓宸﹀彸鏃訛紝浠栭勬祴姣旂壒甯佸皢鍦ㄤ竴騫村崐鍐呭啀嬈＄獊鐮2涓囩編鍏冦傚敖綆℃瘮鐗瑰竵鍦7鏈堜喚寮濮嬩笂娑錛屾渶楂樿揪鍒13000緹庡厓錛屼絾鏈鑳借秴榪2017騫寸殑鐗涘競宄板箋
6. Novogratz騫墮潪鍞涓棰勬祴姣旂壒甯佹湭鏉ョ殑甯傚満鍙備笌鑰呫傚尯鍧楅摼璧勬湰鏄涓瀹跺ぇ鍨嬮庨櫓鎶曡祫鏈烘瀯錛屽畠鏈榪戝彂甯冪殑鎶ュ憡棰勬祴姣旂壒甯佸湪2020騫存湁鏈轟細鍒涗笅鏂伴珮銆傜劧鑰岋紝璇ユ満鏋勪篃璋冧緝浜嗗彟涓浣嶆瘮鐗瑰竵鏀鎸佽匤ohn McAfee鐨100涓囩編鍏冮勬祴錛岃や負榪欎竴鐩鏍囦笉澶鍙鑳藉疄鐜般